Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.7#335
Expected Predictive Rating-13.2#337
Pace71.8#118
Improvement-0.2#191

Offense
Total Offense-7.6#346
First Shot-8.4#360
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#130
Layup/Dunks-9.0#361
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#117
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#208
Freethrows+0.5#141
Improvement+0.7#118

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#278
First Shot-3.0#280
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#201
Layups/Dunks-3.8#312
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#239
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#180
Freethrows+1.1#110
Improvement-0.9#260
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 0.1% 0.5% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 7.2% 17.2% 5.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 30.2% 14.6% 33.7%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Southern (Away) - 18.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 101 - 13
Quad 45 - 96 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 228 @Eastern Michigan L 49-71 18%     0 - 1 -22.9 -22.1 -1.3
  Fri, Nov 7 78 @Cincinnati L 64-74 4%     0 - 2 +0.5 -2.8 +4.0
  Mon, Nov 10 258 Presbyterian L 61-63 41%     0 - 3 -10.4 -3.9 -6.8
  Mon, Nov 17 60 @Arizona St. L 62-75 3%     0 - 4 -0.8 -7.0 +6.4
  Fri, Nov 21 164 @South Dakota St. L 58-105 11%     0 - 5 -44.4 -14.3 -29.0
  Tue, Nov 25 238 Samford L 63-78 26%     0 - 6 -19.1 -13.2 -6.0
  Wed, Nov 26 133 New Mexico St. L 58-77 13%     0 - 7 -17.3 -16.9 +0.7
  Tue, Dec 2 167 @Mercer L 67-78 12%     0 - 8 -8.7 -6.8 -1.8
  Sat, Dec 6 159 @Kennesaw St. L 69-92 10%     0 - 9 -19.9 -15.3 -0.8
  Sat, Dec 13 253 Jacksonville St. W 77-73 41%     1 - 9 -4.2 +7.1 -11.1
  Thu, Dec 18 237 @Georgia Southern L 73-83 18%    
  Sat, Dec 20 230 @Appalachian St. L 61-71 18%    
  Wed, Dec 31 160 @Marshall L 67-81 10%    
  Sat, Jan 3 245 @Coastal Carolina L 68-77 20%    
  Thu, Jan 8 230 Appalachian St. L 64-68 36%    
  Sat, Jan 10 160 Marshall L 70-78 24%    
  Sat, Jan 17 357 @Louisiana Monroe W 75-74 52%    
  Thu, Jan 22 202 Southern Miss L 71-76 32%    
  Sat, Jan 24 154 Arkansas St. L 74-82 23%    
  Thu, Jan 29 326 @Louisiana L 64-68 36%    
  Sat, Jan 31 180 @South Alabama L 63-75 13%    
  Wed, Feb 4 142 Troy L 68-77 21%    
  Thu, Feb 12 183 @James Madison L 67-79 14%    
  Sat, Feb 14 217 @Old Dominion L 69-79 18%    
  Thu, Feb 19 237 Georgia Southern L 76-80 37%    
  Sat, Feb 21 183 James Madison L 70-76 29%    
  Tue, Feb 24 245 Coastal Carolina L 71-74 39%    
  Fri, Feb 27 217 Old Dominion L 72-76 35%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 4th
5th 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 0.7 0.0 1.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 2.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.1 0.9 0.0 3.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.2 0.3 0.0 4.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.6 3.8 1.0 0.0 7.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.4 2.4 0.1 12.0 11th
12th 0.1 1.6 5.5 7.4 3.6 0.5 0.0 18.7 12th
13th 0.7 4.0 8.9 9.1 4.2 0.7 0.0 27.5 13th
14th 1.5 5.0 6.1 4.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 18.9 14th
Total 1.5 5.7 10.3 15.1 16.7 15.4 12.7 9.3 6.1 3.7 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 61.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 28.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 6.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 4.8% 4.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.4% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4
11-7 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
10-8 2.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.0
9-9 3.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.7
8-10 6.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.1
7-11 9.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.3
6-12 12.7% 12.7
5-13 15.4% 15.4
4-14 16.7% 16.7
3-15 15.1% 15.1
2-16 10.3% 10.3
1-17 5.7% 5.7
0-18 1.5% 1.5
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.5%