IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.0	#284
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.8	#76
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.6	#246

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.4	#310

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.1%	1.8%	0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.8	14.0	14.3

.500 or above	14.9%	24.8%	8.4%
.500 or above in Conference	28.2%	37.4%	22.2%
Conference Champion	1.4%	2.1%	0.9%
Last Place in Conference	16.6%	11.1%	20.3%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
First Round	1.1%	1.8%	0.7%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Michigan (Away) - 39.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 8	3 - 13
Quad 4	7 - 7	10 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	291	@ Eastern Michigan	L	74-77	40%
Nov 07, 2025	45	@ Cincinnati	L	59-81	2%
Nov 10, 2025	267	Presbyterian	W	71-69	57%
Nov 17, 2025	68	@ Arizona St.	L	66-84	5%
Nov 21, 2025	151	@ South Dakota St.	L	72-82	18%
Nov 25, 2025	166	Samford	L	76-82	30%
Nov 26, 2025	138	New Mexico St.	L	65-73	23%
Dec 02, 2025	248	@ Mercer	L	74-79	33%
Dec 05, 2025	142	@ Kennesaw St.	L	72-83	17%
Dec 13, 2025	153	Jacksonville St.	L	68-72	36%
Dec 18, 2025	249	@ Georgia Southern	L	75-80	33%
Dec 20, 2025	201	@ Appalachian St.	L	62-70	26%
Dec 31, 2025	187	@ Marshall	L	71-79	25%
Jan 03, 2026	275	@ Coastal Carolina	L	68-72	37%
Jan 08, 2026	201	Appalachian St.	L	65-67	45%
Jan 10, 2026	187	Marshall	L	74-76	43%
Jan 17, 2026	348	@ Louisiana Monroe	W	74-72	57%
Jan 22, 2026	281	Southern Miss	W	78-75	59%
Jan 24, 2026	140	Arkansas St.	L	74-79	33%
Jan 29, 2026	234	@ Louisiana	L	69-75	30%
Jan 31, 2026	163	@ South Alabama	L	63-72	21%
Feb 04, 2026	130	Troy	L	68-74	31%
Feb 12, 2026	129	@ James Madison	L	66-78	16%
Feb 14, 2026	200	@ Old Dominion	L	68-76	26%
Feb 19, 2026	249	Georgia Southern	W	78-77	53%
Feb 21, 2026	129	James Madison	L	69-75	31%
Feb 24, 2026	275	Coastal Carolina	W	71-69	57%
Feb 27, 2026	200	Old Dominion	L	71-73	44%
Projected Record						9 - 19	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.6	0.9	0.6	0.1	0.0				2.3	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.8	1.3	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0				3.1	3rd
4th										0.1	0.7	2.0	1.0	0.2	0.0						4.0	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	2.1	1.9	0.3	0.0							4.7	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	2.2	2.7	0.6	0.0								5.8	6th
7th							0.0	0.1	1.7	3.4	1.1	0.1									6.5	7th
8th						0.0	0.1	1.2	4.0	2.0	0.2										7.4	8th
9th					0.0	0.0	1.0	3.7	3.3	0.5	0.0										8.5	9th
10th					0.0	0.8	3.7	4.1	1.0	0.0											9.8	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.8	3.4	4.8	1.7	0.1												10.9	11th
12th			0.1	1.0	3.8	4.9	2.2	0.2	0.0												12.3	12th
13th		0.3	1.7	4.1	4.5	1.9	0.3	0.0													13.0	13th
14th	0.8	2.4	3.4	2.6	1.1	0.1	0.0														10.4	14th

Total	0.8	2.8	5.3	7.9	10.2	11.3	12.1	11.1	10.4	8.6	6.8	5.4	3.4	2.1	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	91.8%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-3	72.7%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-4	36.1%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	12.4%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.4%	1.4		0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		2.3%	2.3%		12.0													0.0					0.0
17-1	0.1%		18.8%	18.8%		12.7													0.0	0.0				0.1
16-2	0.2%		36.7%	36.7%		12.9													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
15-3	0.5%		28.1%	28.1%		13.0													0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.4
14-4	1.1%		15.1%	15.1%		14.0													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0		0.9
13-5	2.1%		10.4%	10.4%		14.2													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.9
12-6	3.4%		5.6%	5.6%		15.5													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	3.2
11-7	5.4%		2.6%	2.6%		14.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	5.3
10-8	6.8%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	6.8
9-9	8.6%		0.8%	0.8%		18.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	8.5
8-10	10.4%		0.4%	0.4%		21.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	10.4
7-11	11.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.1
6-12	12.1%																							12.1
5-13	11.3%																							11.3
4-14	10.2%																							10.2
3-15	7.9%																							7.9
2-16	5.3%																							5.3
1-17	2.8%																							2.8
0-18	0.8%																							0.8

Total	100%		1.1%	1.1%	0.0%	14.8													0.1	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.1	98.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%