Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -6.5 274
Expected Predictive Rating -6.7 269
Pace 70.5 128
Improvement +7.3 5

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ #296 F+ C- C B- F+
Defense C- #228 C- C- C- C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 28% 360 52% 317 -8.0 360
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 60 33% 325 +1.2 109
Three Pointers 45% 97 29% 335 -1.1 218
1st FG Attempt 0.86 359 -7.9 359
Second Chance 27.3% 274 1.05 136 0.29 235
Turnovers 16.9% 176
Freethrows 0.31 188 78% 10 0.24 111
Total Offense -4.7 296

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 128 59% 198 -1.5 230
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 247 35% 93 +1.3 92
Three Pointers 41% 175 35% 226 -0.7 213
1st FG Attempt 1.04 207 -0.8 207
Second Chance 33.4% 296 0.99 115 0.33 229
Turnovers 16.5% 207
Freethrows 0.30 163 72% 171 0.21 158
Total Defense -1.8 228

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -1.6 342 +0.4 254
Shot Type Accuracy -6.3 350 +0.4 200
Possession Length 17.8 231 16.4 36
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 335 0.17 167
Improvement +6.9 #3 +0.4 #159

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 1.0% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 58.3% 83.7% 48.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
First Round0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: James Madison (Away) - 28.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 34 - 94 - 11
Quad 46 - 910 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 233 @Eastern Michigan L 49 - 71 30% -8  12% 0 - 1 F -23 F -23 F D- F C -0 A F B-
 Fri, Nov 7 51 @Cincinnati L 64 - 74 4% -6  14% 0 - 2 C+ +4 D -4 C- B D- A- +9 A- C A
 Mon, Nov 10 272 Presbyterian L 61 - 63 61% +5  80% 0 - 3 D- -11 F+ -8 D- C- D+ C- -3 C- F B+
 Mon, Nov 17 73 @Arizona St. L 62 - 75 6% +1  51% 0 - 4 C- -2 F -10 D F+ F A- +8 C A+ D+
 Fri, Nov 21 192 @South Dakota St. L 58 - 105 24% -28  0% 0 - 5 F -46 F -18 F F C- F -27 F B- D
 Tue, Nov 25 212 Samford L 63 - 78 36% -7  4% 0 - 6 F -18 F -15 F B- C- C- -2 D+ F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 164 New Mexico St. L 58 - 77 29% -9  25% 0 - 7 F -20 F -22 F F D+ B- +4 C+ B- D-
 Tue, Dec 2 170 @Mercer L 67 - 78 20% -5  20% 0 - 8 D -9 F -10 D F D+ C+ +1 B+ D+ C-
 Sat, Dec 6 152 @Kennesaw St. L 69 - 92 18% -16  0% 0 - 9 F -20 F -17 F B B- C+ +1 F C A
 Sat, Dec 13 176 Jacksonville St. W 77 - 73 41% +5  88% 1 - 9 C -0 B +6 D+ B- A+ D -6 B F F
 Thu, Dec 18 265 @Georgia Southern L 67 - 90 36% -8  15% 1 - 10 0 - 1 F -26 F+ -8 D+ F D F -18 C F F
 Sat, Dec 20 173 @Appalachian St. W 70 - 63 21% +4  78% 2 - 10 1 - 1 B +9 C +1 A- F F A- +9 C+ A+ D
 Wed, Dec 31 161 @Marshall L 80 - 84 20% -2  31% 2 - 11 1 - 2 C -1 C +0 D+ B C C -1 C- F B-
 Sat, Jan 3 236 @Coastal Carolina W 89 - 71 31% -1  29% 3 - 11 2 - 2 A- +17 A+ +22 A+ A B- D+ -4 B- F B+
 Thu, Jan 8 173 Appalachian St. L 50 - 52 40% +2  70% 3 - 12 2 - 3 D+ -6 F -18 F C B+ A +12 A+ C- B+
 Sat, Jan 10 161 Marshall W 81 - 73 38% -3  21% 4 - 12 3 - 3 C+ +5 C- -1 F A+ D+ B +5 B+ C- A
 Sat, Jan 17 355 @Louisiana Monroe W 77 - 57 68% +9  80% 5 - 12 4 - 3 B +9 C -0 C F B+ A +10 B+ B D+
 Thu, Jan 22 240 Southern Miss W 69 - 62 54% +2  61% 6 - 12 5 - 3 C -1 F -10 F A+ D A- +10 B+ A D-
 Sat, Jan 24 147 Arkansas St. W 82 - 81 34% -3  27% 7 - 12 6 - 3 C -1 B+ +9 A F A F+ -10 F B- C+
 Thu, Jan 29 289 @Louisiana L 72 - 82 42% -10  3% 7 - 13 6 - 4 F+ -14 C +2 F C- A+ F -17 F F C-
 Sat, Jan 31 190 @South Alabama L 67 - 69 24% -4  8% 7 - 14 6 - 5 C -1 B- +5 C- B- C+ D -6 F C+ F
 Wed, Feb 4 126 Troy L 63 - 74 29% -4  11% 7 - 15 6 - 6 D- -12 D- -7 F C B+ D+ -5 D B+ F+
 Sat, Feb 7 308 Northern Illinois L 74 - 75 69% +1  46% 7 - 16 D- -13 D- -7 D- F A D -6 F+ A F+
 Thu, Feb 12 220 @James Madison L 70 - 76 28%
 Sat, Feb 14 252 @Old Dominion L 72 - 76 34%
 Thu, Feb 19 265 Georgia Southern W 79 - 77 59%
 Sat, Feb 21 220 James Madison L 72 - 73 49%
 Tue, Feb 24 236 Coastal Carolina W 72 - 71 54%
 Fri, Feb 27 252 Old Dominion W 75 - 73 56%
Totals 10 - 19 9 - 9 -6 D+ -5 F+ C- C C- -2 C- C- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D D D- F+ 28% 27% 45% F+ F+ D+ C+ C- C C A- B- C- C B- C- C 41% 18% 41% D+ C- D+ C+ C- C- C+ C C+
1.02 52% 33% 29% -6 -2 0.86 27% 1.1 .29 17% .31 78% .24 1.11 59% 35% 35% 0 0 1.04 33% 1.0 .33 16% .30 72% .22
Nov
3		 Eastern Michigan F F F+ D+ F 36% 26% 38% D F C F D- F F+ F+ F C A+ C A A+ 49% 30% 21% C- A F C- F B- A- A+ A
0.72 22% 31% 32% -16 -1 0.68 30% 0.7 .20 25% .23 67% .16 1.04 42% 38% 27% -10 0 0.81 47% 1.0 .47 19% .20 55% .11
Nov
7		 Cincinnati D C- C+ F+ C+ 20% 44% 36% F C- C A+ B D- B A+ A+ A- F C+ A+ A 35% 15% 50% D+ A- D+ B- C A F B- F
0.85 50% 41% 28% -4 -4 0.86 24% 1.4 .32 23% .31 89% .27 0.98 72% 38% 19% -6 0 0.90 34% 0.9 .32 21% .44 65% .29
Nov
10		 Presbyterian F+ B- C F D- 37% 23% 40% D D- A- F C- D+ B+ B A- C- C- A+ F+ C- 44% 23% 33% D+ C- D+ F F B+ F+ F F
1.02 63% 40% 24% -4 0 0.93 38% 0.8 .29 17% .36 72% .26 1.05 59% 22% 38% -1 0 1.00 35% 1.4 .50 23% .41 79% .33
Nov
17		 Arizona St. F D F B+ C- 21% 34% 45% F D D- F+ F+ F C A- B- A- F+ F A+ D 31% 40% 29% A+ C B A+ A+ D+ A- B- A-
0.87 50% 25% 38% -3 -3 0.89 25% 0.9 .22 25% .30 81% .24 1.06 71% 55% 25% +7 -3 1.09 29% 0.4 .11 14% .29 72% .21
Nov
21		 South Dakota St. F B+ D- F F 24% 12% 63% C F F D+ F C- A+ F A F F F F F 42% 9% 49% F+ F D A B- D F F F
0.81 67% 33% 19% -12 0 0.78 11% 1.0 .11 17% .45 67% .30 1.47 77% 80% 50% +24 +2 1.53 33% 0.8 .26 14% .36 77% .28
Nov
25		 Samford F F F F F 27% 14% 59% B+ F B C- B- C- A+ A+ A+ C- D- A+ B- C- 42% 12% 47% F D+ F F F A+ F C F
0.90 29% 29% 17% -25 0 0.53 33% 1.1 .35 14% .45 89% .40 1.11 67% 20% 30% -1 +1 1.02 31% 1.3 .41 20% .61 68% .41
Nov
26		 New Mexico St. F C+ F F F 27% 22% 51% C- F D F F D+ F C- F B- B+ A F B- 38% 29% 33% C- C+ F+ A+ B- D- A- C B+
0.78 60% 8% 25% -13 -1 0.75 26% 0.7 .19 18% .20 75% .15 1.04 50% 29% 42% -2 -1 0.97 39% 0.7 .26 12% .21 71% .15
Dec
2		 Mercer F D+ A D- D+ 28% 30% 42% F D F+ F F D+ C F C- C+ D+ B+ A A- 33% 20% 47% C B+ C- D+ D+ C- F D+ F
0.94 53% 50% 32% +1 -2 1.00 24% 0.7 .16 20% .26 67% .17 1.10 63% 30% 26% -6 0 0.90 35% 1.1 .38 15% .50 77% .38
Dec
6		 Kennesaw St. F F F F F 38% 16% 46% C F D A+ B B- B+ C+ A- C+ D C- F F 44% 15% 41% C F A F C A F A D+
0.82 29% 11% 15% -28 +1 0.46 25% 1.4 .36 14% .46 76% .35 1.09 63% 38% 45% +9 +1 1.22 27% 1.2 .33 23% .44 62% .28
Dec
13		 Jacksonville St. B F B+ C+ C 21% 26% 53% F D+ C A- B- A+ A+ A- A+ D A A+ D B+ 54% 10% 37% D B C- F F F B+ A+ A+
1.17 33% 45% 35% -3 -2 0.93 28% 1.2 .34 11% .54 84% .46 1.11 43% 20% 37% -8 +3 0.90 32% 1.3 .41 6% .32 50% .16
Dec
18		 Georgia Southern F+ A F C- C- 29% 15% 56% D D+ D- F F D F D F F A+ A+ F B- 40% 2% 58% F+ C F B- F F F F F
1.00 71% 14% 33% 0 0 1.02 30% 0.7 .22 21% .26 71% .19 1.34 32% 0% 39% -7 +2 0.94 44% 1.1 .47 10% .58 89% .52
Dec
20		 Appalachian St. C A+ D- B A 30% 28% 41% F+ A- D F F F A B+ A+ A- D+ A+ C- B- 42% 16% 42% D+ C+ A+ A+ A+ D F B D-
1.04 79% 31% 37% +6 -2 1.11 26% 0.5 .13 21% .37 75% .28 0.93 62% 0% 33% -5 +1 0.94 19% 0.4 .08 13% .41 58% .24
Dec
31		 Marshall C B+ B- F+ C 23% 38% 40% F D+ C- A+ B C C+ A+ A C F A+ B C 33% 16% 51% F+ C- A- F F B- F A+ D-
1.07 67% 40% 29% 0 -3 0.94 32% 1.2 .38 17% .37 87% .32 1.12 76% 25% 31% +2 0 1.06 27% 1.8 .48 20% .37 64% .23
Jan
3		 Coastal Carolina A+ B D A+ A+ 10% 38% 52% F A+ C- A+ A B- D- A+ B D+ C+ A+ B- B 28% 19% 53% D- B- F F F B+ F+ F F
1.37 60% 35% 56% +16 -4 1.25 27% 1.6 .43 11% .24 100% .24 1.09 54% 22% 32% -6 -1 0.89 40% 1.3 .50 19% .32 82% .26
Jan
8		 Appalachian St. F F D- F F 30% 44% 26% F F F A+ C B+ D F D- A B+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 13% 47% D A+ F A C- B+ A+ B- A
0.81 33% 32% 15% -17 -4 0.60 20% 1.5 .30 11% .24 62% .15 0.84 50% 0% 24% -15 +1 0.73 40% 0.8 .31 19% .20 60% .12
Jan
10		 Marshall C- F C F F 31% 26% 43% D+ F A- A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ B C+ B+ B A- 34% 20% 46% D B+ D- B C- A F A+ D-
1.10 46% 36% 22% -12 -1 0.76 41% 1.4 .56 19% .66 85% .55 0.99 59% 30% 30% -4 0 0.94 38% 1.0 .38 23% .39 59% .23
Jan
17		 Louisiana Monroe C C- D- A C+ 18% 16% 65% F+ C F A- F B+ F C- F+ A A+ C+ B- B+ 31% 26% 43% B B+ D+ A+ B D+ A+ B- A+
1.15 60% 33% 42% +7 -1 1.15 21% 1.3 .26 13% .17 70% .12 0.85 35% 36% 30% -10 -1 0.80 26% 0.6 .16 16% .18 70% .13
Jan
22		 Southern Miss F F F F F 30% 21% 49% D F B A+ A+ D A+ B- A+ A- D+ A- A+ B+ 31% 33% 37% B- B+ A+ F A D- B A- A-
0.96 38% 22% 24% -17 -1 0.67 33% 1.7 .56 19% .50 72% .36 0.86 63% 29% 21% -8 -2 0.81 15% 1.3 .21 15% .31 68% .21
Jan
24		 Arkansas St. B+ F A+ A+ A+ 20% 26% 54% F+ A F F F A B- A+ A+ F+ C F D+ F 51% 6% 43% F F D- A- B- C+ D+ F F
1.22 40% 62% 44% +11 -2 1.20 13% 0.5 .07 10% .37 91% .33 1.20 58% 100% 35% +5 +3 1.17 41% 0.8 .34 21% .36 89% .32
Jan
29		 Louisiana C F D+ F F 33% 28% 40% F F C+ D C- A+ A+ A+ A+ F D D- F F 23% 45% 32% A+ F F C- F C- F F F
1.11 43% 33% 24% -12 -1 0.74 34% 0.9 .32 9% .60 94% .56 1.27 60% 45% 57% +15 -4 1.23 41% 0.9 .38 17% .39 81% .32
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 South Alabama B- C F C+ C 10% 17% 73% F C- A- D B- C+ A F A- D F F A+ F 51% 19% 30% C- F F+ A+ C+ F D+ A+ B-
1.12 60% 25% 34% -1 -2 0.96 40% 1.0 .40 17% .30 67% .20 1.15 71% 56% 21% +4 +1 1.13 30% 0.9 .27 8% .34 53% .18
Feb
4		 Troy D- F+ C F F 31% 35% 33% F F D B+ C B+ B+ C- B D+ F A+ B D+ 51% 4% 45% F D F A+ B+ F+ A- A- A
0.99 47% 41% 25% -7 -2 0.83 27% 1.2 .32 14% .35 68% .24 1.16 69% 0% 30% +2 +3 1.12 40% 0.6 .25 13% .21 67% .14
Feb
7		 Northern Illinois D- A+ F F D 38% 27% 35% F+ D- D- F F A A+ C+ A+ D A F F F 45% 12% 43% C- F+ A+ C+ A F+ D+ F+ D
1.03 78% 23% 24% -2 -1 0.96 27% 0.7 .19 13% .53 73% .38 1.05 41% 50% 48% +3 +2 1.10 18% 0.8 .15 18% .38 73% .27



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 0.6 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.6 0.6 3.4 3rd
4th 0.0 3.2 3.4 0.1 6.7 4th
5th 1.3 9.0 1.3 11.7 5th
6th 0.0 8.2 6.6 0.2 15.0 6th
7th 1.3 12.3 1.1 14.7 7th
8th 0.0 6.8 6.1 0.1 13.0 8th
9th 0.4 10.3 0.8 11.6 9th
10th 2.5 5.7 0.0 8.2 10th
11th 0.1 5.1 1.2 6.4 11th
12th 0.9 4.3 0.0 5.2 12th
13th 2.2 0.8 2.9 13th
14th 14th
Total 3.1 13.1 25.5 28.8 20.2 7.9 1.4 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 7.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 1.4% 5.1% 5.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.3
11-7 7.9% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.7
10-8 20.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 20.0
9-9 28.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 28.7
8-10 25.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 25.4
7-11 13.1% 13.1
6-12 3.1% 3.1
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 16.0 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%
Lose Out 3.1%