Preseason Rankings
Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#178
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace60.8#350
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#274
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#113
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.1% 13.5% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 12.7 13.5
.500 or above 51.3% 75.4% 47.8%
.500 or above in Conference 65.2% 79.3% 63.1%
Conference Champion 9.5% 16.6% 8.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 1.2% 3.4%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round8.1% 13.3% 7.3%
Second Round0.6% 1.3% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Florida (Away) - 12.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 65 - 11
Quad 411 - 515 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 74   @ Central Florida L 63-75 13%    
  Nov 07, 2025 199   @ Iona L 64-66 42%    
  Nov 14, 2025 287   @ Bucknell W 65-62 60%    
  Nov 19, 2025 132   @ Temple L 64-70 29%    
  Nov 28, 2025 196   La Salle W 66-65 52%    
  Nov 29, 2025 257   Merrimack W 61-57 63%    
  Nov 30, 2025 278   @ Penn W 67-65 56%    
  Dec 03, 2025 265   @ Columbia W 70-69 54%    
  Dec 07, 2025 77   @ Pittsburgh L 58-70 16%    
  Dec 13, 2025 64   @ Syracuse L 60-74 12%    
  Dec 21, 2025 215   Quinnipiac W 70-65 66%    
  Dec 29, 2025 203   Campbell W 64-60 63%    
  Jan 03, 2026 227   @ Drexel L 58-59 48%    
  Jan 08, 2026 131   @ Towson L 58-64 30%    
  Jan 10, 2026 211   Monmouth W 67-62 65%    
  Jan 15, 2026 288   @ Stony Brook W 64-61 59%    
  Jan 17, 2026 228   Elon W 65-60 67%    
  Jan 22, 2026 351   @ N.C. A&T W 70-62 74%    
  Jan 24, 2026 229   @ William & Mary L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 29, 2026 123   College of Charleston L 67-68 47%    
  Jan 31, 2026 211   @ Monmouth L 64-65 45%    
  Feb 05, 2026 226   Northeastern W 67-62 66%    
  Feb 07, 2026 131   Towson L 60-61 49%    
  Feb 12, 2026 123   @ College of Charleston L 64-71 29%    
  Feb 14, 2026 118   @ UNC Wilmington L 60-67 28%    
  Feb 19, 2026 236   Hampton W 65-59 69%    
  Feb 21, 2026 226   @ Northeastern L 64-65 47%    
  Feb 28, 2026 288   Stony Brook W 67-58 76%    
  Mar 03, 2026 227   Drexel W 61-56 67%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.3 2.8 2.2 0.9 0.2 9.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.8 2.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 10.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.3 2.8 0.6 0.1 10.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.8 2.8 0.5 0.0 10.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 4.9 3.1 0.5 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.2 3.4 0.6 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.1 3.8 0.9 0.0 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.8 1.2 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.2 1.5 0.1 0.0 6.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.7 1.7 0.2 6.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.1 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.3 0.9 0.2 3.5 12th
13th 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6 13th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.6 3.0 4.6 6.4 8.3 9.8 11.2 11.7 11.2 9.9 8.1 5.7 4.0 2.4 0.9 0.2 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 99.5% 0.9    0.8 0.0
16-2 92.5% 2.2    1.8 0.3 0.0
15-3 69.3% 2.8    1.7 0.9 0.1 0.0
14-4 39.7% 2.3    0.9 0.9 0.4 0.0
13-5 12.8% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.5% 9.5 5.7 2.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 50.0% 42.0% 8.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.7%
17-1 0.9% 41.0% 41.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.4% 35.8% 35.3% 0.5% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.8%
15-3 4.0% 26.6% 26.6% 12.6 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.9
14-4 5.7% 21.5% 21.5% 13.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 4.5
13-5 8.1% 16.2% 16.2% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 6.8
12-6 9.9% 12.1% 12.1% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 8.7
11-7 11.2% 8.4% 8.4% 14.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 10.3
10-8 11.7% 4.4% 4.4% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 11.2
9-9 11.2% 2.2% 2.2% 17.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 11.0
8-10 9.8% 1.5% 1.5% 17.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.7
7-11 8.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.5 0.0 0.1 8.2
6-12 6.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 6.4
5-13 4.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.6
4-14 3.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.9
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.7 2.3 1.9 1.1 0.6 91.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 4.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0%
Lose Out 0.0%