Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.2#33
Expected Predictive Rating+14.7#30
Pace73.6#69
Improvement-0.2#191

Offense
Total Offense+6.5#57
First Shot+5.6#45
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#120
Layup/Dunks+11.9#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#275
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#306
Freethrows-0.4#213
Improvement+0.6#122

Defense
Total Defense+6.8#28
First Shot+7.6#12
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#250
Layups/Dunks+5.3#28
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#271
Freethrows+2.1#65
Improvement-0.8#250
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 4.7% 4.7% 0.6%
Top 6 Seed 17.0% 17.1% 3.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 68.2% 68.4% 46.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 66.7% 66.8% 46.2%
Average Seed 8.0 8.0 9.0
.500 or above 99.8% 99.8% 98.7%
.500 or above in Conference 90.1% 90.1% 81.6%
Conference Champion 7.0% 7.0% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 1.3%
First Four8.9% 8.8% 13.3%
First Round64.0% 64.1% 39.2%
Second Round36.0% 36.1% 18.4%
Sweet Sixteen11.2% 11.3% 7.6%
Elite Eight3.9% 3.9% 1.9%
Final Four1.2% 1.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: North Florida (Home) - 99.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 7
Quad 24 - 19 - 9
Quad 36 - 114 - 9
Quad 49 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 309 Jacksonville W 86-69 98%     1 - 0 +5.3 +4.0 +0.6
  Thu, Nov 6 259 Bethune-Cookman W 101-61 97%     2 - 0 +31.5 +20.8 +9.5
  Mon, Nov 10 345 Stetson W 102-61 99%     3 - 0 +26.2 +10.6 +11.0
  Sun, Nov 16 13 Florida L 68-82 33%     3 - 1 +3.8 -1.2 +6.2
  Thu, Nov 20 180 Elon W 99-72 94%     4 - 1 +22.6 +15.9 +5.5
  Sun, Nov 23 349 Delaware St. W 97-41 99%     5 - 1 +41.0 +19.0 +21.6
  Thu, Nov 27 9 BYU L 62-72 26%     5 - 2 +9.9 -1.1 +10.8
  Fri, Nov 28 89 Georgetown W 78-65 76%     6 - 2 +19.0 +13.2 +6.8
  Tue, Dec 2 60 @Mississippi W 75-66 55%     7 - 2 +21.0 +11.4 +10.0
  Sat, Dec 6 202 Southern Miss W 88-64 95%     8 - 2 +18.3 +7.4 +9.7
  Sat, Dec 13 356 Louisiana Monroe W 104-79 99%     9 - 2 +8.2 +21.5 -13.6
  Tue, Dec 16 187 Florida International W 98-81 94%     10 - 2 +12.2 +15.3 -4.3
  Sun, Dec 21 343 North Florida W 97-69 99%    
  Tue, Dec 30 102 Pittsburgh W 80-68 87%    
  Wed, Jan 7 53 @Wake Forest L 77-78 51%    
  Sat, Jan 10 128 Georgia Tech W 82-68 90%    
  Tue, Jan 13 56 @Notre Dame W 73-72 52%    
  Sat, Jan 17 37 @Clemson L 71-73 42%    
  Tue, Jan 20 122 Florida St. W 89-76 89%    
  Sat, Jan 24 72 @Syracuse W 76-74 59%    
  Wed, Jan 28 88 Stanford W 83-73 82%    
  Sat, Jan 31 80 California W 81-72 79%    
  Sat, Feb 7 150 @Boston College W 76-67 81%    
  Tue, Feb 10 23 North Carolina W 77-76 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 29 @North Carolina St. L 78-82 35%    
  Tue, Feb 17 64 Virginia Tech W 82-74 75%    
  Sat, Feb 21 25 @Virginia L 74-79 33%    
  Tue, Feb 24 122 @Florida St. W 86-79 74%    
  Sat, Feb 28 150 Boston College W 79-64 91%    
  Wed, Mar 4 42 @SMU L 78-80 43%    
  Sat, Mar 7 14 Louisville L 81-82 46%    
Projected Record 23 - 8 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.5 2.1 0.9 0.2 7.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.3 6.0 3.7 1.0 0.0 14.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 3.0 6.5 3.5 0.5 0.0 13.7 3rd
4th 0.1 2.0 6.2 4.1 0.5 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.8 4.9 0.9 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.5 5.7 1.6 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.5 2.7 0.2 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.2 2.6 3.4 0.4 0.0 6.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.0 1.1 0.0 5.1 9th
10th 0.2 1.9 1.6 0.1 3.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 2.6 11th
12th 0.2 1.0 0.7 0.0 1.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.1 1.2 13th
14th 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.7 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.0 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.7 5.4 8.6 12.4 15.8 16.3 15.0 11.2 6.7 3.1 0.9 0.2 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 95.0% 0.9    0.7 0.2
16-2 68.6% 2.1    1.2 0.9 0.1
15-3 37.1% 2.5    0.8 1.2 0.4 0.0
14-4 10.6% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 1.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.0% 7.0 3.0 2.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 100.0% 29.2% 70.8% 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.9% 100.0% 19.9% 80.1% 3.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 3.1% 100.0% 15.0% 85.0% 4.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 6.7% 99.7% 11.4% 88.3% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.9 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
14-4 11.2% 98.1% 8.7% 89.4% 6.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.9 3.0 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.2 97.9%
13-5 15.0% 93.0% 6.1% 86.9% 7.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.1 3.7 3.2 1.5 0.2 1.0 92.6%
12-6 16.3% 83.4% 4.2% 79.2% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.2 3.7 3.4 1.2 2.7 82.7%
11-7 15.8% 66.1% 2.3% 63.8% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.7 3.6 2.4 0.0 5.3 65.3%
10-8 12.4% 45.0% 1.1% 43.9% 10.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.0 2.3 0.0 6.8 44.4%
9-9 8.6% 27.2% 1.0% 26.1% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 0.0 6.3 26.4%
8-10 5.4% 9.7% 0.4% 9.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 4.9 9.3%
7-11 2.7% 2.1% 2.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7 2.1%
6-12 1.2% 1.2
5-13 0.5% 0.5
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 68.2% 4.7% 63.6% 8.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.9 5.1 7.3 9.1 10.8 11.5 11.6 8.0 0.1 31.8 66.7%