NJIT
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -10.0 #324
Expected Predictive Rating -5.3 #248
Pace 71.1 #122
Improvement +4.3 #30

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #342 D- D D+ C D
Defense #276 C D+ D- D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% #348 0.97 #354 -7.7 #360
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #91 0.76 #172 +1.6 #96
Three Pointers 45% #94 0.90 #319 -0.4 #203
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #351 -6.6 #351
Freethrows 0.31 #155 72% #187 0.22 #153
Second Chance 26.0% #306 0.95 #275 0.25 #315
Turnovers 18.5% #297
Total Offense -6.9 #342

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #113 1.18 #211 -1.9 #247
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #242 0.68 #67 +1.5 #74
Three Pointers 41% #199 1.02 #182 +0.2 #172
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #188 -0.2 #188
Freethrows 0.35 #310 72% #139 0.25 #299
Second Chance 33.6% #301 1.05 #212 0.35 #285
Turnovers 13.7% #333
Total Defense -3.2 #276

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.2% #315 0.9% #258
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -10.9% #339 -0.5% #175
Possession Length 17.5 #205 16.3 #37
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #278 0.18 #231
Improvement +5.6 #5 -1.3 #262

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.3% 8.1% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 31.5% 42.2% 16.6%
.500 or above in Conference 96.3% 99.2% 92.1%
Conference Champion 16.3% 22.4% 7.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four6.0% 6.4% 5.4%
First Round3.8% 4.3% 3.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Home) - 58.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 413 - 915 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 170 @Fordham W 72 - 61 13% +5  1 - 0 +13 +8 A D- D +6 A+ C- F
 Sat, Nov 8 268 Fairfield L 53 - 74 46% -6  1 - 1 -30 -29 F F F +1 A- D- A
 Tue, Nov 11 318 @Loyola Maryland W 66 - 64 37% -1  2 - 1 -5 -9 F D+ F +5 B+ F B-
 Sat, Nov 15 344 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93 - 81 67% +11  3 - 1 -3 +4 A+ C F -8 B- C- F
 Tue, Nov 18 205 @Drexel L 43 - 75 17% -13  3 - 2 -32 -26 F F F -5 C C- F
 Sat, Nov 22 177 @Navy L 70 - 86 14% -10  3 - 3 -14 +2 F C+ B -16 F+ C F
 Mon, Nov 24 53 @Cincinnati L 80 - 104 3% -16  3 - 4 -11 +5 D+ B+ F -12 F+ C+ D
 Wed, Nov 26 17 @Louisville L 47 - 104 1% -31  3 - 5 -36 -16 F F+ B -21 D- F D
 Fri, Nov 28 237 @Eastern Michigan L 55 - 73 20% -3  3 - 6 -19 -14 F A F -6 F C- B
 Fri, Dec 5 98 @High Point L 72 - 89 5% -12  3 - 7 -9 -4 C D- F -4 A- F D
 Wed, Dec 10 334 New Haven W 70 - 64 65% +4  4 - 7 -8 -4 C F C- -4 A- D- F
 Sat, Dec 13 269 Sacred Heart L 49 - 65 46% -4  4 - 8 -25 -25 F F D- -1 B+ F D
 Mon, Dec 22 66 @Butler L 52 - 101 3% -29  4 - 9 -38 -19 D- F D -17 F F+ F+
 Wed, Dec 31 180 @Penn L 61 - 80 14% -6  4 - 10 -17 -11 F F+ F -6 F B C-
 Sat, Jan 3 361 @Binghamton W 73 - 65 62% -1  5 - 10 1 - 0 -5 +3 F B+ F+ -7 F B+ B-
 Thu, Jan 8 320 New Hampshire W 80 - 76 61% -1  6 - 10 2 - 0 -9 +1 F+ A+ A- -10 D- C B
 Sat, Jan 10 346 Maine L 70 - 74 67% -3  6 - 11 2 - 1 -19 +1 F+ F+ A+ -20 F D C-
 Thu, Jan 15 314 @Umass Lowell W 73 - 64 35% +10  7 - 11 3 - 1 +3 -3 F+ F B+ +6 A- B- D-
 Mon, Jan 19 347 Bryant W 79 - 55 68% +9  8 - 11 4 - 1 +9 +10 B+ F C +2 B B C-
 Thu, Jan 22 261 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 74 - 87 24% -14  8 - 12 4 - 2 -16 -0 D+ D+ C- -15 D- D- F
 Thu, Jan 29 315 @Albany W 77 - 68 37% +5  9 - 12 5 - 2 +2 +4 C- C C+ -1 B+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 211 @Vermont W 79 - 77 17% +9  10 - 12 6 - 2 +2 +6 C C+ C -4 A- F D-
 Thu, Feb 5 314 Umass Lowell W 76 - 74 58%
 Sat, Feb 7 361 Binghamton W 75 - 66 80%
 Thu, Feb 12 320 @New Hampshire L 70 - 73 38%
 Sat, Feb 14 346 @Maine L 65 - 66 46%
 Thu, Feb 19 315 Albany W 73 - 71 60%
 Sat, Feb 21 211 Vermont L 69 - 73 35%
 Sat, Feb 28 347 @Bryant L 69 - 70 45%
 Tue, Mar 3 261 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 72 - 73 45%
Totals 14 - 16 10 - 6 -10 -7 D- D D+ -3 C D+ D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.5 3.7 7.3 3.9 0.8 16.3 1st
2nd 1.1 8.8 12.9 4.7 0.2 27.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.6 12.2 15.5 5.0 0.3 34.5 3rd
4th 0.3 5.5 6.9 0.9 0.0 13.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 3.5 0.5 0.0 5.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 0.5 0.0 1.9 6th
7th 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.5 3.2 11.1 20.7 25.7 21.6 12.4 4.1 0.8 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.8    0.8
13-3 96.0% 3.9    2.8 1.1 0.0
12-4 59.4% 7.3    3.0 3.6 0.8
11-5 17.1% 3.7    0.6 1.6 1.4 0.2
10-6 2.0% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 16.3% 16.3 7.2 6.3 2.5 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.8% 12.3% 12.3% 15.3 0.1 0.0 0.7
13-3 4.1% 14.4% 14.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.5
12-4 12.4% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 0.0 1.3 11.0
11-5 21.6% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 0.0 1.9 19.6
10-6 25.7% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.0 1.7 24.0
9-7 20.7% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 1.1 19.6
8-8 11.1% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.4 10.7
7-9 3.2% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.1 3.1
6-10 0.5% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 16.0 92.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%
Lose Out 0.4%