Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.4#77
Expected Predictive Rating+10.1#62
Pace71.4#131
Improvement-6.7#364

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#74
First Shot+0.1#171
After Offensive Rebound+4.4#12
Layup/Dunks+3.7#58
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#237
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#112
Freethrows-4.7#360
Improvement-4.0#360

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#79
First Shot+4.5#49
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#288
Layups/Dunks-1.2#222
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#69
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#15
Freethrows-2.1#309
Improvement-2.7#342
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 6.6% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.4% 3.5% 1.6%
Average Seed 10.6 10.6 10.9
.500 or above 98.5% 99.0% 94.0%
.500 or above in Conference 88.2% 88.8% 82.0%
Conference Champion 1.8% 1.9% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.5%
First Four2.3% 2.4% 1.2%
First Round5.0% 5.3% 2.3%
Second Round1.7% 1.8% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Neutral) - 91.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 5
Quad 24 - 34 - 8
Quad 39 - 214 - 10
Quad 48 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 71 McNeese St. W 79-67 60%     1 - 0 +16.9 +11.9 +5.4
  Mon, Nov 10 101 @Xavier W 87-68 48%     2 - 0 +26.9 +16.6 +9.8
  Sat, Nov 15 98 Nevada W 98-83 70%     3 - 0 +17.0 +24.7 -7.8
  Tue, Nov 18 161 Idaho St. W 64-55 84%     4 - 0 +5.9 -4.1 +10.9
  Fri, Nov 21 327 Louisiana W 80-43 96%     5 - 0 +24.2 +8.1 +18.0
  Thu, Nov 27 34 Saint Louis L 70-71 29%     5 - 1 +12.2 +2.8 +9.4
  Fri, Nov 28 96 Minnesota W 86-75 58%     6 - 1 +16.2 +20.5 -3.7
  Wed, Dec 3 262 Utah Tech W 90-80 92%     7 - 1 +1.4 +6.3 -5.7
  Sat, Dec 6 74 @New Mexico L 71-98 37%     7 - 2 -16.2 +2.5 -18.1
  Sat, Dec 13 63 Arizona St. L 79-82 44%     7 - 3 +5.9 +5.6 +0.4
  Wed, Dec 17 146 North Texas W 63-60 73%     8 - 3 +4.0 -2.8 +6.9
  Sat, Dec 20 289 Loyola Chicago W 82-68 91%    
  Sun, Dec 28 165 @Oregon St. W 75-70 67%    
  Tue, Dec 30 246 @Portland W 82-73 80%    
  Fri, Jan 2 294 Pepperdine W 80-62 95%    
  Sun, Jan 4 245 San Diego W 87-72 92%    
  Thu, Jan 8 5 @Gonzaga L 71-88 5%    
  Sat, Jan 10 145 Loyola Marymount W 75-66 81%    
  Wed, Jan 14 138 Pacific W 78-69 80%    
  Sat, Jan 17 41 St. Mary's L 71-73 44%    
  Sat, Jan 24 245 @San Diego W 84-75 80%    
  Wed, Jan 28 94 San Francisco W 76-71 67%    
  Sat, Jan 31 145 @Loyola Marymount W 72-69 62%    
  Wed, Feb 4 138 @Pacific W 75-72 61%    
  Sat, Feb 7 149 @Washington St. W 78-74 63%    
  Wed, Feb 11 123 Seattle W 78-70 75%    
  Sat, Feb 14 5 Gonzaga L 74-85 15%    
  Sat, Feb 21 94 @San Francisco L 73-74 46%    
  Wed, Feb 25 41 @St. Mary's L 68-76 25%    
  Sat, Feb 28 165 Oregon St. W 78-67 84%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.8 6.9 4.0 0.7 20.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 6.0 11.2 7.6 2.5 0.2 28.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 5.2 8.2 3.7 0.5 0.0 18.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.5 5.8 2.3 0.2 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.3 1.7 0.1 8.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 2.8 1.3 0.1 5.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.6 0.9 0.1 3.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 1.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.4 6.3 10.0 13.9 16.9 17.4 13.9 9.5 4.6 1.5 0.3 0.1 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1
16-2 52.7% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.0
15-3 10.8% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1
14-4 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.7 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 67.0% 16.0% 51.1% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 60.8%
16-2 1.5% 55.5% 16.4% 39.0% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 46.7%
15-3 4.6% 34.4% 11.1% 23.3% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.0 3.0 26.3%
14-4 9.5% 14.7% 6.6% 8.1% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.1 8.1 8.7%
13-5 13.9% 7.3% 4.5% 2.8% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 12.9 2.9%
12-6 17.4% 3.5% 2.5% 1.1% 11.1 0.0 0.5 0.1 16.8 1.1%
11-7 16.9% 2.1% 1.8% 0.3% 11.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 16.6 0.3%
10-8 13.9% 1.5% 1.5% 11.4 0.1 0.1 13.7
9-9 10.0% 0.6% 0.6% 11.4 0.0 0.0 10.0
8-10 6.3% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 6.2
7-11 3.4% 0.2% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 3.4
6-12 1.5% 1.5
5-13 0.6% 0.6
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.3% 3.1% 3.3% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.2 4.0 0.5 0.0 93.7 3.4%