Preseason Rankings
Utah
Big 12
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.9#88
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.9#98
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#88
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#98
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.8% 2.1% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.6% 12.3% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 10.5% 12.1% 3.6%
Average Seed 8.5 8.5 9.0
.500 or above 36.1% 40.9% 15.8%
.500 or above in Conference 14.3% 16.1% 6.8%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 25.5% 22.8% 36.7%
First Four2.7% 3.0% 1.2%
First Round9.2% 10.7% 3.1%
Second Round4.3% 4.9% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 1.3% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Jose St. (Home) - 80.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 11
Quad 23 - 45 - 15
Quad 33 - 28 - 16
Quad 46 - 114 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 159   San Jose St. W 76-67 81%    
  Nov 08, 2025 279   Weber St. W 78-63 92%    
  Nov 10, 2025 352   Holy Cross W 82-61 97%    
  Nov 15, 2025 194   Sam Houston St. W 79-68 84%    
  Nov 18, 2025 192   Purdue Fort Wayne W 81-70 84%    
  Nov 20, 2025 256   Cal Poly W 90-76 89%    
  Nov 26, 2025 80   Grand Canyon L 76-77 47%    
  Dec 02, 2025 91   @ California L 72-75 40%    
  Dec 06, 2025 169   California Baptist W 75-65 80%    
  Dec 13, 2025 33   Mississippi St. L 70-78 25%    
  Dec 20, 2025 247   Eastern Washington W 80-66 87%    
  Dec 29, 2025 48   @ Washington L 70-78 24%    
  Jan 03, 2026 10   Arizona L 73-82 22%    
  Jan 07, 2026 82   @ Colorado L 70-74 37%    
  Jan 10, 2026 9   BYU L 71-80 22%    
  Jan 14, 2026 12   @ Texas Tech L 65-80 10%    
  Jan 17, 2026 55   TCU L 70-71 47%    
  Jan 20, 2026 57   @ Kansas St. L 68-75 28%    
  Jan 24, 2026 9   @ BYU L 68-83 10%    
  Jan 31, 2026 73   Oklahoma St. W 78-77 53%    
  Feb 04, 2026 68   Arizona St. W 75-74 52%    
  Feb 07, 2026 13   @ Kansas L 66-81 11%    
  Feb 10, 2026 1   Houston L 57-73 10%    
  Feb 15, 2026 45   @ Cincinnati L 65-74 23%    
  Feb 18, 2026 61   @ West Virginia L 65-72 30%    
  Feb 21, 2026 74   Central Florida W 78-77 54%    
  Feb 24, 2026 20   Iowa St. L 68-76 27%    
  Feb 28, 2026 68   @ Arizona St. L 72-77 32%    
  Mar 03, 2026 82   Colorado W 73-71 57%    
  Mar 07, 2026 23   @ Baylor L 65-77 16%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.6 0.1 2.5 6th
7th 0.3 1.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.4 7th
8th 0.2 1.7 2.1 0.5 0.0 4.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 3.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 3.7 2.3 0.2 0.0 7.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.5 3.5 0.7 0.0 8.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 3.1 4.8 1.5 0.0 9.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.4 2.6 0.2 10.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.7 3.8 0.5 0.0 12.5 14th
15th 0.5 2.8 6.1 4.3 0.9 0.0 14.6 15th
16th 1.7 4.2 5.6 3.4 0.9 0.0 15.9 16th
Total 1.7 4.7 8.6 12.1 13.7 13.8 12.5 10.4 8.3 5.7 3.8 2.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 66.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 42.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 21.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.0% 100.0% 11.2% 88.8% 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 13.0% 87.0% 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.3% 100.0% 12.5% 87.5% 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.7% 98.8% 1.7% 97.1% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.8%
12-6 1.2% 95.3% 4.3% 91.0% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 95.1%
11-7 2.4% 82.6% 1.0% 81.6% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 82.5%
10-8 3.8% 63.8% 0.7% 63.0% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.4 63.5%
9-9 5.7% 38.4% 0.2% 38.1% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.0 3.5 38.2%
8-10 8.3% 16.3% 0.1% 16.2% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 7.0 16.2%
7-11 10.4% 3.5% 0.1% 3.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 10.1 3.4%
6-12 12.5% 0.3% 0.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.4 0.3%
5-13 13.8% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 13.8 0.0%
4-14 13.7% 13.7
3-15 12.1% 12.1
2-16 8.6% 8.6
1-17 4.7% 4.7
0-18 1.7% 1.7
Total 100% 10.6% 0.2% 10.4% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.6 1.6 0.1 89.4 10.5%