Akron
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +8.2 72
Results Rating +7.4 80
Consistency 0.13 89
Pace 75.8 25
Improvement -2.9 293

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 51 B+ A- C+ D+ B-
Defense C+ 137 C C B- B- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 151 B 64% 60 +2.8 84
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 275 B- 42% 64 -1.3 248
Three Pointers 45% 101 B 37% 59 +3.9 56
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.7 92 B+ +4.6 45
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.13 44
Second Chance B- 33.0% 97 A 1.26 5 A- 0.42 27
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.0% 131
Other Turnovers C 7.1% 163
Turnovers C+ 16.1% 135
Freethrows D 0.26 313 B+ 77% 27 D+ 0.20 245
Total Offense B+ +7.0 51

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B 56% 60 C 10.6% 149
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 267 C- 6.1% 258
Three Pointers D 78% 308 C 1.0% 222
Total C+ 58% 117 C 5.6% 192

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 199 C 57% 158 -0.7 149
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 256 B 35% 68 -1.5 63
Three Pointers 44% 88 D+ 36% 258 +2.6 304
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 220 C +0.1 180
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 187
Second Chance D+ 32.4% 269 B- 0.98 100 C 0.32 203
Turnovers from Steals C+ 9.9% 153
Other Turnovers B+ 8.6% 43
Turnovers B- 18.5% 76
Freethrows B- 0.28 95 C 72% 193 B- 0.20 101
Total Defense C+ +1.3 137

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 80 D 7.0% 324
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 19% 63 C 4.9% 168
Three Pointers C- 86% 228 C 1.0% 127
Total C 55% 170 D 4.0% 308

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.7 36 17.4 191
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 53 0.16 151
Consistency 0.11 124 0.15 343
Improvement -4.9 352 +2.0 79

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 83 70 57
Results Rating Rank 93 80 57
Conference Record 16 - 2 17 - 1 17 - 1
Conference Finish 2 2 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 11
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 46% 46% 42%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.7 12.0
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 35% 40% 5%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round46% 46% 42%
Second Round8% 8% 6%
Sweet Sixteen1% 1% 1%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Central Michigan (Away) - 85.2% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 38 - 28 - 6
Quad 417 - 026 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 202 James Madison W 85 - 71 89% +0  49% 1 - 0 B +9 B- +4 F+ A+ B- B +4 C+ B+ A+
 Sat, Nov 8 252 Princeton W 104 - 69 93% +20  93% 2 - 0 A+ +27 A+ +15 A A A A +9 C A+ B-
 Sun, Nov 16 7 @Purdue L 79 - 97 8% -12  9% 2 - 1 B- +6 A- +10 C- A+ A- C- -3 B- F A
 Fri, Nov 21 242 Iona W 96 - 75 88% +18  98% 3 - 1 A- +16 A- +10 A A+ B- B +4 B F+ A
 Sun, Nov 23 297 Evansville W 97 - 59 93% +13  87% 4 - 1 A+ +30 A+ +19 A A+ C- A +11 B+ F A+
 Mon, Nov 24 88 Yale L 94 - 97 57% -6  2% 4 - 2 C+ +3 A+ +23 A+ A+ D+ F -20 F D D-
 Sat, Nov 29 263 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 105 - 81 93% +13  91% 5 - 2 A- +15 A +13 A+ B- D- C -1 B+ F C+
 Wed, Dec 3 334 Bucknell W 97 - 77 97% +11  80% 6 - 2 B- +5 A+ +18 A B+ A+ F -13 F C+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 180 @Tulane W 88 - 71 73% +8  76% 7 - 2 A +19 A +13 A A+ D B+ +5 A- B- F+
 Sat, Dec 13 121 Murray St. L 100 - 115 70% -9  5% 7 - 3 D- -12 B+ +8 A- D A+ F -18 F D- A+
 Fri, Dec 19 247 Eastern Michigan W 93 - 72 92% +15  97% 8 - 3 1 - 0 B+ +13 A+ +15 B A+ A C- -2 A+ D- F+
 Sat, Jan 3 87 @Miami (OH) L 73 - 76 45% +1  58% 8 - 4 1 - 1 B- +6 C- -1 D- A+ F+ A- +7 A+ F A+
 Tue, Jan 6 266 Central Michigan W 82 - 69 94% +10  95% 9 - 4 2 - 1 C+ +4 C +0 A+ A- F B +4 C- A+ A+
 Fri, Jan 9 177 @Bowling Green W 77 - 67 73% +11  97% 10 - 4 3 - 1 B+ +12 C+ +2 C- A- D+ A +9 C B+ A-
 Tue, Jan 13 313 Ball St. W 87 - 77 96% +11  95% 11 - 4 4 - 1 C- -2 A- +10 B B A+ F -12 F D- D
 Sat, Jan 17 272 Western Michigan W 104 - 89 94% +2  56% 12 - 4 5 - 1 B- +6 A+ +25 A+ A+ B- F -19 F F+ C+
 Tue, Jan 20 206 @Buffalo W 82 - 63 77% +17  97% 13 - 4 6 - 1 A +19 B- +4 B- C- C- A+ +16 A+ B B
 Fri, Jan 23 210 @Ohio W 86 - 65 78% +15  99% 14 - 4 7 - 1 A +21 B +6 B- D C A+ +14 A+ C F+
 Tue, Jan 27 164 Toledo W 91 - 81 86% +0  53% 15 - 4 8 - 1 B- +7 A- +11 B- A+ C+ D+ -4 F C- A+
 Fri, Jan 30 159 Kent St. W 69 - 52 86% +11  94% 16 - 4 9 - 1 B+ +14 D- -7 C+ D- D- A+ +22 A+ B B+
 Tue, Feb 3 247 @Eastern Michigan W 66 - 64 83% -0  52% 17 - 4 10 - 1 C +0 D- -7 F B D- A- +7 D C- A
 Sat, Feb 7 151 @Troy L 69 - 79 68% -3  34% 17 - 5 D+ -7 C +1 C D A+ F+ -9 D+ C- F
 Fri, Feb 13 190 Massachusetts W 99 - 92 89% +5  84% 18 - 5 11 - 1 C+ +2 A- +10 C+ A- B+ F+ -9 F B+ B-
 Tue, Feb 17 272 @Western Michigan W 90 - 73 86% +13  95% 19 - 5 12 - 1 B+ +14 A +14 A D+ B+ C+ +0 D- A+ F+
 Fri, Feb 20 313 @Ball St. W 78 - 65 90% +7  86% 20 - 5 13 - 1 B- +7 B +6 C- D A- C+ +2 F D A-
 Tue, Feb 24 206 Buffalo W 99 - 85 90% +8  73% 21 - 5 14 - 1 B +8 B- +5 A C+ F+ C+ +1 A C- C+
 Fri, Feb 27 159 @Kent St. W 92 - 70 70% +13  87% 22 - 5 15 - 1 A+ +25 A+ +16 A+ A F+ A- +8 D- A+ B-
 Tue, Mar 3 266 @Central Michigan W 87 - 76 85%
 Fri, Mar 6 321 Northern Illinois W 89 - 67 98%
Totals 24 - 5 17 - 1 +8 B+ +7 B B+ B- C+ +1 B B+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B B- B B+ 39% 29% 45% B- B+ B- A A- C+ D B+ D+ C+ C B D+ C 38% 18% 44% C- C D+ B- C B- B- C B-
1.19 64% 42% 37% +5 +1 1.13 33% 1.3 .42 16% .26 77% .20 1.07 57% 35% 36% 0 0 1.03 32% 1.0 .32 18% .28 72% .19
Nov
3		 James Madison B- F A+ F F 51% 6% 43% A+ F+ A- A A+ B- A+ A A+ B B+ A+ F B- 42% 10% 48% D- C+ D+ A+ B+ A+ B+ F D+
1.18 42% 67% 27% -11 +3 0.86 38% 1.3 .49 11% .45 79% .36 0.99 50% 0% 40% -3 +2 1.00 32% 0.8 .24 26% .25 92% .23
Nov
8		 Princeton A+ B+ F A+ A 40% 11% 49% B A C+ A+ A A C A+ B A A- C+ D C+ 36% 15% 49% D+ C C+ A+ A+ B- C- A+ B-
1.35 68% 29% 42% +9 +1 1.22 31% 1.5 .44 9% .30 81% .24 0.89 45% 38% 37% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 19% .32 65% .21
Nov
16		 Purdue A- B F B C 15% 35% 51% F+ C- A A+ A+ A- A- B A- C- F+ A- C- B 39% 24% 37% C- B- F C- F A F D- F
1.09 63% 26% 36% -2 -4 0.91 32% 1.7 .53 14% .27 71% .19 1.34 75% 33% 37% +7 0 1.16 58% 1.3 .73 18% .39 78% .30
Nov
21		 Iona A- A+ C- A A 40% 25% 35% D+ A C+ A+ A+ B- A+ D A B D+ B A B 37% 22% 41% B- B D+ F F+ A F B+ D
1.24 74% 36% 40% +9 0 1.19 35% 1.4 .48 14% .38 68% .26 0.97 60% 33% 27% -4 0 0.93 28% 1.3 .35 22% .33 65% .22
Nov
23		 Evansville A+ A+ A C+ A- 42% 8% 50% A A A- A+ A+ C- A+ C A+ A C D- A+ A- 30% 26% 44% C B+ D- F F A+ F A- F
1.39 76% 50% 36% +10 +2 1.26 40% 2.1 .84 17% .47 74% .35 0.84 62% 45% 21% -6 -1 0.88 27% 1.6 .42 26% .44 65% .29
Nov
24		 Yale A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 17% 40% B A+ B+ A+ A+ D+ F D- F F F F F F 45% 22% 33% C F F+ B- D D- D F F
1.42 74% 56% 48% +18 +1 1.40 35% 1.9 .65 17% .16 67% .11 1.47 77% 64% 50% +22 0 1.47 39% 1.1 .44 12% .36 100% .36
Nov
29		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee A A+ A+ A+ A+ 52% 7% 41% A- A+ D+ A+ B- D- D A+ C C B A+ B- A 38% 11% 51% F B+ F D+ F C+ C A+ B-
1.35 75% 75% 50% +21 +3 1.50 26% 1.5 .39 19% .29 83% .24 1.04 50% 0% 31% -9 +1 0.86 38% 1.2 .44 17% .26 59% .15
Dec
3		 Bucknell A+ A A A- A 40% 15% 45% B+ A D A+ B+ A+ B F C F D+ A F F 29% 14% 58% C F F A+ C+ F A+ B+ A+
1.41 73% 50% 40% +12 +1 1.27 29% 1.6 .45 7% .36 65% .24 1.12 59% 25% 38% +2 0 1.07 34% 0.7 .25 13% .12 71% .08
Dec
6		 Tulane A C A+ A+ A 32% 12% 56% B- A A A A+ D C- A- C B+ C F A+ B+ 25% 19% 56% B+ A- C A- B- F+ B- B B
1.24 56% 50% 43% +8 +1 1.20 42% 1.2 .52 20% .30 76% .23 1.00 57% 55% 22% -7 -1 0.86 22% 1.0 .22 11% .35 73% .25
Dec
13		 Murray St. B+ C- A+ A+ A- 51% 25% 25% B- A- B- F D A+ B B B+ F D+ F F F 37% 17% 46% C F F B+ D- A+ D- A C-
1.21 55% 56% 44% +6 0 1.15 36% 0.7 .26 10% .34 76% .26 1.40 64% 60% 56% +21 0 1.44 44% 1.0 .44 22% .39 68% .26
Dec
19		 Eastern Michigan A+ A- A+ F B- 65% 12% 23% A+ B A+ A+ A+ A F A+ D C- A+ A- B+ A+ 55% 13% 32% F A+ F C D- F+ F A F
1.31 67% 57% 14% +1 +3 1.10 41% 1.3 .53 11% .22 86% .19 1.01 38% 29% 29% -14 +2 0.77 35% 1.0 .35 14% .43 65% .28
Jan
3		 Miami (OH) C- B D F F+ 32% 11% 57% B D- B- A+ A+ F+ F A+ F+ A- B- A+ A+ A+ 25% 10% 65% C A+ F F F A+ F F F
1.02 65% 33% 27% -5 +1 0.94 32% 1.3 .43 21% .18 90% .16 1.06 58% 20% 26% -10 0 0.83 31% 1.5 .47 21% .53 83% .44
Jan
6		 Central Michigan C A A+ B A+ 44% 8% 48% B+ A+ B+ B A- F F D F B D+ A+ B- C 48% 16% 36% F C- A+ B+ A+ A+ F F F
1.15 73% 75% 38% +12 +2 1.30 42% 1.3 .54 27% .17 67% .12 0.97 62% 29% 31% -1 +1 1.02 18% 1.0 .18 24% .50 81% .41
Jan
9		 Bowling Green C+ B+ F C- C- 31% 13% 56% C C- B A A- D+ C- B+ C A C+ D C- C- 43% 24% 33% A- C C- A+ B+ A- A- A A
1.07 65% 14% 32% -2 0 0.98 32% 1.3 .41 19% .31 78% .24 0.93 55% 42% 35% 0 0 1.02 28% 0.5 .15 21% .25 64% .16
Jan
13		 Ball St. A- C+ A+ C+ B- 38% 7% 55% A- B D- A+ B A+ C- A C+ F D F B- F 40% 14% 46% D F B F D- D D F F+
1.26 62% 75% 35% +5 +2 1.16 27% 1.6 .42 12% .26 88% .23 1.12 60% 71% 30% +3 +1 1.10 23% 1.3 .29 15% .32 79% .26
Jan
17		 Western Michigan A+ B C+ A+ A+ 33% 15% 53% C- A+ A A+ A+ B- F A+ F F D- F F F 35% 21% 44% C- F F D+ F+ C+ B- A+ B+
1.53 67% 38% 55% +19 0 1.42 41% 1.5 .62 12% .15 89% .13 1.31 61% 64% 48% +16 0 1.33 37% 1.1 .40 18% .25 64% .16
Jan
20		 Buffalo B- C D- A+ B 29% 12% 59% C- B- D C+ C- C- B+ C- B A+ C+ C- A+ A+ 30% 19% 52% B A+ D- A+ B B A+ B+ A+
1.17 60% 33% 43% +8 +1 1.20 29% 1.0 .29 19% .33 74% .25 0.90 56% 40% 25% -7 0 0.87 32% 0.7 .23 19% .23 69% .16
Jan
23		 Ohio B C+ A+ D B 41% 30% 30% D- B- C+ F D C A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 34% 29% A- A+ B+ F C F+ F F F
1.17 59% 56% 31% +5 -1 1.09 35% 0.8 .29 16% .42 77% .32 0.88 33% 32% 25% -15 -2 0.68 23% 1.2 .28 12% .42 78% .33
Jan
27		 Toledo A- C C+ B C+ 52% 9% 39% A- B- A+ A- A+ C+ C A- C+ D+ C- A+ F F+ 52% 10% 38% F F B- F+ C- A+ B C- B
1.30 61% 40% 38% +4 +2 1.15 49% 1.2 .57 17% .24 79% .19 1.16 59% 0% 55% +9 +2 1.25 26% 1.1 .30 21% .24 77% .18
Jan
30		 Kent St. D- D+ A+ D+ C+ 29% 17% 54% D+ C+ D F D- D- F D- F A+ A- A A+ A+ 42% 22% 36% C+ A+ F A+ B B+ C- A+ B
1.01 53% 67% 32% +2 0 1.06 26% 0.8 .21 19% .22 67% .14 0.76 48% 27% 0% -25 0 0.52 45% 0.7 .30 22% .39 62% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 Eastern Michigan D- F C F+ F 31% 9% 59% B- F D A+ B D- F B D- A- F A+ F D- 32% 32% 36% B D F A- C- A D A+ C
0.95 41% 40% 28% -10 +1 0.83 26% 1.4 .36 19% .23 77% .18 0.92 73% 20% 41% +3 -2 1.04 34% 0.8 .29 23% .30 63% .19
Feb
7		 Troy C A+ F F C- 35% 17% 48% C C F+ B D A+ D- C- D- F+ A+ A+ F D- 38% 16% 46% B D+ A F C- F C F D-
1.08 72% 33% 28% 0 0 1.02 24% 1.1 .26 11% .23 69% .16 1.23 37% 25% 52% +2 +1 1.08 26% 1.3 .35 11% .30 88% .26
Feb
13		 Massachusetts A- A+ C+ C B- 26% 22% 52% D- C+ C A+ A- B+ A+ A+ A+ F+ D+ F F F 46% 20% 34% D F A+ F B+ B- B+ C+ B+
1.27 75% 40% 33% +4 -1 1.09 27% 1.4 .39 14% .64 88% .57 1.18 62% 73% 42% +13 +1 1.29 17% 1.8 .30 20% .27 65% .18
Feb
17		 Western Michigan A B F A+ A 49% 9% 42% B+ A A- F D+ B+ D- B D+ C+ F A+ F F 20% 35% 45% A+ D- A+ A A+ F+ A- D B
1.33 67% 0% 48% +9 +2 1.25 38% 0.8 .29 10% .26 75% .20 1.08 82% 21% 44% +6 -3 1.07 17% 0.8 .14 13% .22 77% .17
Feb
20		 Ball St. B B C F D 46% 14% 40% B+ C- C F+ D A- C- F+ D+ C+ A+ A+ F F 40% 13% 48% D- F C- F+ D A- A+ B A+
1.16 65% 38% 26% -2 +1 1.02 34% 0.8 .29 15% .26 73% .19 0.97 37% 17% 48% -1 +1 1.02 27% 1.0 .27 21% .17 67% .11
Feb
24		 Buffalo B- B+ C A+ A- 53% 9% 38% A- A D+ A- C+ F+ A+ A+ A+ C+ C+ A+ A A+ 45% 9% 45% F A F A+ C- C+ F D- F
1.23 68% 40% 45% +12 +2 1.30 30% 1.1 .33 21% .46 90% .41 1.06 56% 0% 28% -8 +2 0.89 38% 0.8 .31 17% .50 79% .39
Feb
27		 Kent St. A+ A+ A A+ A+ 31% 22% 47% D A+ B A+ A F+ C- B+ C+ A- B D+ F D- 34% 9% 57% D D- A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+
1.31 75% 45% 50% +18 -1 1.37 36% 1.3 .46 20% .32 78% .25 0.99 50% 40% 40% +3 +1 1.09 24% 0.8 .19 20% .20 45% .09



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.9 33.9 34.8 1st
2nd 0.5 15.0 49.7 65.2 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.5 15.9 83.6 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 40.6% 33.9    4.7 29.3
16-2 5.6% 0.9    0.9
15-3 0.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 34.8% 34.8 4.7 30.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 83.6% 46.3% 46.3% 0.0% 11.7 0.1 13.5 23.9 1.3 0.0 44.9 0.1%
16-2 15.9% 41.8% 41.8% 12.0 0.9 4.7 1.0 0.0 9.3
15-3 0.5% 33.0% 33.0% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 45.5% 45.5% 0.0% 11.7 54.5 0.1%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 38.7% 100.0% 11.7 0.2 34.7 61.7 3.3 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 19.2% 0.1% 11.0 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 13.3% 0.1% 11.0 0.1
Lose Out 0.1%