Akron
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.4#58
Expected Predictive Rating+6.5#88
Pace76.4#43
Improvement+0.4#144

Offense
Total Offense+8.4#26
First Shot+4.2#69
After Offensive Rebound+4.2#13
Layup/Dunks+2.4#94
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#215
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#66
Freethrows-1.4#267
Improvement+2.2#27

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#139
First Shot+0.0#165
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#125
Layups/Dunks-2.4#269
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#153
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#132
Freethrows+0.6#145
Improvement-1.8#323
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 2.3% 2.5% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 50.8% 51.4% 42.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.3% 1.4% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.4 11.3 12.1
.500 or above 99.9% 100.0% 99.5%
.500 or above in Conference 99.8% 99.8% 99.6%
Conference Champion 75.3% 76.0% 66.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
First Round50.5% 51.2% 42.3%
Second Round15.0% 15.5% 8.7%
Sweet Sixteen4.4% 4.6% 1.9%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.0% 0.5%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Home) - 92.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 39 - 210 - 5
Quad 414 - 125 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 147 James Madison W 85-71 87%     1 - 0 +11.1 +4.8 +5.9
  Sat, Nov 8 238 Princeton W 104-69 93%     2 - 0 +27.4 +18.3 +5.9
  Sun, Nov 16 3 @Purdue L 79-97 8%     2 - 1 +7.2 +12.5 -4.6
  Fri, Nov 21 167 Iona W 96-75 83%     3 - 1 +20.0 +13.3 +4.7
  Sun, Nov 23 291 Evansville W 97-59 93%     4 - 1 +30.8 +22.0 +8.8
  Mon, Nov 24 69 Yale L 94-97 55%     4 - 2 +5.0 +26.0 -21.2
  Sat, Nov 29 208 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 91-76 93%    
  Wed, Dec 3 284 Bucknell W 89-70 96%    
  Sat, Dec 6 152 @Tulane W 86-79 73%    
  Sat, Dec 13 118 Murray St. W 91-85 73%    
  Fri, Dec 19 209 Eastern Michigan W 86-71 92%    
  Sat, Jan 3 121 @Miami (OH) W 87-83 63%    
  Tue, Jan 6 305 Central Michigan W 90-70 97%    
  Sat, Jan 10 140 @Bowling Green W 82-77 68%    
  Tue, Jan 13 277 Ball St. W 87-68 96%    
  Sat, Jan 17 243 Western Michigan W 90-73 94%    
  Tue, Jan 20 228 @Buffalo W 88-78 83%    
  Sat, Jan 24 207 @Ohio W 89-80 79%    
  Tue, Jan 27 173 Toledo W 92-78 89%    
  Fri, Jan 30 124 Kent St. W 93-83 81%    
  Tue, Feb 3 209 @Eastern Michigan W 83-74 80%    
  Sat, Feb 14 181 Massachusetts W 91-77 89%    
  Tue, Feb 17 243 @Western Michigan W 87-76 83%    
  Sat, Feb 21 277 @Ball St. W 84-71 86%    
  Tue, Feb 24 228 Buffalo W 91-75 92%    
  Sat, Feb 28 124 @Kent St. W 90-86 62%    
  Tue, Mar 3 305 @Central Michigan W 87-73 89%    
  Fri, Mar 6 280 Northern Illinois W 92-73 95%    
Projected Record 23 - 5 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.2 8.2 16.0 21.7 18.0 8.9 75.3 1st
2nd 0.2 1.6 4.2 5.4 2.8 0.6 0.0 14.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 2.0 1.8 0.6 0.1 5.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.6 4.8 8.4 14.2 18.9 22.3 18.1 8.9 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 8.9    8.9
17-1 99.9% 18.0    17.8 0.2
16-2 97.2% 21.7    19.8 1.9 0.0
15-3 84.8% 16.0    11.9 3.8 0.3
14-4 57.6% 8.2    4.2 3.3 0.7 0.1
13-5 25.7% 2.2    0.6 1.0 0.5 0.1
12-6 6.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 75.3% 75.3 63.2 10.2 1.6 0.3



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 8.9% 75.2% 70.2% 5.0% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.7 0.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 2.2 16.8%
17-1 18.1% 63.6% 62.6% 1.0% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 6.5 3.8 0.1 6.6 2.6%
16-2 22.3% 55.6% 55.5% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 4.2 7.3 0.9 0.0 9.9 0.3%
15-3 18.9% 48.4% 48.4% 12.0 1.3 6.2 1.5 0.1 0.0 9.7
14-4 14.2% 41.5% 41.5% 12.3 0.3 3.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 8.3
13-5 8.4% 33.9% 33.9% 12.6 0.1 1.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.5
12-6 4.8% 30.7% 30.7% 12.9 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 3.3
11-7 2.6% 24.0% 24.0% 13.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.0
10-8 1.1% 11.7% 11.7% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
9-9 0.5% 11.0% 11.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
8-10 0.2% 14.8% 14.8% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2
7-11 0.0% 0.0
6-12 0.0% 0.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 50.8% 50.1% 0.7% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.9 1.5 14.2 23.0 6.7 1.1 0.1 0.0 49.2 1.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.2% 100.0% 6.7 0.5 0.9 5.0 14.4 15.5 17.5 12.1 6.3 11.6 7.3 7.9 1.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6% 29.5% 10.5 0.5 0.5 1.1 9.5 17.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7% 24.0% 10.8 1.0 4.0 17.5 1.5