Bradley
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +3.8 #114
Expected Predictive Rating +3.7 #110
Pace 68.7 #197
Improvement +1.9 #85

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #110 C+ C- A- B- D+
Defense #120 C C+ A- D A+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #306 1.27 #75 -1.0 #219
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #132 0.65 #308 -0.3 #196
Three Pointers 43% #136 1.07 #115 +2.5 #101
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #148 +1.2 #148
Freethrows 19.2 #93 73% #186 14.0 #104
Second Chance 27.0% #281 1.08 #142 0.29 #245
Turnovers 13.9% #38
Total Offense +2.2 #110

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% #346 1.13 #139 +5.5 #29
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #30 0.76 #188 -2.7 #345
Three Pointers 43% #129 1.09 #290 -2.7 #291
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #175 +0.1 #175
Freethrows 20.5 #319 71% #114 14.5 #62
Second Chance 30.8% #182 0.95 #71 0.29 #118
Turnovers 19.9% #36
Total Defense +1.5 #120

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.3% #272 -3.0% #18
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 3.7% #127 2.8% #237
Possession Length 16.9 #139 17.2 #176
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #179 0.16 #132
Improvement +4.0 #12 -2.1 #306

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.5% 13.4% 9.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.4 12.3 12.5
.500 or above 97.4% 99.5% 96.5%
.500 or above in Conference 95.1% 98.8% 93.5%
Conference Champion 12.2% 22.3% 7.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round10.5% 13.4% 9.2%
Second Round1.1% 1.5% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois St. (Away) - 30.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 52 - 6
Quad 38 - 410 - 11
Quad 49 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 127 St. Bonaventure L 63 - 69 57% -4  0 - 1 -4 -7 B F B +3 B+ A+ A
 Sat, Nov 8 325 Central Michigan W 85 - 54 93% +14  1 - 1 +18 +7 A+ F B- +11 A+ A- A+
 Wed, Nov 12 225 Tennessee Martin L 67 - 78 83% +9  1 - 2 -17 -11 F D+ F -6 F C- A+
 Sat, Nov 15 103 @San Francisco L 64 - 75 34% -2  1 - 3 -3 -2 F D C -1 F A+ A+
 Wed, Nov 19 284 Umass Lowell W 87 - 77 90% -0  2 - 3 +0 +12 B+ A- C- -12 C- C C-
 Mon, Nov 24 221 Princeton W 88 - 64 75% +8  3 - 3 +21 +16 A+ F B+ +5 D+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 109 UC San Diego L 77 - 87 49% -3  3 - 4 -6 +6 C A+ F -12 B- F D
 Wed, Nov 26 95 Liberty W 74 - 64 42% +10  4 - 4 +16 +9 A A+ F +8 B A A+
 Tue, Dec 2 136 Washington St. W 64 - 60 70% -3  5 - 4 +2 -8 F B- A+ +11 B- A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 331 Northern Illinois W 84 - 55 94% +14  6 - 4 +15 +2 B F A +12 A+ D+ B
 Thu, Dec 18 207 @Indiana St. W 108 - 99 3OT 63% +1  7 - 4 1 - 0 +9 +8 C- C A+ -2 C A- F
 Sun, Dec 21 126 Southern Illinois W 73 - 69 68% +4  8 - 4 2 - 0 +3 +0 C B- F +2 A B C+
 Mon, Dec 29 251 Evansville W 76 - 68 87% -2  9 - 4 3 - 0 -0 +3 D+ F A+ -3 B- D F
 Thu, Jan 1 79 @Belmont L 78 - 88 26% -3  9 - 5 3 - 1 +0 +9 A+ C F -9 C F A+
 Sun, Jan 4 89 @Murray St. L 66 - 86 29% -14  9 - 6 3 - 2 -10 -3 F C A+ -8 F B B+
 Wed, Jan 7 165 Drake W 93 - 66 76% +20  10 - 6 4 - 2 +23 +13 A+ C+ A+ +9 B+ A+ A
 Sat, Jan 10 107 Northern Iowa W 75 - 69 60% +2  11 - 6 5 - 2 +7 +10 B+ C+ A+ -3 B+ C F
 Tue, Jan 13 251 @Evansville W 94 - 90 OT 72% -3  12 - 6 6 - 2 +2 +16 B+ D- A+ -14 F C C
 Sat, Jan 17 91 @Illinois St. L 69 - 74 30%
 Wed, Jan 21 207 Indiana St. W 80 - 70 81%
 Sat, Jan 24 160 Illinois-Chicago W 75 - 68 74%
 Sat, Jan 31 165 @Drake W 73 - 72 56%
 Tue, Feb 3 184 Valparaiso W 76 - 68 78%
 Fri, Feb 6 107 @Northern Iowa L 63 - 66 37%
 Mon, Feb 9 79 Belmont L 78 - 79 48%
 Sun, Feb 15 126 @Southern Illinois L 73 - 74 46%
 Wed, Feb 18 184 @Valparaiso W 73 - 71 58%
 Sat, Feb 21 91 Illinois St. W 72 - 71 52%
 Tue, Feb 24 160 @Illinois-Chicago W 72 - 71 54%
 Sun, Mar 1 89 Murray St. W 82 - 81 51%
Totals 19 - 11 13 - 7 +4 +2 C+ C- A- +2 C C+ A-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.3 2.2 4.5 3.8 1.2 0.2 12.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 4.7 9.3 5.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 21.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 6.0 10.8 4.8 0.7 0.0 23.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 5.3 9.1 4.0 0.3 19.4 4th
5th 0.3 3.3 6.3 2.6 0.2 12.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 3.7 1.8 0.1 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.6 0.9 0.1 3.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.6 8.7 14.2 18.4 20.0 16.6 10.7 5.1 1.3 0.2 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 97.8% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 93.3% 1.2    1.0 0.2
16-4 75.9% 3.8    2.3 1.4 0.1
15-5 41.9% 4.5    1.6 2.2 0.6 0.0
14-6 13.4% 2.2    0.3 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0
13-7 1.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 12.2% 12.2 5.4 4.9 1.6 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.2% 31.1% 31.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 1.3% 27.1% 27.1% 11.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9
16-4 5.1% 19.9% 19.9% 12.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 4.1
15-5 10.7% 18.5% 18.5% 12.1 0.1 1.4 0.4 0.0 8.7
14-6 16.6% 14.4% 14.4% 12.3 0.1 1.5 0.7 0.0 14.2
13-7 20.0% 10.1% 10.1% 12.5 0.0 1.1 0.8 0.1 18.0
12-8 18.4% 7.9% 7.9% 12.8 0.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 16.9
11-9 14.2% 5.7% 5.7% 13.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 13.4
10-10 8.7% 3.4% 3.4% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 8.4
9-11 3.6% 3.0% 3.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.5
8-12 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 14.5 0.0 0.0 1.1
7-13 0.2% 0.2
6-14 0.0% 0.0
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 10.5% 10.5% 0.0% 12.4 89.5 0.0%