Bradley
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.3#112
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#192
Pace67.3#250
Improvement+2.6#21

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#121
First Shot+5.0#50
After Offensive Rebound-3.3#343
Layup/Dunks+0.0#176
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#217
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#64
Freethrows+1.7#84
Improvement+2.6#15

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#119
First Shot-0.9#203
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#44
Layups/Dunks+4.1#55
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#348
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#143
Freethrows-2.5#312
Improvement+0.0#193
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.9% 11.7% 8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.6 13.1
.500 or above 80.1% 85.1% 66.5%
.500 or above in Conference 78.1% 80.5% 71.4%
Conference Champion 13.5% 15.1% 9.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.7% 1.7%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round10.9% 11.7% 8.8%
Second Round1.4% 1.6% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Home) - 73.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 52 - 6
Quad 37 - 59 - 11
Quad 410 - 218 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 119 St. Bonaventure L 63-69 51%     0 - 1 -3.0 -3.9 +0.5
  Sat, Nov 8 305 Central Michigan W 85-54 90%     1 - 1 +20.1 +8.7 +12.1
  Wed, Nov 12 263 Tennessee Martin L 67-78 86%     1 - 2 -19.5 -11.9 -7.0
  Sat, Nov 15 77 @San Francisco L 64-75 25%     1 - 3 -0.5 -1.7 +0.9
  Wed, Nov 19 309 Umass Lowell W 87-77 90%     2 - 3 -1.0 +11.1 -11.8
  Mon, Nov 24 238 Princeton W 88-64 77%     3 - 3 +19.4 +13.9 +5.6
  Tue, Nov 25 96 UC San Diego L 77-87 42%     3 - 4 -4.6 +5.2 -9.8
  Wed, Nov 26 97 Liberty W 74-64 42%     4 - 4 +15.3 +8.3 +7.8
  Tue, Dec 2 157 Washington St. W 81-74 73%    
  Sat, Dec 6 280 Northern Illinois W 80-67 89%    
  Thu, Dec 18 166 @Indiana St. W 76-75 56%    
  Sun, Dec 21 142 Southern Illinois W 75-70 69%    
  Mon, Dec 29 291 Evansville W 77-63 89%    
  Thu, Jan 1 94 @Belmont L 72-77 32%    
  Sun, Jan 4 118 @Murray St. L 78-81 40%    
  Wed, Jan 7 143 Drake W 70-64 70%    
  Sat, Jan 10 90 Northern Iowa W 66-65 51%    
  Tue, Jan 13 291 @Evansville W 74-66 75%    
  Sat, Jan 17 102 @Illinois St. L 69-73 34%    
  Wed, Jan 21 166 Indiana St. W 79-72 74%    
  Sat, Jan 24 174 Illinois-Chicago W 78-70 76%    
  Sat, Jan 31 143 @Drake L 66-67 50%    
  Tue, Feb 3 268 Valparaiso W 75-63 86%    
  Fri, Feb 6 90 @Northern Iowa L 63-69 31%    
  Mon, Feb 9 94 Belmont W 75-74 53%    
  Sun, Feb 15 142 @Southern Illinois L 72-73 48%    
  Wed, Feb 18 268 @Valparaiso W 72-66 70%    
  Sat, Feb 21 102 Illinois St. W 72-70 55%    
  Tue, Feb 24 174 @Illinois-Chicago W 75-73 56%    
  Sun, Mar 1 118 Murray St. W 81-78 62%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.4 3.7 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1 13.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.2 4.8 3.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 14.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.8 5.9 3.4 0.7 0.1 14.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.8 6.0 3.2 0.5 0.0 14.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.5 5.4 2.6 0.4 0.0 12.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.6 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.8 1.8 0.2 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.4 1.3 0.2 6.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.2 3.6 5.8 8.6 10.9 12.5 13.3 13.0 10.4 7.9 5.4 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
18-2 99.1% 1.1    1.1 0.1
17-3 90.8% 2.8    2.3 0.5 0.0
16-4 69.2% 3.7    2.3 1.2 0.2 0.0
15-5 43.1% 3.4    1.5 1.4 0.4 0.0
14-6 15.8% 1.6    0.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 13.5% 13.5 8.0 4.1 1.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 63.6% 63.6% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 34.3% 34.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
18-2 1.1% 39.7% 39.7% 11.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7
17-3 3.1% 31.9% 31.9% 11.9 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.1
16-4 5.4% 25.7% 25.7% 12.2 0.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 4.0
15-5 7.9% 20.3% 20.3% 12.4 0.1 0.9 0.6 0.0 6.3
14-6 10.4% 15.8% 15.8% 12.6 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.1 8.8
13-7 13.0% 13.0% 13.0% 12.9 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 11.3
12-8 13.3% 10.3% 10.3% 13.2 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 11.9
11-9 12.5% 6.1% 6.1% 13.5 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 11.7
10-10 10.9% 3.7% 3.7% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.5
9-11 8.6% 3.5% 3.5% 14.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 8.3
8-12 5.8% 1.5% 1.5% 15.2 0.1 0.0 5.7
7-13 3.6% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 3.5
6-14 2.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 2.2
5-15 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.9% 10.9% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 4.3 3.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 89.1 0.0%