Buffalo
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#228
Expected Predictive Rating+12.1#49
Pace67.8#239
Improvement-3.4#358

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#141
First Shot+2.0#120
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#263
Layup/Dunks-4.8#328
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#195
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#179
Freethrows+7.2#1
Improvement-2.0#339

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#331
First Shot-7.1#356
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#45
Layups/Dunks-2.2#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#99
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#344
Freethrows-0.5#219
Improvement-1.4#302
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 1.7% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.6 13.8
.500 or above 70.4% 78.3% 54.3%
.500 or above in Conference 35.6% 39.2% 28.2%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.2% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 11.6% 10.0% 14.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.5% 1.7% 1.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Away) - 67.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 65 - 9
Quad 411 - 416 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 237 Southern Miss W 85-79 63%     1 - 0 -1.4 +12.0 -13.1
  Fri, Nov 7 267 Green Bay W 83-76 67%     2 - 0 -1.7 +12.2 -13.3
  Tue, Nov 11 109 @DePaul W 66-53 16%     3 - 0 +19.6 -0.2 +20.3
  Tue, Nov 18 171 Vermont W 94-90 51%     4 - 0 -0.2 +12.2 -12.6
  Mon, Nov 24 342 VMI W 78-70 75%     5 - 0 -3.2 +2.9 -5.7
  Wed, Nov 26 284 Bucknell W 73-71 60%     6 - 0 -4.7 +8.9 -13.2
  Sat, Nov 29 348 @Canisius W 73-68 67%    
  Sat, Dec 6 119 St. Bonaventure L 70-74 35%    
  Tue, Dec 9 289 @Maryland Baltimore Co. W 77-76 51%    
  Sun, Dec 14 259 @East Carolina L 75-77 44%    
  Sat, Dec 20 243 @Western Michigan L 75-77 41%    
  Tue, Dec 30 280 @Northern Illinois L 76-77 48%    
  Sat, Jan 3 277 Ball St. W 75-70 69%    
  Sat, Jan 10 207 @Ohio L 77-81 35%    
  Tue, Jan 13 124 Kent St. L 79-83 37%    
  Sat, Jan 17 121 @Miami (OH) L 74-84 19%    
  Tue, Jan 20 58 Akron L 78-88 17%    
  Sat, Jan 24 181 Massachusetts W 78-77 51%    
  Tue, Jan 27 140 @Bowling Green L 70-78 23%    
  Sat, Jan 31 207 Ohio W 80-78 56%    
  Tue, Feb 3 121 Miami (OH) L 77-81 37%    
  Wed, Feb 11 277 @Ball St. L 72-73 48%    
  Tue, Feb 17 280 Northern Illinois W 79-74 69%    
  Sat, Feb 21 181 @Massachusetts L 75-80 32%    
  Tue, Feb 24 58 @Akron L 75-91 8%    
  Sat, Feb 28 305 Central Michigan W 78-71 73%    
  Tue, Mar 3 209 Eastern Michigan W 74-72 57%    
  Fri, Mar 6 173 @Toledo L 76-82 31%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.6 2.8 1.1 0.0 7.0 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 3.7 1.3 0.1 7.8 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 4.9 2.1 0.2 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 5.3 3.2 0.4 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.5 4.4 0.7 0.0 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 3.2 5.3 1.4 0.0 10.2 9th
10th 0.2 2.2 5.6 2.3 0.1 10.4 10th
11th 0.3 2.0 4.8 2.9 0.3 10.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.5 2.8 0.5 0.0 8.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 1.5 2.3 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.5 13th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.7 4.3 7.3 10.3 12.7 13.8 13.5 11.8 9.3 6.5 4.1 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 89.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 56.6% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 28.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.2% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 5.3% 5.3% 12.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 19.7% 19.7% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.0% 8.3% 8.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0
13-5 2.3% 10.1% 10.1% 12.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.0
12-6 4.1% 5.6% 5.6% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.8
11-7 6.5% 3.7% 3.7% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.3
10-8 9.3% 2.8% 2.8% 13.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 9.0
9-9 11.8% 1.7% 1.7% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.6
8-10 13.5% 1.0% 1.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.4
7-11 13.8% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 13.8
6-12 12.7% 12.7
5-13 10.3% 10.3
4-14 7.3% 7.3
3-15 4.3% 4.3
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 98.5 0.0%