Central Florida
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.0#68
Expected Predictive Rating+14.9#30
Pace76.0#47
Improvement+1.2#82

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#45
First Shot+3.7#75
After Offensive Rebound+3.2#29
Layup/Dunks+4.0#52
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#220
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#157
Freethrows-0.3#188
Improvement+0.6#120

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#133
First Shot-1.3#217
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#51
Layups/Dunks+2.7#85
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#61
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#247
Freethrows-4.1#351
Improvement+0.6#122
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 2.5% 2.5% 1.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.3% 24.6% 9.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 24.0% 24.3% 9.2%
Average Seed 9.0 9.0 9.3
.500 or above 74.0% 74.5% 46.8%
.500 or above in Conference 27.0% 27.3% 13.1%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 11.5% 11.4% 20.0%
First Four6.5% 6.5% 3.5%
First Round20.5% 20.7% 7.5%
Second Round8.4% 8.5% 3.7%
Sweet Sixteen1.7% 1.7% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: VMI (Home) - 98.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 9
Quad 24 - 37 - 12
Quad 35 - 112 - 13
Quad 45 - 017 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 162 Hofstra W 82-78 86%     1 - 0 +0.3 +5.6 -5.5
  Sat, Nov 8 19 Vanderbilt L 93-105 31%     1 - 1 +1.0 +18.9 -17.2
  Tue, Nov 11 351 Florida A&M W 97-60 97%     2 - 1 +21.6 +12.6 +6.8
  Fri, Nov 14 60 @Texas A&M W 86-74 34%     3 - 1 +24.3 +12.8 +10.8
  Mon, Nov 17 138 Oakland W 87-83 82%     4 - 1 +2.4 +6.7 -4.5
  Thu, Nov 20 99 Pittsburgh W 77-67 61%     5 - 1 +15.0 +15.3 +0.8
  Tue, Nov 25 193 Quinnipiac W 102-91 88%     6 - 1 +6.1 +16.8 -11.8
  Sat, Nov 29 342 VMI W 92-70 98%    
  Sun, Dec 7 128 Towson W 78-69 79%    
  Wed, Dec 17 206 Mercer W 92-78 90%    
  Sat, Dec 20 164 Florida Gulf Coast W 89-77 86%    
  Sat, Jan 3 18 Kansas L 76-81 32%    
  Tue, Jan 6 46 @Oklahoma St. L 86-92 29%    
  Sun, Jan 11 65 Cincinnati W 81-79 59%    
  Wed, Jan 14 54 @Kansas St. L 86-91 33%    
  Sat, Jan 17 11 Arizona L 79-87 24%    
  Tue, Jan 20 4 @Iowa St. L 73-88 9%    
  Sat, Jan 24 72 @Colorado L 81-84 40%    
  Tue, Jan 27 83 Arizona St. W 85-81 64%    
  Sat, Jan 31 24 Texas Tech L 78-82 36%    
  Wed, Feb 4 5 @Houston L 65-80 10%    
  Sun, Feb 8 65 @Cincinnati L 78-82 38%    
  Sat, Feb 14 71 West Virginia W 76-73 61%    
  Tue, Feb 17 51 TCU W 79-78 52%    
  Sat, Feb 21 125 @Utah W 83-81 58%    
  Tue, Feb 24 7 @BYU L 74-89 10%    
  Sat, Feb 28 28 Baylor L 82-85 40%    
  Tue, Mar 3 46 Oklahoma St. L 88-89 51%    
  Fri, Mar 6 71 @West Virginia L 73-76 40%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 2.1 0.6 0.1 4.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 2.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.0 2.4 0.3 0.0 6.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.7 0.8 0.0 7.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 4.8 1.8 0.1 8.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.5 3.3 0.3 8.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 3.3 5.0 1.1 0.0 9.7 11th
12th 0.1 1.9 5.5 2.2 0.1 9.8 12th
13th 0.0 1.2 4.9 3.7 0.4 10.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.8 3.7 4.2 0.7 0.0 9.5 14th
15th 0.1 1.1 3.3 3.3 1.0 0.0 8.8 15th
16th 0.2 1.0 2.2 2.0 0.7 0.0 6.1 16th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.3 6.1 9.0 12.3 14.0 14.1 12.8 9.9 7.6 5.1 2.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 53.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 24.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 3.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 2.2% 97.8% 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.6% 100.0% 2.9% 97.1% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.2% 97.4% 5.1% 92.3% 6.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.3%
12-6 2.5% 98.0% 2.4% 95.6% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.0%
11-7 5.1% 87.8% 1.3% 86.4% 8.4 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.6 87.6%
10-8 7.6% 76.7% 1.0% 75.8% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.7 1.8 0.8 0.0 1.8 76.5%
9-9 9.9% 56.5% 0.6% 56.0% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.1 1.8 0.0 4.3 56.3%
8-10 12.8% 22.1% 0.1% 22.0% 10.7 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 0.2 10.0 22.0%
7-11 14.1% 7.3% 0.1% 7.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 13.1 7.1%
6-12 14.0% 1.1% 1.1% 11.3 0.1 0.1 13.9 1.1%
5-13 12.3% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 12.3 0.1%
4-14 9.0% 9.0
3-15 6.1% 6.1
2-16 3.3% 3.3
1-17 1.1% 1.1
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 24.3% 0.4% 23.9% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.2 3.6 4.6 5.4 5.5 0.4 75.7 24.0%