Colorado
Big 12
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.8#72
Expected Predictive Rating+15.0#28
Pace69.4#193
Improvement+3.4#11

Offense
Total Offense+6.8#46
First Shot+9.4#8
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#324
Layup/Dunks+7.5#12
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#167
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#278
Freethrows+4.9#8
Improvement+0.2#164

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#138
First Shot+0.2#160
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#137
Layups/Dunks-1.0#219
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#265
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#195
Freethrows+2.5#52
Improvement+3.2#7
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.6% 1.2% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 2.7% 4.7% 1.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.1% 33.3% 18.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 23.8% 32.9% 17.8%
Average Seed 9.0 8.8 9.3
.500 or above 75.6% 87.0% 68.2%
.500 or above in Conference 27.0% 33.2% 23.0%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 11.1% 8.1% 13.0%
First Four6.6% 8.4% 5.4%
First Round20.2% 28.2% 14.9%
Second Round8.5% 12.6% 5.9%
Sweet Sixteen1.9% 2.9% 1.2%
Elite Eight0.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington (Neutral) - 39.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 9
Quad 25 - 48 - 13
Quad 35 - 113 - 14
Quad 45 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 186 Montana St. W 84-78 88%     1 - 0 +1.2 +11.0 -9.6
  Sat, Nov 8 240 Eastern Washington W 102-97 OT 92%     2 - 0 -2.6 +13.0 -16.1
  Fri, Nov 14 75 Providence W 97-88 62%     3 - 0 +13.6 +13.4 -0.8
  Mon, Nov 17 266 Alabama St. W 94-66 93%     4 - 0 +19.4 +14.7 +4.4
  Fri, Nov 21 178 UC Davis W 95-79 87%     5 - 0 +11.6 +22.4 -10.7
  Thu, Nov 27 77 San Francisco W 79-69 51%     6 - 0 +17.5 +11.6 +6.1
  Fri, Nov 28 48 Washington L 75-78 40%    
  Mon, Dec 1 136 California Baptist W 77-68 81%    
  Sat, Dec 6 87 @Colorado St. L 74-76 44%    
  Sat, Dec 13 231 Texas San Antonio W 85-70 92%    
  Wed, Dec 17 156 Portland St. W 82-71 84%    
  Sat, Dec 20 95 Stanford W 80-78 59%    
  Sun, Dec 28 145 Northern Colorado W 83-72 83%    
  Sat, Jan 3 83 @Arizona St. L 78-80 42%    
  Wed, Jan 7 125 Utah W 82-74 77%    
  Sat, Jan 10 24 Texas Tech L 75-79 36%    
  Wed, Jan 14 65 @Cincinnati L 74-78 37%    
  Sat, Jan 17 71 @West Virginia L 70-73 39%    
  Tue, Jan 20 18 Kansas L 72-78 31%    
  Sat, Jan 24 68 Central Florida W 84-81 60%    
  Thu, Jan 29 4 @Iowa St. L 70-85 9%    
  Sun, Feb 1 51 TCU W 76-75 52%    
  Wed, Feb 4 28 @Baylor L 76-85 21%    
  Sat, Feb 7 83 Arizona St. W 81-77 64%    
  Wed, Feb 11 24 @Texas Tech L 72-82 20%    
  Sat, Feb 14 7 @BYU L 70-85 10%    
  Sat, Feb 21 46 Oklahoma St. L 84-85 49%    
  Wed, Feb 25 54 Kansas St. W 84-83 54%    
  Sat, Feb 28 5 @Houston L 62-77 9%    
  Tue, Mar 3 125 @Utah W 79-77 57%    
  Sat, Mar 7 11 Arizona L 75-83 24%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 1.9 0.5 0.0 3.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 2.7 1.3 0.1 0.0 5.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.0 2.5 0.3 0.0 6.4 7th
8th 0.3 2.9 4.0 1.0 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.8 5.0 1.9 0.0 8.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 5.0 3.4 0.5 0.0 9.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 3.4 5.3 1.0 0.0 10.0 11th
12th 0.1 1.8 5.8 2.3 0.1 10.2 12th
13th 0.0 1.2 4.8 3.6 0.4 10.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.6 3.5 4.1 0.7 0.0 8.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.7 2.5 3.5 1.2 0.0 8.0 15th
16th 0.2 1.0 2.0 2.1 0.8 0.1 6.1 16th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.7 5.2 9.1 12.3 14.3 15.1 13.1 10.5 7.6 4.7 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 47.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 31.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 5.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 13.6% 86.4% 3.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.5% 100.0% 5.1% 94.9% 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.3% 99.2% 5.5% 93.7% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
12-6 2.3% 95.4% 1.9% 93.5% 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 95.3%
11-7 4.7% 89.5% 1.1% 88.4% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.5 89.3%
10-8 7.6% 75.8% 0.6% 75.2% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.5 1.8 0.9 1.8 75.6%
9-9 10.5% 52.6% 0.5% 52.1% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.0 1.9 0.0 5.0 52.4%
8-10 13.1% 24.1% 0.2% 23.9% 10.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.8 0.1 9.9 23.9%
7-11 15.1% 7.2% 0.1% 7.1% 10.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.1 14.0 7.1%
6-12 14.3% 1.4% 0.1% 1.3% 11.1 0.2 0.0 14.1 1.3%
5-13 12.3% 0.2% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.2 0.2%
4-14 9.1% 9.1
3-15 5.2% 5.2
2-16 2.7% 2.7
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 24.1% 0.4% 23.7% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.2 2.0 3.1 4.5 5.8 5.8 0.3 76.0 23.8%