Fordham
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#212
Expected Predictive Rating-7.9#281
Pace61.3#353
Improvement+3.7#10

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#232
First Shot-1.6#217
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#208
Layup/Dunks+3.0#82
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#91
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#301
Freethrows-2.1#307
Improvement+0.8#102

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#202
First Shot-2.9#274
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#78
Layups/Dunks+0.8#150
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#322
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#289
Freethrows+1.6#92
Improvement+3.0#8
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.8 13.1
.500 or above 23.3% 29.0% 10.6%
.500 or above in Conference 11.6% 13.6% 7.2%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 24.4% 21.4% 31.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Neutral) - 68.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 33 - 64 - 14
Quad 48 - 312 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 349 NJIT L 61-72 86%     0 - 1 -25.8 -11.7 -15.1
  Tue, Nov 11 292 Wagner W 63-61 75%     1 - 1 -8.3 -3.2 -4.7
  Fri, Nov 14 167 @Iona L 71-76 30%     1 - 2 -3.0 -0.9 -2.1
  Thu, Nov 20 232 LIU Brooklyn W 69-53 65%     2 - 2 +8.8 -2.2 +11.9
  Sat, Nov 29 325 Albany W 70-65 69%    
  Sun, Nov 30 182 Colgate L 67-69 43%    
  Sat, Dec 6 330 Holy Cross W 71-62 81%    
  Wed, Dec 10 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-64 91%    
  Sat, Dec 13 318 Manhattan W 77-69 77%    
  Mon, Dec 22 345 New Haven W 69-58 85%    
  Wed, Dec 31 78 @Dayton L 59-73 10%    
  Sun, Jan 4 115 Richmond L 67-71 38%    
  Wed, Jan 7 74 George Mason L 62-70 23%    
  Sat, Jan 10 119 @St. Bonaventure L 61-70 20%    
  Wed, Jan 14 50 @Saint Louis L 63-80 7%    
  Sat, Jan 17 126 Duquesne L 72-75 40%    
  Wed, Jan 21 135 @Davidson L 62-70 23%    
  Wed, Jan 28 214 La Salle W 69-66 61%    
  Sat, Jan 31 62 @George Washington L 67-82 9%    
  Tue, Feb 3 53 Virginia Commonwealth L 64-74 18%    
  Sat, Feb 7 119 St. Bonaventure L 64-67 38%    
  Tue, Feb 10 175 @Saint Joseph's L 68-73 34%    
  Sat, Feb 14 106 @Rhode Island L 63-74 17%    
  Wed, Feb 18 265 Loyola Chicago W 69-64 67%    
  Sat, Feb 21 135 Davidson L 65-67 43%    
  Sat, Feb 28 53 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61-77 8%    
  Wed, Mar 4 214 @La Salle L 66-69 40%    
  Sat, Mar 7 106 Rhode Island L 66-71 34%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 2.1 0.6 0.0 4.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.0 1.5 0.1 5.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.6 2.6 0.3 7.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 4.6 4.4 0.8 0.0 11.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.3 5.0 5.8 1.5 0.1 13.9 11th
12th 0.2 2.1 6.4 6.4 2.3 0.1 17.5 12th
13th 0.5 2.8 6.4 6.1 1.9 0.1 0.0 17.9 13th
14th 1.2 3.8 5.3 3.6 1.1 0.1 15.0 14th
Total 1.2 4.2 8.3 12.3 15.0 14.7 14.0 10.7 8.0 5.3 3.3 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 70.6% 0.0    0.0
14-4 37.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 15.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.1
14-4 0.2% 8.9% 8.9% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.3% 6.2% 6.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 0.8% 5.0% 5.0% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.8
11-7 1.6% 1.9% 1.9% 12.3 0.0 0.0 1.5
10-8 3.3% 0.8% 0.8% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3
9-9 5.3% 0.5% 0.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 5.3
8-10 8.0% 0.1% 0.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 8.0
7-11 10.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 10.7
6-12 14.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 14.0
5-13 14.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 14.7
4-14 15.0% 15.0
3-15 12.3% 12.3
2-16 8.3% 8.3
1-17 4.2% 4.2
0-18 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.0%