Furman
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -0.9 171
Results Rating -1.6 186
Consistency 0.12 54
Pace 65.3 266
Improvement -0.4 205

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 213 C+ C- D D+ B
Defense C 151 C+ C+ D B+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 175 B 63% 77 +2.0 107
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 311 A 47% 13 -1.7 270
Three Pointers 48% 45 D 30% 321 +0.8 151
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +0.9 66 C +0.4 154
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 133
Second Chance C 30.0% 190 D+ 0.97 283 C- 0.29 222
Opponents' Steals F+ 11.9% 349
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 175
Turnovers D 19.1% 316
Freethrows C- 0.29 238 D 68% 309 D+ 0.20 277
Total Offense C- -1.6 213

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B+ 60% 29 D+ 13.0% 302
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 6% 363 D- 8.5% 338
Three Pointers C+ 85% 162 C 0.9% 185
Total B- 60% 81 D+ 6.6% 288

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 195 B 53% 68 -1.9 111
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 149 D 42% 302 +0.9 256
Three Pointers 40% 195 C+ 33% 116 -1.0 142
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 146 C+ -1.8 109
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.98 118
Second Chance C 30.0% 172 C+ 0.99 122 C+ 0.30 141
Turnovers from Steals D- 6.8% 342
Other Turnovers C+ 7.5% 142
Turnovers D 14.3% 325
Freethrows B+ 0.25 26 B- 71% 111 B+ 0.17 28
Total Defense C +0.7 151

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 168 C 10.6% 187
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 49 D+ 2.9% 301
Three Pointers C+ 82% 116 B+ 1.8% 41
Total B- 52% 108 C 5.4% 184

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.0 246 17.3 177
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 211 0.19 246
Consistency 0.12 149 0.09 12
Improvement -1.4 260 +1.0 131

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 195 173 148
Results Rating Rank 221 185 132
Conference Record 10 - 8 11 - 7 11 - 7
Conference Finish 5 3 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19% 22% 15%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round19% 22% 15%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Western Carolina (Away) - 53.3% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 35 - 45 - 8
Quad 413 - 518 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 94 High Point L 71 - 97 25% -17  6% 0 - 1 F -20 D- -7 C+ D F F -12 F C+ F
 Fri, Nov 7 151 Troy L 61 - 64 56% -7  0% 0 - 2 D+ -6 F -15 D+ D F A +9 B A A-
 Fri, Nov 14 95 @Northern Iowa L 54 - 70 18% -10  3% 0 - 3 D+ -7 F+ -8 D+ D D C -0 C B+ F+
 Sun, Nov 23 199 Queens W 90 - 79 66% +11  95% 1 - 3 B- +6 A+ +17 A+ F A+ F -10 B F F
 Thu, Nov 27 130 Richmond W 73 - 72 39% +6  96% 2 - 3 C+ +3 C- -2 B+ B+ F B +5 C B+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 98 Illinois St. L 65 - 72 28% -4  12% 2 - 4 C- -2 D+ -4 B+ F D- C+ +1 B D D+
 Wed, Dec 3 225 @Elon W 97 - 88 49% -1  49% 3 - 4 B +8 A+ +16 A- F+ A D- -7 B- C- F
 Sat, Dec 6 149 Harvard W 79 - 69 56% +7  90% 4 - 4 B- +8 B +6 A+ B+ F B- +2 B- B- F
 Thu, Dec 18 324 @Manhattan W 75 - 68 73% +2  74% 5 - 4 C -0 D- -7 C D+ F B+ +7 C+ C+ B-
 Sun, Dec 21 264 Charleston Southern W 84 - 76 77% +6  85% 6 - 4 C -1 C -0 C B- B- C -1 B- B- F
 Wed, Dec 31 181 Mercer W 74 - 72 63% +3  82% 7 - 4 1 - 0 C- -2 D+ -3 B D- C+ C+ +1 A D- F
 Sat, Jan 3 244 Western Carolina L 77 - 80 OT 74% -3  21% 7 - 5 1 - 1 D -11 D -6 C- D B- D+ -5 C F C
 Wed, Jan 7 282 @Chattanooga W 78 - 67 61% +5  64% 8 - 5 2 - 1 B- +7 C +2 C B D B+ +6 C+ B- B-
 Sat, Jan 10 359 VMI W 69 - 48 95% +10  83% 9 - 5 3 - 1 C +2 F -13 F+ B+ F A+ +16 A+ D A+
 Wed, Jan 14 195 @Samford W 77 - 73 42% +2  56% 10 - 5 4 - 1 B- +5 C +0 C C- C- B +5 B- C+ C-
 Sat, Jan 17 229 Wofford L 70 - 74 72% +3  72% 10 - 6 4 - 2 D -11 D -4 F A+ F+ D- -7 D D D
 Wed, Jan 21 349 @The Citadel L 75 - 77 OT 81% +6  68% 10 - 7 4 - 3 D- -12 D -5 D- F C+ D- -7 C+ F F+
 Fri, Jan 23 298 @UNC Greensboro W 89 - 66 66% +5  89% 11 - 7 5 - 3 A +18 A+ +17 A+ D A+ B +4 C+ C+ D+
 Thu, Jan 29 195 Samford W 78 - 73 65% +4  75% 12 - 7 6 - 3 C +0 B- +5 A A+ F D+ -5 B F F
 Sun, Feb 1 282 Chattanooga W 75 - 70 80% +12  95% 13 - 7 7 - 3 D+ -5 C- -1 B- B- F D+ -3 B+ F C+
 Wed, Feb 4 135 @East Tennessee St. L 71 - 75 OT 30% +5  82% 13 - 8 7 - 4 C +0 D -5 A D F B+ +5 C+ A+ F+
 Sun, Feb 8 298 UNC Greensboro L 64 - 67 83% -4  13% 13 - 9 7 - 5 D- -14 F -13 F D- F+ C -1 D- A D+
 Wed, Feb 11 181 @Mercer L 64 - 69 40% +2  67% 13 - 10 7 - 6 C- -3 F+ -9 F D+ A- B+ +6 A+ B F
 Sat, Feb 14 359 @VMI W 90 - 72 88% +12  99% 14 - 10 8 - 6 C+ +5 B- +5 A- C C- C -1 D+ A F
 Wed, Feb 18 135 East Tennessee St. L 69 - 78 52% -3  22% 14 - 11 8 - 7 D -11 D -5 F C- A+ D -6 D- A+ C
 Sat, Feb 21 229 @Wofford W 76 - 67 50% +4  74% 15 - 11 9 - 7 B +8 B- +5 A F+ C- B +4 C B+ F+
 Wed, Feb 25 349 The Citadel W 72 - 51 92% +5  79% 16 - 11 10 - 7 C+ +5 C +1 F A+ F+ A- +7 B- A- F
 Sat, Feb 28 244 @Western Carolina W 75 - 74 53%
Totals 17 - 11 11 - 7 -1 C- -2 D- C B C +1 D D D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- B A D C 39% 26% 48% B C+ C D+ C- D C- D D+ C B D C+ C+ 38% 21% 40% C C+ C C+ C+ D B+ B- B+
1.06 63% 47% 30% 0 +1 1.05 30% 1.0 .29 19% .29 68% .20 1.08 53% 42% 33% -2 0 0.98 30% 1.0 .30 14% .25 71% .20
Nov
3		 High Point D- A- A+ F+ B- 40% 17% 44% C C+ A+ F D F B+ C+ B+ F F D F+ F 43% 28% 30% A F A- F+ C+ F A+ A+ A+
0.97 68% 50% 29% +3 +1 1.08 44% 0.6 .26 30% .37 74% .27 1.33 81% 41% 39% +13 -1 1.26 26% 1.3 .34 8% .22 53% .12
Nov
7		 Troy F F F A D 41% 11% 48% B+ D+ D+ D- D F D D D- A B F A- B 35% 10% 55% C+ B A+ B A A- B+ B+ A-
0.89 42% 20% 41% -4 +1 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 25% .23 67% .16 0.94 50% 60% 29% -5 +1 0.94 24% 0.9 .21 20% .24 69% .17
Nov
14		 Northern Iowa F+ A+ A+ F D- 39% 4% 57% A D+ D+ D- D D D F F C C- F B+ C 45% 19% 36% C+ C C A+ B+ F+ D- F F
0.84 74% 50% 14% -10 +2 0.86 22% 0.8 .17 20% .22 55% .12 1.09 62% 56% 29% +3 +1 1.09 22% 0.7 .16 11% .30 82% .24
Nov
23		 Queens A+ A+ A+ A- A+ 41% 6% 53% A- A+ B- F F A+ C+ F+ C- F B- F+ B- B- 27% 25% 48% A B B+ F F F B- F C
1.43 81% 67% 41% +16 +2 1.39 37% 0.6 .23 6% .36 67% .24 1.25 57% 46% 32% 0 -1 1.00 24% 1.9 .45 6% .29 82% .24
Nov
27		 Richmond C- A+ B- D+ A- 26% 26% 49% C- B+ B B B+ F A+ F D B C B C B 41% 12% 47% F C F A+ B+ A+ C F D
1.06 83% 42% 30% +5 -2 1.09 35% 1.3 .44 23% .40 43% .17 1.04 60% 33% 35% +1 +1 1.06 39% 0.5 .19 25% .33 88% .29
Nov
28		 Illinois St. D+ D+ B+ B+ B 39% 14% 47% A B+ F+ F F D- F F F C+ D- D B- C+ 20% 37% 43% A+ B C F D D+ D B C-
0.97 55% 43% 38% +2 +1 1.08 19% 0.7 .13 19% .20 55% .11 1.08 70% 42% 32% +2 -3 1.00 27% 1.3 .36 15% .32 67% .21
Dec
3		 Elon A+ A+ C- B 38% 0% 62% A+ A- C F F+ A A+ B+ A+ D- B+ A+ C- B 45% 2% 53% D- B- C D+ C- F F+ D- F
1.35 75% 34% +7 +3 1.21 33% 0.8 .28 11% .49 77% .38 1.23 50% 0% 35% -3 +3 1.02 33% 1.1 .35 8% .38 76% .29
Dec
6		 Harvard B A+ A+ F A+ 41% 11% 48% B- A+ D+ A+ B+ F A+ A- A+ B- B D F+ C 35% 38% 27% A+ B- B C+ B- F A- A+ A+
1.16 83% 100% 24% +10 +1 1.25 26% 1.5 .39 23% .38 80% .31 1.01 53% 43% 40% +2 -3 1.02 23% 0.9 .20 13% .19 55% .10
Dec
18		 Manhattan D- C A C+ C- 42% 8% 50% A- C C+ F+ D+ F B- F F B+ F C+ A C- 28% 30% 43% A- C+ F+ A+ C+ B- C+ A+ B
1.08 62% 50% 36% +4 +2 1.14 39% 0.9 .36 24% .27 36% .10 0.98 67% 38% 26% -3 -2 0.93 33% 0.9 .29 17% .28 69% .19
Dec
21		 Charleston Southern C C- D C+ C 38% 21% 41% C+ C F A+ B- B- B A- A- C D D+ A+ B+ 43% 8% 49% D B- A- D B- F A+ A+ A+
1.13 52% 33% 35% -3 0 0.96 20% 1.8 .35 11% .39 77% .30 1.02 63% 40% 26% -4 +2 0.98 23% 1.0 .23 12% .14 56% .08
Dec
31		 Mercer D+ C B- A B- 45% 14% 41% B+ B B- F D- C+ A+ F B- C+ A+ D+ B- A 32% 35% 33% A+ A C F D- F A+ D A+
1.10 57% 43% 43% +5 +1 1.16 36% 0.6 .22 16% .39 59% .23 1.07 39% 40% 32% -7 -2 0.84 33% 1.2 .40 10% .15 78% .12
Jan
3		 Western Carolina D A+ D D+ C 27% 25% 48% D- C- C- F D B- D F F D+ A+ B+ F D+ 40% 33% 27% A C F D+ F C B- A B
1.08 80% 36% 33% +5 -1 1.09 26% 0.8 .21 14% .28 47% .13 1.12 41% 33% 53% 0 -1 0.98 41% 1.1 .44 17% .27 63% .17
Jan
7		 Chattanooga C D+ F A- C- 45% 8% 47% A- C C- A+ B D C B- C+ B+ A+ A F C+ 27% 18% 55% C C+ D- A+ B- B- A+ C+ A+
1.14 55% 0% 39% -1 +2 1.04 31% 1.4 .44 16% .35 75% .26 0.98 40% 30% 40% -1 0 0.98 26% 0.7 .18 17% .14 75% .11
Jan
10		 VMI F C- A- D F 24% 15% 61% C- F+ A C- B+ F A F C A+ A+ A A+ A+ 31% 18% 51% B- A+ D- C D A+ B- C+ B-
1.05 60% 50% 32% 0 0 1.02 49% 1.0 .49 30% .39 56% .22 0.73 29% 25% 22% -21 0 0.60 30% 0.9 .28 24% .26 69% .18
Jan
14		 Samford C C+ A+ F C 27% 24% 49% C C A F C- C- D+ F+ D B C- A+ A+ B+ 46% 15% 38% F B- A- F C+ C- C- F D-
1.10 60% 69% 26% +2 -1 1.04 37% 0.7 .27 14% .27 69% .18 1.04 63% 25% 25% -5 +1 0.94 18% 1.3 .24 13% .38 78% .29
Jan
17		 Wofford D F A+ F F+ 23% 26% 51% F F B+ A+ A+ F+ C- B- C D- D- F B D- 44% 16% 40% C D C+ F D D A D- A-
1.10 45% 58% 25% -5 -2 0.89 37% 1.4 .51 19% .29 80% .23 1.16 64% 50% 30% +2 +1 1.08 27% 1.3 .33 13% .23 77% .18
Jan
21		 The Citadel D A C+ F F+ 44% 9% 47% B- D- C- F F C+ D+ A+ C+ D- F A+ A+ B- 37% 10% 53% F+ C+ D F F F+ F F F
1.07 75% 40% 23% 0 +2 1.05 31% 0.6 .18 14% .27 81% .22 1.10 67% 20% 23% -7 +1 0.90 31% 1.3 .38 14% .50 77% .38
Jan
23		 UNC Greensboro A+ A F A+ A+ 36% 15% 49% B- A+ F A+ D A+ F+ A+ C B F A+ A+ B 40% 13% 47% F C+ B+ D- C+ D+ B- D+ C+
1.40 74% 25% 50% +15 +1 1.34 20% 1.4 .28 8% .20 92% .19 1.04 74% 17% 23% -4 +1 0.96 22% 1.1 .25 14% .33 72% .24
Jan
29		 Samford B- A+ A+ F A 37% 23% 40% B A B- A+ A+ F A+ C A+ D+ A- F A+ C+ 18% 38% 44% A+ B F C F F C A+ B+
1.21 81% 70% 24% +10 0 1.21 29% 1.7 .50 22% .40 75% .30 1.13 50% 52% 25% -2 -4 0.91 36% 1.1 .39 6% .36 55% .20
Feb
1		 Chattanooga C- D+ A+ C+ C+ 50% 11% 39% A- B- D- A+ B- F B B B+ D+ A D B B+ 25% 22% 53% B- B+ F D+ F C+ D+ C+ C-
1.14 55% 60% 35% +1 +2 1.09 26% 1.6 .41 18% .39 76% .30 1.06 46% 45% 30% -5 -1 0.90 36% 1.2 .42 17% .29 75% .22
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 East Tennessee St. D A+ A+ D+ A 45% 9% 47% B+ A D D- D F F F F B+ B A F C+ 44% 25% 31% B C+ B+ A+ A+ F+ D+ B- C-
0.98 76% 75% 32% +10 +2 1.26 25% 0.9 .21 29% .19 60% .12 1.03 54% 29% 41% -1 0 1.00 22% 0.6 .14 12% .35 73% .25
Feb
8		 UNC Greensboro F F+ A F F 59% 9% 33% A+ F D+ F D- F+ B+ B+ A- C A+ F+ F D 44% 19% 38% F+ D- B A+ A D+ C+ C+ C+
1.02 52% 50% 27% -6 +3 0.96 27% 0.9 .24 17% .33 76% .25 1.06 33% 44% 56% +3 +1 1.08 23% 0.6 .14 14% .35 68% .24
Feb
11		 Mercer F+ F F D F 35% 9% 56% B F F+ B D+ A- D F F B+ A+ D- B+ A+ 53% 14% 33% F A+ C- A B F C- F F+
0.96 42% 20% 32% -9 +1 0.87 25% 1.1 .28 14% .23 62% .14 1.04 37% 43% 29% -13 +2 0.80 34% 0.8 .27 11% .35 86% .30
Feb
14		 VMI B- A+ A+ C+ A- 26% 8% 66% B- A- F+ A+ C C- B C+ B C A+ F D D+ 28% 4% 69% D- D+ B A+ A F D+ F F
1.27 85% 100% 36% +14 +1 1.32 30% 1.3 .40 17% .34 75% .25 1.01 33% 50% 35% -5 +1 0.94 21% 0.6 .12 10% .31 85% .27
Feb
18		 East Tennessee St. D B+ A+ F F 30% 12% 58% C F B- D- C- A+ A+ C A+ D A+ D F F+ 41% 18% 41% C D- D+ A+ A+ C C- B- C
1.01 67% 50% 17% -11 +1 0.82 33% 0.8 .28 13% .47 75% .35 1.14 43% 44% 52% +6 +1 1.16 30% 0.5 .16 16% .33 74% .24
Feb
21		 Wofford B- C F A+ A 55% 11% 34% B+ A F+ D- F+ C- C+ C C+ B C- F A+ B- 48% 8% 44% F+ C B+ B B+ F+ C A+ A-
1.19 58% 20% 56% +9 +3 1.26 22% 1.0 .22 16% .31 76% .24 1.05 58% 75% 23% -4 +2 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 11% .33 53% .18
Feb
25		 The Citadel C F+ A+ F F 53% 5% 43% A F A+ C- A+ F+ A+ A- A+ A- A F A+ B+ 36% 8% 56% F B- A+ F A- F A+ A+ A+
1.20 52% 50% 24% -9 +3 0.90 56% 1.0 .56 18% .51 76% .39 0.85 44% 75% 25% -10 +1 0.86 14% 1.2 .17 12% .15 25% .04



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 6.6 6.6 2nd
3rd 4.6 46.7 51.3 3rd
4th 23.2 23.2 4th
5th 18.9 18.9 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 46.7 53.3 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 53.3% 22.2% 22.2% 14.4 0.0 0.7 6.2 4.7 0.2 41.4
10-8 46.7% 15.1% 15.1% 15.0 0.0 1.2 4.4 1.5 39.7
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 18.9% 18.9% 0.0% 14.6 81.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 11.8% 100.0% 14.4 0.1 6.1 52.5 39.7 1.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 12.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 13.9%
Lose Out 17.7%