Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -6.0 267
Results Rating -6.3 265
Consistency 0.15 171
Pace 64.4 287
Improvement +0.5 167

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 299 D- C- D+ B- D
Defense C- 207 D+ C+ C D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 282 D+ 54% 288 -3.5 303
2 Pt. Jumpers 52% 41 D 34% 310 +1.6 91
Three Pointers 37% 272 D 31% 298 -3.8 310
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.2 323 D -4.4 321
1st FG Attempt D- 0.91 337
Second Chance B- 33.0% 98 D- 0.91 330 C- 0.30 203
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.4% 276
Other Turnovers D+ 8.1% 286
Turnovers D+ 18.6% 296
Freethrows B 0.34 65 C 73% 179 B- 0.25 79
Total Offense D -4.9 299

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 37% 331 D- 14.0% 330
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 37% 36 F+ 9.1% 347
Three Pointers C+ 86% 148 B+ 0.2% 22
Total D+ 51% 281 F+ 7.5% 340

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 54 F+ 66% 351 +6.5 353
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 164 B- 35% 73 -0.5 149
Three Pointers 36% 327 C+ 33% 111 -3.4 47
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 223 D+ +2.2 268
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 261
Second Chance C+ 29.1% 129 C 1.04 201 C+ 0.30 157
Turnovers from Steals C- 9.0% 213
Other Turnovers C+ 7.6% 134
Turnovers C 16.6% 195
Freethrows F+ 0.38 353 A- 68% 12 D 0.26 318
Total Defense C- -1.1 207

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 262 D+ 8.3% 286
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 178 C+ 6.3% 92
Three Pointers C 84% 174 C+ 1.3% 101
Total C 56% 187 C 5.4% 186

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.7 316 16.9 109
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 203 0.21 319
Consistency 0.12 155 0.12 183
Improvement -1.3 257 +1.9 85

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 288 269 248
Results Rating Rank 299 266 244
Conference Record 6 - 12 7 - 11 8 - 10
Conference Finish 11 10 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Northeastern (Home) - 66.2% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 81 - 13
Quad 410 - 711 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 263 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 86 - 90 37% -6  17% 0 - 1 D+ -7 D+ -2 D+ D+ F D+ -4 C D+ F+
 Tue, Nov 11 20 @Virginia L 53 - 91 1% -24  0% 0 - 2 F+ -17 F+ -9 F B C+ F+ -9 D F A-
 Fri, Nov 14 277 @Brown W 72 - 63 41% +4  68% 1 - 2 B- +5 B +6 F+ A+ C- C +0 F D+ A+
 Sun, Nov 16 327 Holy Cross L 61 - 67 67% -0  39% 1 - 3 F+ -17 F+ -9 F+ C F F+ -9 F+ F A-
 Tue, Nov 18 136 @Boston College L 52 - 63 16% -12  0% 1 - 4 D+ -7 F -14 F B F B+ +6 A C C+
 Fri, Nov 21 304 @Norfolk St. L 60 - 62 48% -2  13% 1 - 5 D+ -8 F+ -9 C- D- D C+ +1 C- B+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 351 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 74 - 68 67% +10  90% 2 - 5 C- -5 B +7 C C- B+ F -10 C F+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 319 Loyola Maryland W 93 - 71 75% +15  98% 3 - 5 B +9 B +6 A+ F D B- +2 A+ F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 200 Howard L 57 - 61 36% -3  11% 3 - 6 D+ -6 F -14 F F B- A- +8 C+ A+ C-
 Thu, Dec 18 344 Jackson St. W 84 - 77 73% +5  86% 4 - 6 D+ -5 C -0 D+ A F D -5 F B- D
 Fri, Dec 19 299 Grambling St. L 72 - 81 58% -7  3% 4 - 7 F+ -17 C +0 B- F D- F -18 F F B-
 Mon, Dec 29 219 Stony Brook W 62 - 59 51% -2  20% 5 - 7 1 - 0 C- -3 F -11 F+ B D+ A- +8 F+ A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 31 174 Towson W 63 - 62 42% +1  52% 6 - 7 2 - 0 C- -3 C- -1 C- B- F C- -2 B+ C- D+
 Sat, Jan 3 107 @UNC Wilmington L 45 - 49 12% -4  12% 6 - 8 2 - 1 C+ +3 F -19 F F C+ A+ +21 A- A A-
 Thu, Jan 8 196 @Campbell L 72 - 86 26% -13  6% 6 - 9 2 - 2 D- -13 F+ -8 D C+ F D+ -4 D+ A+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 147 @College of Charleston L 70 - 74 18% -5  0% 6 - 10 2 - 3 C -0 B +6 D- B+ B- D -6 D- C- F+
 Mon, Jan 19 275 N.C. A&T W 82 - 61 63% +5  64% 7 - 10 3 - 3 B+ +12 B+ +8 D A A+ B+ +5 C+ A+ D-
 Thu, Jan 22 187 Monmouth W 65 - 63 45% +3  80% 8 - 10 4 - 3 C- -3 D -6 F B C B- +3 D+ D A+
 Sat, Jan 24 107 UNC Wilmington L 67 - 75 25% -3  19% 8 - 11 4 - 4 D+ -7 C+ +3 C+ A- C+ F -12 D F C-
 Thu, Jan 29 215 @Drexel L 51 - 58 28% -3  21% 8 - 12 4 - 5 D+ -7 F -15 D- F F A- +7 A D C
 Sat, Jan 31 174 @Towson L 50 - 82 22% -18  0% 8 - 13 4 - 6 F -30 F -18 F F B- F -14 F A+ D-
 Thu, Feb 5 225 Elon W 87 - 79 2OT 52% +0  35% 9 - 13 5 - 6 C +1 D -5 F A B+ B+ +5 B- A C
 Sat, Feb 7 139 William & Mary W 77 - 74 34% -1  36% 10 - 13 6 - 6 C +1 C- -1 D+ A- B B- +3 B C+ C
 Fri, Feb 13 275 N.C. A&T L 70 - 71 52% +4  92% 10 - 14 6 - 7 D+ -7 D -6 D A- F C- -2 C+ C F
 Thu, Feb 19 104 @Hofstra L 43 - 79 11% -14  7% 10 - 15 6 - 8 F -29 F -23 F F+ F F -11 F F D-
 Sat, Feb 21 219 @Stony Brook L 72 - 79 29% -5  17% 10 - 16 6 - 9 D+ -7 C- -2 C D- F D -5 F C+ A+
 Thu, Feb 26 147 College of Charleston L 71 - 85 36% -12  0% 10 - 17 6 - 10 F+ -16 D+ -3 C- C C- F -14 D- F D-
 Sat, Feb 28 288 Northeastern W 76 - 72 66%
 Tue, Mar 3 139 @William & Mary L 71 - 81 16%
Totals 11 - 18 7 - 11 -6 D -5 A D D C- -1 D C B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D+ D D D 35% 52% 37% D D- B- D- C- D+ B C B- C- F+ B- C+ D+ 43% 21% 36% C- D+ C+ C C+ C F+ A- D
1.02 54% 34% 31% -4 -1 0.91 33% 0.9 .30 19% .34 73% .25 1.10 66% 35% 33% +2 0 1.07 29% 1.0 .30 17% .38 68% .23
Nov
3		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee D+ F B+ A- C- 40% 21% 38% D+ D+ A- F D+ F A+ C A+ D+ D- A+ B- C 40% 18% 42% D- C F A D+ F+ F A+ F
1.08 48% 45% 40% +1 0 1.04 37% 0.8 .30 23% .55 74% .41 1.13 64% 20% 30% -3 0 0.96 41% 0.9 .37 11% .60 55% .33
Nov
11		 Virginia F+ F D- F F 38% 19% 43% B+ F C- A+ B C+ F F F F+ C- C+ F D 53% 10% 37% F+ D F C- F A- C F D
0.79 35% 30% 22% -18 0 0.66 24% 1.2 .29 16% .20 64% .12 1.36 62% 40% 44% +8 +2 1.22 52% 1.1 .59 19% .31 82% .26
Nov
14		 Brown B F A+ F F+ 43% 32% 25% D F+ A+ D+ A+ C- A+ B+ A+ C F A F+ F 50% 10% 40% F F D- B- D+ A+ F A+ D+
1.13 37% 64% 18% -7 -1 0.86 53% 0.9 .47 19% .54 79% .43 0.99 70% 25% 38% +7 +2 1.20 33% 1.0 .33 30% .34 60% .20
Nov
16		 Holy Cross F+ D D+ D- F 44% 18% 38% C+ F+ A+ F C F A A+ A+ F+ F A- B- D- 39% 22% 39% F+ F+ C+ F F A- D- F F
1.03 55% 38% 29% -4 +1 0.96 43% 0.8 .34 19% .35 94% .33 1.13 75% 33% 31% +4 0 1.10 19% 1.8 .33 20% .32 100% .32
Nov
18		 Boston College F B F+ F F 27% 29% 44% F+ F A- C B F C- F F B+ B- F A+ A 31% 20% 49% C- A C- C C C+ D- F F
0.80 62% 29% 19% -12 -2 0.75 36% 0.9 .31 22% .28 43% .12 0.97 53% 60% 17% -10 -1 0.82 31% 1.0 .31 15% .35 74% .26
Nov
21		 Norfolk St. F+ A+ D- B B- 21% 28% 51% F C- D D- D- D F+ F F C+ B+ C- F C- 43% 30% 27% C C- B- A B+ F F A+ B-
0.97 78% 33% 36% +5 -2 1.07 29% 0.9 .26 19% .30 53% .16 1.00 47% 38% 42% -1 -1 0.98 28% 0.8 .22 15% .42 50% .21
Nov
25		 Maryland Eastern Shore B C C B+ C+ 38% 28% 33% D- C F A+ C- B+ A+ B- A+ F B A- D C 40% 29% 31% C+ C B- F F+ F F D+ F
1.21 60% 36% 38% +3 -1 1.05 24% 1.4 .34 13% .62 76% .47 1.11 50% 31% 36% -5 -1 0.91 26% 1.3 .35 11% .42 74% .31
Dec
3		 Loyola Maryland B A+ F A+ A+ 35% 33% 33% F+ A+ C F F D A+ D- A+ B- F A+ A+ A 25% 20% 55% A A+ F F F A+ F A+ F
1.27 81% 27% 67% +20 -2 1.39 31% 0.6 .19 16% .59 69% .41 0.97 91% 11% 17% -11 -1 0.77 37% 1.3 .47 23% .59 61% .35
Dec
13		 Howard F D- F F F 43% 17% 40% C- F C F F B- A+ C- A+ A- D A+ A+ B+ 66% 7% 27% F C+ A+ A+ A+ C- F A+ F
0.84 50% 14% 6% -24 +1 0.55 33% 0.7 .24 18% .77 70% .54 0.90 59% 0% 17% -9 +4 0.91 23% 0.1 .03 19% .60 64% .38
Dec
18		 Jackson St. C F D A+ C- 30% 30% 41% F D+ C- A+ A F A+ A+ A+ D F F B F 33% 22% 44% D F A F+ B- D C D- C-
1.17 38% 31% 50% +2 -2 1.02 34% 1.5 .52 21% .55 84% .46 1.07 67% 58% 29% +4 -1 1.09 19% 1.2 .22 17% .27 81% .22
Dec
19		 Grambling St. C A D A B+ 39% 28% 33% F+ B- A- F F D- A+ B+ A+ F F F A+ F 61% 15% 24% F F F F F B- F D F
1.08 72% 31% 40% +6 -1 1.13 42% 0.4 .16 23% .45 78% .35 1.22 72% 50% 20% +5 +2 1.17 36% 1.3 .48 23% .58 77% .45
Dec
29		 Stony Brook F A A+ F D- 31% 27% 42% D- F+ D- A+ B D+ A- F C A- C+ B+ F D 50% 7% 43% F F+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ C
0.96 71% 50% 16% -4 -1 0.91 26% 1.4 .35 17% .36 58% .21 0.92 52% 33% 44% +4 +3 1.14 23% 0.3 .06 25% .41 45% .19
Dec
31		 Towson C- A+ F F C 33% 30% 37% D- C- A- D+ B- F A+ B+ A+ C- D- C- A+ B+ 32% 34% 34% B B+ D C+ C- D+ F B- F
1.04 79% 23% 25% -3 -2 0.93 34% 0.9 .31 20% .41 75% .31 1.03 64% 40% 13% -8 -2 0.82 38% 0.8 .31 15% .51 65% .33
Jan
3		 UNC Wilmington F F+ D+ F F 33% 35% 33% D F D F F C+ F B F+ A+ F+ C A+ B+ 29% 33% 38% A- A- B+ A- A A- F+ A+ A+
0.75 50% 35% 13% -14 -2 0.69 22% 0.7 .15 13% .17 78% .14 0.82 67% 36% 19% -7 -2 0.83 28% 0.9 .26 18% .43 38% .16
Jan
8		 Campbell F+ B- D- D- D+ 47% 30% 23% D+ D B D+ C+ F A+ B A+ D+ A+ C+ F D 42% 13% 46% C D+ C A+ A+ C F F F
0.97 65% 31% 30% 0 -1 1.00 35% 1.1 .39 28% .49 77% .38 1.16 40% 33% 45% 0 +1 1.04 33% 0.4 .14 18% .62 84% .52
Jan
10		 College of Charleston B C+ B+ F D 25% 37% 37% F D- A+ D B+ B- B- C+ B- D F D B+ F 32% 24% 44% B- D- A+ F C- F+ F C+ F
1.11 62% 42% 21% -5 -3 0.86 45% 0.9 .39 13% .25 71% .18 1.18 85% 40% 28% +5 -1 1.10 17% 2.0 .35 13% .55 73% .40
Jan
19		 N.C. A&T B+ A+ D+ F C 19% 42% 40% F D B+ A- A A+ D A+ B- B+ A- A F C+ 41% 33% 25% C+ C+ A- A+ A+ D- A+ B+ A+
1.27 90% 36% 29% +2 -4 0.98 34% 1.2 .42 6% .26 88% .23 0.95 48% 29% 46% -3 -1 0.94 24% 0.6 .13 16% .24 69% .17
Jan
22		 Monmouth D F F A+ F 35% 28% 37% F+ F D+ A+ B C A+ B+ A+ B- F+ A+ D D+ 33% 26% 41% C+ D+ D D D A+ B+ A+ A+
1.01 40% 17% 44% -7 -1 0.86 29% 1.3 .38 19% .42 77% .32 0.98 67% 25% 37% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.1 .38 25% .25 42% .10
Jan
24		 UNC Wilmington C+ B C+ C- B- 24% 31% 45% D C+ B A+ A- C+ F F F F F C+ A D- 44% 29% 27% C- D C F F C- F C F
1.12 67% 40% 32% +1 -2 1.00 30% 1.3 .39 13% .15 63% .10 1.25 72% 33% 27% +2 -1 1.05 33% 1.4 .47 13% .52 70% .37
Jan
29		 Drexel F F A+ F D- 39% 37% 24% F+ D- B+ F F F D- A D+ A- B- C+ A+ A 45% 33% 21% B+ A C+ F D C F D- F
0.82 37% 50% 25% -7 -2 0.84 37% 0.1 .05 21% .24 83% .20 0.93 53% 36% 22% -7 -1 0.86 28% 1.1 .31 19% .44 73% .32
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Towson F F F B- F 40% 25% 35% C- F D+ F F B- B F D F F F+ F F 40% 30% 30% C- F A+ A+ A+ D- F A F
0.76 32% 25% 35% -13 0 0.75 24% 0.5 .11 14% .32 50% .16 1.25 75% 47% 47% +15 -1 1.30 26% 0.5 .13 14% .44 60% .26
Feb
5		 Elon D F F F F 33% 30% 37% D- F B- A+ A B+ A+ C- A+ B+ F A+ C+ C 31% 31% 38% A+ B- B- A+ A C F A+ F+
1.10 42% 29% 29% -11 -2 0.77 36% 1.5 .53 13% .54 70% .38 1.00 76% 24% 33% +1 -2 1.00 30% 0.8 .23 16% .46 60% .27
Feb
7		 William & Mary C- D+ F A+ C- 35% 28% 37% F+ D+ B- A A- B A+ C A+ B- F+ F A+ B+ 55% 13% 32% D B A+ F C+ C F B F
1.08 56% 23% 41% -1 -1 0.98 33% 1.3 .42 17% .52 71% .37 1.04 69% 67% 7% -3 +2 1.00 17% 1.6 .27 17% .54 72% .39
Feb
13		 N.C. A&T D C C- D- D 44% 19% 37% B- D B- A+ A- F A+ C- A+ C- C A+ F C+ 48% 39% 14% B- C+ B+ F C F F B+ F
1.06 58% 38% 31% -2 +1 1.00 31% 1.3 .41 21% .54 68% .36 1.07 57% 24% 50% -3 -2 0.93 26% 1.3 .32 11% .51 70% .35
Feb
19		 Hofstra F F F F F 34% 28% 38% C- F A- F F+ F F+ F F F F B- B F+ 45% 18% 37% F F B- F F D- A+ C+ A+
0.70 41% 21% 16% -21 -1 0.58 38% 0.5 .19 21% .23 64% .15 1.29 78% 33% 32% +7 +1 1.18 31% 1.6 .50 13% .15 75% .11
Feb
21		 Stony Brook C- C- D+ B+ C 41% 24% 35% C- C C+ F D- F B+ C+ B+ D F F F F 39% 10% 51% D- F B D+ C+ A+ F D+ F
1.04 57% 33% 39% +1 0 1.04 34% 0.6 .21 20% .35 74% .25 1.15 69% 75% 43% +15 +1 1.34 24% 1.0 .24 23% .51 74% .38
Feb
26		 College of Charleston D+ C D- C- C- 30% 20% 50% C+ C- F A+ C C- A A A+ F F A+ F D- 54% 26% 20% D D- F F F D- F B+ F
1.04 60% 30% 32% -3 -1 0.96 20% 1.4 .29 15% .33 79% .26 1.24 72% 8% 44% +3 0 1.09 39% 1.3 .52 13% .49 69% .34



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 1.5 1.5 7th
8th 5.3 5.3 8th
9th 19.1 4.3 23.4 9th
10th 12.8 36.9 49.6 10th
11th 15.7 4.4 20.1 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 28.5 60.4 11.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 11.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.1
7-11 60.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.3 60.1
6-12 28.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 28.4
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 99.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%
Lose Out 19.8%