Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.7 #242
Expected Predictive Rating -6.7 #269
Pace 64.5 #302
Improvement +1.4 #112

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #283 D- C- D B D-
Defense #190 D+ C C- F D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #288 1.11 #238 -3.2 #288
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% #50 0.71 #240 +2.2 #73
Three Pointers 38% #255 0.91 #297 -3.6 #299
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #305 -4.6 #305
Freethrows 20.0 #68 71% #233 14.2 #82
Second Chance 33.6% #103 0.89 #333 0.30 #223
Turnovers 18.8% #309
Total Offense -4.0 #283

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #59 1.32 #333 -6.1 #351
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #259 0.72 #128 +1.3 #92
Three Pointers 39% #239 0.94 #86 +2.5 #93
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #258 -2.3 #258
Freethrows 23.5 #356 69% #51 16.2 #19
Second Chance 30.4% #169 1.04 #181 0.32 #172
Turnovers 16.0% #207
Total Defense -0.6 #190

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.4% #321 1.4% #296
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -6.7% #283 3.0% #243
Possession Length 18.4 #285 17.2 #177
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #145 0.19 #240
Improvement -1.7 #284 +3.1 #30

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 1.6% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 9.3% 11.7% 2.9%
.500 or above in Conference 30.7% 36.8% 14.4%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.7% 2.4% 14.5%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round1.2% 1.4% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: N.C. A&T (Home) - 72.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 73 - 11
Quad 410 - 712 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 229 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 86 - 90 35% -6  0 - 1 -5 +0 C C- F -5 C- C F
 Tue, Nov 11 17 @Virginia L 53 - 91 2% -24  0 - 2 -18 -8 F C+ C -11 D F A+
 Fri, Nov 14 248 @Brown W 72 - 63 40% +4  1 - 2 +7 +10 F A+ D -2 F D+ A+
 Sun, Nov 16 310 Holy Cross L 61 - 67 66% -0  1 - 3 -15 -5 F B- F -11 F F A
 Tue, Nov 18 151 @Boston College L 52 - 63 22% -12  1 - 4 -8 -12 F C+ F +3 A C- C-
 Fri, Nov 21 289 @Norfolk St. L 60 - 62 49% -2  1 - 5 -6 -5 C+ D- F -2 D B+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 324 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 74 - 68 59% +10  2 - 5 -1 +11 B D+ A -11 C F F
 Wed, Dec 3 336 Loyola Maryland W 93 - 71 81% +15  3 - 5 +8 +7 A+ F D -0 A+ F A-
 Sat, Dec 13 275 Howard L 57 - 61 57% -3  3 - 6 -11 -14 F F B +3 D+ A+ C-
 Thu, Dec 18 333 Jackson St. W 84 - 77 72% +5  4 - 6 -4 +4 D A F -8 F C D
 Fri, Dec 19 269 Grambling St. L 72 - 81 55% -7  4 - 7 -15 +1 B- F D -16 F F B-
 Mon, Dec 29 274 Stony Brook W 62 - 59 68% -2  5 - 7 1 - 0 -6 -9 F B+ D +2 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 31 166 Towson W 63 - 62 46% +1  6 - 7 2 - 0 -3 -1 C- C F -2 A+ D- D-
 Sat, Jan 3 118 @UNC Wilmington L 45 - 49 17% -4  6 - 8 2 - 1 +2 -17 F F C +18 A- A+ B+
 Thu, Jan 8 191 @Campbell L 72 - 86 29% -13  6 - 9 2 - 2 -13 -6 D D F -7 D- A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 10 155 @College of Charleston L 70 - 74 22% -5  6 - 10 2 - 3 -1 +6 F A- C+ -7 D- D+ D-
 Mon, Jan 19 302 N.C. A&T W 75 - 68 73%
 Thu, Jan 22 185 Monmouth L 66 - 67 50%
 Sat, Jan 24 118 UNC Wilmington L 65 - 69 33%
 Thu, Jan 29 238 @Drexel L 63 - 66 38%
 Sat, Jan 31 166 @Towson L 61 - 68 25%
 Thu, Feb 5 169 Elon L 72 - 73 47%
 Sat, Feb 7 138 William & Mary L 73 - 76 39%
 Fri, Feb 13 302 N.C. A&T W 73 - 69 63%
 Thu, Feb 19 110 @Hofstra L 61 - 73 14%
 Sat, Feb 21 274 @Stony Brook L 65 - 66 46%
 Thu, Feb 26 155 College of Charleston L 70 - 72 43%
 Sat, Feb 28 236 Northeastern W 74 - 72 59%
 Tue, Mar 3 138 @William & Mary L 70 - 79 21%
Totals 12 - 17 8 - 10 -5 -4 D- C- D -1 D+ C C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.9 0.1 2.8 3rd
4th 0.4 2.2 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.2 4th
5th 0.1 2.4 3.9 0.9 0.0 7.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.7 5.3 2.1 0.1 9.3 6th
7th 0.8 5.8 4.5 0.4 11.5 7th
8th 0.4 4.7 7.4 1.5 0.0 14.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 2.9 8.7 3.2 0.2 15.1 9th
10th 0.1 2.0 7.2 4.5 0.4 14.2 10th
11th 0.0 1.2 5.0 4.2 0.7 11.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.4 0.6 0.0 5.8 12th
13th 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.3 13th
Total 0.2 1.4 4.5 9.9 15.3 19.4 18.6 14.4 9.1 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 42.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 26.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 9.5% 9.5% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.5% 14.1% 14.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 1.8% 8.5% 8.5% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
11-7 4.8% 4.7% 4.7% 14.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.5
10-8 9.1% 3.0% 3.0% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 8.9
9-9 14.4% 1.6% 1.6% 15.7 0.1 0.2 14.2
8-10 18.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 18.3
7-11 19.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 19.3
6-12 15.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 15.3
5-13 9.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.9
4-14 4.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.5
3-15 1.4% 1.4
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 15.3 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%