High Point
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +6.0 94
Results Rating +5.7 92
Consistency 0.17 260
Pace 73.3 60
Improvement -1.5 249

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 60 C+ B- B+ B+ B+
Defense C 162 C- D+ A C D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 77 B- 62% 84 +4.0 49
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 310 D+ 35% 283 -3.5 338
Three Pointers 45% 104 C- 33% 223 +1.3 141
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.2 32 C +0.6 142
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 116
Second Chance C+ 31.6% 149 B+ 1.16 35 B- 0.37 71
Opponents' Steals B+ 7.7% 34
Other Turnovers B 6.1% 53
Turnovers B+ 13.8% 27
Freethrows B+ 0.36 33 B- 75% 81 B+ 0.27 27
Total Offense B +5.7 60

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 44% 258 C- 12.0% 241
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 13% 343 C 5.3% 200
Three Pointers B 89% 61 D 1.5% 310
Total C 56% 176 D+ 6.4% 271

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 132 C- 60% 224 +1.7 235
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 319 C- 39% 215 -1.6 60
Three Pointers 44% 98 C 34% 160 +1.1 240
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 306 C +0.4 195
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 219
Second Chance C- 32.0% 254 C- 1.06 232 D+ 0.34 260
Turnovers from Steals A+ 14.4% 3
Other Turnovers C- 7.0% 228
Turnovers A 21.4% 11
Freethrows C 0.31 211 C 72% 188 C 0.23 213
Total Defense C +0.2 162

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 254 B- 14.1% 66
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 28% 244 D+ 3.0% 295
Three Pointers D 88% 299 B 1.7% 53
Total D+ 60% 291 B- 6.9% 82

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.9 42 17.8 266
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.26 11 0.18 205
Consistency 0.10 40 0.13 269
Improvement -3.2 327 +1.7 98

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 100 93 83
Results Rating Rank 103 88 81
Conference Record 15 - 1 15 - 1 15 - 1
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 13 12
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 59% 65% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.4 12.4 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round59% 65% 0%
Second Round6% 7% 0%
Sweet Sixteen1% 1% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 34 - 35 - 4
Quad 422 - 026 - 4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 171 Furman W 97 - 71 75% +17  89% 1 - 0 A+ +25 A+ +18 A+ B- A+ B+ +6 C- C+ A+
 Tue, Nov 11 305 Jacksonville W 85 - 64 94% +11  80% 2 - 0 B +9 B- +5 F+ C- A+ B +4 B C+ B+
 Fri, Nov 14 112 @UAB L 74 - 91 49% -3  21% 2 - 1 D -11 D -5 D D+ D D+ -4 F A- B
 Mon, Nov 17 343 Canisius W 93 - 50 96% +25  97% 3 - 1 A+ +28 A+ +18 A+ A- A+ A+ +12 A+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 106 Illinois-Chicago W 90 - 80 57% +6  96% 4 - 1 B+ +14 A+ +15 A- C A- C -1 C- F A+
 Sat, Nov 22 270 Incarnate Word W 91 - 80 87% +5  61% 5 - 1 C+ +5 A+ +16 C+ A+ B+ F -11 C+ F C-
 Sat, Nov 29 244 Western Carolina W 93 - 73 89% +7  62% 6 - 1 B+ +12 B +6 A+ F+ F+ B +5 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 124 Southern Illinois L 84 - 86 72% +3  60% 6 - 2 C- -2 A- +9 B- B- A F -12 C F C-
 Fri, Dec 5 315 NJIT W 89 - 72 95% +12  97% 7 - 2 C+ +4 B- +5 D A A- C -1 F+ C- A+
 Sun, Dec 14 170 Appalachian St. L 78 - 86 OT 75% -2  30% 7 - 3 D -9 C- -2 D+ F+ A- D -6 F A- C
 Fri, Dec 19 212 La Salle W 84 - 72 86% +8  96% 8 - 3 B- +6 A +13 A- B+ A D -6 D+ C+ C
 Mon, Dec 22 354 Bryant W 93 - 47 98% +27  94% 9 - 3 A+ +28 A+ +18 A A+ F A+ +15 B- C- A+
 Wed, Dec 31 232 @UNC Asheville W 87 - 69 74% +11  96% 10 - 3 1 - 0 A- +17 A+ +16 A+ A C- B- +2 B D- F
 Sat, Jan 3 262 Longwood W 80 - 67 91% +7  90% 11 - 3 2 - 0 C+ +4 B +6 C B+ A- C -1 D- D B+
 Wed, Jan 7 362 Gardner-Webb W 104 - 49 99% +38  99% 12 - 3 3 - 0 A+ +34 B- +5 D+ A- A- A+ +22 A+ C- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 264 @Charleston Southern W 84 - 82 OT 80% -2  27% 13 - 3 4 - 0 C -1 D+ -4 D+ D+ C+ B- +3 C+ B- F+
 Wed, Jan 14 138 @Winthrop L 75 - 92 56% -15  3% 13 - 4 4 - 1 D- -13 C +0 C- F B F -13 F F D
 Sat, Jan 17 300 South Carolina Upstate W 89 - 69 94% +7  96% 14 - 4 5 - 1 B +9 A +13 C A+ A+ D+ -4 B F A-
 Fri, Jan 23 230 @Radford W 93 - 83 74% +1  55% 15 - 4 6 - 1 B +9 A +12 A D A+ D+ -3 F B- A+
 Thu, Jan 29 271 Presbyterian W 84 - 81 92% +2  66% 16 - 4 7 - 1 D+ -6 B +6 F+ B+ A+ F -12 F F B
 Sat, Jan 31 262 @Longwood W 71 - 59 79% +6  77% 17 - 4 8 - 1 B +9 C+ +3 D D A+ A- +7 B- C A+
 Wed, Feb 4 264 Charleston Southern W 80 - 55 91% +11  89% 18 - 4 9 - 1 A- +16 C +0 C+ B- C+ A+ +16 C- B+ A+
 Sat, Feb 7 230 Radford W 86 - 77 88% +3  85% 19 - 4 10 - 1 C+ +2 D+ -4 F+ D+ C B +5 B+ F+ A+
 Thu, Feb 12 300 @South Carolina Upstate W 95 - 70 85% +15  96% 20 - 4 11 - 1 A +20 A +13 D A+ A B +5 F C+ A+
 Sat, Feb 14 362 @Gardner-Webb W 112 - 87 96% +15  98% 21 - 4 12 - 1 B +10 A+ +17 A B+ F F -10 F A+ F
 Thu, Feb 19 232 UNC Asheville W 74 - 48 88% +13  94% 22 - 4 13 - 1 A +19 C+ +2 D+ B- B+ A+ +19 A+ B A+
 Sat, Feb 21 138 Winthrop W 89 - 87 77% +8  95% 23 - 4 14 - 1 C +0 B +7 B+ B C- D- -7 B F D+
 Thu, Feb 26 271 @Presbyterian W 79 - 73 81% +7  90% 24 - 4 15 - 1 C+ +3 B- +5 D B+ A- C- -2 A- F+ D-
Totals 24 - 4 15 - 1 +6 B +6 B+ C B+ C +0 C- B- B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B- D+ C- C 42% 26% 45% B+ C+ C+ B+ B- B+ B+ B- B+ C C- C- C C 40% 16% 44% D C- C- C- D+ A C C C
1.17 62% 35% 33% +1 +1 1.06 32% 1.2 .37 14% .36 75% .27 1.08 60% 39% 34% 0 +1 1.04 32% 1.1 .34 21% .31 72% .26
Nov
3		 Furman A+ A+ C+ A- A+ 43% 28% 30% D+ A+ D A+ B- A+ D+ F F+ B+ D- F+ B+ D+ 40% 17% 44% C+ C- F A+ C+ A+ F D- F
1.33 81% 41% 39% +13 -1 1.26 26% 1.3 .34 8% .22 53% .12 0.97 68% 50% 29% +3 +1 1.08 44% 0.6 .26 30% .37 74% .27
Nov
11		 Jacksonville B- D F C F 48% 13% 38% B F+ D A- C- A+ A A A+ B B A+ B- B+ 32% 8% 60% D- B D+ B+ C+ B+ C B- C+
1.23 56% 14% 35% -4 +2 0.98 25% 1.1 .28 4% .46 77% .35 0.93 50% 0% 30% -9 +1 0.86 32% 0.9 .29 20% .29 69% .20
Nov
14		 UAB D A D- F D- 42% 18% 40% B- D C+ F+ D+ D A+ D+ A+ D+ D F C+ F 48% 27% 25% C F A- B+ A- B F F+ F
0.95 70% 30% 18% -6 +1 0.91 28% 0.7 .20 19% .49 71% .35 1.16 64% 50% 31% +5 0 1.12 26% 0.9 .24 14% .52 77% .40
Nov
17		 Canisius A+ A+ A+ B A+ 37% 11% 53% B- A+ D A+ A- A+ F A F A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 38% 25% 38% C A+ F C F A+ F A F
1.40 81% 67% 37% +14 +1 1.32 26% 1.7 .44 9% .17 80% .13 0.75 33% 30% 20% -19 -1 0.63 39% 0.9 .37 32% .55 64% .35
Nov
20		 Illinois-Chicago A+ C+ F A+ A- 39% 11% 50% B A- C C+ C A- A+ A- A+ C F C+ A+ D+ 33% 23% 44% B- C- F D+ F A+ F C+ F
1.23 59% 20% 41% +3 +1 1.11 34% 1.0 .34 16% .61 81% .49 1.10 81% 36% 24% +1 -1 1.02 48% 1.1 .55 25% .44 71% .31
Nov
22		 Incarnate Word A+ B A F+ C 56% 8% 35% A C+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F B- F+ B+ C+ 32% 22% 46% C C+ F+ F F C- F F+ F
1.39 67% 50% 29% +3 +3 1.15 54% 1.5 .82 12% .54 84% .45 1.22 50% 45% 30% -3 -1 0.94 38% 1.4 .54 15% .40 77% .31
Nov
29		 Western Carolina B A A+ A+ A+ 34% 21% 45% C- A+ C F F+ F+ B- D C+ B F F C- F 31% 24% 45% B F B A+ A+ A+ D A+ C+
1.25 72% 64% 46% +18 0 1.38 29% 0.6 .18 19% .35 71% .25 0.98 75% 58% 35% +11 -1 1.22 30% 0.1 .03 26% .33 61% .20
Dec
3		 Southern Illinois A- D- F A+ B- 42% 15% 42% B+ B- C+ B- B- A A+ B+ A+ F C+ A+ F C 45% 24% 31% D C D F F C- A- D+ B+
1.13 50% 25% 41% -1 +1 1.02 30% 1.1 .33 15% .38 75% .29 1.16 58% 29% 39% 0 0 1.02 33% 1.8 .58 16% .23 71% .16
Dec
5		 NJIT B- C- F D- F+ 49% 9% 42% A- D C A+ A A- C B- C+ C C F D F+ 22% 8% 69% F+ F+ B F C- A+ C+ D- C
1.21 57% 0% 29% -7 +2 0.93 34% 1.4 .49 11% .35 74% .26 0.98 55% 50% 35% +2 0 1.06 22% 1.1 .25 26% .29 75% .22
Dec
14		 Appalachian St. C- C- F D- 37% 0% 63% A+ D+ B- F F+ A- A+ F B D A+ F F F 36% 13% 51% D+ F A+ C+ A- C F F F
1.03 55% 27% -8 +3 0.92 33% 0.5 .16 11% .40 56% .22 1.14 42% 57% 48% +8 +1 1.19 21% 1.0 .21 16% .41 73% .30
Dec
19		 La Salle A D+ F A+ A- 36% 11% 53% B A- D+ A+ B+ A A+ A A+ D C C+ D D+ 48% 26% 26% C- D+ B D+ C+ C F F F
1.28 53% 20% 48% +7 +1 1.19 26% 1.6 .42 12% .48 75% .36 1.10 55% 36% 36% -1 0 1.00 30% 1.0 .30 18% .60 81% .48
Dec
22		 Bryant A+ B A+ A- A 54% 5% 41% A A A+ A+ A+ F A+ D- A+ A+ A- F A+ B+ 54% 5% 41% F B- C C- C- A+ D A+ C+
1.45 64% 100% 41% +10 +3 1.29 58% 1.5 .88 20% .63 69% .43 0.73 45% 100% 20% -12 +3 0.84 28% 1.0 .28 34% .31 62% .19
Dec
31		 UNC Asheville A+ A+ F A+ A+ 40% 19% 42% C- A+ F A+ A C- A+ B+ A+ B- F A+ A+ B+ 32% 38% 30% C B B+ F D- F F A- D
1.30 82% 25% 50% +17 0 1.37 19% 2.3 .43 16% .47 73% .34 1.03 81% 26% 20% -3 -3 0.90 24% 1.5 .36 12% .41 63% .25
Jan
3		 Longwood B A+ F F D+ 51% 8% 41% A- C D- A+ B+ A- B A- A- C D- A- C- D 44% 16% 40% F D- C- F+ D B+ A A A
1.21 77% 25% 24% +2 +3 1.12 22% 1.7 .37 15% .39 77% .30 1.01 65% 29% 33% +1 +1 1.07 33% 1.1 .36 23% .23 67% .16
Jan
7		 Gardner-Webb B- D+ A+ F D- 48% 12% 40% B D+ B- A- A- A- A- B A A+ A+ F A+ A+ 36% 13% 52% C A+ B+ F C- A+ A+ A+ A+
1.31 59% 71% 29% +1 +2 1.08 40% 1.3 .50 11% .37 77% .28 0.62 40% 43% 17% -19 +1 0.66 18% 1.3 .23 30% .11 33% .04
Jan
10		 Charleston Southern D+ B- F C- D 49% 25% 25% B- D+ C+ F D+ C+ A+ F A+ B- A+ F F+ C+ 46% 10% 44% D C+ A+ F B- F+ B A- B
1.04 59% 13% 33% -6 0 0.90 31% 0.8 .25 11% .56 60% .33 1.01 41% 67% 39% -1 +2 1.03 19% 1.1 .21 15% .22 60% .13
Jan
14		 Winthrop C A F+ F D+ 35% 12% 53% B- C- C+ F F B A+ D+ A+ F F+ B- D+ F 44% 6% 50% F+ F C F F D F A F
1.06 71% 33% 27% -2 +1 1.00 32% 0.5 .15 14% .46 71% .33 1.31 64% 33% 36% +4 +2 1.14 33% 1.5 .52 13% .54 67% .36
Jan
17		 South Carolina Upstate A C A+ F C- 47% 15% 38% B- C B- A+ A+ A+ B C B- D+ A A+ C- B+ 38% 16% 46% D+ B F D F A- C- D- D
1.31 58% 50% 29% -2 +1 1.02 34% 1.8 .60 7% .33 71% .24 1.02 42% 25% 35% -8 +1 0.88 40% 1.0 .40 22% .30 75% .23
Jan
23		 Radford A A- F A+ A 37% 8% 55% B- A F A+ D A+ A+ B A+ D+ F+ C- F F 43% 9% 47% F F D A B- A+ B C B-
1.26 68% 25% 43% +10 +2 1.25 21% 1.3 .28 10% .50 76% .38 1.13 65% 40% 40% +8 +2 1.21 32% 0.8 .26 24% .32 72% .23
Jan
29		 Presbyterian B C- A F F 53% 11% 36% A- F+ B B B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F D- C F F 39% 36% 25% A F D- F F B F F F
1.22 55% 50% 20% -8 +2 0.91 36% 1.1 .40 6% .43 79% .34 1.18 65% 38% 55% +10 -2 1.18 37% 1.2 .44 22% .45 79% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Longwood C+ B- F D- D- 50% 7% 43% A- D F A+ D A+ B- A+ A A- D+ A+ B B 34% 23% 43% C+ B- D B+ C A+ A+ D A+
1.12 65% 0% 30% -2 +3 1.04 17% 1.2 .21 13% .38 81% .31 0.93 63% 18% 30% -6 -1 0.89 36% 0.8 .30 29% .20 78% .16
Feb
4		 Charleston Southern C B- F F C- 58% 15% 27% A+ C+ B- B- B- C+ D+ B C- A+ F B B C- 29% 7% 63% C C- F+ A+ B+ A+ A F B-
1.14 59% 25% 27% -4 +2 0.98 33% 1.1 .36 11% .32 75% .24 0.78 75% 33% 31% +2 +1 1.07 35% 0.6 .19 41% .17 86% .14
Feb
7		 Radford D+ C F F F 59% 4% 37% A+ F+ B- F D+ C A+ A+ A+ B D- F A+ A- 37% 8% 55% F+ B+ D F+ F+ A+ F A D
1.08 59% 0% 22% -8 +4 0.94 35% 0.8 .30 18% .57 84% .47 0.97 63% 50% 21% -8 +2 0.90 33% 1.2 .38 24% .46 64% .30
Feb
12		 South Carolina Upstate A D D+ F F+ 47% 5% 48% A D B- A+ A+ A A- B+ A B F+ A+ D+ F+ 45% 11% 45% F F F A C+ A+ F C F
1.27 52% 33% 29% -7 +3 0.93 34% 1.8 .61 11% .37 76% .28 0.93 65% 25% 35% +2 +2 1.11 36% 0.7 .25 36% .62 70% .44
Feb
14		 Gardner-Webb A+ A+ A+ B+ A 33% 10% 57% C+ A A+ D- B+ F A+ A+ A+ F D+ F F F 56% 11% 33% F F A+ A+ A+ F F A- F+
1.43 79% 67% 39% +14 +1 1.33 52% 0.9 .48 20% .47 90% .42 1.11 60% 67% 50% +12 +2 1.31 0% 0.0 .00 13% .38 62% .24
Feb
19		 UNC Asheville C+ C- A+ F F+ 53% 2% 45% A+ D+ A D- B- B+ C+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 26% 43% F+ A+ F+ A+ B A+ B+ A+ A
1.15 56% 100% 26% -5 +3 0.98 42% 0.8 .33 12% .32 78% .25 0.75 43% 25% 25% -14 -1 0.72 36% 0.7 .24 25% .27 54% .14
Feb
21		 Winthrop B A- F B- B 38% 2% 60% A B+ C- A+ B C- A+ A- A+ D- B F A+ A 57% 2% 41% F B F F+ F D+ B C- B
1.20 67% 0% 36% +4 +2 1.15 28% 1.3 .38 18% .49 80% .39 1.18 48% 100% 25% -10 +4 0.90 42% 1.2 .51 14% .31 75% .23
Feb
26		 Presbyterian B- F F A+ D- 43% 16% 41% C+ D D+ A+ B+ A- A F B C- A+ C- B A+ 63% 13% 25% F A- D- F+ F+ D- F F F
1.16 41% 25% 43% -4 +1 0.96 28% 1.5 .41 12% .38 61% .23 1.07 40% 40% 30% -13 +3 0.83 36% 1.2 .42 16% .54 87% .47



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 100.0% 59.1% 59.1% 12.4 0.0 1.7 31.4 24.4 1.6 40.9
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 59.1% 59.1% 0.0% 12.4 40.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 59.1% 100.0% 12.4 0.0 2.9 53.1 41.3 2.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 18.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 13.3%
Lose Out 9.0%