Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#162
Expected Predictive Rating-3.8#231
Pace68.9#211
Improvement-0.8#247

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#215
First Shot-0.6#188
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#242
Layup/Dunks+0.1#170
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#109
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#231
Freethrows-0.6#206
Improvement-0.2#204

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#137
First Shot-0.5#183
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#93
Layups/Dunks-0.6#198
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#45
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#133
Freethrows-2.9#325
Improvement-0.6#251
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.4% 9.9% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.6 14.2
.500 or above 48.5% 59.2% 32.7%
.500 or above in Conference 69.0% 74.4% 61.1%
Conference Champion 10.8% 13.3% 7.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 2.4% 4.8%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.6%
First Round8.2% 9.8% 5.9%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: La Salle (Neutral) - 59.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 34 - 75 - 12
Quad 410 - 415 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 68 @Central Florida L 78-82 14%     0 - 1 +7.0 +4.8 +2.3
  Fri, Nov 7 167 @Iona L 73-81 40%     0 - 2 -6.0 -3.8 -1.7
  Fri, Nov 14 284 @Bucknell W 83-77 61%     1 - 2 +2.3 +4.3 -2.3
  Wed, Nov 19 148 @Temple L 76-81 36%     1 - 3 -2.0 +1.5 -3.5
  Fri, Nov 28 214 La Salle W 73-70 59%    
  Sat, Nov 29 255 Merrimack W 70-66 66%    
  Sun, Nov 30 223 @Penn W 75-74 50%    
  Wed, Dec 3 134 @Columbia L 70-76 30%    
  Sun, Dec 7 99 @Pittsburgh L 64-73 21%    
  Sat, Dec 13 64 @Syracuse L 66-78 13%    
  Sun, Dec 21 193 Quinnipiac W 77-73 65%    
  Mon, Dec 29 219 Campbell W 77-71 71%    
  Sat, Jan 3 262 @Drexel W 68-66 56%    
  Thu, Jan 8 128 @Towson L 63-69 31%    
  Sat, Jan 10 201 Monmouth W 72-67 67%    
  Thu, Jan 15 251 @Stony Brook W 69-68 54%    
  Sat, Jan 17 190 Elon W 76-72 65%    
  Thu, Jan 22 313 @N.C. A&T W 75-71 66%    
  Sat, Jan 24 130 @William & Mary L 76-82 31%    
  Thu, Jan 29 151 College of Charleston W 72-70 59%    
  Sat, Jan 31 201 @Monmouth L 69-70 47%    
  Thu, Feb 5 200 Northeastern W 73-68 66%    
  Sat, Feb 7 128 Towson W 67-66 52%    
  Thu, Feb 12 151 @College of Charleston L 69-73 38%    
  Sat, Feb 14 113 @UNC Wilmington L 66-73 28%    
  Thu, Feb 19 235 Hampton W 73-66 71%    
  Sat, Feb 21 200 @Northeastern L 70-71 46%    
  Sat, Feb 28 251 Stony Brook W 72-65 73%    
  Tue, Mar 3 262 Drexel W 71-63 75%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.9 3.3 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.1 10.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.3 4.3 2.4 0.7 0.1 11.6 2nd
3rd 0.7 3.6 4.7 2.1 0.5 0.0 11.6 3rd
4th 0.4 3.3 5.2 2.1 0.3 0.0 11.3 4th
5th 0.1 2.2 5.6 2.4 0.2 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 4.8 2.9 0.3 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.5 0.6 0.0 8.2 7th
8th 0.2 2.2 3.4 1.0 0.0 6.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 3.3 1.4 0.1 6.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.3 1.8 0.2 0.0 5.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.8 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.0 3.8 5.8 8.1 9.7 11.9 13.2 12.5 10.8 8.5 6.2 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.5 0.0
16-2 94.7% 1.6    1.4 0.2 0.0
15-3 79.0% 2.7    1.9 0.7 0.0
14-4 53.0% 3.3    1.6 1.4 0.3 0.0
13-5 22.5% 1.9    0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.5% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.8% 10.8 6.1 3.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 29.7% 29.7% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.6% 29.4% 29.4% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-2 1.7% 33.3% 33.3% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1
15-3 3.4% 28.8% 28.8% 12.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.4
14-4 6.2% 19.7% 19.7% 13.2 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 5.0
13-5 8.5% 18.5% 18.5% 13.6 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 7.0
12-6 10.8% 12.4% 12.4% 14.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.0 9.5
11-7 12.5% 9.3% 9.3% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 11.3
10-8 13.2% 4.7% 4.7% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 12.6
9-9 11.9% 3.0% 3.0% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 11.6
8-10 9.7% 1.9% 1.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 9.6
7-11 8.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 8.0
6-12 5.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.8
5-13 3.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.7
4-14 2.0% 2.0
3-15 1.1% 1.1
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.4% 8.4% 0.0% 13.8 0.1 1.0 2.6 2.4 1.7 0.7 91.6 0.0%