Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +4.0 #110
Expected Predictive Rating +7.7 #77
Pace 64.2 #312
Improvement +2.0 #77

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #120 C B+ C- B- D+
Defense #104 B+ C- C- C B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #307 1.20 #131 -2.3 #263
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #126 0.68 #270 +0.0 #179
Three Pointers 43% #138 1.09 #79 +3.0 #88
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #159 +0.7 #162
Freethrows 18.3 #133 76% #61 14.0 #103
Second Chance 33.7% #98 1.16 #51 0.39 #61
Turnovers 17.2% #218
Total Offense +1.9 #120

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #306 1.05 #57 +4.6 #46
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #96 0.62 #26 +0.3 #171
Three Pointers 43% #126 0.97 #123 -0.1 #184
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #46 +4.8 #52
Freethrows 17.6 #203 74% #266 13.1 #145
Second Chance 29.5% #130 1.17 #315 0.34 #246
Turnovers 15.7% #231
Total Defense +2.1 #104

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.4% #274 -1.4% #70
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 3.0% #139 -8.5% #45
Possession Length 18.4 #287 17.3 #192
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.10 #351 0.14 #61
Improvement +2.0 #70 +0.0 #180

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 28.6% 29.9% 24.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.2 12.5
.500 or above 99.9% 100.0% 99.8%
.500 or above in Conference 99.7% 99.9% 99.0%
Conference Champion 57.6% 63.3% 39.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round28.6% 29.9% 24.3%
Second Round3.0% 3.2% 2.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Away) - 76.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 22 - 23 - 3
Quad 38 - 510 - 7
Quad 412 - 123 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 50 @Central Florida L 78 - 82 19% -1  0 - 1 +10 +7 B C- B +2 A D- A+
 Fri, Nov 7 198 @Iona L 73 - 81 63% -14  0 - 2 -7 -3 C+ D+ F -4 C D B+
 Fri, Nov 14 318 @Bucknell W 83 - 77 84% +7  1 - 2 -0 +5 B F C -6 D+ F A+
 Wed, Nov 19 140 @Temple L 76 - 81 50% -1  1 - 3 -1 +3 C+ D- C- -4 D A+ B+
 Fri, Nov 28 208 La Salle W 63 - 58 75% +3  2 - 3 +2 -8 C- F D- +10 A C- A-
 Sat, Nov 29 241 Merrimack W 78 - 58 79% +12  3 - 3 +15 +7 B- D- F +9 B A+ D+
 Sun, Nov 30 206 @Penn W 77 - 60 64% +4  4 - 3 +17 +6 B+ A+ F +12 A+ D D
 Wed, Dec 3 163 @Columbia L 70 - 72 56% -6  4 - 4 +0 +2 D A+ D -2 C A+ D-
 Sun, Dec 7 88 @Pittsburgh W 80 - 73 30% +7  5 - 4 +17 +22 A+ C A+ -4 F A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 13 61 @Syracuse W 70 - 69 22% +0  6 - 4 +13 +17 A+ A B -4 B- F C+
 Sun, Dec 21 156 Quinnipiac W 74 - 66 74% +2  7 - 4 +5 +5 F A+ D+ +1 A+ F F
 Mon, Dec 29 191 Campbell W 86 - 72 80% +12  8 - 4 1 - 0 +9 +14 B A+ F -5 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 3 238 @Drexel W 70 - 67 70% +8  9 - 4 2 - 0 +2 +11 C+ A+ C -9 B- C- F
 Thu, Jan 8 166 @Towson W 78 - 67 57% +7  10 - 4 3 - 0 +13 +11 D A+ A +3 B+ D+ A
 Sat, Jan 10 185 Monmouth W 67 - 64 OT 79% -1  11 - 4 4 - 0 -2 -7 F C C +6 A+ B+ C
 Thu, Jan 15 274 @Stony Brook W 71 - 63 76%
 Sat, Jan 17 169 Elon W 78 - 70 78%
 Thu, Jan 22 302 @N.C. A&T W 77 - 68 81%
 Sat, Jan 24 138 @William & Mary L 75 - 76 50%
 Thu, Jan 29 155 College of Charleston W 76 - 69 74%
 Sat, Jan 31 185 @Monmouth W 70 - 67 60%
 Thu, Feb 5 236 Northeastern W 80 - 69 85%
 Sat, Feb 7 166 Towson W 70 - 62 76%
 Thu, Feb 12 155 @College of Charleston W 73 - 72 53%
 Sat, Feb 14 118 @UNC Wilmington L 68 - 70 44%
 Thu, Feb 19 242 Hampton W 73 - 61 86%
 Sat, Feb 21 236 @Northeastern W 77 - 72 68%
 Sat, Feb 28 274 Stony Brook W 74 - 60 89%
 Tue, Mar 3 238 Drexel W 71 - 60 85%
Totals 21 - 8 14 - 4 +4 +2 C B+ C- +2 B+ C- C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 4.7 12.1 16.9 14.2 7.2 1.8 57.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 4.6 9.0 7.2 2.9 0.6 0.0 24.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.4 4.4 2.3 0.3 0.0 9.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 2.2 1.0 0.1 4.2 4th
5th 0.2 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 1.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.8 5.9 10.7 16.2 19.7 19.8 14.8 7.2 1.8 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.8    1.8
17-1 99.7% 7.2    7.0 0.2
16-2 96.2% 14.2    12.9 1.3 0.0
15-3 85.2% 16.9    12.9 3.8 0.1
14-4 61.8% 12.1    6.3 5.0 0.8 0.0
13-5 29.3% 4.7    1.2 2.1 1.2 0.2 0.0
12-6 6.6% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 57.6% 57.6 42.1 12.6 2.4 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.8% 50.4% 50.1% 0.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.9 0.6%
17-1 7.2% 41.2% 41.2% 11.7 0.0 1.1 1.7 0.2 0.0 4.2
16-2 14.8% 36.8% 36.8% 12.0 0.7 3.8 0.8 0.0 9.3
15-3 19.8% 32.1% 32.1% 12.3 0.3 4.1 1.9 0.1 13.4
14-4 19.7% 28.5% 28.5% 12.5 0.1 3.0 2.4 0.1 14.1
13-5 16.2% 25.3% 25.3% 12.6 0.0 1.6 2.2 0.3 0.0 12.1
12-6 10.7% 18.7% 18.7% 12.8 0.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 8.7
11-7 5.9% 15.6% 15.6% 13.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 5.0
10-8 2.8% 10.3% 10.3% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.5
9-9 0.9% 3.3% 3.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.9
8-10 0.2% 6.4% 6.4% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2
7-11 0.1% 0.0 0.1
6-12 0.0% 0.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 28.6% 28.6% 0.0% 12.3 71.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.9% 100.0% 11.0 0.6 2.2 11.0 69.6 16.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3% 1.5% 11.0 1.5