Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#269
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#194
Pace66.6#263
Improvement-0.3#201

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#316
First Shot-3.8#285
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#269
Layup/Dunks+3.6#63
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#279
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#258
Freethrows-3.4#339
Improvement-0.7#252

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#183
First Shot-1.4#223
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#136
Layups/Dunks-2.3#268
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#122
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#103
Freethrows-2.2#303
Improvement+0.4#149
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 6.2% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 31.5% 35.3% 14.4%
.500 or above in Conference 54.7% 57.1% 43.7%
Conference Champion 5.0% 5.6% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 6.2% 5.5% 9.4%
First Four1.8% 1.8% 1.9%
First Round4.9% 5.3% 3.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida A&M (Home) - 81.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 11
Quad 411 - 613 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 44 @Miami (FL) L 69-86 4%     0 - 1 -2.2 +1.0 -2.4
  Tue, Nov 11 86 @High Point L 64-85 9%     0 - 2 -11.6 -6.0 -5.9
  Sat, Nov 15 342 @VMI W 69-67 59%     1 - 2 -6.2 -5.0 -1.1
  Tue, Nov 18 74 @George Mason L 57-79 7%     1 - 3 -11.3 -6.6 -6.2
  Mon, Nov 24 217 Bethune-Cookman W 69-64 41%     2 - 3 +1.5 -0.3 +2.2
  Tue, Nov 25 144 Pacific L 53-68 27%     2 - 4 -14.5 -11.4 -5.3
  Tue, Dec 2 351 Florida A&M W 74-64 82%    
  Sat, Dec 6 215 @Florida International L 67-72 31%    
  Sun, Dec 14 60 @Texas A&M L 65-83 5%    
  Wed, Dec 17 351 @Florida A&M W 71-67 63%    
  Mon, Dec 22 55 @Florida St. L 66-84 5%    
  Thu, Jan 1 176 @Lipscomb L 65-72 25%    
  Sat, Jan 3 165 @Austin Peay L 64-72 24%    
  Thu, Jan 8 210 Queens W 74-73 51%    
  Sat, Jan 10 311 West Georgia W 72-67 69%    
  Thu, Jan 15 317 @Central Arkansas L 68-69 49%    
  Sat, Jan 17 242 @North Alabama L 67-71 36%    
  Thu, Jan 22 294 Bellarmine W 74-69 66%    
  Sat, Jan 24 258 Eastern Kentucky W 73-71 59%    
  Thu, Jan 29 176 Lipscomb L 68-69 45%    
  Sat, Jan 31 164 Florida Gulf Coast L 71-73 43%    
  Thu, Feb 5 210 @Queens L 71-77 30%    
  Sat, Feb 7 311 @West Georgia L 69-70 47%    
  Thu, Feb 12 344 @Stetson W 71-68 59%    
  Sat, Feb 14 341 North Florida W 80-72 76%    
  Thu, Feb 19 164 @Florida Gulf Coast L 68-76 25%    
  Sat, Feb 21 165 Austin Peay L 67-69 43%    
  Thu, Feb 26 344 Stetson W 74-65 78%    
  Sat, Feb 28 341 @North Florida W 77-75 58%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 5.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.3 2.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.2 3.4 1.4 0.1 8.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.4 4.6 1.6 0.1 10.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.3 2.2 0.1 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 5.6 2.6 0.2 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.5 3.4 0.4 11.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.7 3.4 0.8 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.6 3.6 0.8 0.0 9.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 2.7 3.0 0.9 0.0 7.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.7 0.7 0.0 4.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 3.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.6 6.0 8.9 11.4 12.6 13.3 12.5 10.9 7.8 5.2 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 98.1% 0.5    0.5 0.0
15-3 85.5% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
14-4 55.9% 1.7    0.8 0.7 0.2
13-5 21.3% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.2% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.6 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 42.0% 42.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 32.7% 32.7% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.3% 24.7% 24.7% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
14-4 3.0% 21.9% 21.9% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 2.3
13-5 5.2% 15.9% 15.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 4.4
12-6 7.8% 11.7% 11.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.4 6.9
11-7 10.9% 8.2% 8.2% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 10.0
10-8 12.5% 6.7% 6.7% 15.8 0.1 0.7 11.6
9-9 13.3% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5 12.7
8-10 12.6% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3 12.3
7-11 11.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 11.3
6-12 8.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 8.8
5-13 6.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.0
4-14 3.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.6
3-15 1.8% 1.8
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 3.1 94.2 0.0%