Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -8.7 305
Results Rating -9.0 308
Consistency 0.17 285
Pace 60.9 350
Improvement +2.8 75

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 294 D C C- C- C
Defense D+ 292 D- C+ D D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 137 D+ 54% 289 -1.0 222
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 163 C- 36% 223 +0.0 180
Three Pointers 39% 226 D- 30% 326 -3.5 300
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 190 D -4.4 320
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 317
Second Chance C- 28.8% 224 C+ 1.05 147 C 0.30 195
Opponents' Steals C 9.7% 210
Other Turnovers C- 7.7% 234
Turnovers C- 17.4% 221
Freethrows C- 0.29 235 C 72% 204 C- 0.21 226
Total Offense D+ -4.6 294

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots F+ 33% 350 C+ 10.2% 131
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 129 B 3.0% 45
Three Pointers D- 76% 325 B 0.4% 63
Total F+ 45% 351 B- 4.9% 99

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 20 D- 64% 332 +7.0 357
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 201 C+ 37% 151 -0.5 155
Three Pointers 35% 338 D- 38% 338 -1.0 140
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 281 D- +4.7 339
1st FG Attempt D- 1.13 338
Second Chance C 30.5% 189 B 0.95 58 C+ 0.29 111
Turnovers from Steals C 9.2% 201
Other Turnovers F+ 5.5% 355
Turnovers D 14.7% 306
Freethrows D- 0.37 334 B 69% 40 D 0.26 313
Total Defense D+ -4.0 292

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 152 D+ 8.7% 263
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 207 C 5.3% 142
Three Pointers C 84% 176 D 0.2% 326
Total C+ 54% 146 C- 5.1% 215

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.6 355 17.2 171
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 319 0.15 121
Consistency 0.14 277 0.12 174
Improvement +2.8 60 +0.0 189

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 317 308 292
Results Rating Rank 326 307 288
Conference Record 6 - 12 6 - 12 7 - 11
Conference Finish 10 8 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 2% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 2% 1%
First Round1% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: North Florida (Away) - 49.3% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 70 - 12
Quad 410 - 810 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 39 @Miami (FL) L 69 - 86 2% -9  5% 0 - 1 C -0 D+ -2 B- D C B- +3 C F A
 Tue, Nov 11 94 @High Point L 64 - 85 6% -11  17% 0 - 2 D- -12 F+ -9 F D+ C+ D+ -4 B A- F
 Sat, Nov 15 359 @VMI W 69 - 67 68% +3  84% 1 - 2 D- -11 F -11 D A- F C -0 D F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 109 @George Mason L 57 - 79 8% -12  0% 1 - 3 F+ -15 F -11 D- C- F D -5 F A+ A-
 Mon, Nov 24 239 Bethune-Cookman W 69 - 64 33% -2  26% 2 - 3 C +1 C- -1 C+ D B- B- +2 C+ A F
 Tue, Nov 25 118 Pacific L 53 - 68 14% -7  5% 2 - 4 D- -12 F -12 F F+ B- C- -2 B- B- F+
 Tue, Dec 2 318 Florida A&M W 85 - 82 OT 66% -0  49% 3 - 4 D -10 C +1 D+ C+ A+ F -11 F B+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 203 @Florida International L 65 - 88 19% -18  3% 3 - 5 F -22 D- -8 F B- F F -15 F A D+
 Sun, Dec 14 34 @Texas A&M L 75 - 112 2% -24  2% 3 - 6 F -20 C +0 A- D- F F -17 F F C+
 Wed, Dec 17 318 @Florida A&M L 65 - 72 44% -9  0% 3 - 7 D- -14 D- -7 D+ F C- D- -8 F+ A+ F
 Mon, Dec 22 80 @Florida St. L 63 - 87 5% -18  0% 3 - 8 D- -14 D+ -3 D+ F A+ F -13 D C- D+
 Thu, Jan 1 197 @Lipscomb L 57 - 76 19% -9  2% 3 - 9 0 - 1 F -18 D- -7 D- B- F F -15 F A F
 Sat, Jan 3 167 @Austin Peay L 68 - 71 15% -2  22% 3 - 10 0 - 2 C -0 D -5 B B+ F B +4 B+ A F
 Thu, Jan 8 199 Queens L 51 - 77 37% -15  0% 3 - 11 0 - 3 F -31 F -29 F D+ F D+ -5 F A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 10 312 West Georgia W 75 - 43 63% +17  99% 4 - 11 1 - 3 A +20 B +7 A- F A+ A+ +19 A- A+ A+
 Thu, Jan 15 173 @Central Arkansas L 60 - 62 16% +5  70% 4 - 12 1 - 4 C +0 D+ -4 F B A+ B- +3 D A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 342 @North Alabama W 90 - 68 52% +13  85% 5 - 12 2 - 4 B+ +13 A +13 B- A+ C C+ +1 C B- D-
 Thu, Jan 22 292 Bellarmine L 70 - 77 58% -1  32% 5 - 13 2 - 5 F+ -18 F+ -10 F C- B+ F+ -9 F C- B-
 Sat, Jan 24 287 Eastern Kentucky W 81 - 76 OT 56% -3  13% 6 - 13 3 - 5 D+ -5 C- -1 C A F D+ -4 D- F A
 Thu, Jan 29 197 Lipscomb W 70 - 65 37% +8  97% 7 - 13 4 - 5 C -0 B- +4 B- C+ A+ D+ -3 B- F F
 Sat, Jan 31 257 Florida Gulf Coast L 49 - 68 49% -3  44% 7 - 14 4 - 6 F -27 F -28 F F F C -0 C+ C+ D-
 Thu, Feb 5 199 @Queens L 84 - 93 19% -11  1% 7 - 15 4 - 7 D -8 C+ +3 C+ C D F -11 F B+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 312 @West Georgia L 73 - 87 40% -6  4% 7 - 16 4 - 8 F -20 D+ -3 F+ B D+ F -18 D+ F F
 Wed, Feb 11 328 @Stetson L 62 - 67 46% -5  6% 7 - 17 4 - 9 D- -13 F -12 F C- C C- -2 D B+ F+
 Sat, Feb 14 333 North Florida W 63 - 56 71% +4  92% 8 - 17 5 - 9 D+ -7 F -11 F A D+ B +5 D B- A-
 Wed, Feb 18 257 @Florida Gulf Coast L 84 - 86 27% -4  7% 8 - 18 5 - 10 C- -4 A +12 A+ D- A- F -17 F C- F
 Sat, Feb 21 167 Austin Peay L 61 - 65 31% -3  30% 8 - 19 5 - 11 D+ -7 D -6 F C+ A C- -2 B- C- F
 Thu, Feb 26 328 Stetson W 89 - 85 68% +7  90% 9 - 19 6 - 11 D -10 B+ +9 F A+ A+ F -18 F A- F
 Sat, Feb 28 333 @North Florida L 76 - 77 49%
Totals 9 - 20 6 - 12 -9 D+ -5 A+ D C D+ -4 D- C C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D+ C- D- D 40% 39% 39% C D C- C+ C C- C- C C- D+ D- C+ D- D- 46% 20% 35% D+ D- C B C+ D D- B D
1.02 54% 36% 30% -4 0 0.93 29% 1.1 .30 17% .29 72% .21 1.14 64% 37% 38% +5 +1 1.13 31% 0.9 .29 15% .37 69% .20
Nov
3		 Miami (FL) D+ A+ D+ F+ B- 33% 17% 50% B B- F+ A- D C C- F F+ B- F C- A+ C+ 61% 11% 27% F C B F F A F F F
0.94 72% 33% 30% +1 0 1.04 16% 1.2 .19 19% .23 50% .12 1.17 74% 40% 17% +3 +3 1.14 35% 2.0 .70 20% .63 78% .49
Nov
11		 High Point F+ F+ F D- F 32% 8% 60% C+ F C D- D+ C+ C- D D+ D+ B- A+ C- B+ 48% 13% 38% C- B A- B- A- F F C- F
0.93 50% 0% 30% -9 +1 0.86 32% 0.9 .29 20% .29 69% .20 1.23 56% 14% 35% -4 +2 0.98 25% 1.1 .28 4% .46 77% .35
Nov
15		 VMI F B- F D+ D- 40% 13% 47% B D C A+ A- F F F F C B+ D- D D- 35% 24% 41% B+ D D- F F A+ A- F B-
1.04 67% 33% 33% +2 +1 1.09 39% 1.3 .52 29% .21 50% .11 1.01 47% 42% 35% -2 -1 0.96 30% 1.4 .43 23% .21 82% .17
Nov
18		 George Mason F F A+ F F 50% 19% 31% A- D- A+ F C- F A A+ A+ D F C F F 47% 21% 32% D+ F C- A+ A+ A- F A+ F
0.87 48% 50% 23% -8 +1 0.88 39% 0.6 .23 29% .32 87% .28 1.21 83% 38% 58% +23 +1 1.50 32% 0.4 .12 20% .67 63% .42
Nov
24		 Bethune-Cookman C- B+ F D+ C+ 53% 13% 34% B C+ C- D- D B- A+ F B- B- F C A+ C 36% 28% 36% B+ C+ B A+ A F F A+ C
1.07 64% 17% 31% -1 +2 1.04 30% 1.0 .30 14% .45 56% .25 0.99 72% 36% 22% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.7 .16 14% .43 50% .22
Nov
25		 Pacific F A+ F F F 30% 40% 30% F+ F F+ F F+ B- C+ B- B- C- F F A+ B- 32% 18% 50% C+ B- F A+ B- F+ F B- F
0.87 79% 21% 14% -10 -3 0.77 17% 0.8 .14 13% .34 72% .25 1.12 71% 63% 23% 0 0 1.02 50% 0.6 .31 16% .45 74% .34
Dec
2		 Florida A&M C C- F B D 39% 12% 49% B- D+ C+ C+ C+ A+ D F F+ F F A+ F F 33% 28% 39% B- F A+ F B+ B A+ A+ A+
1.15 57% 14% 38% -1 +1 1.03 33% 1.0 .33 12% .29 68% .20 1.11 83% 20% 62% +20 -1 1.39 8% 2.0 .16 23% .11 50% .05
Dec
6		 Florida International D- F F C- F 23% 19% 58% F+ F A- D+ B- F D F D- F F+ A+ F F 48% 18% 34% D+ F A+ B- A D+ F F F
0.95 33% 30% 33% -8 -1 0.85 43% 0.9 .41 26% .28 64% .18 1.29 67% 25% 67% +18 +1 1.41 23% 1.0 .23 16% .52 77% .40
Dec
14		 Texas A&M C D+ A+ B+ B+ 39% 12% 49% B+ A- D+ F D- F C+ A+ B F D F F F 43% 17% 41% B+ F F F F C+ D+ B+ C
0.98 53% 67% 38% +4 +1 1.12 26% 0.7 .18 25% .30 82% .24 1.46 65% 67% 50% +18 +1 1.39 52% 1.2 .64 16% .36 70% .25
Dec
17		 Florida A&M D- F F A+ D 49% 11% 40% B+ D+ F+ F F C- D C- D D- F D C F 39% 31% 31% B- F+ C A+ A+ F F A F
1.00 48% 0% 47% -1 +2 1.04 23% 0.6 .13 18% .30 75% .23 1.10 68% 40% 33% +4 -1 1.08 27% 0.4 .10 12% .51 59% .30
Dec
22		 Florida St. D+ A+ A+ F C- 15% 32% 53% F D+ D F F A+ D+ C D+ F F B C D- 29% 12% 59% B- D F A+ C- D+ F D F
0.97 88% 59% 18% -2 -3 0.92 24% 0.6 .14 11% .24 71% .17 1.34 80% 33% 33% +5 +1 1.14 46% 0.9 .40 12% .46 77% .35
Jan
1		 Lipscomb D- B- F+ D- D- 27% 24% 49% D+ D- B+ D+ B- F C D C- F F A F F 40% 16% 44% B- F B- A+ A F B- F C-
0.97 64% 30% 30% -3 -1 0.93 38% 0.9 .34 25% .27 67% .18 1.29 75% 25% 45% +12 +1 1.28 21% 0.7 .14 7% .20 91% .18
Jan
3		 Austin Peay D B- D A+ B+ 38% 20% 42% C- B C- A+ B+ F A F C B C- A+ A A- 44% 20% 35% C B+ A- A+ A F D- D F+
0.99 65% 33% 42% +7 0 1.16 29% 1.1 .32 25% .38 55% .21 1.03 58% 18% 26% -8 0 0.87 23% 0.9 .20 12% .36 77% .28
Jan
8		 Queens F F F F F 48% 16% 36% B- F C- D+ D+ F B F F D+ B- F F F 44% 4% 52% F F B A+ A+ B- C A+ A-
0.78 43% 29% 25% -14 +1 0.77 32% 1.0 .32 20% .38 45% .17 1.18 57% 50% 52% +14 +3 1.35 25% 0.4 .11 17% .31 59% .18
Jan
10		 West Georgia B F A+ A+ A+ 43% 26% 32% F+ A- F A+ F A+ D- A C- A+ F A+ A+ A 40% 31% 29% D A- A+ A+ A+ A+ F A- F
1.27 45% 58% 60% +12 0 1.26 13% 1.3 .17 8% .28 80% .22 0.73 71% 18% 10% -11 -1 0.77 19% 0.8 .15 25% .50 64% .32
Jan
15		 Central Arkansas D+ F A+ F F 34% 13% 53% C F A D- B A+ B B B+ B- D F B D- 43% 25% 33% B- D D A+ A+ C+ F D+ F
1.02 31% 50% 24% -16 +1 0.72 39% 1.0 .39 10% .32 76% .25 1.05 65% 50% 31% +4 0 1.10 31% 0.5 .16 17% .43 71% .31
Jan
17		 North Alabama A D- C+ A+ C+ 61% 14% 25% B+ B- C A+ A+ C B- A+ A C+ C F A+ C+ 53% 11% 36% F C A+ F B- D- F F F
1.34 52% 43% 54% +4 +2 1.16 35% 1.9 .65 15% .31 89% .28 1.01 54% 60% 19% -8 +2 0.91 19% 1.5 .29 15% .52 77% .40
Jan
22		 Bellarmine F+ D- A F F 43% 13% 43% B+ F F A+ C- B+ C A+ A F+ B D+ F F 56% 11% 33% D- F D- B+ C- B- C+ F+ C
1.12 55% 50% 30% -2 +1 1.00 21% 1.8 .38 13% .31 100% .31 1.23 56% 40% 60% +12 +2 1.31 25% 1.0 .25 18% .27 86% .23
Jan
24		 Eastern Kentucky C- D- A+ D+ B- 30% 43% 27% F C B+ A- A F A+ B- A+ D+ C F+ D- D 40% 24% 36% D- D- F D+ F A F C F
1.18 54% 63% 33% +9 -4 1.14 39% 1.2 .46 20% .55 77% .42 1.11 56% 45% 38% +3 0 1.07 40% 1.2 .47 22% .52 71% .37
Jan
29		 Lipscomb B- B C+ C+ B- 43% 21% 36% B- B- C- B+ C+ A+ C A+ B D+ C D- A+ B 58% 10% 32% F B- B+ F F F B A- B+
1.16 65% 40% 35% +4 0 1.11 29% 1.1 .32 12% .28 80% .22 1.08 59% 40% 25% -4 +3 1.00 19% 2.0 .38 12% .19 70% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Florida Gulf Coast F C- A+ F F 34% 30% 36% F+ F D F F F D- F F C C+ A+ F+ B- 48% 25% 27% F+ C+ A F C+ D- F A+ F
0.74 56% 50% 6% -12 -1 0.74 26% 0.7 .18 24% .30 53% .16 1.03 57% 25% 38% -2 0 0.98 22% 1.4 .31 14% .44 60% .26
Feb
5		 Queens C+ D A A+ B- 38% 27% 36% D- C+ F A+ C D A+ A+ A+ F F A F F 43% 26% 30% B F B B B+ F F B- F+
1.19 53% 50% 44% +6 -1 1.13 24% 1.5 .36 17% .50 86% .43 1.32 74% 29% 50% +12 0 1.25 25% 1.0 .25 7% .40 73% .29
Feb
7		 West Georgia D+ D+ F F F 56% 14% 30% B- F+ B- B B D+ A+ D A F C- A- C- C- 46% 28% 26% F D+ F F F F F D+ F
1.08 57% 29% 27% -5 +2 0.96 34% 1.1 .37 16% .44 68% .30 1.29 57% 31% 33% -3 0 0.96 47% 1.2 .58 12% .54 72% .39
Feb
11		 Stetson F B- F F F 42% 25% 33% D+ F B- F+ C- C A C A- C- B+ F+ F D- 35% 23% 43% C D B- A+ B+ F+ F A+ F
0.99 65% 17% 13% -13 0 0.75 37% 1.0 .37 14% .35 74% .26 1.07 50% 44% 41% +3 0 1.08 24% 0.8 .18 14% .60 56% .34
Feb
14		 North Florida F F C+ C- F 35% 16% 49% C- F F A+ A D+ C A B- B A- F F C 64% 2% 33% F D F A+ B- A- A+ A+ A+
1.08 40% 43% 33% -6 0 0.91 27% 2.1 .58 14% .28 79% .22 0.96 48% 100% 43% 0 +4 1.10 33% 0.8 .26 22% .13 50% .07
Feb
18		 Florida Gulf Coast A A+ A+ A A+ 44% 25% 31% D+ A+ F B D- A- A F D+ F F F A F 50% 26% 24% F+ F F A C- F F D+ F
1.28 81% 50% 40% +16 0 1.33 21% 1.2 .24 12% .45 54% .24 1.31 74% 58% 27% +11 0 1.24 40% 0.8 .33 12% .48 75% .36
Feb
21		 Austin Peay D C F F F 60% 12% 29% A F B C- C+ A A+ B A+ C- D- A+ A+ B+ 57% 14% 30% F B- F+ A- C- F F A+ D+
1.01 60% 20% 17% -8 +3 0.90 35% 0.8 .26 13% .44 74% .32 1.08 64% 0% 23% -7 +2 0.93 34% 1.0 .34 7% .41 61% .25
Feb
26		 Stetson B+ F F A F 56% 23% 21% B- F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F F F D+ F 57% 7% 37% F F B- A+ A- F F B- F
1.32 48% 27% 40% -6 +1 0.92 45% 1.4 .65 9% .51 97% .49 1.26 77% 67% 35% +13 +3 1.35 23% 0.7 .17 12% .46 67% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 8.3 8.3 6th
7th 26.2 26.2 7th
8th 19.4 14.7 34.1 8th
9th 24.1 24.1 9th
10th 7.2 7.2 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 50.7 49.3 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 49.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.8 48.5
6-12 50.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.4 50.4
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 16.0 98.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.8% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.0%
Lose Out 25.5%