Kansas St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.7#54
Expected Predictive Rating+11.6#52
Pace81.5#10
Improvement-1.4#295

Offense
Total Offense+6.2#53
First Shot+6.0#37
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#165
Layup/Dunks+5.8#27
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#338
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#69
Freethrows-0.2#184
Improvement-0.9#274

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#83
First Shot+3.6#72
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#193
Layups/Dunks-3.9#307
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#48
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#41
Freethrows+0.9#130
Improvement-0.5#240
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 4.6% 5.1% 1.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31.5% 33.5% 18.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 31.0% 32.9% 18.4%
Average Seed 8.6 8.5 8.9
.500 or above 74.0% 77.3% 52.0%
.500 or above in Conference 35.7% 37.4% 24.8%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.3% 5.7% 10.5%
First Four5.8% 6.1% 4.0%
First Round28.5% 30.3% 16.6%
Second Round13.6% 14.6% 7.2%
Sweet Sixteen3.5% 3.7% 1.8%
Elite Eight1.1% 1.2% 0.6%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bowling Green (Home) - 86.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 11
Quad 25 - 39 - 14
Quad 34 - 113 - 14
Quad 45 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 287 UNC Greensboro W 93-64 95%     1 - 0 +19.2 +3.8 +11.7
  Sat, Nov 8 294 Bellarmine W 98-71 96%     2 - 0 +16.6 +14.8 +1.4
  Thu, Nov 13 67 California W 99-96 66%     3 - 0 +8.3 +17.4 -9.4
  Mon, Nov 17 91 Tulsa W 84-83 74%     4 - 0 +3.9 +4.6 -0.8
  Thu, Nov 20 84 Mississippi St. W 98-77 61%     5 - 0 +27.8 +21.1 +5.2
  Fri, Nov 21 43 Nebraska L 85-86 42%     5 - 1 +10.9 +10.2 +0.8
  Tue, Nov 25 22 @Indiana L 69-86 21%     5 - 2 +1.1 -0.3 +2.8
  Mon, Dec 1 140 Bowling Green W 86-74 87%    
  Sat, Dec 6 76 Seton Hall W 77-72 68%    
  Mon, Dec 8 365 Mississippi Valley W 98-63 100.0%   
  Sat, Dec 13 45 @Creighton L 79-83 34%    
  Sat, Dec 20 286 South Dakota W 99-79 96%    
  Sun, Dec 28 361 Louisiana Monroe W 98-71 99%    
  Sat, Jan 3 7 BYU L 79-86 27%    
  Wed, Jan 7 11 @Arizona L 78-90 14%    
  Sat, Jan 10 83 @Arizona St. L 83-84 49%    
  Wed, Jan 14 68 Central Florida W 91-86 67%    
  Sat, Jan 17 46 @Oklahoma St. L 88-92 35%    
  Tue, Jan 20 125 Utah W 88-78 81%    
  Sat, Jan 24 18 Kansas L 78-82 37%    
  Tue, Jan 27 71 @West Virginia L 74-75 46%    
  Sun, Feb 1 4 Iowa St. L 78-85 26%    
  Sat, Feb 7 51 @TCU L 77-81 37%    
  Wed, Feb 11 65 Cincinnati W 83-79 65%    
  Sat, Feb 14 5 @Houston L 67-80 13%    
  Tue, Feb 17 28 Baylor L 85-86 46%    
  Sat, Feb 21 24 @Texas Tech L 77-85 24%    
  Wed, Feb 25 72 @Colorado L 83-84 46%    
  Sat, Feb 28 51 TCU W 80-78 59%    
  Tue, Mar 3 71 West Virginia W 77-72 67%    
  Sat, Mar 7 18 @Kansas L 75-85 20%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.2 2.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.4 1.8 0.5 0.0 3.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 2.7 0.9 0.1 5.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.8 1.6 0.1 0.0 6.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.6 3.0 0.4 0.0 7.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.2 4.6 1.0 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 5.7 2.2 0.2 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 4.5 3.8 0.4 9.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 3.1 4.7 1.0 0.0 9.0 11th
12th 0.1 1.8 5.2 2.3 0.1 9.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 4.1 3.1 0.3 0.0 8.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.6 2.8 3.5 0.7 0.0 7.7 14th
15th 0.1 0.5 2.1 2.6 0.9 0.1 6.2 15th
16th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 3.0 16th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.8 6.8 10.5 13.0 13.8 14.5 11.9 9.7 6.4 4.1 2.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 90.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 64.0% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 24.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 6.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 2.8 0.0 0.1 100.0%
15-3 0.4% 100.0% 9.6% 90.4% 4.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.8% 99.1% 10.6% 88.5% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
13-5 2.4% 99.9% 5.0% 94.9% 6.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
12-6 4.1% 97.6% 4.3% 93.3% 7.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 97.5%
11-7 6.4% 89.1% 2.1% 86.9% 8.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.2 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.7 88.8%
10-8 9.7% 77.1% 1.4% 75.7% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.6 2.0 2.1 0.8 0.0 2.2 76.8%
9-9 11.9% 55.3% 0.5% 54.8% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.5 1.6 0.0 5.3 55.0%
8-10 14.5% 22.6% 0.2% 22.4% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 0.1 11.2 22.5%
7-11 13.8% 5.7% 0.3% 5.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 13.0 5.4%
6-12 13.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.7% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.9 0.7%
5-13 10.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 10.5 0.1%
4-14 6.8% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 6.8
3-15 3.8% 3.8
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 31.5% 0.8% 30.7% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.1 4.1 5.2 5.6 6.6 5.1 0.3 68.5 31.0%