Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -0.2 159
Results Rating +3.6 110
Consistency 0.10 6
Pace 74.4 37
Improvement -3.9 320

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 136 C- B- D A- C+
Defense C- 211 C- C C- D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 234 D+ 55% 255 -2.2 262
2 Pt. Jumpers 32% 240 D+ 36% 260 -1.7 268
Three Pointers 46% 73 C 34% 175 +2.7 91
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 153 C- -1.4 228
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 207
Second Chance B- 34.1% 77 C+ 1.05 140 B- 0.36 77
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.6% 283
Other Turnovers D+ 8.1% 285
Turnovers D 18.7% 300
Freethrows A- 0.37 11 C+ 74% 133 A- 0.28 12
Total Offense C+ +1.1 136

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B 56% 66 D+ 12.7% 290
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 20% 255 B- 3.6% 76
Three Pointers C 84% 200 C 0.8% 178
Total B- 61% 74 C 5.7% 197

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 192 C 58% 171 -0.3 172
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 258 B- 36% 91 -1.4 76
Three Pointers 44% 97 D+ 35% 248 +2.4 294
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 226 C +0.4 192
1st FG Attempt C- 1.03 200
Second Chance C 30.6% 195 C+ 1.01 144 C 0.31 174
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.7% 238
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 163
Turnovers C- 16.1% 225
Freethrows D+ 0.33 272 C 72% 172 D+ 0.24 264
Total Defense C- -1.3 211

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 150 C- 9.2% 240
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 79 C 4.7% 181
Three Pointers D 89% 312 C 1.0% 126
Total C- 58% 231 C- 4.8% 237

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.3 80 16.8 92
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 205 0.20 289
Consistency 0.14 267 0.15 339
Improvement -3.4 331 -0.5 218

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 180 159 137
Results Rating Rank 134 118 101
Conference Record 12 - 6 14 - 4 14 - 4
Conference Finish 3 3 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5% 6% 4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.1 13.6
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round5% 6% 4%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Northern Illinois (Away) - 74.5% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 310 - 310 - 8
Quad 412 - 221 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 151 Troy L 97 - 103 OT 59% -8  9% 0 - 1 D -9 C+ +2 D- A C F+ -9 F C- D
 Fri, Nov 7 165 Cornell W 110 - 102 62% +8  98% 1 - 1 C+ +5 A+ +14 A+ A C+ F -11 F D- A-
 Mon, Nov 10 107 UNC Wilmington W 86 - 77 46% +8  95% 2 - 1 B +10 B+ +9 A+ B D+ C+ +1 A+ D F
 Sat, Nov 15 316 Cleveland St. W 102 - 95 82% +2  72% 3 - 1 C- -3 B+ +8 D A C+ F -12 F+ F B-
 Sun, Nov 16 162 Wright St. W 76 - 72 OT 50% -2  19% 4 - 1 C+ +4 D -4 F A F A- +8 B- C+ D+
 Tue, Nov 18 287 Eastern Kentucky W 93 - 78 83% +16  98% 5 - 1 C+ +5 D+ -4 D+ B- F B+ +7 B C A+
 Sat, Nov 22 316 Cleveland St. W 91 - 71 88% +14  96% 6 - 1 B- +7 D -6 B- D+ F A +11 B+ B- A
 Wed, Dec 3 167 Austin Peay W 96 - 84 62% +3  82% 7 - 1 B +9 A+ +15 A+ A C D- -7 F A+ D+
 Sun, Dec 14 224 @Portland L 78 - 88 51% -0  40% 7 - 2 D -11 D- -8 F+ B F C -1 F+ A- C-
 Sat, Dec 20 190 @Massachusetts W 69 - 59 45% +5  84% 8 - 2 1 - 0 B +11 D- -7 D- C D+ A+ +18 A+ A+ C+
 Mon, Dec 29 7 @Purdue L 60 - 101 2% -24  0% 8 - 3 F+ -17 F -11 F+ F+ D C- -2 D- A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 3 321 Northern Illinois W 77 - 73 89% +9  99% 9 - 3 2 - 0 D -9 D -6 F+ D+ D D+ -4 F D+ A+
 Tue, Jan 6 177 Bowling Green W 96 - 93 65% +2  60% 10 - 3 3 - 0 C -1 A+ +20 A+ A+ A- F -21 F+ F F+
 Sat, Jan 10 266 @Central Michigan L 85 - 87 61% -1  27% 10 - 4 3 - 1 D+ -5 B- +4 F A+ F+ F+ -9 B F F
 Tue, Jan 13 206 @Buffalo W 87 - 81 48% +7  91% 11 - 4 4 - 1 B- +6 B+ +9 B- A- C+ C- -2 C+ B- F
 Fri, Jan 16 164 Toledo W 87 - 84 62% -0  42% 12 - 4 5 - 1 C -0 B- +5 C+ C+ A+ D -5 C+ F C
 Tue, Jan 20 87 Miami (OH) L 101 - 107 OT 36% -6  16% 12 - 5 5 - 2 C- -3 A- +10 B- A+ D F -12 F A F
 Sat, Jan 24 247 @Eastern Michigan W 76 - 75 2OT 57% +3  76% 13 - 5 6 - 2 C -1 D -6 C+ F F B +5 A+ C+ F
 Tue, Jan 27 210 Ohio W 72 - 57 70% +4  79% 14 - 5 7 - 2 B +9 F+ -9 F A F A+ +18 A+ B+ D
 Fri, Jan 30 72 @Akron L 52 - 69 14% -11  0% 14 - 6 7 - 3 D+ -6 F -19 F C- F+ A+ +13 B A+ B+
 Tue, Feb 3 164 @Toledo W 75 - 72 39% -6  6% 15 - 6 8 - 3 B- +6 C +0 F B+ C B+ +6 B- B+ C-
 Sat, Feb 7 226 @Southern Miss L 65 - 66 52% -0  33% 15 - 7 C -2 D+ -3 F+ C A- C+ +2 A- C- D
 Wed, Feb 11 247 Eastern Michigan W 95 - 91 77% -2  35% 16 - 7 9 - 3 C- -4 A+ +18 A- A+ B+ F -22 F D+ C+
 Sat, Feb 14 313 @Ball St. W 75 - 68 72% +6  96% 17 - 7 10 - 3 C +1 D+ -3 C D- D B +4 B- B- D-
 Tue, Feb 17 177 @Bowling Green W 78 - 71 42% +3  61% 18 - 7 11 - 3 B +9 C+ +3 B- F A B+ +6 A C+ B-
 Tue, Feb 24 266 Central Michigan W 83 - 81 80% -9  2% 19 - 7 12 - 3 D+ -7 B +6 B- A+ D- F -13 F F B-
 Fri, Feb 27 72 Akron L 70 - 92 30% -13  5% 19 - 8 12 - 4 F+ -17 D -6 B- F D+ F -11 F D A-
 Tue, Mar 3 321 @Northern Illinois W 79 - 72 75%
 Fri, Mar 6 272 Western Michigan W 85 - 76 81%
Totals 21 - 8 14 - 4 +0 C+ +1 F+ C- C+ C- -1 C C+ A-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ D+ D+ C C- 37% 32% 46% C+ C- B- C+ B- D A- C+ A- C- C B- D+ C 38% 18% 44% C- C- C C+ C C- D+ C D+
1.10 55% 36% 34% -1 0 1.00 34% 1.1 .36 19% .37 74% .28 1.10 58% 36% 35% 0 0 1.03 31% 1.0 .31 16% .33 72% .27
Nov
3		 Troy C+ F F A+ D- 35% 23% 42% C- D- A+ C A C A+ B+ A+ F+ C- C- F F 50% 9% 41% D F A+ F C- D F D+ F
1.13 36% 29% 42% -5 0 0.92 44% 1.0 .46 16% .46 76% .35 1.20 59% 40% 46% +8 +2 1.22 21% 1.7 .34 14% .45 76% .34
Nov
7		 Cornell A+ A- C+ A+ A+ 31% 9% 59% C+ A+ A- A A C+ A+ D A+ F D+ F F F 26% 6% 69% B- F F B- D- A- F+ D F
1.39 71% 40% 50% +18 +1 1.41 38% 1.3 .48 14% .48 67% .32 1.29 64% 67% 46% +15 +1 1.35 39% 1.1 .42 22% .35 77% .27
Nov
10		 UNC Wilmington B+ A+ F A+ A+ 23% 15% 63% B A+ D+ A+ B D+ A+ D A+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ 51% 15% 34% F A+ D+ D D F A D+ A-
1.19 82% 29% 43% +13 0 1.27 23% 1.4 .33 15% .39 71% .28 1.07 42% 44% 19% -15 +2 0.75 35% 1.2 .42 10% .28 72% .20
Nov
15		 Cleveland St. B+ B D- F F+ 46% 12% 42% B+ D B- A+ A C+ A+ D+ A+ F D- B- F F 22% 12% 66% C F+ F C- F B- F D F
1.34 70% 33% 29% +1 +2 1.08 40% 1.4 .54 14% .71 74% .52 1.25 64% 33% 42% +9 0 1.20 47% 1.1 .50 20% .49 80% .39
Nov
16		 Wright St. D D D+ F F 46% 15% 38% B F A+ C A F A+ A A+ A- F C- A+ B- 37% 28% 35% B+ B- A F C+ D+ C+ A+ B
1.03 54% 38% 20% -10 +1 0.85 43% 1.1 .45 24% .47 81% .38 0.98 70% 40% 21% -2 -1 0.96 24% 1.3 .32 15% .30 63% .19
Nov
18		 Eastern Kentucky D+ B- F D+ D- 48% 12% 40% A D+ C A- B- F A+ D A+ B+ C+ D A B+ 23% 13% 64% F+ B C- C+ C A+ F A F+
1.14 64% 33% 33% +2 +2 1.10 32% 1.2 .38 20% .56 70% .40 0.96 54% 43% 28% -6 0 0.89 33% 1.1 .35 23% .38 63% .24
Nov
22		 Cleveland St. D D+ F A+ B- 30% 7% 63% B- B- B- F D+ F F+ D+ F+ A A+ F C A 48% 14% 39% F B+ A+ F B- A F B- F
1.16 59% 25% 44% +9 +1 1.23 40% 0.9 .34 24% .25 73% .19 0.91 43% 50% 35% -5 +2 0.95 13% 1.8 .22 23% .50 73% .37
Dec
3		 Austin Peay A+ B+ C+ A+ A+ 40% 10% 50% B A+ F+ A+ A C A+ B- A+ D- B- D+ F F 41% 9% 50% F+ F C- A+ A+ D+ B+ B+ B+
1.31 68% 40% 54% +19 +1 1.44 23% 1.7 .38 18% .53 72% .38 1.14 52% 40% 46% +7 +2 1.20 30% 0.5 .16 15% .26 69% .18
Dec
14		 Portland D- C+ F F F 45% 18% 37% B- F+ B+ C B F A+ A+ A+ C D- F+ C- F 47% 18% 35% D+ F+ A- C+ A- C- C- A C+
0.96 59% 22% 22% -9 +1 0.86 39% 1.1 .42 29% .49 86% .42 1.08 68% 45% 33% +6 +1 1.15 23% 1.1 .26 20% .32 67% .21
Dec
20		 Massachusetts D- F+ A+ F D- 33% 18% 49% C- D- D A C D+ F B F+ A+ B A+ F A+ 40% 32% 28% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ F D- F
0.98 50% 67% 25% -4 0 0.94 23% 1.3 .29 18% .29 76% .23 0.83 53% 0% 46% -9 -1 0.81 22% 0.8 .17 20% .42 71% .30
Dec
29		 Purdue F A F F D- 18% 36% 46% F+ F+ D- F F+ D B- A+ B+ C- D F D F+ 25% 26% 49% A- D- A+ F A+ D+ C+ F D
0.79 70% 25% 27% -7 -3 0.80 15% 0.8 .13 20% .23 79% .18 1.33 71% 73% 39% +16 -2 1.32 21% 1.5 .32 11% .28 89% .25
Jan
3		 Northern Illinois D B- A+ F F+ 38% 18% 44% D+ F+ B- F D+ D A+ B+ A+ D+ D+ A- F F 29% 17% 55% A- F F B D+ A+ F B+ F
1.05 65% 50% 20% -5 0 0.93 35% 0.8 .30 19% .68 78% .52 1.00 58% 29% 43% +6 0 1.14 40% 0.7 .29 30% .59 60% .35
Jan
6		 Bowling Green A+ A B- A+ A+ 42% 13% 45% B- A+ B+ A+ A+ A- C- A+ B+ F C A+ F D- 53% 9% 38% F+ F+ F F F F+ F F F
1.36 68% 43% 42% +10 +1 1.25 34% 1.5 .52 14% .31 89% .28 1.32 56% 25% 44% +4 +3 1.15 44% 1.2 .52 13% .51 87% .44
Jan
10		 Central Michigan B- D- F D F 38% 15% 47% C F A+ A A+ F+ D- C D F+ C+ C- A B 34% 29% 37% B- B F F F F F+ C F+
1.17 52% 13% 31% -8 +1 0.87 50% 1.4 .68 21% .30 71% .21 1.20 55% 41% 27% -4 -1 0.92 39% 1.4 .52 10% .35 70% .24
Jan
13		 Buffalo B+ B+ F A+ B- 44% 16% 40% C+ B- B- A A- C+ B- B- B C- C A+ F C+ 38% 22% 40% B- C+ A+ F B- F F+ B D
1.24 68% 13% 45% +7 +1 1.18 36% 1.2 .42 17% .31 78% .24 1.15 57% 25% 41% +1 0 1.04 15% 1.7 .26 7% .41 70% .29
Jan
16		 Toledo B- B+ C+ C- C+ 45% 11% 45% B C+ B+ D C+ A+ A+ C A+ D B A+ F B+ 53% 13% 35% F C+ C- F F C F A- F
1.21 67% 40% 33% +4 +2 1.13 41% 0.9 .38 13% .57 72% .41 1.17 52% 29% 42% 0 +2 1.05 29% 1.4 .41 15% .48 69% .33
Jan
20		 Miami (OH) A- B+ B D+ C+ 43% 13% 45% A- B- A+ B A+ D A+ A- A+ F F F B- F 40% 15% 45% D+ F C A+ A F F A+ D-
1.23 67% 43% 32% +3 +1 1.11 44% 1.0 .44 19% .47 81% .38 1.30 84% 67% 32% +13 +1 1.31 24% 0.7 .16 7% .44 65% .29
Jan
24		 Eastern Michigan D C+ D+ B B- 32% 26% 42% D- C+ C F F F A+ A- A+ B F A+ A+ A+ 33% 35% 32% B+ A+ D A C+ F C+ F D
0.97 59% 36% 36% +1 -1 1.02 30% 0.4 .11 23% .47 79% .37 0.96 71% 5% 25% -12 -2 0.75 31% 0.8 .25 12% .25 88% .22
Jan
27		 Ohio F+ F A+ F F 52% 7% 40% A F A+ C+ A F A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 9% 49% F A+ B A- B+ D B C B
1.00 41% 67% 24% -13 +3 0.81 46% 1.1 .49 28% .68 74% .50 0.79 36% 20% 23% -19 +2 0.68 24% 0.8 .20 14% .27 71% .19
Jan
30		 Akron F F+ F F F 42% 22% 36% C- F A+ F C- F+ A+ F B+ A+ B+ F B B- 29% 17% 54% B+ B A A+ A+ B+ B A+ A-
0.76 48% 27% 0% -25 0 0.52 45% 0.7 .30 22% .39 62% .24 1.01 53% 67% 32% +2 0 1.06 26% 0.8 .21 19% .22 67% .14
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 Toledo C F F+ C- F 31% 24% 44% F+ F A- C+ B+ C A+ C A+ B+ B- F B+ B 49% 21% 30% F+ B- D A+ B+ C- B- D C
1.10 41% 31% 33% -8 -1 0.85 42% 1.1 .44 18% .37 71% .27 1.06 54% 55% 31% 0 +1 1.04 32% 0.7 .22 15% .26 80% .21
Feb
7		 Southern Miss D+ F A+ F F 34% 16% 50% C F+ C+ C- C A- D F F C+ A+ B- B A- 38% 32% 30% C+ A- F A- C- D F D- F
1.00 41% 63% 28% -6 0 0.90 30% 1.0 .30 14% .32 44% .14 1.02 44% 33% 29% -9 -1 0.81 38% 0.9 .33 17% .44 79% .35
Feb
11		 Eastern Michigan A+ F A+ A+ A 28% 26% 47% F+ A- B- A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F F F D F 33% 33% 33% B+ F F A+ D+ C+ A F B+
1.35 38% 58% 45% +8 -1 1.15 33% 1.5 .50 13% .54 88% .47 1.30 95% 47% 37% +17 -2 1.32 41% 0.7 .30 19% .17 80% .14
Feb
14		 Ball St. D+ F+ A+ B C- 40% 12% 48% B+ C D D- D- D A+ F A- B A A+ C B+ 49% 9% 42% F B- A- C- B- D- F D+ F
1.03 50% 50% 38% +1 +1 1.06 29% 0.9 .26 21% .40 70% .28 0.94 42% 0% 32% -13 +2 0.81 20% 0.9 .18 14% .48 73% .35
Feb
17		 Bowling Green C+ F B- A B- 29% 16% 56% C- B- C- F F A A+ D+ A+ B+ A- B- A+ A+ 59% 6% 35% F A B- C+ C+ B- F B F
1.08 46% 43% 40% +2 0 1.07 26% 0.3 .08 14% .64 70% .45 0.98 48% 33% 24% -12 +3 0.86 25% 0.8 .20 18% .60 69% .42
Feb
24		 Central Michigan B B B- B- B- 39% 11% 50% B- B- A B+ A+ D- A+ A A+ F F A F F 26% 28% 47% B F C- F F B- F C+ F
1.24 65% 40% 36% +5 +1 1.14 47% 1.3 .60 19% .52 79% .41 1.21 75% 31% 45% +10 -2 1.19 30% 1.7 .50 19% .41 68% .28
Feb
27		 Akron D D- B- A- B- 34% 9% 57% B- B- F+ F F D+ F F F F F D- F F 31% 22% 47% A- F D+ C- D A- D- C- D-
0.99 50% 40% 40% +3 +1 1.09 24% 0.8 .19 20% .20 45% .09 1.31 75% 45% 50% +18 -1 1.37 36% 1.3 .46 20% .32 78% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 5.2 34.3 60.5 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 5.2 34.3 60.5 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 60.5% 6.0% 6.0% 13.1 0.6 2.3 0.7 0.0 56.9
13-5 34.3% 4.6% 4.6% 13.6 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.1 32.7
12-6 5.2% 3.0% 3.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.1
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 13.2 94.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.6% 100.0% 13.1 15.6 63.1 20.6 0.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 5.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 25.1%
Lose Out 2.6%