Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +0.9 #146
Expected Predictive Rating +3.6 #113
Pace 77.8 #20
Improvement -2.9 #311

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #102 C+ B D A- C+
Defense #234 D+ C C- D+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #193 1.17 #161 -0.2 #184
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #261 0.63 #320 -2.5 #302
Three Pointers 46% #93 1.09 #88 +4.0 #55
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #142 +1.3 #143
Freethrows 20.0 #62 77% #54 15.4 #34
Second Chance 33.6% #102 1.15 #68 0.38 #69
Turnovers 18.7% #308
Total Offense +2.7 #102

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #208 1.15 #159 +0.5 #153
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #225 0.75 #162 +0.6 #151
Three Pointers 43% #115 1.14 #331 -3.9 #324
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #267 -2.8 #271
Freethrows 18.5 #245 74% #242 13.7 #109
Second Chance 28.1% #95 1.15 #302 0.32 #185
Turnovers 15.5% #243
Total Defense -1.9 #234

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.9% #124 0.4% #199
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.8% #151 4.8% #272
Possession Length 16.1 #70 16.4 #44
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #196 0.21 #300
Improvement -2.0 #301 -0.9 #238

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 7.8% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.3
.500 or above 98.7% 99.6% 96.8%
.500 or above in Conference 94.3% 97.4% 88.2%
Conference Champion 7.1% 9.4% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round7.0% 7.8% 5.4%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Toledo (Home) - 66.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 38 - 59 - 8
Quad 411 - 320 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 125 Troy L 97 - 103 OT 57% -8  0 - 1 -7 +6 D- A+ C -12 F C F
 Fri, Nov 7 193 Cornell W 110 - 102 72% +8  1 - 1 +3 +16 A+ A- C+ -14 F D- A-
 Mon, Nov 10 118 UNC Wilmington W 86 - 77 55% +8  2 - 1 +9 +11 A+ C+ D -2 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 328 Cleveland St. W 102 - 95 85% +2  3 - 1 -3 +13 C- A+ C -17 F F C
 Sun, Nov 16 142 Wright St. W 76 - 72 OT 49% -2  4 - 1 +5 -0 F A+ F +5 A- B- D-
 Tue, Nov 18 253 Eastern Kentucky W 93 - 78 81% +16  5 - 1 +7 +0 C B F +4 B D+ A+
 Sat, Nov 22 328 Cleveland St. W 91 - 71 90% +14  6 - 1 +7 -0 A- D- F +5 C+ B+ A
 Wed, Dec 3 180 Austin Peay W 96 - 84 70% +3  7 - 1 +7 +19 A+ A+ B -12 F A+ C
 Sun, Dec 14 233 @Portland L 78 - 88 57% -0  7 - 2 -11 -6 F B+ F -3 F A+ C
 Sat, Dec 20 168 @Massachusetts W 69 - 59 45% +5  8 - 2 1 - 0 +12 -3 D C D- +15 A+ A+ C+
 Mon, Dec 29 3 @Purdue L 60 - 101 2% -24  8 - 3 -16 -8 D F F -5 D- A+ D
 Sat, Jan 3 331 Northern Illinois W 77 - 73 91% +9  9 - 3 2 - 0 -10 -5 F F D+ -5 F C A+
 Tue, Jan 6 131 Bowling Green W 96 - 93 59% +2  10 - 3 3 - 0 +2 +23 A+ A+ A+ -21 D- F D-
 Sat, Jan 10 325 @Central Michigan L 85 - 87 77% -1  10 - 4 3 - 1 -9 +6 F A+ F -15 C+ F F
 Tue, Jan 13 199 @Buffalo W 87 - 81 51% +7  11 - 4 4 - 1 +7 +11 B B+ C -4 C B+ F
 Fri, Jan 16 164 Toledo W 88 - 83 66%
 Tue, Jan 20 84 Miami (OH) L 84 - 87 40%
 Sat, Jan 24 211 @Eastern Michigan W 77 - 76 53%
 Tue, Jan 27 178 Ohio W 87 - 82 69%
 Fri, Jan 30 67 @Akron L 85 - 95 16%
 Tue, Feb 3 164 @Toledo L 85 - 86 45%
 Sat, Feb 7 210 @Southern Miss W 80 - 79 53%
 Wed, Feb 11 211 Eastern Michigan W 80 - 73 74%
 Sat, Feb 14 303 @Ball St. W 80 - 74 72%
 Tue, Feb 17 131 @Bowling Green L 79 - 83 37%
 Tue, Feb 24 325 Central Michigan W 87 - 73 90%
 Sat, Feb 28 67 Akron L 88 - 92 34%
 Tue, Mar 3 331 @Northern Illinois W 85 - 76 79%
 Fri, Mar 6 250 Western Michigan W 88 - 79 80%
Totals 19 - 10 12 - 6 +1 +3 C+ B D -2 D+ C C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 2.2 2.8 1.2 0.2 7.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 5.4 5.0 1.2 0.0 13.4 2nd
3rd 0.4 5.2 12.6 9.7 2.4 0.1 30.4 3rd
4th 0.2 3.7 9.3 5.5 0.7 0.0 19.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 6.6 4.1 0.4 12.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.7 3.4 0.5 0.0 8.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 2.6 0.5 0.0 4.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.8 8.6 14.7 19.2 20.3 16.5 9.7 4.1 1.2 0.2 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 98.3% 1.2    1.0 0.2 0.0
15-3 68.5% 2.8    1.4 1.2 0.3
14-4 22.7% 2.2    0.5 1.1 0.5 0.1
13-5 4.2% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.1% 7.1 3.1 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.2% 27.3% 27.3% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 1.2% 22.3% 22.3% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.9
15-3 4.1% 16.9% 16.9% 12.5 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 3.4
14-4 9.7% 13.1% 13.1% 12.7 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.2 8.4
13-5 16.5% 10.1% 10.1% 13.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.0 14.9
12-6 20.3% 6.4% 6.4% 13.2 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 19.0
11-7 19.2% 5.2% 5.2% 13.5 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 18.2
10-8 14.7% 3.9% 3.9% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 14.1
9-9 8.6% 2.3% 2.3% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.4
8-10 3.8% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 3.8
7-11 1.4% 1.4
6-12 0.5% 0.5
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 13.1 93.0 0.0%