LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.2 #219
Expected Predictive Rating +0.7 #155
Pace 70.4 #145
Improvement +1.0 #126

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #208 C+ B- F C- C
Defense #229 C F C+ C D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #36 1.11 #237 +2.8 #96
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #93 0.87 #49 +3.1 #48
Three Pointers 30% #354 1.09 #77 -4.4 #318
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #139 +1.5 #138
Freethrows 18.3 #131 66% #342 12.0 #215
Second Chance 36.0% #43 1.01 #224 0.36 #85
Turnovers 20.0% #348
Total Offense -1.5 #208

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #13 1.10 #110 -3.4 #294
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #214 0.73 #141 +0.7 #145
Three Pointers 34% #340 1.09 #288 +2.0 #108
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #202 -0.7 #202
Freethrows 18.2 #224 66% #13 12.1 #204
Second Chance 35.3% #327 1.12 #276 0.39 #329
Turnovers 17.6% #115
Total Defense -1.7 #229

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.1% #202 1.6% #313
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 3.0% #136 -0.3% #177
Possession Length 17.2 #166 16.9 #114
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 #42 0.19 #233
Improvement -0.1 #185 +1.1 #112

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 41.5% 49.6% 42.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.7 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 99.3% 99.6% 98.2%
.500 or above in Conference 89.8% 87.1% 97.8%
Conference Champion 72.7% 77.8% 57.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four8.5% 7.6% 11.3%
First Round43.6% 46.0% 36.8%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Away) - 74.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 420 - 522 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 71 @Notre Dame L 67 - 89 10% -15  0 - 1 -11 -0 D+ B+ F -11 D F A+
 Thu, Nov 6 353 @IU Indianapolis W 94 - 90 76% -1  1 - 1 -6 -4 B C F -4 B- F C
 Tue, Nov 11 342 @Air Force W 76 - 72 69% +0  2 - 1 -4 +3 C+ B F -7 C F D
 Sat, Nov 15 213 James Madison W 88 - 79 61% +10  3 - 1 +3 +4 A+ F F -1 D C- B+
 Thu, Nov 20 183 @Fordham L 53 - 69 33% -11  3 - 2 -15 -15 F F F -1 F A+ D-
 Sat, Nov 22 8 @Illinois L 58 - 98 2% -26  3 - 3 -16 -6 A- D- F -10 F F A-
 Mon, Nov 24 192 @Missouri St. W 75 - 61 34% -1  4 - 3 +15 +12 A+ B F +4 A+ F C-
 Tue, Dec 2 143 Winthrop L 92 - 94 OT 45% -4  4 - 4 -4 +9 B+ A- D+ -12 B+ F D
 Sat, Dec 6 313 @Lehigh W 87 - 82 61% +7  5 - 4 -1 +9 C A+ D -10 C- F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 208 La Salle W 70 - 60 60% +5  6 - 4 +4 -1 D A+ F +6 A- F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 66 @Mississippi St. L 83 - 87 9% -3  6 - 5 +7 +14 A+ B- A+ -6 C F D-
 Sat, Dec 20 172 @Florida International L 79 - 86 31% -2  6 - 6 -5 +0 C C F -4 F C A-
 Mon, Dec 29 23 @Georgia L 74 - 89 3% -1  6 - 7 +4 +5 B- B- D +0 B C- A
 Fri, Jan 2 260 Central Connecticut St. W 84 - 78 70% +1  7 - 7 1 - 0 -3 +23 A A+ A+ -25 F F D-
 Sun, Jan 4 349 @Chicago St. W 74 - 55 74% +11  8 - 7 2 - 0 +9 +2 B C F +9 A- A+ D-
 Thu, Jan 8 308 Mercyhurst W 60 - 58 79% +4  9 - 7 3 - 0 -10 -7 D F C -2 C F C
 Sat, Jan 10 360 St. Francis (PA) W 67 - 63 91% +1  10 - 7 4 - 0 -14 -14 F A+ F +0 D- A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 17 351 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 78 - 71 74%
 Mon, Jan 19 295 @Le Moyne W 78 - 76 56%
 Fri, Jan 23 344 @Stonehill W 73 - 68 70%
 Sun, Jan 25 316 Wagner W 78 - 69 81%
 Thu, Jan 29 295 Le Moyne W 81 - 73 76%
 Sat, Jan 31 260 @Central Connecticut St. L 72 - 73 48%
 Thu, Feb 5 340 New Haven W 73 - 62 85%
 Sat, Feb 7 344 Stonehill W 76 - 65 85%
 Thu, Feb 12 316 @Wagner W 75 - 72 61%
 Sat, Feb 14 340 @New Haven W 70 - 65 67%
 Thu, Feb 19 360 @St. Francis (PA) W 79 - 70 79%
 Sat, Feb 21 308 @Mercyhurst W 71 - 68 59%
 Thu, Feb 26 349 Chicago St. W 82 - 69 88%
 Sat, Feb 28 351 Fairleigh Dickinson W 81 - 68 88%
Totals 20 - 11 14 - 4 -3 -1 C+ B- F -2 C F C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.8 8.5 16.4 19.0 15.5 62.6 1st
2nd 0.2 2.0 5.3 6.3 4.0 1.1 0.1 19.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 2.3 1.6 0.4 0.0 5.2 3rd
4th 0.2 1.1 0.6 0.1 2.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.4 5.3 9.8 15.2 20.4 20.1 15.6 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 99.1% 15.5    14.8 0.7
15-1 94.7% 19.0    16.7 2.4 0.0
14-2 80.3% 16.4    11.9 4.3 0.2
13-3 56.3% 8.5    4.4 3.5 0.6 0.0
12-4 29.0% 2.8    0.9 1.3 0.6 0.1
11-5 5.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 62.6% 62.6 48.7 12.2 1.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 15.6% 56.1% 56.1% 15.1 0.0 1.2 5.7 1.8 6.9
15-1 20.1% 53.8% 53.8% 15.4 0.5 5.2 5.1 9.3
14-2 20.4% 47.4% 47.4% 15.7 0.1 3.1 6.5 10.7
13-3 15.2% 41.9% 41.9% 15.8 0.0 1.1 5.2 8.8
12-4 9.8% 34.9% 34.9% 15.9 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.4
11-5 5.3% 30.2% 30.2% 15.9 0.1 1.5 3.7
10-6 2.4% 24.0% 24.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6 1.8
9-7 0.8% 23.2% 23.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 0.6
8-8 0.2% 17.1% 17.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1
7-9 0.1% 20.0% 20.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1
6-10 0.0% 0.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 41.5% 41.5% 0.0% 15.5 58.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.4% 100.0% 13.4 6.0 50.4 37.9 5.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%