Massachusetts
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#181
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#238
Pace77.1#37
Improvement-0.4#211

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#233
First Shot-8.3#362
After Offensive Rebound+6.1#6
Layup/Dunks-0.6#208
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#161
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#344
Freethrows-1.6#286
Improvement+1.2#70

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#148
First Shot-0.6#186
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#110
Layups/Dunks-4.5#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#51
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#45
Freethrows-2.3#310
Improvement-1.5#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 4.4% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.3
.500 or above 60.1% 69.6% 45.1%
.500 or above in Conference 60.4% 64.9% 53.3%
Conference Champion 2.8% 3.6% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 3.1% 5.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round3.7% 4.4% 2.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Harvard (Home) - 61.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 65 - 9
Quad 411 - 516 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 183 Marshall L 72-78 62%     0 - 1 -10.7 -12.9 +3.1
  Sat, Nov 8 325 Albany W 83-62 83%     1 - 1 +9.2 +0.4 +7.7
  Thu, Nov 13 336 Le Moyne W 94-80 87%     2 - 1 +0.3 +4.3 -5.2
  Sun, Nov 16 244 Central Connecticut St. W 84-77 72%     3 - 1 -0.7 +1.2 -2.6
  Fri, Nov 21 151 College of Charleston L 65-69 44%     3 - 2 -4.1 -6.4 +2.2
  Sat, Nov 22 267 Green Bay L 75-79 66%     3 - 3 -9.7 +1.1 -10.9
  Mon, Nov 24 169 Oregon St. W 73-65 49%     4 - 3 +6.8 +2.9 +4.4
  Wed, Dec 3 179 Harvard W 75-72 61%    
  Sat, Dec 6 309 Umass Lowell W 83-73 82%    
  Wed, Dec 10 127 Boston College L 71-72 48%    
  Sat, Dec 13 55 Florida St. L 77-88 15%    
  Sat, Dec 20 124 Kent St. L 82-83 46%    
  Tue, Dec 30 209 @Eastern Michigan L 73-74 44%    
  Sat, Jan 3 140 Bowling Green W 75-74 51%    
  Tue, Jan 6 207 @Ohio L 79-81 44%    
  Sat, Jan 10 277 Ball St. W 77-69 76%    
  Tue, Jan 13 243 @Western Michigan W 77-76 51%    
  Sat, Jan 17 280 @Northern Illinois W 78-76 57%    
  Tue, Jan 20 173 Toledo W 81-78 59%    
  Sat, Jan 24 228 @Buffalo L 77-78 49%    
  Tue, Jan 27 121 @Miami (OH) L 76-83 26%    
  Sat, Jan 31 209 Eastern Michigan W 76-71 66%    
  Tue, Feb 3 305 Central Michigan W 79-70 80%    
  Sat, Feb 14 58 @Akron L 77-91 11%    
  Tue, Feb 17 121 Miami (OH) L 79-80 46%    
  Sat, Feb 21 228 Buffalo W 80-75 68%    
  Tue, Feb 24 277 @Ball St. W 74-72 56%    
  Sat, Feb 28 140 @Bowling Green L 72-78 31%    
  Tue, Mar 3 207 Ohio W 82-78 65%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.2 3.5 2.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 9.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.7 4.3 2.3 0.4 0.0 11.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.8 5.0 2.1 0.2 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 3.2 5.5 2.1 0.2 0.0 11.3 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 5.8 2.7 0.3 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.7 3.4 0.4 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.3 4.1 0.8 0.0 8.5 8th
9th 0.1 2.1 3.9 1.1 0.0 7.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 3.2 1.7 0.1 6.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 2.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 4.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.2 0.3 3.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.7 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.6 4.8 7.7 10.3 12.5 13.6 13.3 11.7 9.0 6.4 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 95.3% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 78.7% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 47.5% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.1
14-4 22.3% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 5.8% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1
12-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.2% 21.9% 21.9% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.6% 19.1% 19.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.7% 17.5% 17.5% 12.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4
14-4 3.8% 12.2% 12.2% 13.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.3
13-5 6.4% 10.1% 10.1% 13.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 5.8
12-6 9.0% 7.3% 7.3% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 8.3
11-7 11.7% 4.7% 4.7% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 11.2
10-8 13.3% 3.6% 3.6% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 12.8
9-9 13.6% 2.5% 2.5% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 13.3
8-10 12.5% 0.6% 0.6% 15.7 0.0 0.1 12.4
7-11 10.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.2
6-12 7.7% 7.7
5-13 4.8% 4.8
4-14 2.6% 2.6
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.2 0.9 0.2 96.3 0.0%