Massachusetts
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -1.9 190
Results Rating -3.3 222
Consistency 0.09 2
Pace 74.5 35
Improvement -3.3 306

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 167 C B D C C
Defense C- 227 C- C+ C F+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 116 C 58% 177 +1.3 126
2 Pt. Jumpers 49% 61 C+ 40% 108 +1.5 99
Three Pointers 36% 288 C 34% 174 -2.6 265
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.2 215 C +0.3 159
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 165
Second Chance C+ 31.7% 147 A- 1.18 26 B 0.37 58
Opponents' Steals D 10.9% 312
Other Turnovers D+ 7.9% 261
Turnovers D 18.8% 304
Freethrows B- 0.33 105 F+ 66% 346 C 0.22 186
Total Offense C -0.1 167

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots A 67% 8 B- 9.2% 83
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 34% 68 B 3.3% 59
Three Pointers C- 82% 233 B- 0.6% 103
Total B+ 64% 37 B- 4.7% 79

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 172 D 63% 306 +2.0 248
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 267 C- 40% 246 -0.8 128
Three Pointers 43% 107 C+ 33% 127 +0.5 207
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 239 C- +1.3 233
1st FG Attempt C- 1.06 238
Second Chance B- 28.0% 89 C 1.04 204 C+ 0.29 124
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.6% 241
Other Turnovers B 8.2% 71
Turnovers C 16.9% 178
Freethrows F+ 0.39 355 C 72% 181 F+ 0.28 349
Total Defense C- -1.8 227

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 316 D+ 8.0% 302
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 35% 321 D- 1.7% 335
Three Pointers D+ 87% 283 D 0.1% 344
Total D 62% 319 D- 3.4% 333

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.6 100 16.9 107
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 180 0.22 325
Consistency 0.13 204 0.10 46
Improvement +3.2 42 -6.5 364

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 213 194 170
Results Rating Rank 243 221 189
Conference Record 6 - 12 7 - 11 8 - 10
Conference Finish 9 8 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.6 15.4
.500 or above 40% 77% 19%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round2% 3% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Bowling Green (Away) - 36.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 4
Quad 35 - 66 - 9
Quad 49 - 615 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 186 Marshall L 72 - 78 61% -5  11% 0 - 1 D -11 F -19 C- F F A +10 D B A+
 Sat, Nov 8 322 Albany W 83 - 62 86% +7  75% 1 - 1 B- +8 D -5 F A+ D- A+ +11 A C- A+
 Thu, Nov 13 293 Le Moyne W 94 - 80 80% +11  97% 2 - 1 C+ +3 B +6 A B+ F+ D+ -4 B- D+ F
 Sun, Nov 16 302 Central Connecticut St. W 84 - 77 81% +12  99% 3 - 1 C- -4 D- -7 D- A+ F B- +2 C C+ C
 Fri, Nov 21 147 College of Charleston L 65 - 69 40% +1  50% 3 - 2 C- -3 D- -7 B- B F B- +3 B+ F D-
 Sat, Nov 22 227 Green Bay L 75 - 79 57% -4  17% 3 - 3 D+ -8 D+ -3 F A+ C- D -5 D+ B- F
 Mon, Nov 24 155 Oregon St. W 73 - 65 42% +2  73% 4 - 3 B- +8 C +2 D A+ D A- +7 D- A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 149 Harvard W 78 - 71 52% +10  98% 5 - 3 C+ +5 C- -0 A F F+ B +5 B+ C C-
 Sat, Dec 6 306 Umass Lowell W 80 - 60 82% +8  84% 6 - 3 B +8 F+ -8 C- F+ F+ A+ +15 B A- A+
 Wed, Dec 10 136 Boston College W 76 - 74 37% +3  69% 7 - 3 C+ +3 B- +4 D A+ F C -1 A B- D
 Sat, Dec 13 80 Florida St. W 103 - 95 19% +5  77% 8 - 3 A- +15 A+ +16 A A+ B+ C- -2 D- A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 20 159 Kent St. L 59 - 69 55% -5  14% 8 - 4 0 - 1 D- -13 F -20 F F F+ B+ +7 B- B+ C
 Tue, Dec 30 247 @Eastern Michigan L 74 - 80 50% -2  31% 8 - 5 0 - 2 D+ -8 D+ -3 F C+ A+ D -5 C- C+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 177 Bowling Green L 100 - 101 OT 59% -0  37% 8 - 6 0 - 3 D+ -5 B- +5 A+ B- D- F -10 F+ B F
 Tue, Jan 6 210 @Ohio L 83 - 86 42% -3  22% 8 - 7 0 - 4 C- -3 C+ +3 B- F C D -5 F B C
 Sat, Jan 10 313 Ball St. W 79 - 71 83% +3  75% 9 - 7 1 - 4 C- -4 C+ +2 A F C+ D -6 F+ C D
 Tue, Jan 13 272 @Western Michigan W 85 - 82 56% +4  79% 10 - 7 2 - 4 C -0 B+ +9 D+ A+ D+ F+ -9 F F D
 Sat, Jan 17 321 @Northern Illinois L 68 - 70 70% -3  8% 10 - 8 2 - 5 D -9 F -11 F D F C+ +2 B C+ D
 Tue, Jan 20 164 Toledo W 84 - 82 55% +2  66% 11 - 8 3 - 5 C -1 C+ +3 B+ B+ D D+ -5 D- C+ A+
 Fri, Jan 23 206 @Buffalo W 68 - 67 41% +7  78% 12 - 8 4 - 5 C +1 D -6 F B D A- +8 C- C+ B-
 Tue, Jan 27 87 @Miami (OH) L 84 - 86 15% +3  76% 12 - 9 4 - 6 B- +7 A+ +15 B+ A+ B D- -8 B+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 31 247 Eastern Michigan W 70 - 67 72% +4  89% 13 - 9 5 - 6 C- -5 C- -1 D+ C A D+ -3 D A- A-
 Tue, Feb 3 266 Central Michigan W 95 - 89 75% -1  44% 14 - 9 6 - 6 C- -3 A+ +15 A+ A- A- F -18 F F A+
 Sat, Feb 7 228 @Coastal Carolina L 91 - 94 3OT 45% +4  68% 14 - 10 C- -4 C+ +3 D+ A D D -6 F B F+
 Fri, Feb 13 72 @Akron L 92 - 99 11% -5  11% 14 - 11 6 - 7 C+ +4 A- +10 A+ C- D D+ -5 B- C+ D
 Tue, Feb 17 87 Miami (OH) L 77 - 86 30% -5  2% 14 - 12 6 - 8 D+ -6 C +1 A C+ C- D- -6 D A F
 Sat, Feb 21 206 Buffalo L 82 - 86 OT 64% +2  62% 14 - 13 6 - 9 D -10 C- -2 B+ D+ D+ D- -8 D+ D+ D+
 Tue, Feb 24 313 @Ball St. L 73 - 74 OT 66% +8  82% 14 - 14 6 - 10 D+ -7 D -6 F A+ C- C -1 C+ C- D-
 Sat, Feb 28 177 @Bowling Green L 75 - 79 36%
 Tue, Mar 3 210 Ohio W 82 - 78 64%
Totals 15 - 15 7 - 11 -2 C +0 B+ C C C- -2 C F+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C C+ C C 41% 49% 36% C C C+ A- B D B- F+ C C- D C- C+ C- 39% 18% 43% C- C- B- C C+ C F+ C F+
1.08 58% 40% 34% 0 0 1.02 32% 1.2 .37 19% .33 66% .22 1.11 63% 40% 33% +1 0 1.06 28% 1.0 .29 17% .39 72% .24
Nov
3		 Marshall F C- A F+ D+ 43% 22% 35% B- C- F F F F A+ F A+ A F A C+ D+ 33% 14% 53% F D D- A+ B A+ F C- F
0.88 57% 45% 29% -1 0 1.00 25% 0.4 .10 25% .58 58% .34 0.96 82% 29% 33% +6 +1 1.16 36% 0.8 .29 32% .34 74% .25
Nov
8		 Albany D D+ B F F 44% 14% 42% B- F A- A+ A+ D- A+ D- A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ 40% 10% 50% D- A A F C- A+ F C- F
1.12 55% 43% 19% -10 +1 0.84 42% 1.8 .76 18% .49 70% .34 0.84 58% 20% 21% -12 +1 0.81 24% 1.3 .30 26% .42 70% .29
Nov
13		 Le Moyne B B+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 20% 39% C A A- C B+ F+ C A- B- D+ C+ A+ B B 46% 9% 46% F B- B- F D+ F F A- D-
1.23 64% 45% 43% +9 0 1.20 39% 1.1 .42 18% .32 80% .26 1.05 58% 20% 31% -4 +2 0.98 22% 1.3 .27 13% .42 64% .27
Nov
16		 Central Connecticut St. D- F+ D+ C D 40% 19% 40% D D- A+ A+ A+ F A+ F C- B- D+ A+ D- C+ 43% 31% 27% D- C A+ F C+ C F A+ F
1.08 48% 36% 35% -4 0 0.95 44% 1.3 .56 22% .41 48% .20 0.99 62% 27% 38% 0 -1 1.00 16% 1.6 .25 17% .48 68% .32
Nov
21		 College of Charleston D- F+ A+ D B- 35% 22% 43% C+ B- C+ B+ B F C+ F D- B- D- F+ A+ A 40% 15% 45% F+ B+ A+ F F D- F F F
0.96 50% 70% 30% +2 0 1.04 32% 1.1 .35 22% .25 46% .11 1.02 68% 43% 14% -8 +1 0.87 11% 4.3 .48 13% .49 83% .41
Nov
22		 Green Bay D+ B- F+ F F 38% 16% 47% B- F B- A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ D F+ C+ A C- 56% 19% 26% D- D+ C- A B- F F D F
1.11 65% 29% 19% -9 +1 0.84 35% 2.1 .73 15% .45 85% .38 1.17 67% 38% 27% +2 +2 1.09 25% 0.9 .21 12% .59 80% .47
Nov
24		 Oregon St. C C C+ F D 50% 20% 30% C+ D A A- A+ D C- F F+ A- F B C+ F+ 22% 20% 59% B+ D- B- A+ A+ A+ B- A- B+
1.10 56% 40% 20% -7 +1 0.90 41% 1.2 .49 17% .31 59% .18 0.98 90% 33% 33% +5 -1 1.11 24% 0.3 .07 24% .34 71% .24
Dec
3		 Harvard C- B C A+ A+ 45% 27% 29% D A D- F F F+ A+ F+ B+ B C+ F A+ B+ 42% 27% 31% B B+ D- A- C C- C C+ C
1.07 64% 38% 50% +9 0 1.20 24% 0.7 .17 21% .36 67% .24 0.97 57% 60% 18% -2 -1 0.96 32% 0.8 .24 18% .25 80% .20
Dec
6		 Umass Lowell F+ C- A- D- C- 50% 28% 22% D C- B- F F+ F+ C D+ C- A+ A- F A+ B+ 57% 20% 24% F+ B A C+ A- A+ F A+ D
1.05 57% 47% 31% +1 0 1.03 34% 0.8 .26 17% .27 71% .19 0.78 46% 67% 18% -7 +1 0.91 24% 1.0 .24 26% .48 48% .23
Dec
10		 Boston College B- F A- F D 43% 33% 24% D D A+ A+ A+ F A+ F B+ C C- A+ A+ A+ 56% 4% 40% F A D- A+ B- D F F F
1.08 43% 44% 25% -8 -1 0.84 44% 1.4 .59 21% .43 54% .23 1.05 60% 0% 11% -14 +3 0.80 35% 0.8 .28 13% .57 77% .44
Dec
13		 Florida St. A+ C+ F+ A+ A 49% 17% 34% A- A B- A+ A+ B+ B C B- C- F A+ C+ D- 42% 7% 52% D D- F+ A+ A+ C+ D+ F D-
1.26 59% 30% 50% +7 +1 1.19 33% 1.6 .53 17% .31 71% .22 1.17 76% 25% 32% +5 +2 1.17 38% 0.5 .20 15% .33 83% .27
Dec
20		 Kent St. F D F A+ F 40% 32% 28% F+ F F+ F F F+ A C- A- B+ B F A+ B- 33% 18% 49% B- B- A+ F B+ C A D+ A-
0.83 53% 0% 46% -9 -1 0.81 22% 0.8 .17 20% .42 71% .30 0.98 50% 67% 25% -4 0 0.94 23% 1.3 .29 18% .29 76% .23
Dec
30		 Eastern Michigan D+ B- F F F 31% 31% 39% F F D A C+ A+ D F+ D- D C+ D+ C C 53% 28% 19% D- C- C B C+ F F B F
1.01 61% 22% 26% -9 -2 0.81 25% 1.3 .31 10% .27 67% .18 1.10 56% 38% 33% -1 0 1.00 27% 0.9 .24 12% .61 69% .42
Jan
3		 Bowling Green B- B+ D- A+ A+ 54% 12% 35% A- A+ F+ A+ B- D- A+ C- A+ F D B+ F F 54% 18% 29% C F+ A+ F B F F A- F
1.15 64% 33% 50% +11 +2 1.29 20% 1.7 .33 21% .51 71% .36 1.16 63% 30% 44% +6 +1 1.16 14% 1.2 .17 11% .58 67% .39
Jan
6		 Ohio C+ C+ B B+ B 44% 25% 32% C- B- D+ F F C D B D+ D F+ C F F 34% 17% 49% D F A+ F B C C- B C
1.12 60% 43% 39% +4 0 1.11 30% 0.6 .19 16% .27 76% .21 1.16 67% 44% 42% +10 0 1.23 19% 1.2 .22 16% .34 67% .23
Jan
10		 Ball St. C+ A+ D+ B+ A+ 33% 20% 47% C- A D F F C+ A+ F A+ D C- A D- F+ 42% 15% 42% D F+ A F C D D+ C- D+
1.15 87% 33% 38% +11 0 1.24 29% 0.4 .13 17% .51 69% .35 1.03 55% 25% 36% -2 +1 1.00 18% 1.2 .21 15% .31 72% .22
Jan
13		 Western Michigan B+ C B- C- C- 29% 19% 52% D- D+ B A+ A+ D+ B- A+ A- F+ C+ F F+ F 32% 15% 53% D F F+ F F D C C- C
1.26 60% 40% 33% 0 0 1.02 34% 1.8 .60 15% .35 80% .28 1.21 53% 63% 39% +6 0 1.15 35% 1.3 .47 15% .28 75% .21
Jan
17		 Northern Illinois F F F D- F 49% 15% 36% B- F D+ D+ D F A+ D+ A+ C+ C+ A+ A A- 43% 2% 55% F B F A C+ D F D- F
0.93 48% 29% 29% -9 +1 0.87 28% 1.0 .28 25% .55 70% .38 0.96 52% 0% 26% -10 +3 0.88 38% 0.6 .23 19% .51 70% .36
Jan
20		 Toledo C+ B- D A+ B+ 45% 12% 43% B- B+ A- C B+ D A+ D A+ D+ D- F+ F F 36% 34% 30% A- D- B- C C+ A+ F D F
1.19 64% 33% 43% +8 +2 1.20 43% 1.0 .43 20% .39 68% .26 1.16 65% 50% 43% +10 -2 1.19 26% 1.0 .26 21% .45 80% .36
Jan
23		 Buffalo D B- F+ F+ F+ 36% 28% 36% F+ F C+ B+ B D B- F D+ A- F D+ B- D 23% 26% 51% A+ C- A+ F C+ B- A A+ A+
1.03 65% 31% 29% -2 -1 0.96 34% 1.1 .37 20% .30 63% .19 1.01 82% 42% 33% +6 -2 1.11 17% 1.6 .28 18% .26 50% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Miami (OH) A+ B- A+ A A 27% 33% 39% F B+ A- A+ A+ B C+ B- C+ D- B- F B- A- 27% 9% 64% C- B+ F F F D+ F C+ F
1.25 64% 53% 40% +10 -2 1.18 36% 1.3 .45 15% .30 76% .23 1.28 58% 50% 32% -1 +1 1.02 33% 1.7 .58 13% .65 74% .48
Jan
31		 Eastern Michigan C- B A+ F D- 55% 16% 30% A- D+ C C C A A+ C- A+ D+ F F A+ D- 30% 30% 41% B D B+ A- A- A- F F F
1.08 63% 57% 8% -6 +2 0.93 29% 1.0 .29 11% .60 71% .43 1.03 85% 46% 22% +3 -2 1.05 22% 0.8 .19 22% .35 89% .31
Feb
3		 Central Michigan A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 48% 8% 44% A- A+ C A+ A- A- A+ C+ A+ F C- C F F 35% 23% 42% C- F F D F A+ F B- F
1.36 70% 50% 43% +12 +2 1.31 36% 1.5 .54 13% .46 71% .33 1.27 60% 40% 72% +25 -1 1.51 38% 1.2 .46 30% .49 67% .33
Feb
7		 Coastal Carolina C+ F A+ B D+ 31% 39% 31% D- D+ A B A D B- F F D C B F F 25% 34% 41% B+ F D- A+ B F+ B A+ A
1.09 21% 54% 37% -4 -3 0.89 39% 1.1 .44 14% .32 48% .15 1.12 56% 33% 48% +7 -3 1.10 31% 0.6 .19 12% .22 50% .11
Feb
13		 Akron A- B- A+ A+ A+ 46% 20% 34% C+ A+ F A+ C- D C F D+ D+ F C C+ C 26% 22% 52% A B- A- F C+ D F F F
1.18 62% 73% 42% +13 +1 1.29 17% 1.8 .30 20% .27 65% .18 1.27 75% 40% 33% +4 -1 1.09 27% 1.4 .39 14% .64 88% .57
Feb
17		 Miami (OH) C B F A+ A+ 40% 30% 30% D+ A D A+ C+ C- C F F+ D- C+ F F D 37% 18% 45% C+ D A+ D A F F B- F
1.09 65% 27% 60% +11 -1 1.22 24% 1.1 .28 18% .28 56% .16 1.22 61% 56% 41% +9 0 1.20 13% 1.3 .17 10% .52 73% .38
Feb
21		 Buffalo C- A- A+ A- A 35% 24% 41% D- B+ B- F D+ D+ A+ F C+ D- C- A+ F D 35% 19% 46% C+ D+ A F D+ D+ F C+ F
1.13 71% 58% 40% +13 -1 1.27 37% 0.7 .27 19% .38 59% .22 1.19 59% 22% 45% +5 0 1.13 20% 1.7 .33 15% .49 73% .36
Feb
24		 Ball St. D F F F F 42% 20% 38% C+ F A- A+ A+ C- C- B- C C C+ C+ A+ B- 42% 15% 42% D C+ F A- C- D- F+ F F
0.99 48% 18% 24% -14 0 0.75 42% 1.3 .53 19% .27 81% .22 1.01 52% 33% 24% -10 +1 0.85 34% 0.7 .23 14% .35 82% .28



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 2.3 19.4 21.7 6th
7th 0.5 20.3 4.0 24.8 7th
8th 17.3 30.2 47.5 8th
9th 5.7 0.2 5.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 23.6 53.0 23.4 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 23.4% 3.0% 3.0% 14.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 22.7
7-11 53.0% 2.0% 2.0% 15.4 0.0 0.6 0.4 51.9
6-12 23.6% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 23.6
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 15.0 98.2 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.8% 92.8% 14.4 4.6 47.4 39.5 1.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.3%
Lose Out 23.3%