Massachusetts
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -0.8 #168
Expected Predictive Rating -1.6 #194
Pace 77.0 #29
Improvement -1.6 #264

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #196 C B D C C
Defense #156 C B C D- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #99 1.19 #142 +2.3 #105
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #122 0.74 #183 +0.9 #130
Three Pointers 35% #297 0.99 #216 -3.3 #293
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #185 -0.2 #183
Freethrows 18.8 #111 69% #277 13.0 #150
Second Chance 31.5% #152 1.21 #25 0.38 #72
Turnovers 18.7% #306
Total Offense -1.1 #196

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #63 1.25 #284 -4.5 #320
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #297 0.79 #234 +1.1 #110
Three Pointers 40% #208 0.90 #57 +2.6 #89
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #205 -0.9 #205
Freethrows 21.2 #335 71% #129 15.1 #41
Second Chance 26.1% #43 1.07 #221 0.28 #80
Turnovers 16.3% #198
Total Defense +0.3 #156

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.2% #214 1.7% #321
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -0.1% #175 0.0% #183
Possession Length 16.2 #77 16.8 #104
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #112 0.24 #348
Improvement +3.0 #32 -4.6 #359

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 2.7% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.9 14.1
.500 or above 87.7% 92.3% 73.8%
.500 or above in Conference 45.0% 52.5% 22.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.2% 2.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.3% 2.7% 1.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Illinois (Away) - 74.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 35 - 75 - 10
Quad 412 - 417 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 171 Marshall L 72 - 78 62% -5  0 - 1 -10 -13 C F F +4 F A A+
 Sat, Nov 8 309 Albany W 83 - 62 85% +7  1 - 1 +9 -1 F A+ F +10 A+ C A+
 Thu, Nov 13 295 Le Moyne W 94 - 80 83% +11  2 - 1 +3 +7 A+ A F -5 C B- F
 Sun, Nov 16 260 Central Connecticut St. W 84 - 77 77% +12  3 - 1 -2 -1 D- A+ F -1 C C B-
 Fri, Nov 21 155 College of Charleston L 65 - 69 46% +1  3 - 2 -4 -6 B- B+ F +2 A F D
 Sat, Nov 22 243 Green Bay L 75 - 79 65% -4  3 - 3 -9 +0 F A+ D- -9 D+ C+ D-
 Mon, Nov 24 189 Oregon St. W 73 - 65 54% +2  4 - 3 +6 +3 F A+ D+ +4 D- A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 162 Harvard W 78 - 71 60% +10  5 - 3 +4 +1 A+ F F +3 A- B- C-
 Sat, Dec 6 284 Umass Lowell W 80 - 60 81% +8  6 - 3 +10 -5 D+ D- F +13 B+ A- A+
 Wed, Dec 10 151 Boston College W 76 - 74 46% +3  7 - 3 +2 +6 D+ A+ F -4 A+ C D-
 Sat, Dec 13 117 Florida St. W 103 - 95 36% +5  8 - 3 +11 +15 A- A+ A+ -6 F A+ C
 Sat, Dec 20 146 Kent St. L 59 - 69 55% -5  8 - 4 0 - 1 -12 -18 F F F +6 B+ A C
 Tue, Dec 30 211 @Eastern Michigan L 74 - 80 46% -2  8 - 5 0 - 2 -6 +0 F C A+ -6 C C F
 Sat, Jan 3 131 Bowling Green L 100 - 101 OT 53% -0  8 - 6 0 - 3 -2 +8 A+ B D- -10 F A+ F
 Tue, Jan 6 178 @Ohio L 83 - 86 41% -3  8 - 7 0 - 4 -1 +6 B+ F C- -7 F B+ C-
 Sat, Jan 10 303 Ball St. W 79 - 71 84% +3  9 - 7 1 - 4 -3 +2 A- F C+ -6 F C+ D
 Tue, Jan 13 250 @Western Michigan W 85 - 82 55% +4  10 - 7 2 - 4 +1 +13 C- A+ C- -12 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 331 @Northern Illinois W 81 - 74 75%
 Tue, Jan 20 164 Toledo W 83 - 80 61%
 Sat, Jan 24 199 @Buffalo L 79 - 80 45%
 Tue, Jan 27 84 @Miami (OH) L 77 - 87 17%
 Sat, Jan 31 211 Eastern Michigan W 76 - 71 68%
 Tue, Feb 3 325 Central Michigan W 83 - 71 87%
 Sat, Feb 7 268 @Coastal Carolina W 77 - 75 58%
 Sat, Feb 14 67 @Akron L 80 - 92 13%
 Tue, Feb 17 84 Miami (OH) L 80 - 84 34%
 Sat, Feb 21 199 Buffalo W 82 - 77 66%
 Tue, Feb 24 303 @Ball St. W 76 - 71 66%
 Sat, Feb 28 131 @Bowling Green L 75 - 80 31%
 Tue, Mar 3 178 Ohio W 83 - 79 63%
Totals 17 - 13 8 - 10 -1 -1 C B D +0 C B C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.2 1.4 0.2 3.0 3rd
4th 0.2 2.5 3.6 0.8 0.0 0.0 7.2 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 6.4 2.1 0.1 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 2.0 8.1 4.4 0.3 14.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 8.0 7.3 0.8 0.0 17.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 6.5 9.0 1.9 0.0 18.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 4.6 7.2 2.3 0.1 14.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.8 1.8 0.1 8.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 1.6 0.7 0.1 3.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.5 4.8 10.1 16.8 21.5 20.1 14.4 7.3 2.6 0.5 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 41.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 8.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.5% 11.8% 11.8% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-6 2.6% 5.9% 5.9% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.5
11-7 7.3% 6.6% 6.6% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 6.8
10-8 14.4% 4.6% 4.6% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 13.7
9-9 20.1% 3.0% 3.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 19.5
8-10 21.5% 1.4% 1.4% 14.6 0.1 0.2 0.0 21.2
7-11 16.8% 0.2% 0.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 16.8
6-12 10.1% 10.1
5-13 4.8% 4.8
4-14 1.5% 1.5
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 13.9 97.7 0.0%