Mississippi
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +7.3 79
Results Rating +5.3 96
Consistency 0.11 15
Pace 65.8 255
Improvement -2.6 284

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 85 C+ C+ A- C+ F
Defense B- 79 B C B- C B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 27% 361 A 70% 8 -3.3 298
2 Pt. Jumpers 47% 82 B- 40% 90 +5.8 7
Three Pointers 39% 219 C 34% 187 -1.1 221
Shot Selection/Accuracy F -2.4 361 B +4.0 61
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 132
Second Chance C 30.2% 185 B- 1.09 93 C+ 0.33 127
Opponents' Steals A- 7.2% 16
Other Turnovers B+ 5.7% 22
Turnovers A- 12.9% 13
Freethrows C 0.30 185 B 76% 74 C+ 0.23 141
Total Offense B- +3.7 85

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B 58% 42 A+ 4.9% 2
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 90 B- 3.7% 84
Three Pointers C- 81% 248 C 1.0% 217
Total C+ 57% 150 A 3.0% 6

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 339 B+ 51% 28 -6.6 14
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 62 C+ 37% 135 +1.2 288
Three Pointers 44% 74 C+ 33% 152 +1.4 254
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -1.0 35 B -3.0 64
1st FG Attempt B 0.94 51
Second Chance C+ 28.7% 110 D+ 1.09 271 C 0.31 186
Turnovers from Steals B- 11.0% 72
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 196
Turnovers B- 18.1% 92
Freethrows C- 0.32 221 B- 70% 65 C 0.22 194
Total Defense B- +3.6 79

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 56% 332 A+ 20.6% 7
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 41% 349 C+ 5.5% 122
Three Pointers C 84% 193 C- 0.6% 232
Total D- 63% 328 B+ 8.0% 33

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.7 108 18.6 340
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 155 0.11 25
Consistency 0.10 18 0.11 97
Improvement -1.1 242 -1.5 268

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 91 80 68
Results Rating Rank 112 95 81
Conference Record 3 - 15 4 - 14 5 - 13
Conference Finish 16 14 12
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.0 14.5
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 41% 22% 45%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Auburn (Away) - 18.3% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 61 - 14
Quad 22 - 33 - 17
Quad 33 - 26 - 19
Quad 46 - 012 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 290 SE Louisiana W 88 - 58 94% +12  67% 1 - 0 A +19 A+ +15 B+ C+ A B+ +6 B- A- B-
 Fri, Nov 7 353 Louisiana Monroe W 86 - 65 98% +17  97% 2 - 0 C+ +3 D -4 D+ C- D B+ +7 C+ B+ B+
 Tue, Nov 11 108 Memphis W 83 - 77 73% +5  81% 3 - 0 B- +7 A +14 A+ C+ A+ D- -7 F A+ F
 Fri, Nov 14 332 Cal St. Bakersfield W 82 - 60 97% +11  97% 4 - 0 B- +8 A- +10 F+ C+ A+ C+ +1 C- C- B-
 Tue, Nov 18 167 Austin Peay W 72 - 65 84% +7  97% 5 - 0 C+ +4 D+ -3 F A+ B B+ +6 A+ D+ C+
 Tue, Nov 25 24 Iowa L 69 - 74 21% -2  8% 5 - 1 B +11 B +6 C A+ B B +4 A+ F F+
 Wed, Nov 26 99 Utah L 74 - 75 59% -3  27% 5 - 2 C+ +4 B- +5 B+ A D+ C -1 F+ A+ A-
 Tue, Dec 2 39 Miami (FL) L 66 - 75 37% -8  10% 5 - 3 C +2 D+ -2 F A- B+ B +4 D+ F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 21 @St. John's L 58 - 63 12% -7  3% 5 - 4 A- +15 D- -7 F+ C+ F A+ +22 A+ D+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 226 Southern Miss W 71 - 67 85% +3  74% 6 - 4 C +0 C- -1 D+ D+ A+ C+ +1 D+ C+ B-
 Wed, Dec 17 309 Alabama A&M W 80 - 66 93% +13  98% 7 - 4 B- +5 B+ +7 A+ D- B+ C -1 D D+ C
 Sun, Dec 21 27 North Carolina St. L 62 - 76 23% -15  3% 7 - 5 C +1 D- -7 C F C- A +8 C D+ A+
 Mon, Dec 29 345 Alcorn St. W 79 - 43 97% +14  80% 8 - 5 A +20 C- -1 C+ D- D+ A+ +23 A+ B+ D
 Sat, Jan 3 51 @Oklahoma L 70 - 86 26% -5  14% 8 - 6 0 - 1 C- -2 C +0 D+ D+ A+ C- -3 D+ C D-
 Wed, Jan 7 15 Arkansas L 87 - 94 21% -7  1% 8 - 7 0 - 2 B +9 A +13 A+ F A- D+ -4 C C+ B+
 Sat, Jan 10 47 Missouri W 76 - 69 46% -1  52% 9 - 7 1 - 2 A- +15 B +6 C- B- A+ A +9 C- A+ B
 Wed, Jan 14 29 @Georgia W 97 - 95 OT 17% +0  30% 10 - 7 2 - 2 A +20 A+ +19 A+ A+ A+ C +0 C+ B D
 Sat, Jan 17 81 @Mississippi St. W 68 - 67 39% -2  33% 11 - 7 3 - 2 B +11 C- -2 C- D+ A+ A+ +13 A+ B- D-
 Tue, Jan 20 38 Auburn L 66 - 78 36% -5  4% 11 - 8 3 - 3 C -1 D+ -4 F+ C+ A+ B- +2 A+ D C
 Sat, Jan 24 23 @Kentucky L 63 - 72 14% -3  11% 11 - 9 3 - 4 B +10 C -0 F B+ B A +10 A+ D B+
 Sat, Jan 31 16 @Vanderbilt L 68 - 71 9% -7  0% 11 - 10 3 - 5 A +19 B+ +8 B- C+ B A +10 A B- A
 Tue, Feb 3 19 @Tennessee L 66 - 84 10% -7  3% 11 - 11 3 - 6 C+ +3 B+ +8 B+ A A- D -6 B F F
 Sat, Feb 7 28 @Texas L 68 - 79 16% -6  16% 11 - 12 3 - 7 B- +7 C+ +3 D+ C+ A+ B- +3 A F C+
 Wed, Feb 11 17 Alabama L 74 - 93 21% -4  37% 11 - 13 3 - 8 C- -3 C- -2 B- D+ A- C -0 A+ F+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 81 Mississippi St. L 78 - 90 62% -12  0% 11 - 14 3 - 9 D+ -8 B- +4 C+ D+ A+ F -12 F A+ D
 Wed, Feb 18 34 @Texas A&M L 77 - 80 17% +4  70% 11 - 15 3 - 10 B+ +14 A- +10 A+ F+ A- B +4 A- F A-
 Sat, Feb 21 4 Florida L 75 - 94 10% -11  9% 11 - 16 3 - 11 C+ +2 B- +4 C- B- B+ C -0 F B A+
 Wed, Feb 25 53 LSU L 99 - 106 2OT 49% +2  67% 11 - 17 3 - 12 C +1 B+ +8 B C A+ D -6 C+ F D+
 Sat, Feb 28 38 @Auburn L 72 - 82 18%
 Tue, Mar 3 16 Vanderbilt L 72 - 80 21%
 Sat, Mar 7 91 South Carolina W 73 - 69 66%
Totals 12 - 19 4 - 14 +7 B- +4 A+ B F B- +4 C B C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- A B- C B 27% 47% 39% F C+ C B- C+ A- C B C+ B- B+ C+ C+ B 31% 24% 44% B+ B C+ D+ C B- C- B- C
1.14 70% 40% 34% +4 -2 1.05 30% 1.1 .33 13% .30 76% .23 1.04 51% 37% 33% -3 -1 0.94 29% 1.1 .31 18% .32 70% .21
Nov
3		 SE Louisiana A+ A A+ C A 29% 29% 42% D- B+ A+ F C+ A A+ A A+ B+ D+ A+ B+ B 30% 12% 58% F+ B- B- A+ A- B- F A F+
1.32 71% 57% 35% +10 -2 1.19 44% 0.8 .37 15% .53 83% .44 0.87 62% 0% 28% -9 +1 0.86 26% 0.6 .16 20% .47 60% .28
Nov
7		 Louisiana Monroe D C- F A+ C 26% 26% 47% F D+ D- A C- D D C- D B+ A D+ C C- 22% 28% 50% A C+ B+ B+ B+ B+ B- A+ A-
1.16 60% 33% 44% +7 -2 1.12 29% 1.4 .39 18% .21 69% .15 0.88 42% 40% 33% -4 -2 0.91 20% 0.9 .18 20% .29 59% .17
Nov
11		 Memphis A A+ B- A+ A+ 23% 52% 25% F A+ F A+ C+ A+ A+ F A+ D- F D- F+ F 31% 35% 35% A F A+ A+ A+ F D B- C-
1.23 73% 40% 58% +14 -5 1.19 23% 1.4 .32 10% .54 64% .35 1.14 69% 44% 39% +8 -2 1.13 26% 0.7 .18 10% .33 70% .23
Nov
14		 Cal St. Bakersfield A- F A+ F F+ 44% 25% 31% C- F+ A F+ C+ A+ B+ B A- C+ C D A+ D+ 41% 39% 20% C+ C- C- C- C- B- F A+ F+
1.31 48% 67% 20% -4 0 0.94 47% 0.9 .42 6% .43 76% .33 0.96 56% 41% 22% -3 -2 0.91 32% 1.0 .32 21% .51 64% .32
Nov
18		 Austin Peay D+ B- F F F 29% 35% 37% F F B- A+ A+ B B+ C+ B+ B+ A+ B A- A+ 29% 21% 50% B+ A+ F A D+ C+ A+ F A+
1.06 64% 29% 22% -8 -3 0.82 35% 1.3 .45 16% .37 71% .26 0.95 38% 33% 29% -11 -1 0.79 38% 0.9 .36 18% .12 86% .11
Nov
25		 Iowa B B+ C+ D+ B- 29% 33% 38% F C C- A+ A+ B A- A+ A+ B A+ C+ C A+ 37% 26% 37% A A+ C+ F F F+ F C+ F+
1.07 67% 36% 31% 0 -2 0.98 24% 1.8 .44 20% .39 85% .33 1.15 41% 42% 35% -5 -1 0.91 32% 1.6 .53 11% .42 75% .31
Nov
26		 Utah B- A+ B+ F A+ 30% 43% 26% F B+ A- B A D+ B+ A+ A C F A+ F F 35% 28% 37% A F+ D+ A+ A+ A- F+ C- F+
1.13 86% 45% 25% +8 -4 1.11 37% 1.1 .41 17% .31 82% .26 1.15 75% 23% 53% +12 -1 1.24 33% 0.4 .13 20% .38 75% .29
Dec
2		 Miami (FL) D+ F F B F+ 16% 40% 44% F F A- B A- B+ D- A+ C- B A- C- F D+ 44% 12% 44% D+ D+ F C+ F A+ B- B- B-
0.98 33% 23% 38% -8 -4 0.78 32% 1.1 .36 16% .20 82% .16 1.12 53% 40% 47% +7 +2 1.19 50% 1.1 .53 28% .31 67% .21
Dec
6		 St. John's D- C+ F F F+ 43% 28% 28% C- F+ A- F+ C+ F A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 13% 48% C A+ C- D+ D+ A+ F B- F
0.81 55% 23% 15% -13 -1 0.74 36% 0.8 .28 28% .39 80% .31 0.88 31% 20% 21% -22 +1 0.60 39% 1.2 .47 28% .68 71% .48
Dec
13		 Southern Miss C- A B F C 35% 30% 35% F+ D+ F A+ D+ A+ A C A- C+ A F A- D 37% 30% 33% C+ D+ B D C+ B- C- A+ B-
1.06 69% 43% 25% 0 -2 1.00 14% 1.8 .25 12% .44 69% .31 1.00 47% 64% 27% 0 -1 1.00 27% 1.1 .30 21% .38 65% .25
Dec
17		 Alabama A&M B+ A A A+ A+ 36% 26% 38% D- A+ D- D D- B+ A+ F A+ C A A+ F F+ 31% 31% 38% B+ D B- F D+ C D A C
1.24 73% 45% 50% +17 -1 1.33 26% 0.9 .23 12% .53 60% .32 1.03 43% 21% 53% +1 -2 1.00 22% 1.3 .28 17% .37 65% .24
Dec
21		 North Carolina St. D- A+ C D- B- 19% 23% 57% F C D- F F C- B- D+ C+ A F A+ C+ C 29% 14% 57% B- C A F D+ A+ A A+ A+
0.89 78% 36% 30% 0 -2 0.98 19% 0.6 .11 21% .33 67% .22 1.09 87% 14% 34% +6 0 1.14 23% 1.7 .40 23% .24 54% .13
Dec
29		 Alcorn St. C- A+ F B B 32% 20% 48% F+ C+ B+ F D- D+ F A+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 32% 40% 28% A+ A+ A C+ B+ D D+ D D+
1.18 81% 30% 38% +8 0 1.18 44% 0.8 .36 19% .15 88% .13 0.64 25% 20% 21% -23 -3 0.50 18% 0.9 .16 16% .27 73% .20
Jan
3		 Oklahoma C F F A C 22% 35% 43% F D+ D- B- D+ A+ B+ D+ B- C- C+ F F+ D+ 40% 13% 47% D D+ A- F C D- C A- B-
1.04 45% 28% 41% -2 -3 0.92 24% 1.1 .27 10% .33 70% .23 1.28 57% 57% 40% +6 +1 1.17 28% 1.6 .44 10% .32 68% .22
Jan
7		 Arkansas A A+ A+ B A+ 21% 36% 43% F A+ C- F F A- A A+ A+ D+ F F+ F+ D 20% 35% 45% A+ C F A+ C+ B+ F B- F
1.21 91% 53% 35% +13 -3 1.21 26% 0.8 .19 14% .34 81% .27 1.30 80% 47% 41% +12 -3 1.20 42% 1.0 .42 15% .49 73% .36
Jan
10		 Missouri B A F+ A- B- 17% 45% 38% F C- C- A B- A+ B B+ B+ A F A- B C- 37% 15% 48% C+ C- A+ A+ A+ B F+ A+ B
1.14 67% 29% 40% +1 -5 0.94 28% 1.1 .31 10% .32 79% .25 1.03 82% 29% 32% +6 +1 1.15 27% 0.9 .24 19% .45 50% .22
Jan
14		 Georgia A+ C+ A- A+ A+ 23% 39% 38% F A+ B A+ A+ A+ B- B+ B C A+ A+ F C+ 36% 13% 51% C+ C+ F A+ B D F C- F
1.27 57% 46% 48% +11 -4 1.16 36% 1.3 .45 12% .28 74% .21 1.25 35% 29% 50% +3 +1 1.09 46% 0.8 .35 12% .51 76% .39
Jan
17		 Mississippi St. C- B- A+ F B- 16% 59% 25% F C- C F D+ A+ F A- F A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 17% 45% D A+ C+ B- B- D- F A D
0.97 60% 54% 6% -1 -7 0.87 26% 0.8 .21 7% .15 80% .12 0.96 60% 22% 17% -14 0 0.75 30% 1.0 .30 11% .37 61% .23
Jan
20		 Auburn D+ F B- C D 13% 42% 44% F F+ D- A+ C+ A+ D+ A- C B- D- A- A+ A+ 40% 23% 38% B+ A+ C- D D C F F+ F
1.00 14% 41% 35% -4 -5 0.85 22% 1.4 .30 9% .25 80% .20 1.18 69% 33% 13% -8 0 0.85 42% 1.2 .48 14% .69 82% .56
Jan
24		 Kentucky C F F C+ F+ 29% 37% 35% F+ F A C+ B+ B A F+ B+ A A B- A+ A+ 20% 30% 50% A+ A+ B- F D B+ F C- F
0.94 40% 21% 33% -12 -3 0.73 35% 0.8 .29 15% .37 67% .25 1.07 50% 33% 20% -14 -3 0.70 35% 1.4 .48 18% .69 74% .51
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Vanderbilt B+ A+ C- C- A 21% 48% 31% F B- A- D- C+ B A+ A- A+ A F C- A+ A 30% 11% 60% C- A D+ A B- A F+ A D+
1.06 78% 35% 31% +1 -5 0.95 34% 0.8 .28 17% .47 80% .38 1.11 79% 40% 25% -2 +1 1.00 35% 1.0 .35 17% .40 71% .28
Feb
3		 Tennessee B+ C+ A C+ A 16% 30% 55% F B+ C A+ A A- A D B+ D A+ F C B- 31% 21% 48% B+ B D- F+ F F F B- F
1.02 57% 46% 33% +2 -3 1.00 23% 1.6 .37 14% .38 62% .23 1.30 38% 67% 35% +1 -1 1.02 52% 1.2 .64 12% .60 68% .41
Feb
7		 Texas C+ C A+ F C 17% 38% 44% F D+ C+ C+ C+ A+ D+ B C- B- A- F A+ A- 34% 39% 27% A+ A B+ F F C+ D+ F F
1.07 56% 50% 26% -1 -4 0.92 25% 1.0 .25 9% .30 76% .23 1.24 53% 53% 25% 0 -3 0.98 33% 2.2 .74 16% .43 87% .37
Feb
11		 Alabama C- A+ D- B- B+ 27% 40% 33% F B- D C+ D+ A- F+ D- F+ C A+ A+ C+ A+ 25% 5% 70% C+ A+ A F F+ F D F F
1.00 69% 29% 35% 0 -3 0.95 21% 1.0 .21 11% .20 62% .12 1.26 43% 0% 33% -7 +1 0.91 27% 1.8 .49 8% .38 92% .35
Feb
14		 Mississippi St. B- A+ F C- B- 23% 33% 44% D C+ C- D D+ A+ A- B- A- F F F F F 30% 25% 45% B- F A+ B- A+ D F+ A C-
1.10 77% 26% 32% -1 -3 0.95 24% 0.9 .21 8% .32 76% .25 1.27 75% 54% 46% +17 -1 1.34 19% 1.0 .19 13% .36 59% .21
Feb
18		 Texas A&M A- A+ A+ D- A+ 29% 24% 47% D+ A+ F B- F+ A- D+ A- C B C+ F+ A- A- 49% 16% 35% B- A- F F+ F A- D+ C D+
1.12 93% 58% 29% +12 -1 1.24 16% 1.0 .16 16% .26 80% .21 1.16 58% 50% 29% 0 +1 1.04 46% 1.1 .51 19% .36 75% .27
Feb
21		 Florida B- A+ B+ F C+ 27% 44% 29% F C- C A B- B+ A+ A+ A+ C C- F F F 33% 25% 41% A+ F A+ F B A+ D+ F F
0.98 67% 42% 13% -5 -4 0.84 21% 0.9 .18 14% .39 88% .35 1.22 65% 54% 52% +18 -1 1.35 33% 1.3 .42 25% .38 86% .33
Feb
25		 LSU B+ A+ C- C- A- 37% 40% 23% F B B- D+ C A+ A- A A D C- A+ F C 36% 33% 31% A+ C+ A- F F D+ D F F
1.17 75% 35% 33% +5 -3 1.06 32% 0.9 .27 7% .37 76% .28 1.26 64% 25% 47% +4 -2 1.07 29% 2.2 .63 13% .40 86% .34



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 0.6 0.6 11th
12th 4.5 1.8 6.3 12th
13th 3.3 11.0 0.5 14.7 13th
14th 30.5 6.4 0.0 36.9 14th
15th 3.6 17.6 0.2 21.4 15th
16th 18.9 1.2 20.1 16th
Total 22.5 52.5 22.1 2.9 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 2.9% 2.9
5-13 22.1% 0.0% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 22.1
4-14 52.5% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 52.5
3-15 22.5% 22.5
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 22.5%