Mississippi
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.4#49
Expected Predictive Rating+5.4#100
Pace65.5#286
Improvement-1.3#285

Offense
Total Offense+6.8#47
First Shot+4.3#63
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#58
Layup/Dunks-0.9#218
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#219
Freethrows+3.9#20
Improvement-1.6#322

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#79
First Shot+5.8#34
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#306
Layups/Dunks+7.0#13
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#250
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#266
Freethrows+1.4#100
Improvement+0.3#155
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.6% 2.3% 0.8%
Top 6 Seed 6.5% 9.0% 3.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.7% 37.9% 21.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 29.9% 36.9% 21.2%
Average Seed 8.2 8.0 8.5
.500 or above 59.7% 70.4% 46.5%
.500 or above in Conference 32.8% 37.2% 27.2%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.4% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 10.6% 8.5% 13.2%
First Four5.2% 5.9% 4.2%
First Round28.1% 35.1% 19.5%
Second Round15.1% 19.1% 10.2%
Sweet Sixteen4.4% 5.8% 2.8%
Elite Eight1.5% 1.9% 1.1%
Final Four0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (FL) (Home) - 55.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 11
Quad 24 - 38 - 14
Quad 33 - 111 - 15
Quad 46 - 017 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 250 SE Louisiana W 88-58 95%     1 - 0 +22.1 +19.0 +4.7
  Fri, Nov 7 361 Louisiana Monroe W 86-65 99%     2 - 0 +3.9 +0.0 +2.7
  Tue, Nov 11 70 Memphis W 83-77 70%     3 - 0 +10.9 +16.8 -5.6
  Fri, Nov 14 271 Cal St. Bakersfield W 82-60 95%     4 - 0 +13.1 +15.5 +0.4
  Tue, Nov 18 165 Austin Peay W 72-65 90%     5 - 0 +3.2 +1.9 +1.5
  Tue, Nov 25 21 Iowa L 69-74 32%     5 - 1 +10.2 +8.8 +0.9
  Wed, Nov 26 125 Utah L 74-75 77%     5 - 2 +1.7 +6.8 -5.2
  Tue, Dec 2 44 Miami (FL) W 76-74 55%    
  Sat, Dec 6 15 @St. John's L 73-83 17%    
  Sat, Dec 13 237 Southern Miss W 80-65 92%    
  Wed, Dec 17 293 Alabama A&M W 81-63 95%    
  Sat, Dec 20 29 North Carolina St. L 78-81 39%    
  Mon, Dec 29 338 Alcorn St. W 84-60 99%    
  Sat, Jan 3 52 @Oklahoma L 75-78 40%    
  Wed, Jan 7 25 Arkansas L 75-76 47%    
  Sat, Jan 10 33 Missouri W 77-76 50%    
  Wed, Jan 14 34 @Georgia L 78-84 30%    
  Sat, Jan 17 84 @Mississippi St. W 75-74 52%    
  Tue, Jan 20 23 Auburn L 75-77 45%    
  Sat, Jan 24 16 @Kentucky L 71-81 18%    
  Sat, Jan 31 19 Vanderbilt L 76-79 40%    
  Tue, Feb 3 14 @Tennessee L 68-78 17%    
  Sat, Feb 7 36 @Texas L 72-77 32%    
  Wed, Feb 11 10 Alabama L 80-86 31%    
  Sat, Feb 14 84 Mississippi St. W 78-71 72%    
  Wed, Feb 18 60 @Texas A&M L 76-78 43%    
  Sat, Feb 21 17 Florida L 74-78 37%    
  Wed, Feb 25 40 LSU W 77-76 55%    
  Sat, Feb 28 23 @Auburn L 72-80 25%    
  Wed, Mar 4 19 @Vanderbilt L 73-82 22%    
  Sat, Mar 7 88 South Carolina W 75-68 73%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 1.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.4 1.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.7 2.2 0.3 0.0 4.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 2.8 1.1 0.0 4.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.0 2.5 0.2 6.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 4.1 0.8 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.1 2.4 0.2 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 3.0 4.6 0.7 8.6 10th
11th 0.1 1.9 5.2 2.0 0.1 9.2 11th
12th 0.0 1.0 4.7 3.9 0.4 9.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 3.4 4.5 1.0 9.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.3 1.9 0.1 9.7 14th
15th 0.1 0.5 2.1 3.4 1.8 0.2 8.1 15th
16th 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.3 1.0 0.2 5.8 16th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.1 5.0 8.0 10.9 13.4 14.0 13.2 11.3 8.5 6.1 3.6 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 97.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 71.8% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 47.6% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1
13-5 13.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 18.2% 81.8% 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.3% 100.0% 14.6% 85.4% 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.8% 100.0% 9.8% 90.2% 4.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.0% 99.8% 7.9% 92.0% 5.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8%
12-6 3.6% 98.7% 6.6% 92.1% 6.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.6%
11-7 6.1% 94.9% 3.7% 91.2% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.3 94.7%
10-8 8.5% 80.8% 1.1% 79.7% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.8 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.0 1.6 80.6%
9-9 11.3% 58.1% 1.1% 57.0% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.6 1.9 1.5 0.0 4.7 57.6%
8-10 13.2% 25.5% 0.8% 24.7% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.6 0.1 9.8 24.9%
7-11 14.0% 8.3% 0.3% 8.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.1 12.8 8.0%
6-12 13.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.7% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.3 0.7%
5-13 10.9% 0.1% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 10.9 0.1%
4-14 8.0% 8.0
3-15 5.0% 5.0
2-16 2.1% 2.1
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 30.7% 1.2% 29.5% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.4 5.3 4.8 4.9 4.5 0.3 69.3 29.9%