Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.0#99
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#186
Pace63.8#319
Improvement-2.3#338

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#105
First Shot+0.6#156
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#72
Layup/Dunks+0.2#166
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#209
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#119
Freethrows-0.8#221
Improvement+0.3#145

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#100
First Shot+1.8#114
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#153
Layups/Dunks+0.1#172
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#163
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#194
Freethrows+1.4#99
Improvement-2.6#350
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 5.6% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.8% 5.5% 1.9%
Average Seed 9.6 9.5 9.6
.500 or above 19.3% 33.3% 14.6%
.500 or above in Conference 13.6% 18.8% 11.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 23.6% 18.2% 25.4%
First Four1.0% 1.9% 0.7%
First Round2.4% 4.6% 1.7%
Second Round1.1% 2.1% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ohio St. (Home) - 25.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 10
Quad 24 - 75 - 16
Quad 33 - 28 - 18
Quad 45 - 113 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 189 Youngstown St. W 74-59 82%     1 - 0 +10.2 +4.8 +6.4
  Fri, Nov 7 260 Longwood W 78-60 89%     2 - 0 +9.7 +0.3 +9.4
  Mon, Nov 10 209 Eastern Michigan W 78-66 85%     3 - 0 +6.0 +3.7 +2.3
  Thu, Nov 13 71 @West Virginia L 49-71 29%     3 - 1 -11.2 -11.2 -2.5
  Mon, Nov 17 284 Bucknell W 84-50 91%     4 - 1 +24.3 +14.1 +12.9
  Thu, Nov 20 68 Central Florida L 67-77 39%     4 - 2 -2.0 +2.9 -6.1
  Sun, Nov 23 193 Quinnipiac L 75-83 82%     4 - 3 -12.9 +2.2 -15.3
  Fri, Nov 28 20 Ohio St. L 69-76 25%    
  Tue, Dec 2 60 Texas A&M L 74-75 45%    
  Sun, Dec 7 162 Hofstra W 73-64 79%    
  Sat, Dec 13 41 @Villanova L 62-72 18%    
  Wed, Dec 17 352 Binghamton W 78-58 97%    
  Sun, Dec 21 100 Penn St. W 72-71 51%    
  Tue, Dec 30 44 @Miami (FL) L 67-77 18%    
  Sat, Jan 3 38 Clemson L 65-69 35%    
  Sat, Jan 10 64 Syracuse L 70-71 47%    
  Wed, Jan 14 104 @Georgia Tech L 67-69 41%    
  Sat, Jan 17 9 Louisville L 69-80 16%    
  Wed, Jan 21 127 @Boston College L 66-67 50%    
  Sat, Jan 24 29 North Carolina St. L 74-79 31%    
  Tue, Jan 27 37 Wake Forest L 70-74 35%    
  Sat, Jan 31 38 @Clemson L 62-72 18%    
  Tue, Feb 3 39 @Virginia L 65-75 18%    
  Sat, Feb 7 42 SMU L 73-77 36%    
  Tue, Feb 10 2 Duke L 63-78 10%    
  Sat, Feb 14 26 @North Carolina L 68-80 14%    
  Sat, Feb 21 66 Notre Dame L 67-68 48%    
  Wed, Feb 25 95 @Stanford L 71-75 37%    
  Sat, Feb 28 67 @California L 69-75 29%    
  Wed, Mar 4 55 Florida St. L 75-77 43%    
  Sat, Mar 7 64 @Syracuse L 67-74 28%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 2.4 7th
8th 0.4 1.9 0.8 0.1 3.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 2.0 0.2 3.9 9th
10th 0.7 2.9 1.0 0.0 4.6 10th
11th 0.2 2.4 2.6 0.2 5.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.5 4.0 1.1 0.0 6.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 4.2 3.1 0.2 8.1 13th
14th 0.2 2.9 5.1 1.0 0.0 9.2 14th
15th 0.2 2.1 5.7 2.7 0.2 10.9 15th
16th 0.1 2.0 5.5 4.1 0.6 0.0 12.4 16th
17th 0.3 2.3 5.4 4.9 1.1 0.0 14.1 17th
18th 0.9 3.4 4.7 3.9 1.0 0.1 14.1 18th
Total 0.9 3.7 7.2 11.5 13.9 14.6 14.3 11.5 8.9 6.4 3.7 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 54.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 19.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 3.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 9.1% 90.9% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.2% 87.9% 87.9% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 87.9%
13-5 0.4% 88.0% 7.7% 80.3% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 87.0%
12-6 1.0% 60.2% 1.3% 58.9% 9.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 59.7%
11-7 1.8% 37.2% 1.5% 35.7% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.1 36.3%
10-8 3.7% 18.4% 0.7% 17.7% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 3.1 17.8%
9-9 6.4% 4.6% 0.2% 4.4% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 6.1 4.4%
8-10 8.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.8 0.6%
7-11 11.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 11.5 0.1%
6-12 14.3% 14.3
5-13 14.6% 14.6
4-14 13.9% 13.9
3-15 11.5% 11.5
2-16 7.2% 7.2
1-17 3.7% 3.7
0-18 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 2.9% 0.1% 2.8% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 97.1 2.8%