Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +6.6 #88
Expected Predictive Rating +1.4 #146
Pace 63.6 #323
Improvement +2.2 #68

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #82 B C+ C+ C- C
Defense #102 C+ A- C D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #199 1.22 #111 +0.7 #149
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #211 0.89 #36 +0.5 #154
Three Pointers 44% #126 1.07 #114 +2.7 #96
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #72 +3.9 #72
Freethrows 16.9 #214 69% #293 11.6 #247
Second Chance 35.5% #58 0.96 #279 0.34 #134
Turnovers 15.8% #130
Total Offense +4.3 #82

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #136 1.08 #86 +0.6 #151
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #194 0.77 #208 +0.0 #186
Three Pointers 40% #223 1.01 #176 +0.8 #147
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #134 +1.4 #134
Freethrows 17.9 #215 77% #331 13.7 #102
Second Chance 25.8% #34 0.94 #52 0.24 #29
Turnovers 16.7% #178
Total Defense +2.2 #102

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.4% #160 0.4% #203
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 7.2% #71 -3.1% #127
Possession Length 18.6 #304 17.5 #215
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #172 0.17 #163
Improvement +1.9 #77 +0.3 #165

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.4% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 1.2% 0.3%
Average Seed 10.3 10.3 10.3
.500 or above 8.3% 13.2% 3.7%
.500 or above in Conference 7.0% 11.3% 2.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 13.8% 6.5% 20.7%
First Four0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
First Round0.6% 1.0% 0.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Tech (Away) - 48.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 11
Quad 24 - 55 - 16
Quad 32 - 38 - 19
Quad 45 - 013 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 209 Youngstown St. W 74 - 59 87% +3  1 - 0 +9 +5 D+ A+ F +5 C A+ D+
 Fri, Nov 7 270 Longwood W 78 - 60 92% +5  2 - 0 +9 +0 C- C F +9 A+ A+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 211 Eastern Michigan W 78 - 66 87% +11  3 - 0 +6 +5 C+ C A+ +1 A+ B D-
 Thu, Nov 13 59 @West Virginia L 49 - 71 29% -9  3 - 1 -10 -12 C+ F D -1 B+ A- F
 Mon, Nov 17 318 Bucknell W 84 - 50 95% +20  4 - 1 +22 +15 A+ A+ F +9 A+ A A+
 Thu, Nov 20 50 Central Florida L 67 - 77 35% -5  4 - 2 +1 +5 D+ B D+ -6 B+ F B+
 Sun, Nov 23 156 Quinnipiac L 75 - 83 81% -5  4 - 3 -11 +4 A B- F -15 F C A+
 Fri, Nov 28 36 Ohio St. W 67 - 66 34% +4  5 - 3 +12 +2 C F A+ +10 A+ B+ A+
 Tue, Dec 2 40 Texas A&M L 73 - 81 37% -4  5 - 4 +2 +10 C A+ A+ -9 B D+ D
 Sun, Dec 7 110 Hofstra L 73 - 80 70% -7  5 - 5 -6 +11 A+ F C- -18 F A+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 34 @Villanova L 61 - 79 16% -6  5 - 6 -1 +8 D- A+ C- -13 D A- F
 Wed, Dec 17 359 Binghamton W 103 - 63 98% +21  6 - 6 +22 +19 A+ F F +2 F A- A+
 Sun, Dec 21 99 Penn St. W 80 - 46 56% +16  7 - 6 +39 +14 A+ C- A+ +28 A+ A+ A+
 Tue, Dec 30 35 @Miami (FL) L 69 - 76 16% +1  7 - 7 0 - 1 +10 +8 C- B A+ +2 A+ F C
 Sat, Jan 3 33 Clemson L 68 - 73 33% -2  7 - 8 0 - 2 +6 +5 B C+ B +1 F A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 61 Syracuse L 72 - 83 52% -11  7 - 9 0 - 3 -5 +6 B C+ C+ -12 F C B
 Wed, Jan 14 111 @Georgia Tech L 72 - 73 48%
 Sat, Jan 17 19 Louisville L 73 - 80 25%
 Wed, Jan 21 151 @Boston College W 69 - 66 62%
 Sat, Jan 24 24 North Carolina St. L 71 - 77 28%
 Tue, Jan 27 57 Wake Forest W 74 - 73 50%
 Sat, Jan 31 33 @Clemson L 62 - 73 16%
 Tue, Feb 3 17 @Virginia L 64 - 78 10%
 Sat, Feb 7 30 SMU L 73 - 78 32%
 Tue, Feb 10 7 Duke L 67 - 78 15%
 Sat, Feb 14 29 @North Carolina L 67 - 78 15%
 Sat, Feb 21 71 Notre Dame W 69 - 67 57%
 Wed, Feb 25 77 @Stanford L 69 - 73 36%
 Sat, Feb 28 81 @California L 70 - 73 38%
 Wed, Mar 4 117 Florida St. W 82 - 75 73%
 Sat, Mar 7 61 @Syracuse L 70 - 75 31%
Totals 12 - 19 5 - 13 +7 +4 B C+ C+ +2 C+ A- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 1.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.1 8th
9th 0.2 1.7 1.7 0.1 3.7 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 2.9 0.7 0.0 4.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.7 2.6 0.1 6.8 11th
12th 0.1 2.7 5.0 0.8 0.0 8.6 12th
13th 0.0 1.3 6.2 2.9 0.1 10.5 13th
14th 0.6 5.7 5.8 0.7 0.0 12.8 14th
15th 0.0 0.4 4.9 8.1 2.0 0.1 15.4 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 3.7 7.3 3.4 0.2 14.9 16th
17th 0.3 2.5 5.3 3.1 0.3 11.5 17th
18th 0.3 1.5 2.6 1.7 0.2 6.3 18th
Total 0.3 1.8 5.4 11.0 16.2 18.9 17.3 13.7 8.4 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 10.0% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 64.3% 64.3% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 64.3%
11-7 0.6% 39.3% 3.4% 35.9% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 37.2%
10-8 1.9% 15.5% 1.3% 14.2% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.6 14.4%
9-9 4.3% 2.7% 0.5% 2.2% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.2 2.2%
8-10 8.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 8.4 0.2%
7-11 13.7% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 13.7
6-12 17.3% 0.1% 0.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 17.3
5-13 18.9% 18.9
4-14 16.2% 16.2
3-15 11.0% 11.0
2-16 5.4% 5.4
1-17 1.8% 1.8
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.8% 0.1% 0.7% 10.3 99.2 0.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%