Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +4.9 101
Results Rating +2.4 122
Consistency 0.19 339
Pace 61.8 343
Improvement -1.5 248

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 101 B- B- C D+ B-
Defense C+ 123 C B+ C C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 159 B- 61% 100 +1.5 118
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 271 C 39% 143 -1.6 262
Three Pointers 45% 103 C+ 35% 146 +2.3 99
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.6 99 C+ +1.6 115
1st FG Attempt B- 1.07 108
Second Chance B 35.5% 45 C- 1.00 223 B- 0.36 87
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.1% 143
Other Turnovers C- 7.5% 220
Turnovers C 16.6% 166
Freethrows C- 0.29 228 F+ 67% 344 D+ 0.19 282
Total Offense B- +3.1 101

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 55% 73 B+ 7.8% 32
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 211 B- 4.1% 112
Three Pointers D 78% 305 C- 1.1% 237
Total C+ 58% 118 B 4.2% 36

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 151 C+ 57% 136 +0.1 180
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 195 C+ 37% 153 -0.4 164
Three Pointers 40% 194 C 34% 178 -0.3 173
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 200 C+ -0.8 150
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 153
Second Chance B+ 26.0% 40 B 0.93 42 B+ 0.24 29
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.3% 120
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 261
Turnovers C 17.0% 173
Freethrows B- 0.27 79 F+ 76% 351 C+ 0.21 129
Total Defense C+ +1.8 123

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 89 C 11.7% 146
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 123 C 5.3% 133
Three Pointers D+ 87% 270 B 1.6% 59
Total C+ 54% 143 C+ 6.3% 123

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.5 298 18.0 291
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 110 0.16 143
Consistency 0.09 13 0.14 310
Improvement -1.0 237 -0.5 217

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 111 101 89
Results Rating Rank 150 122 102
Conference Record 3 - 15 4 - 14 5 - 13
Conference Finish 17 16 14
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 18% 2% 24%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: California (Away) - 26.3% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b0 - 60 - 12
Quad 22 - 53 - 17
Quad 34 - 36 - 19
Quad 45 - 111 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 204 Youngstown St. W 74 - 59 83% +3  61% 1 - 0 B +10 C+ +2 D A+ F A +9 C+ A+ C-
 Fri, Nov 7 262 Longwood W 78 - 60 89% +5  77% 2 - 0 B +9 C- -1 C C+ D+ A +10 A+ A+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 247 Eastern Michigan W 78 - 66 88% +11  91% 3 - 0 C+ +4 C+ +2 C+ C+ A B- +2 A- B D-
 Thu, Nov 13 57 @West Virginia L 49 - 71 23% -9  21% 3 - 1 D -9 F -11 C+ F C C -0 B A- F
 Mon, Nov 17 334 Bucknell W 84 - 50 95% +17  86% 4 - 1 A +19 A- +10 A A- D- A+ +12 A+ A+ A
 Thu, Nov 20 45 Central Florida L 67 - 77 26% -5  14% 4 - 2 C +2 C+ +2 D+ B D+ C- -2 B+ F B
 Sun, Nov 23 211 Quinnipiac L 75 - 83 84% -5  9% 4 - 3 D- -14 C +1 B+ B- F F -15 F C- A
 Fri, Nov 28 36 Ohio St. W 67 - 66 28% +4  73% 5 - 3 B+ +12 C- -0 C F A+ A+ +12 A+ A- A
 Tue, Dec 2 34 Texas A&M L 73 - 81 27% -4  6% 5 - 4 C+ +3 B+ +8 C+ A+ B D -5 B+ D C-
 Sun, Dec 7 104 Hofstra L 73 - 80 64% -7  4% 5 - 5 D+ -6 B+ +8 A+ D- D+ F -14 F A F
 Sat, Dec 13 32 @Villanova L 61 - 79 12% -6  14% 5 - 6 C -1 B +6 D- A+ C F -10 D- B+ F
 Wed, Dec 17 358 Binghamton W 103 - 63 98% +21  98% 6 - 6 A +21 A+ +15 A+ F+ F+ B +4 F B+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 117 Penn St. W 80 - 46 57% +16  99% 7 - 6 A+ +37 A- +10 A- C- A+ A+ +30 A+ A+ A-
 Tue, Dec 30 39 @Miami (FL) L 69 - 76 14% +1  51% 7 - 7 0 - 1 B +10 B- +5 D+ A- A+ B +4 A+ C- C-
 Sat, Jan 3 41 Clemson L 68 - 73 31% -2  21% 7 - 8 0 - 2 B- +5 C+ +2 C+ B- B B- +2 D- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 74 Syracuse L 72 - 83 50% -11  3% 7 - 9 0 - 3 D+ -6 C+ +2 C+ B- C+ F+ -9 F D+ C+
 Wed, Jan 14 143 @Georgia Tech W 89 - 66 53% +15  95% 8 - 9 1 - 3 A+ +27 A+ +20 A+ A+ B+ A- +8 B+ B- A-
 Sat, Jan 17 14 Louisville L 59 - 100 15% -27  0% 8 - 10 1 - 4 F -25 D -6 C- C B F -22 F F F+
 Wed, Jan 21 136 @Boston College L 62 - 65 52% -1  32% 8 - 11 1 - 5 C +1 C- -2 D- A A B- +3 D+ B C-
 Sat, Jan 24 27 North Carolina St. L 72 - 81 25% +1  56% 8 - 12 1 - 6 C+ +3 C+ +3 F+ A+ C C -0 B A+ C-
 Tue, Jan 27 71 Wake Forest W 80 - 76 OT 49% -3  12% 9 - 12 2 - 6 B +9 B- +4 D A A+ B+ +5 B A A-
 Sat, Jan 31 41 @Clemson L 52 - 63 15% -10  2% 9 - 13 2 - 7 B- +5 C- -1 C- B+ F B- +3 A- F A
 Tue, Feb 3 20 @Virginia L 47 - 67 7% -10  11% 9 - 14 2 - 8 C +1 F -10 C D+ F A +8 B- A- B-
 Sat, Feb 7 31 SMU L 67 - 86 26% -7  26% 9 - 15 2 - 9 D+ -7 C- -2 F+ B- C D -6 F A C-
 Tue, Feb 10 2 Duke L 54 - 70 6% -5  13% 9 - 16 2 - 10 B- +7 C- -2 B C- C B+ +6 D+ B+ A+
 Sat, Feb 14 26 @North Carolina L 65 - 79 11% -13  0% 9 - 17 2 - 11 C+ +4 C+ +2 A+ D+ F+ C+ +1 C- A+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 90 Notre Dame W 73 - 68 57% +3  76% 10 - 17 3 - 11 B- +8 B +7 A- B- C- C+ +2 B- A D-
 Wed, Feb 25 75 @Stanford L 67 - 75 28% +1  57% 10 - 18 3 - 12 C+ +3 B +7 A+ C D D -5 C- D- C-
 Sat, Feb 28 67 @California L 67 - 74 26%
 Wed, Mar 4 80 Florida St. W 76 - 75 53%
 Sat, Mar 7 74 @Syracuse L 69 - 75 29%
Totals 11 - 20 4 - 14 +5 B- +3 D+ C+ B- C+ +2 C+ F+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- B- C C+ C+ 39% 29% 45% B- B- B C- B- C C- F+ D+ C+ C+ C+ C C+ 40% 20% 40% C- C B+ B B+ C B- F+ C+
1.13 61% 39% 35% +2 +1 1.07 36% 1.0 .36 17% .29 67% .19 1.06 57% 37% 34% -1 0 1.01 26% 0.9 .24 17% .27 76% .22
Nov
3		 Youngstown St. C+ C- F C+ D 45% 21% 33% C+ D A+ B- A+ F A+ A A+ A F A+ C+ C+ 29% 8% 63% C- C+ A A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+
1.13 58% 22% 36% -3 0 0.98 52% 1.1 .55 27% .57 81% .46 0.90 71% 0% 32% -1 +1 1.02 22% 0.5 .11 18% .17 56% .09
Nov
7		 Longwood C- A+ F A C+ 20% 18% 61% F+ C B- C- C+ D+ A+ C- A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ 53% 16% 32% F A+ A A+ A+ F A+ F B+
1.11 78% 13% 41% +6 -1 1.11 32% 0.9 .29 20% .62 69% .43 0.86 40% 22% 22% -18 +2 0.70 24% 0.7 .16 10% .22 86% .19
Nov
10		 Eastern Michigan C+ D- A+ F C+ 48% 22% 30% C+ C+ D+ A C+ A A- F D B- A B- A- A 45% 28% 26% D+ A- C+ A B D- F F F
1.12 50% 75% 25% 0 0 1.04 26% 1.2 .31 12% .37 52% .20 0.95 46% 33% 29% -9 -1 0.83 26% 0.8 .21 14% .35 86% .30
Nov
13		 West Virginia F B+ B- F B- 33% 29% 38% D C+ D- F F C F F+ F C C+ C+ B+ B 40% 17% 43% C+ B A C A- F D- F F
0.78 63% 36% 28% -3 -1 0.94 19% 0.0 .00 19% .12 67% .08 1.13 58% 38% 30% -3 +1 0.98 24% 1.1 .27 10% .37 76% .28
Nov
17		 Bucknell A- D- A+ A+ A 35% 20% 45% C A A C A- D- D- F F A+ A+ A+ A A+ 37% 17% 46% C A+ C- A+ A+ A F D+ F
1.30 53% 60% 50% +13 0 1.29 44% 1.1 .47 20% .27 64% .17 0.77 33% 14% 26% -18 0 0.66 27% 0.5 .14 25% .47 78% .37
Nov
20		 Central Florida C+ C F F+ D- 36% 9% 56% A- D+ A+ D- B D+ A+ A+ A+ C- C- C- A+ A- 47% 21% 32% D B+ F F F B B+ A+ A+
1.07 56% 25% 28% -7 +1 0.91 36% 0.9 .33 19% .41 86% .35 1.23 64% 40% 27% 0 +1 1.02 50% 1.5 .75 18% .23 58% .14
Nov
23		 Quinnipiac C A+ F C- B 39% 9% 52% B+ B+ A D- B- F A F C+ F C F F F 37% 26% 37% C+ F C+ D C- A F B- F
1.10 78% 0% 33% +4 +2 1.13 45% 0.9 .39 22% .37 60% .22 1.21 56% 55% 63% +19 -1 1.40 30% 1.1 .35 22% .45 67% .30
Nov
28		 Ohio St. C- A- F C- C+ 36% 35% 29% C- C B+ F F A+ C- F D- A+ C B+ A A+ 36% 17% 47% F+ A+ A- B- A- A A- F B-
1.03 65% 26% 31% -3 -2 0.93 36% 0.4 .13 8% .27 63% .17 1.01 65% 38% 27% -2 0 0.98 28% 1.0 .28 20% .29 87% .25
Dec
2		 Texas A&M B+ B+ D C- C+ 33% 18% 49% C+ C+ B+ A+ A+ B F F F D C+ F+ B A- 51% 9% 40% D+ B+ F C+ D C- F+ F F
1.13 65% 33% 32% 0 0 1.02 35% 1.3 .47 17% .20 64% .13 1.25 58% 50% 32% 0 +2 1.06 41% 0.9 .38 14% .39 91% .36
Dec
7		 Hofstra B+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 26% 23% 51% C- A+ C F D- D+ A+ A+ A+ F D F F F 47% 17% 36% F F B- A+ A F D C- D
1.19 45% 60% 45% +11 -1 1.21 31% 0.8 .23 16% .43 86% .37 1.30 64% 50% 47% +12 +1 1.28 31% 0.8 .23 11% .33 78% .26
Dec
13		 Villanova B C- B F F 43% 15% 43% A- D- A+ B+ A+ C B- D C+ F C- A+ F D 45% 9% 45% F D- A+ D B+ F F D F
1.05 55% 43% 20% -10 +1 0.85 44% 1.1 .47 21% .26 67% .17 1.36 65% 25% 45% +9 +2 1.25 26% 1.1 .30 5% .44 75% .33
Dec
17		 Binghamton A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 10% 48% B- A+ D F+ F+ F+ A- F B- B A+ F F F 43% 30% 27% B- F C A+ B+ A+ F D+ F
1.44 67% 60% 67% +29 +2 1.64 28% 0.9 .24 15% .40 63% .25 0.88 38% 55% 60% +7 -1 1.14 19% 0.4 .08 31% .54 78% .42
Dec
21		 Penn St. A- F A+ A+ B+ 43% 12% 45% B+ A- C+ F+ C- A+ B- F D+ A+ B+ C+ A+ A+ 39% 20% 41% B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A A+
1.23 41% 67% 52% +8 +1 1.22 30% 1.1 .33 14% .25 57% .14 0.71 53% 40% 20% -10 0 0.82 18% 0.0 .00 18% .17 67% .11
Dec
30		 Miami (FL) B- B+ B+ F D+ 32% 26% 42% C- D+ C- A+ A- A+ B F D+ B C- D- A+ A+ 38% 24% 38% A A+ D C+ C- C- F F F
1.04 65% 43% 23% -4 -1 0.92 22% 1.6 .36 11% .29 53% .15 1.15 65% 45% 12% -8 -1 0.84 43% 1.1 .46 15% .46 77% .36
Jan
3		 Clemson C+ C+ F+ C- C+ 44% 23% 33% B C+ C- A+ B- B A+ D+ A B- F F+ D+ F+ 39% 15% 46% C+ D- A+ C+ A+ A+ F C+ F
1.01 57% 27% 31% -4 0 0.94 20% 1.3 .27 16% .39 73% .28 1.09 75% 50% 37% +10 +1 1.24 16% 1.0 .16 21% .47 72% .34
Jan
10		 Syracuse C+ B- A+ F B- 33% 23% 44% D+ C+ A- D- B- C+ F A+ C- F+ F+ C+ F F 44% 18% 38% C- F B+ F D+ C+ C+ F D-
1.08 59% 67% 17% -4 -1 0.92 39% 1.0 .39 18% .20 100% .20 1.25 70% 38% 53% +16 +1 1.36 27% 1.3 .36 17% .32 83% .27
Jan
14		 Georgia Tech A+ B A A+ A+ 37% 20% 43% B- A+ B A+ A+ B+ F A+ D A- A- A+ C A 49% 16% 35% F B+ F+ A+ B- A- C+ B B-
1.31 60% 45% 43% +8 0 1.19 34% 1.5 .50 13% .20 83% .17 0.97 50% 25% 35% -5 +1 0.94 38% 0.9 .32 22% .28 67% .19
Jan
17		 Louisville D C- D F+ D+ 35% 20% 45% B C- D+ A- C B C+ F C- F F+ F F F 42% 8% 51% C F A F F F+ B+ F B-
0.90 53% 30% 27% -8 0 0.86 22% 1.1 .24 15% .29 63% .18 1.53 73% 75% 48% +20 +2 1.45 27% 1.8 .50 12% .26 87% .23
Jan
21		 Boston College C- D- F D F+ 45% 16% 39% B+ D- B+ A+ A A C+ F F B- B+ F C D 25% 31% 44% A D+ A+ F B C- B+ B B+
0.97 48% 13% 30% -11 +1 0.82 33% 1.1 .38 11% .30 41% .12 1.02 50% 53% 33% +2 -2 1.02 19% 1.3 .25 14% .24 62% .15
Jan
24		 North Carolina St. C+ F F D+ F 37% 20% 43% C- F+ A+ D+ A+ C A+ F C C C- A C- B 42% 21% 37% B B A A A+ C- F D- F
1.06 42% 20% 32% -11 0 0.80 53% 0.9 .49 21% .46 44% .20 1.19 64% 27% 37% +2 0 1.06 24% 1.0 .24 12% .45 81% .37
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Wake Forest B- F+ D D- D- 36% 10% 53% B D B+ A A A+ A D- B+ B+ D- D- A+ B 34% 26% 40% A- B A- A- A A- C D+ C-
1.11 48% 33% 29% -8 +1 0.88 36% 1.3 .45 11% .39 68% .27 1.06 67% 50% 24% 0 -1 1.00 26% 1.0 .26 18% .32 79% .25
Jan
31		 Clemson C- A+ D- F D+ 36% 16% 48% B+ C- A+ F B+ F D+ F D- B- B+ A+ C- A 41% 5% 54% D- A- A F F A F F F
0.92 69% 29% 19% -8 0 0.86 44% 0.7 .31 25% .26 64% .17 1.12 53% 0% 35% -3 +2 1.00 23% 2.2 .50 20% .44 85% .37
Feb
3		 Virginia F A F F C- 35% 23% 43% B- C C- D- D+ F C F D- A B- A+ D B 38% 8% 54% D+ B- B B+ A- B- A+ A+ A+
0.78 64% 22% 24% -8 0 0.85 24% 0.8 .18 28% .28 58% .16 1.11 56% 25% 38% +2 +2 1.08 36% 1.0 .36 17% .18 44% .08
Feb
7		 SMU C- C D- F F 28% 20% 52% C+ F+ B+ D+ B- C A A A+ D F D+ F F 38% 27% 35% C+ F A B- A C- C C- C
1.01 57% 30% 23% -10 -1 0.80 37% 0.9 .32 18% .35 79% .28 1.30 83% 46% 47% +19 -1 1.38 29% 1.0 .29 14% .30 76% .23
Feb
10		 Duke C- A+ F F+ B 24% 16% 59% B- B C- D+ C- C D F F B+ F C D+ D- 34% 16% 50% A D+ A C- B+ A+ A+ A+ A+
0.88 75% 25% 28% -4 0 0.94 19% 0.7 .14 20% .16 38% .06 1.14 87% 43% 36% +12 0 1.27 33% 1.3 .42 21% .17 63% .10
Feb
14		 North Carolina C+ B C+ A+ A 49% 16% 35% A+ A+ D+ D+ D+ F+ D- B+ D+ C+ F+ B- D- D+ 38% 20% 42% C+ C- A+ A+ A+ F A F C+
0.99 58% 38% 41% +4 +1 1.12 22% 0.8 .19 18% .15 75% .11 1.21 71% 36% 39% +8 0 1.18 19% 0.7 .13 6% .28 82% .23
Feb
21		 Notre Dame B B+ F A+ A- 33% 17% 50% B- A- B+ D B- C- A+ F A+ C+ F C- A B+ 32% 10% 58% F+ B- D- A+ A D- B+ A+ A+
1.16 64% 14% 43% +5 0 1.12 31% 0.9 .28 16% .51 67% .34 1.08 75% 40% 28% 0 +1 1.04 38% 0.6 .21 13% .26 50% .13
Feb
25		 Stanford B C A+ A+ A 41% 9% 50% A A+ B- D+ C D D+ F D- D C- A+ D C 59% 8% 33% F+ C- C F D- C- A+ F B+
1.09 56% 50% 41% +5 +2 1.16 30% 1.0 .30 21% .31 67% .21 1.22 59% 25% 38% +1 +3 1.10 34% 1.2 .41 15% .19 100% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 0.3 0.3 12th
13th 1.7 1.7 13th
14th 2.8 2.4 5.3 14th
15th 20.7 19.8 0.1 40.6 15th
16th 13.1 23.0 2.1 38.2 16th
17th 11.3 1.1 12.5 17th
18th 1.5 0.0 1.6 18th
Total 26.0 44.8 24.7 4.5 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 4.5% 4.5
5-13 24.7% 24.7
4-14 44.8% 44.8
3-15 26.0% 26.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 26.0%