Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#177
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#182
Pace64.3#312
Improvement-2.0#327

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#163
First Shot-2.6#251
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#57
Layup/Dunks+4.9#40
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.5#361
Freethrows-0.8#222
Improvement+0.0#186

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#209
First Shot-3.1#284
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#73
Layups/Dunks-7.0#355
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#228
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#49
Freethrows+0.0#183
Improvement-2.0#329
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.8% 19.2% 15.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 90.0% 93.8% 82.5%
.500 or above in Conference 90.0% 92.0% 86.0%
Conference Champion 24.2% 27.1% 18.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.2% 0.8%
First Four1.0% 0.9% 1.1%
First Round17.3% 18.8% 14.4%
Second Round0.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Longwood (Neutral) - 65.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 43 - 6
Quad 418 - 621 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 302 Bryant W 82-66 81%     1 - 0 +5.2 +10.3 -4.2
  Fri, Nov 7 254 @Brown W 62-46 53%     2 - 0 +13.9 -5.0 +19.8
  Wed, Nov 12 119 @St. Bonaventure L 66-75 24%     2 - 1 -3.0 +2.8 -6.6
  Mon, Nov 17 182 Colgate L 69-72 62%     2 - 2 -7.5 -0.7 -7.1
  Fri, Nov 21 325 Albany W 73-63 84%     3 - 2 -1.8 +6.4 -6.6
  Mon, Nov 24 330 @Holy Cross W 73-69 70%     4 - 2 -2.7 +2.0 -4.4
  Fri, Nov 28 260 Longwood W 76-72 66%    
  Sat, Nov 29 283 @American W 74-72 58%    
  Sun, Nov 30 321 Maine W 68-61 75%    
  Fri, Dec 5 333 Niagara W 73-61 87%    
  Sun, Dec 7 348 Canisius W 74-61 89%    
  Wed, Dec 17 171 @Vermont L 70-73 39%    
  Mon, Dec 22 22 @Indiana L 62-81 4%    
  Fri, Jan 2 167 @Iona L 75-78 38%    
  Sun, Jan 4 343 @Rider W 73-66 74%    
  Fri, Jan 9 255 Merrimack W 71-64 72%    
  Sun, Jan 11 297 @Mount St. Mary's W 72-69 61%    
  Wed, Jan 14 261 Sacred Heart W 80-73 73%    
  Sat, Jan 17 318 @Manhattan W 78-74 64%    
  Mon, Jan 19 288 Fairfield W 77-68 78%    
  Thu, Jan 22 154 Marist W 64-62 56%    
  Fri, Jan 30 333 @Niagara W 70-64 70%    
  Sun, Feb 1 348 @Canisius W 71-64 74%    
  Thu, Feb 5 167 Iona W 78-75 60%    
  Sat, Feb 7 295 @St. Peter's W 69-66 60%    
  Fri, Feb 13 193 Quinnipiac W 76-72 61%    
  Sun, Feb 15 154 @Marist L 61-65 36%    
  Fri, Feb 20 255 @Merrimack W 68-67 54%    
  Sun, Feb 22 295 St. Peter's W 72-63 78%    
  Fri, Feb 27 288 @Fairfield W 74-71 59%    
  Sun, Mar 1 343 Rider W 76-63 87%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.0 6.3 6.1 4.2 1.7 0.3 24.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.9 5.1 6.4 3.5 1.0 0.2 18.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.2 5.7 5.2 2.2 0.5 0.1 16.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.7 4.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 12.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 3.8 3.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.7 0.9 0.0 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.1 0.8 0.1 4.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.8 0.1 3.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.6 0.0 2.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.9 4.3 6.5 9.3 11.6 13.1 12.9 12.8 10.3 7.2 4.3 1.7 0.3 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
19-1 100.0% 1.7    1.7
18-2 96.5% 4.2    3.8 0.4
17-3 85.5% 6.1    4.8 1.3 0.1
16-4 61.4% 6.3    3.5 2.4 0.4 0.0
15-5 30.9% 4.0    1.4 1.7 0.8 0.1
14-6 10.3% 1.3    0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 24.2% 24.2 15.8 6.2 1.8 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.3% 64.6% 64.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 1.7% 46.4% 46.4% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9
18-2 4.3% 40.2% 40.2% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.6
17-3 7.2% 32.5% 32.5% 14.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.6 0.0 4.8
16-4 10.3% 28.4% 28.4% 14.4 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.1 0.2 7.4
15-5 12.8% 25.7% 25.7% 14.7 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.6 0.4 9.5
14-6 12.9% 18.2% 18.2% 15.0 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.5 10.6
13-7 13.1% 14.9% 14.9% 15.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.7 11.1
12-8 11.6% 10.0% 10.0% 15.5 0.0 0.5 0.6 10.5
11-9 9.3% 6.8% 6.8% 15.8 0.1 0.5 8.6
10-10 6.5% 4.1% 4.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.2
9-11 4.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.1 4.2
8-12 2.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.8
7-13 1.6% 1.6
6-14 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 17.8% 17.8% 0.0% 14.6 0.1 0.4 2.1 5.5 6.3 3.4 82.2 0.0%