Stetson
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -10.6 328
Results Rating -9.8 319
Consistency 0.14 114
Pace 67.8 200
Improvement +2.8 72

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 261 C- D D+ D+ C-
Defense D- 349 D- D- D C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 328 C 58% 179 -3.4 302
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 196 C- 36% 250 -0.3 191
Three Pointers 46% 77 C- 33% 220 +2.0 110
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 249 C- -1.2 218
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 224
Second Chance D 25.5% 314 C- 0.99 239 D 0.25 312
Opponents' Steals D- 11.3% 326
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 177
Turnovers D+ 18.6% 297
Freethrows D+ 0.28 249 D+ 69% 275 D+ 0.20 275
Total Offense D+ -3.6 261

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B 57% 57 C 11.3% 200
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 218 B 2.9% 44
Three Pointers C+ 86% 144 C 0.9% 193
Total B- 61% 67 B- 4.8% 82

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 147 F+ 66% 350 +3.9 311
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 239 D- 43% 329 +0.1 198
Three Pointers 42% 145 C- 35% 220 +0.8 226
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 234 D- +4.3 330
1st FG Attempt D- 1.12 330
Second Chance D 33.5% 303 D- 1.17 346 D- 0.39 339
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.6% 245
Other Turnovers D- 6.0% 337
Turnovers D 14.6% 308
Freethrows B- 0.28 102 C- 73% 237 C+ 0.20 117
Total Defense D- -7.0 349

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 191 F+ 4.8% 356
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 36% 331 D+ 3.1% 288
Three Pointers D 89% 311 D- 0.0% 352
Total C- 59% 254 F+ 2.5% 356

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.2 265 16.5 45
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 259 0.20 262
Consistency 0.13 214 0.13 273
Improvement +4.7 13 -1.9 285

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 337 327 316
Results Rating Rank 333 318 303
Conference Record 6 - 12 6 - 12 7 - 11
Conference Finish 10 8 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 1% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Florida Gulf Coast (Home) - 41.9% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 70 - 12
Quad 49 - 109 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 131 @Rhode Island L 62 - 93 8% -17  0% 0 - 1 F -26 F -12 D- F F F -12 F+ F C
 Mon, Nov 10 39 @Miami (FL) L 61 - 102 1% -18  22% 0 - 2 F -24 F -14 F C D D -6 F+ A C-
 Sun, Nov 16 244 @Western Carolina L 65 - 76 20% -8  9% 0 - 3 D- -13 F -16 F C- B- B +4 F A A+
 Wed, Nov 19 200 Howard W 64 - 60 31% +10  97% 1 - 3 C -1 F+ -9 D- F F+ A- +8 A+ A+ F
 Sat, Nov 22 359 VMI W 99 - 80 80% +9  89% 2 - 3 C -0 A+ +18 A+ B+ B- F -18 F F F
 Tue, Nov 25 162 Wright St. L 62 - 79 24% -15  7% 2 - 4 F -20 F -11 D- C+ D- F -11 F F B+
 Sat, Nov 29 273 Southern Utah L 68 - 70 34% +3  66% 2 - 5 D -8 F -10 D+ C F C+ +2 C- C C-
 Sun, Nov 30 161 @Robert Morris L 62 - 80 11% -12  5% 2 - 6 F+ -15 D+ -4 F C- B+ F -14 F F F
 Tue, Dec 2 61 @Grand Canyon L 45 - 67 3% -4  11% 2 - 7 D -10 F -18 F+ D- F A- +7 B+ C- A-
 Sat, Dec 6 91 @South Carolina L 51 - 82 4% -15  9% 2 - 8 F -22 F -14 F F+ A F -11 F F A+
 Mon, Dec 22 51 @Oklahoma L 54 - 107 2% -25  1% 2 - 9 F -39 F -17 F D+ F F -24 F F D+
 Thu, Jan 1 342 @North Alabama W 70 - 67 44% +0  53% 3 - 9 1 - 0 D+ -6 D -6 B F F C -0 B- D C
 Sat, Jan 3 173 @Central Arkansas L 73 - 93 12% -13  7% 3 - 10 1 - 1 F -18 C +0 B C- D- F -19 F F C
 Thu, Jan 8 197 Lipscomb W 91 - 83 30% +11  96% 4 - 10 2 - 1 C+ +3 B +6 A F B+ D+ -4 D- C+ B-
 Sat, Jan 10 167 Austin Peay L 69 - 81 25% -7  5% 4 - 11 2 - 2 F+ -15 D- -8 F+ B- D D- -8 C+ F+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 312 West Georgia W 95 - 86 55% +4  91% 5 - 11 3 - 2 C- -3 B+ +9 A+ D+ F F -13 D F F+
 Sat, Jan 17 199 Queens L 81 - 87 30% -8  0% 5 - 12 3 - 3 D -11 C- -2 C D C- F+ -10 D+ C+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 197 @Lipscomb L 74 - 79 OT 14% -5  11% 5 - 13 3 - 4 C- -4 F -10 D F F B+ +6 B A+ F
 Fri, Jan 23 167 @Austin Peay L 65 - 73 11% -0  54% 5 - 14 3 - 5 D+ -5 D -6 D F+ C C -0 B- F B-
 Thu, Jan 29 333 @North Florida W 84 - 77 42% +6  93% 6 - 14 4 - 5 C -1 C +1 C F A- C- -3 C+ F+ D
 Sat, Jan 31 342 North Alabama L 66 - 68 67% -3  10% 6 - 15 4 - 6 F+ -17 F -10 F B D- D- -7 F C C-
 Thu, Feb 5 292 @Bellarmine L 71 - 92 29% -11  5% 6 - 16 4 - 7 F -26 D -4 D B+ D F -24 F F F
 Sat, Feb 7 287 @Eastern Kentucky L 88 - 100 27% -0  40% 6 - 17 4 - 8 F+ -16 B +7 C+ B- C F -23 F F F
 Wed, Feb 11 305 Jacksonville W 67 - 62 54% +5  87% 7 - 17 5 - 8 D+ -7 D -6 D+ F+ C C -0 A D D-
 Sat, Feb 14 257 @Florida Gulf Coast L 76 - 78 22% -0  48% 7 - 18 5 - 9 C- -4 C +1 C+ B C D -6 D+ D+ C-
 Thu, Feb 19 173 Central Arkansas L 76 - 88 26% -15  0% 7 - 19 5 - 10 F+ -16 C+ +3 A+ B- F F -19 F F+ C-
 Sat, Feb 21 333 North Florida W 76 - 71 65% -3  29% 8 - 19 6 - 10 D -9 D+ -4 A- F F D -5 C- F D-
 Thu, Feb 26 305 @Jacksonville L 85 - 89 32% -7  1% 8 - 20 6 - 11 D -10 A- +11 A+ F B+ F -20 C+ F F
 Sat, Feb 28 257 Florida Gulf Coast L 75 - 77 42%
Totals 8 - 21 6 - 12 -11 D+ -4 D C- C- D- -7 C- D+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C C- C- C- 33% 36% 46% C- C- D C- D D+ D+ D+ D+ D- F+ D- C- D- 40% 19% 42% C- D- D D- D- D B- C- C+
1.04 58% 36% 33% -1 0 0.99 25% 1.0 .25 19% .28 69% .20 1.19 66% 43% 35% +4 0 1.12 33% 1.2 .39 15% .28 73% .21
Nov
3		 Rhode Island F F A- D- F+ 38% 15% 48% C+ D- D+ F F F B+ F D F F F A F 40% 16% 44% C F+ F F F C D F+ F+
0.84 44% 43% 30% -7 +1 0.90 28% 0.6 .18 27% .41 55% .22 1.26 80% 50% 27% +6 +1 1.16 48% 1.3 .65 19% .40 79% .32
Nov
10		 Miami (FL) F A+ F F F 20% 29% 51% F+ F D A C D A+ F A D F+ F D+ F+ 52% 12% 37% D- F+ A- B+ A C- D- C D
0.77 70% 7% 27% -12 -2 0.73 19% 1.3 .24 22% .42 58% .24 1.29 71% 57% 36% +10 +2 1.27 32% 1.0 .32 15% .39 69% .27
Nov
16		 Western Carolina F F C F F 31% 29% 40% F+ F D+ B- C- B- C- F D B D+ F F F 40% 8% 52% F F A+ C A A+ A C- A
0.89 39% 41% 26% -10 -2 0.79 24% 1.1 .27 14% .30 68% .21 1.04 60% 50% 42% +8 +2 1.22 23% 1.0 .23 25% .20 73% .15
Nov
19		 Howard F+ F D- D+ D- 37% 17% 46% D+ D- F A+ F F+ A+ B A+ A- A+ A- A+ A+ 40% 20% 40% B- A+ B+ A+ A+ F A- C- B+
0.93 47% 29% 32% -7 0 0.88 16% 1.4 .23 23% .53 75% .40 0.88 40% 30% 25% -14 0 0.74 30% 0.8 .24 15% .27 75% .21
Nov
22		 VMI A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 17% 13% 70% D+ A+ D+ A+ B+ B- F F+ F F D C- C- F 36% 15% 49% C- F F+ F+ F F B- B+ B
1.50 89% 57% 50% +25 -1 1.50 35% 1.4 .50 15% .16 67% .11 1.21 60% 38% 33% 0 +1 1.04 31% 1.1 .33 9% .25 67% .17
Nov
25		 Wright St. F F+ B- D- F+ 40% 18% 42% C+ D- C- A- C+ D- F F F F A+ F F F 39% 16% 45% D+ F D F F B+ A+ A+ A+
0.96 50% 44% 29% -5 0 0.92 29% 1.2 .35 20% .17 56% .10 1.22 42% 50% 59% +13 +1 1.29 34% 1.3 .45 20% .12 50% .06
Nov
29		 Southern Utah F B- A F D+ 36% 28% 36% D- D+ C- C+ C F F A+ D C+ F A+ A+ C 52% 20% 28% D- C- A+ F C C- D- F F
0.98 61% 50% 28% +1 -1 1.02 30% 1.0 .30 22% .18 80% .15 1.01 73% 20% 21% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.3 .28 19% .30 88% .27
Nov
30		 Robert Morris D+ F A+ F D- 24% 35% 41% F F F A+ C- B+ C C- C F C+ F F F 27% 25% 48% B+ F C F F F C- A+ A-
1.02 45% 56% 21% -5 -3 0.87 20% 1.3 .26 13% .38 75% .28 1.31 54% 58% 48% +14 -1 1.27 36% 1.5 .54 11% .26 43% .11
Dec
2		 Grand Canyon F D+ F F F 43% 17% 40% A- F+ C- F D- F F F F A- F F A+ B 28% 24% 48% A B+ C+ D C- A- F A- F+
0.68 50% 0% 26% -15 +1 0.74 24% 0.8 .18 26% .20 40% .08 1.01 77% 45% 18% -4 -1 0.91 32% 1.2 .38 21% .44 70% .31
Dec
6		 South Carolina F C F F F 29% 31% 40% D- F F+ D F+ A B F C F F F F F 26% 20% 54% B F F D- F A+ A D A
0.80 57% 27% 16% -15 -2 0.69 21% 0.9 .18 11% .32 61% .19 1.29 75% 56% 44% +16 -1 1.33 45% 1.2 .55 20% .24 83% .20
Dec
22		 Oklahoma F A+ B F F 16% 34% 50% F F D B- D+ F D- B- D F F A- F F 45% 12% 43% F+ F D- F F D+ D A- C-
0.79 75% 41% 12% -13 -3 0.70 25% 1.1 .28 21% .22 75% .17 1.57 87% 33% 55% +26 +2 1.57 39% 1.7 .65 12% .37 68% .25
Jan
1		 North Alabama D A+ A+ F B 44% 16% 40% C B F F F F A- C- B+ C C- C+ A+ B+ 45% 6% 49% F B- D- C- D C C+ C- C+
1.06 75% 57% 28% +7 +1 1.18 25% 0.7 .18 20% .36 74% .27 1.02 57% 33% 20% -11 +2 0.84 36% 1.1 .38 18% .30 69% .20
Jan
3		 Central Arkansas C B- A+ B+ B+ 24% 13% 62% D+ B C+ D- C- D- A+ D- A F F A+ D- F 40% 8% 52% F+ F F F+ F C F F F
1.07 64% 50% 39% +8 0 1.18 30% 1.0 .30 22% .40 67% .26 1.37 80% 0% 38% +9 +2 1.24 42% 1.2 .52 16% .40 78% .32
Jan
8		 Lipscomb B A+ A+ B- A 34% 13% 53% B A F F F B+ A+ A+ A+ D+ D F B+ D- 50% 12% 38% D D- A F C+ B- F B+ F
1.19 78% 57% 36% +11 +1 1.25 13% 0.5 .06 14% .44 79% .35 1.08 65% 67% 30% +5 +2 1.15 17% 1.4 .23 18% .38 71% .27
Jan
10		 Austin Peay D- C+ D F F+ 30% 17% 54% C- F+ C B+ B- D F F+ F D- B- F A C 40% 31% 29% A C+ A- F F+ F F A+ D-
0.98 63% 33% 28% -5 0 0.93 32% 0.9 .29 20% .20 64% .12 1.15 52% 50% 27% -2 -1 0.96 22% 1.9 .42 7% .49 56% .28
Jan
15		 West Georgia B+ B F A+ A+ 51% 11% 38% B A+ D C D+ F A+ B A+ F C F A- D+ 41% 22% 37% F D F D+ F F+ C F D-
1.30 67% 20% 67% +21 +2 1.49 26% 1.0 .26 20% .48 75% .36 1.18 54% 54% 27% -2 0 0.98 39% 1.1 .44 12% .26 88% .23
Jan
17		 Queens C- B+ F B C+ 43% 20% 37% C C C F D C- A+ F A+ F+ F F A D+ 38% 9% 54% D D+ F+ A+ C+ F C+ D C
1.16 67% 30% 39% +5 0 1.12 34% 0.8 .29 16% .58 62% .36 1.25 81% 60% 27% +5 +1 1.14 35% 0.8 .29 10% .30 79% .24
Jan
22		 Lipscomb F D+ D- C D 36% 28% 36% D+ D C- F F F D A+ C+ B+ C- A B B 41% 19% 41% B B A- A+ A+ F D D D
0.92 57% 31% 33% -3 -1 0.95 29% 0.5 .16 22% .24 87% .21 0.98 62% 25% 31% -3 0 0.97 18% 0.5 .09 12% .27 79% .21
Jan
23		 Austin Peay D B C- F+ D 32% 23% 45% D D D F F+ C B+ C B+ C F D+ A+ C 33% 31% 37% A+ B- F+ F F B- C+ C- C+
0.97 67% 36% 29% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 18% .36 70% .25 1.09 69% 40% 22% -2 -2 0.94 34% 1.7 .57 18% .29 75% .22
Jan
29		 North Florida C D+ C+ B C 43% 13% 44% C+ C D+ F F A- B D- C+ C- D- C A+ B- 44% 10% 46% F+ C+ D+ F F+ D D- D F+
1.21 57% 43% 38% +2 +1 1.09 34% 0.9 .32 9% .32 65% .21 1.11 65% 40% 25% -3 +2 1.00 28% 1.3 .38 16% .29 82% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 North Alabama F B+ F F F 46% 22% 33% D+ F C A B D- C+ A+ A- D- F B+ B- F 40% 16% 44% C- F C+ D+ C C- D+ C D+
1.05 67% 10% 20% -9 0 0.85 34% 1.3 .46 17% .31 88% .27 1.08 72% 29% 30% +2 +1 1.07 29% 1.1 .32 17% .35 67% .23
Feb
5		 Bellarmine D A+ A C- D+ 13% 18% 69% D- D D- A+ B+ D D D+ D F D- D+ F F 44% 10% 46% D+ F F F F F A+ F+ A+
1.15 83% 50% 35% +7 -1 1.13 29% 1.8 .50 18% .28 71% .20 1.50 70% 40% 58% +22 +2 1.50 27% 1.5 .41 10% .13 86% .11
Feb
7		 Eastern Kentucky B F A+ A+ C+ 39% 18% 43% C+ C+ C A- B- C C A+ B F F F B- F 35% 15% 51% F F D- F F F F F F
1.25 47% 56% 48% +8 0 1.18 32% 1.2 .38 16% .34 85% .29 1.42 68% 75% 32% +8 +1 1.18 37% 1.5 .53 10% .41 85% .35
Feb
11		 Jacksonville D F B+ A C- 35% 23% 43% D D+ D- F F+ C A+ F A C F+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 25% 33% C+ A F B- D D- F+ C- F+
1.07 50% 44% 41% +3 0 1.08 24% 0.8 .18 14% .60 56% .34 0.99 65% 17% 13% -13 0 0.75 37% 1.0 .37 14% .35 74% .26
Feb
14		 Florida Gulf Coast C F A+ A+ C 52% 15% 33% B+ C+ D A+ B C F B- F D C- B+ D- C- 43% 21% 36% F D+ C D- D+ C- A B- A
1.12 41% 63% 47% +1 +2 1.08 26% 1.5 .39 16% .23 77% .18 1.15 60% 33% 38% +2 0 1.07 31% 1.2 .36 16% .18 70% .12
Feb
19		 Central Arkansas C+ A+ F A+ A+ 20% 22% 59% F A+ F+ A+ B- F F A+ F+ F F F D- F 31% 15% 54% C F F B+ F+ C- F D- F
1.15 78% 20% 52% +16 -1 1.30 21% 1.8 .38 24% .16 88% .14 1.33 73% 57% 38% +11 0 1.25 40% 0.9 .37 15% .36 75% .27
Feb
21		 North Florida D+ A F A+ A 31% 13% 56% C- A- B- F F F D+ F F D B+ F C- D+ 33% 20% 47% B+ C- F F+ F D- D+ A+ B-
1.19 73% 17% 44% +11 +1 1.25 40% 0.6 .26 19% .25 54% .13 1.11 50% 60% 35% +2 0 1.06 32% 1.3 .41 16% .26 64% .17
Feb
26		 Jacksonville A- A+ A+ C A 57% 7% 37% A+ A+ D- F F B+ A D+ B+ F B+ A F C+ 56% 23% 21% D- C+ F F F F F F F
1.26 77% 67% 35% +13 +3 1.35 23% 0.7 .17 12% .46 67% .30 1.32 48% 27% 40% -6 +1 0.92 45% 1.4 .65 9% .51 97% .49



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6.9 6.9 6th
7th 22.3 22.3 7th
8th 19.4 12.7 32.1 8th
9th 28.9 28.9 9th
10th 9.8 9.8 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 58.1 41.9 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 41.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.3 41.6
6-12 58.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.2 57.9
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 16.0 99.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.8%
Lose Out 31.5%