Temple
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.1 #140
Expected Predictive Rating +2.1 #131
Pace 66.1 #267
Improvement +0.3 #164

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #94 B- D A+ A+ C+
Defense #246 C- B- D- C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #78 1.16 #174 +2.4 #102
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #183 0.78 #147 +0.0 #178
Three Pointers 38% #256 1.16 #24 +1.0 #139
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #92 +3.4 #92
Freethrows 22.0 #12 75% #123 16.4 #12
Second Chance 26.8% #291 0.96 #277 0.26 #297
Turnovers 12.9% #17
Total Offense +3.4 #94

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #151 1.17 #196 -1.0 #214
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #116 0.85 #314 -1.7 #298
Three Pointers 38% #263 1.05 #238 +0.7 #149
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #251 -2.0 #250
Freethrows 16.7 #153 70% #84 11.7 #223
Second Chance 29.9% #148 0.96 #75 0.29 #98
Turnovers 14.1% #319
Total Defense -2.3 #246

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.8% #143 -0.2% #151
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 5.8% #89 4.2% #264
Possession Length 18.3 #274 17.3 #183
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #184 0.15 #90
Improvement -2.6 #325 +3.0 #35

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 6.4% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.7 13.0
.500 or above 86.0% 94.9% 83.7%
.500 or above in Conference 81.7% 93.1% 78.8%
Conference Champion 11.6% 25.7% 8.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round4.0% 6.4% 3.4%
Second Round0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Memphis (Away) - 20.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 42 - 6
Quad 36 - 68 - 11
Quad 411 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 356 Delaware St. W 83 - 65 94% +9  1 - 0 +1 +12 A D A+ -9 F A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 11 208 La Salle W 90 - 63 75% +16  2 - 0 +21 +19 A+ B A+ +3 A+ B F
 Sat, Nov 15 151 Boston College L 71 - 76 64% -5  2 - 1 -8 +2 D- C+ A+ -9 C F F
 Wed, Nov 19 110 Hofstra W 81 - 76 50% +1  3 - 1 +6 +9 A+ F C -3 D+ A+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 109 UC San Diego L 76 - 91 38% -9  3 - 2 -11 +6 D+ B- A+ -18 F A+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 221 Princeton W 79 - 75 66% -1  4 - 2 +1 +10 A+ F C- -9 F C+ F
 Wed, Nov 26 123 Rhode Island L 75 - 90 45% -7  4 - 3 -13 +6 C F A+ -19 F B F
 Mon, Dec 1 34 @Villanova L 56 - 74 8% -5  4 - 4 -1 +2 D+ D- B -7 B B- C
 Sat, Dec 6 175 Saint Joseph's L 69 - 70 58% -2  4 - 5 -2 +5 B F D- -8 C D- B+
 Sun, Dec 14 360 St. Francis (PA) W 95 - 67 95% +17  5 - 5 +10 +16 A+ F A+ -5 D+ F D
 Thu, Dec 18 149 @Davidson W 68 - 63 40% +6  6 - 5 +9 +7 D+ F A+ +2 A+ F F
 Mon, Dec 22 221 Princeton W 65 - 61 76% +3  7 - 5 -2 +2 C+ D B+ -4 B- C+ F
 Tue, Dec 30 170 @Charlotte W 76 - 73 46% +8  8 - 5 1 - 0 +5 +4 A- F C +1 B B+ C
 Sat, Jan 3 332 Texas San Antonio W 76 - 57 91% +9  9 - 5 2 - 0 +5 +4 D+ A- C+ +3 B+ C A+
 Wed, Jan 7 262 East Carolina W 75 - 67 82% +9  10 - 5 3 - 0 -1 +6 F A B+ -6 F B- D+
 Wed, Jan 14 83 @Memphis L 70 - 79 20%
 Sun, Jan 18 102 Florida Atlantic L 77 - 78 47%
 Wed, Jan 21 247 @Rice W 74 - 71 61%
 Sat, Jan 24 332 @Texas San Antonio W 79 - 70 80%
 Wed, Jan 28 170 Charlotte W 76 - 71 67%
 Sat, Jan 31 75 South Florida L 79 - 83 37%
 Sat, Feb 7 262 @East Carolina W 76 - 72 64%
 Wed, Feb 11 158 @Tulane L 73 - 75 42%
 Sun, Feb 15 137 North Texas W 68 - 65 60%
 Wed, Feb 18 115 UAB W 78 - 77 51%
 Sat, Feb 21 105 @Wichita St. L 70 - 77 27%
 Wed, Feb 25 102 @Florida Atlantic L 74 - 81 27%
 Sun, Mar 1 247 Rice W 77 - 68 80%
 Thu, Mar 5 158 Tulane W 76 - 72 65%
 Sun, Mar 8 93 @Tulsa L 74 - 82 24%
Totals 18 - 12 11 - 7 +1 +3 B- D A+ -2 C- B- D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 3.6 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 11.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 4.9 4.8 1.5 0.1 0.0 12.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 4.3 6.5 1.5 0.0 12.5 3rd
4th 0.0 2.0 7.3 2.1 0.1 11.4 4th
5th 0.6 6.3 4.0 0.1 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.2 3.5 6.3 0.7 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 5.9 2.1 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.5 3.8 3.7 0.2 8.2 8th
9th 0.2 2.0 3.6 0.6 6.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 2.5 0.9 0.0 4.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.0 2.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.2 5.5 9.7 14.4 17.1 17.0 14.3 10.0 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 99.4% 0.8    0.7 0.1
15-3 94.0% 2.2    1.8 0.3 0.0
14-4 72.9% 4.0    2.2 1.6 0.3 0.0
13-5 36.2% 3.6    0.7 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.0
12-6 5.1% 0.7    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.6% 11.6 5.6 3.7 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 13.5% 13.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.8% 15.1% 15.1% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
15-3 2.4% 13.0% 13.0% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.0
14-4 5.5% 9.7% 9.7% 12.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 5.0
13-5 10.0% 8.3% 8.3% 12.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 9.2
12-6 14.3% 6.0% 6.0% 13.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 13.5
11-7 17.0% 4.2% 4.2% 13.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 16.3
10-8 17.1% 2.2% 2.2% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 16.7
9-9 14.4% 1.1% 1.1% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.3
8-10 9.7% 0.6% 0.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 9.7
7-11 5.5% 0.7% 0.7% 14.9 0.0 0.0 5.5
6-12 2.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.2
5-13 0.7% 0.7
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 12.9 96.0 0.0%