UNC Greensboro
Southern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#287
Expected Predictive Rating-10.9#324
Pace69.0#209
Improvement-0.1#177

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#268
First Shot-1.9#223
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#286
Layup/Dunks-5.9#343
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#86
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#228
Freethrows+3.4#31
Improvement-0.2#207

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#284
First Shot-4.3#319
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#119
Layups/Dunks+1.9#109
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#277
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#347
Freethrows+0.7#139
Improvement+0.2#177
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 3.6% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 9.6% 16.0% 5.6%
.500 or above in Conference 39.2% 46.2% 34.8%
Conference Champion 2.4% 3.2% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.4% 6.2% 9.8%
First Four1.9% 1.7% 2.1%
First Round2.3% 2.9% 1.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Asheville (Neutral) - 38.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 82 - 11
Quad 49 - 911 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 54 @Kansas St. L 64-93 5%     0 - 1 -16.3 -11.8 -0.9
  Sat, Nov 8 190 Elon L 90-92 OT 42%     0 - 2 -6.8 +5.8 -12.5
  Wed, Nov 12 29 @North Carolina St. L 64-110 3%     0 - 3 -29.5 -8.0 -18.9
  Sat, Nov 15 165 Austin Peay L 63-69 38%     0 - 4 -9.8 -11.6 +2.1
  Thu, Nov 20 210 @Queens L 94-101 26%     0 - 5 -7.0 +20.2 -27.4
  Sun, Nov 23 189 Youngstown St. W 68-62 31%     1 - 5 +4.2 -6.9 +10.9
  Tue, Nov 25 241 Delaware L 60-73 42%     1 - 6 -17.6 -10.1 -8.8
  Wed, Nov 26 121 Miami (OH) L 71-82 18%     1 - 7 -8.2 -3.3 -4.6
  Tue, Dec 2 218 UNC Asheville L 73-76 38%    
  Sat, Dec 6 259 @East Carolina L 71-76 34%    
  Tue, Dec 16 313 N.C. A&T W 76-72 66%    
  Thu, Jan 1 188 Chattanooga L 72-74 42%    
  Sat, Jan 3 221 Samford L 74-75 50%    
  Wed, Jan 7 225 @Wofford L 72-78 29%    
  Sat, Jan 10 137 @East Tennessee St. L 65-76 15%    
  Thu, Jan 15 358 The Citadel W 77-67 82%    
  Sat, Jan 17 206 Mercer L 77-78 48%    
  Wed, Jan 21 342 @VMI W 74-73 55%    
  Sat, Jan 24 160 Furman L 70-73 38%    
  Thu, Jan 29 206 @Mercer L 74-81 27%    
  Sat, Jan 31 358 @The Citadel W 74-70 64%    
  Wed, Feb 4 278 Western Carolina W 76-73 59%    
  Sun, Feb 8 160 @Furman L 67-76 21%    
  Wed, Feb 11 342 VMI W 77-70 74%    
  Sat, Feb 14 225 Wofford W 76-75 50%    
  Wed, Feb 18 278 @Western Carolina L 73-76 38%    
  Sat, Feb 21 137 East Tennessee St. L 68-73 32%    
  Thu, Feb 26 188 @Chattanooga L 69-77 25%    
  Sat, Feb 28 221 @Samford L 71-77 29%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 6.8 3rd
4th 0.2 1.8 4.7 2.8 0.5 0.0 10.0 4th
5th 0.3 2.2 5.2 3.7 0.4 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.9 6.4 4.5 0.7 0.0 14.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.9 7.3 4.2 0.8 0.0 17.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.5 6.4 3.7 0.7 0.0 16.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.4 3.7 1.5 0.2 10.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 4.7 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.2 6.1 9.4 12.2 14.3 13.7 12.4 10.4 7.2 4.7 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 89.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 88.9% 0.5    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 65.3% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1
13-5 27.5% 0.7    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 40.5% 40.5% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 18.5% 18.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.2% 17.6% 17.6% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0
13-5 2.5% 13.6% 13.6% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 2.1
12-6 4.7% 9.9% 9.9% 15.8 0.1 0.4 4.3
11-7 7.2% 6.7% 6.7% 15.8 0.1 0.4 6.7
10-8 10.4% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.4 10.0
9-9 12.4% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.5 12.0
8-10 13.7% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 13.3
7-11 14.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.2
6-12 12.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.2
5-13 9.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.4
4-14 6.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.1
3-15 3.2% 3.2
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.5 96.9 0.0%