Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.2#37
Expected Predictive Rating+11.4#53
Pace74.1#79
Improvement+1.4#72

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#61
First Shot+2.8#92
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#45
Layup/Dunks+3.7#58
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#242
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#178
Freethrows+0.2#159
Improvement+1.2#69

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#26
First Shot+6.5#24
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#182
Layups/Dunks+3.2#67
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#192
Freethrows+0.6#147
Improvement+0.3#167
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 4.9% 5.1% 1.4%
Top 6 Seed 15.4% 15.8% 6.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 58.3% 59.2% 40.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 57.0% 57.9% 39.3%
Average Seed 7.9 7.9 8.6
.500 or above 90.7% 91.4% 77.0%
.500 or above in Conference 70.6% 71.3% 57.8%
Conference Champion 3.3% 3.4% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 1.1% 3.5%
First Four8.4% 8.3% 9.6%
First Round54.1% 55.0% 35.0%
Second Round30.8% 31.5% 17.2%
Sweet Sixteen9.7% 9.9% 4.9%
Elite Eight3.5% 3.7% 0.8%
Final Four1.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Northeastern (Home) - 95.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 8
Quad 27 - 310 - 12
Quad 34 - 114 - 12
Quad 46 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 283 American W 88-74 97%     1 - 0 +4.3 +4.5 -1.2
  Fri, Nov 7 310 Morehead St. W 81-65 97%     2 - 0 +5.0 -7.4 +10.4
  Tue, Nov 11 1 Michigan L 84-85 OT 11%     2 - 1 +24.7 +9.5 +15.4
  Sun, Nov 16 309 Umass Lowell W 109-75 97%     3 - 1 +23.0 +21.1 -0.8
  Thu, Nov 20 24 Texas Tech L 83-84 41%     3 - 2 +13.6 +10.7 +3.0
  Fri, Nov 21 70 Memphis W 69-68 66%     4 - 2 +8.9 +4.1 +4.9
  Tue, Nov 25 219 Campbell W 99-51 95%     5 - 2 +41.3 +20.3 +19.8
  Fri, Nov 28 200 Northeastern W 83-65 95%    
  Tue, Dec 2 52 Oklahoma W 81-76 68%    
  Sat, Dec 6 71 West Virginia W 72-68 66%    
  Sun, Dec 14 210 Queens W 89-71 95%    
  Wed, Dec 17 260 Longwood W 88-67 97%    
  Sun, Dec 21 19 Vanderbilt L 80-81 47%    
  Wed, Dec 31 29 @North Carolina St. L 80-84 34%    
  Sat, Jan 3 63 Virginia Tech W 80-73 73%    
  Wed, Jan 7 44 Miami (FL) W 79-76 62%    
  Sat, Jan 10 26 @North Carolina L 76-81 33%    
  Sat, Jan 17 55 @Florida St. L 81-82 48%    
  Tue, Jan 20 42 SMU W 82-79 62%    
  Sat, Jan 24 2 @Duke L 69-83 11%    
  Tue, Jan 27 99 @Pittsburgh W 74-70 65%    
  Sat, Jan 31 29 North Carolina St. W 83-81 56%    
  Sat, Feb 7 9 Louisville L 77-81 37%    
  Wed, Feb 11 104 @Georgia Tech W 75-70 67%    
  Sat, Feb 14 95 Stanford W 83-73 81%    
  Wed, Feb 18 38 Clemson W 73-70 61%    
  Sat, Feb 21 63 @Virginia Tech W 77-76 53%    
  Tue, Feb 24 127 @Boston College W 74-67 74%    
  Sat, Feb 28 64 Syracuse W 79-72 72%    
  Tue, Mar 3 39 @Virginia L 73-76 41%    
  Sat, Mar 7 67 California W 80-73 73%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.5 3.2 1.6 0.3 0.0 8.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.0 1.6 0.2 9.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.4 4.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 9.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 5.0 2.5 0.3 9.1 5th
6th 0.3 3.7 4.1 0.6 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 4.8 1.4 0.0 7.8 7th
8th 0.5 4.1 3.0 0.2 7.8 8th
9th 0.1 2.1 4.1 0.7 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.5 3.6 2.0 0.1 6.2 10th
11th 0.1 1.8 3.2 0.4 5.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 2.8 1.2 0.1 4.7 12th
13th 0.1 1.6 2.0 0.2 4.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.7 2.0 0.6 0.0 3.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.8 0.1 2.3 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.1 1.7 16th
17th 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.1 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 18th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.1 5.2 7.8 10.9 12.5 13.9 13.6 11.5 8.8 5.8 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 96.8% 0.3    0.3 0.1
16-2 75.1% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
15-3 38.6% 1.1    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 14.7% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 45.5% 54.5% 1.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.3% 100.0% 25.5% 74.5% 2.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.1% 100.0% 15.9% 84.1% 3.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.9% 100.0% 14.3% 85.7% 4.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 5.8% 99.5% 9.8% 89.7% 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.9 1.5 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.5%
13-5 8.8% 98.9% 7.6% 91.4% 6.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.1 2.2 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.1 98.9%
12-6 11.5% 94.6% 5.6% 89.0% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.6 2.6 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.6 94.2%
11-7 13.6% 84.7% 2.2% 82.5% 8.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.7 3.2 2.5 1.1 2.1 84.3%
10-8 13.9% 66.3% 1.3% 65.0% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.3 3.1 2.2 0.1 4.7 65.9%
9-9 12.5% 42.1% 0.4% 41.7% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 2.1 0.1 7.3 41.9%
8-10 10.9% 18.7% 0.2% 18.6% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 0.1 8.9 18.6%
7-11 7.8% 5.2% 0.4% 4.9% 11.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 7.4 4.9%
6-12 5.2% 0.4% 0.4% 11.7 0.0 0.0 5.2 0.4%
5-13 3.1% 3.1
4-14 1.5% 1.5
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 58.3% 3.2% 55.2% 7.9 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.8 4.5 6.0 7.7 8.9 9.4 9.4 7.3 0.3 41.7 57.0%