West Virginia
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.8#71
Expected Predictive Rating+4.7#106
Pace62.9#335
Improvement-0.6#226

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#114
First Shot+1.7#127
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#147
Layup/Dunks-3.2#286
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#200
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#159
Freethrows+4.7#12
Improvement+0.8#98

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#39
First Shot-0.1#168
After Offensive Rebounds+5.7#2
Layups/Dunks+0.9#142
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#57
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#308
Freethrows+1.0#123
Improvement-1.3#301
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.7% 0.7% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.4% 12.7% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 12.1% 12.5% 3.0%
Average Seed 9.2 9.2 9.6
.500 or above 60.6% 61.6% 33.7%
.500 or above in Conference 25.7% 26.1% 14.3%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.9% 10.7% 17.5%
First Four3.2% 3.3% 0.8%
First Round10.7% 11.0% 2.4%
Second Round4.4% 4.5% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen1.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mercyhurst (Home) - 96.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 53 - 11
Quad 23 - 46 - 15
Quad 33 - 19 - 15
Quad 48 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 297 Mount St. Mary's W 70-54 95%     1 - 0 +5.6 -4.6 +10.8
  Thu, Nov 6 219 Campbell W 73-65 91%     2 - 0 +1.3 -1.0 +2.6
  Sun, Nov 9 312 Lehigh W 69-47 95%     3 - 0 +10.9 -2.0 +14.7
  Thu, Nov 13 99 Pittsburgh W 71-49 71%     4 - 0 +24.0 +7.1 +19.4
  Mon, Nov 17 327 Lafayette W 81-59 96%     5 - 0 +9.6 +6.0 +4.7
  Fri, Nov 21 38 Clemson L 67-70 34%     5 - 1 +9.1 +3.7 +5.2
  Sun, Nov 23 85 Xavier L 68-78 55%     5 - 2 -3.3 +1.1 -4.8
  Sun, Nov 30 320 Mercyhurst W 73-54 97%    
  Wed, Dec 3 364 Coppin St. W 80-52 99.5%   
  Sat, Dec 6 37 Wake Forest L 68-72 34%    
  Tue, Dec 9 248 Arkansas Little Rock W 73-57 93%    
  Sat, Dec 13 20 Ohio St. L 67-74 25%    
  Mon, Dec 22 365 Mississippi Valley W 85-52 99.8%   
  Fri, Jan 2 4 @Iowa St. L 61-76 8%    
  Tue, Jan 6 65 Cincinnati W 68-66 58%    
  Sat, Jan 10 18 Kansas L 65-70 31%    
  Tue, Jan 13 5 @Houston L 55-70 9%    
  Sat, Jan 17 72 Colorado W 73-70 61%    
  Wed, Jan 21 83 @Arizona St. L 70-72 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 11 @Arizona L 64-78 11%    
  Tue, Jan 27 54 Kansas St. W 75-74 54%    
  Sat, Jan 31 28 Baylor L 70-73 39%    
  Thu, Feb 5 65 @Cincinnati L 65-69 37%    
  Sun, Feb 8 24 Texas Tech L 67-71 37%    
  Sat, Feb 14 68 @Central Florida L 73-76 39%    
  Wed, Feb 18 125 Utah W 74-66 77%    
  Sat, Feb 21 51 @TCU L 65-70 31%    
  Tue, Feb 24 46 @Oklahoma St. L 72-78 29%    
  Sat, Feb 28 7 BYU L 65-74 22%    
  Tue, Mar 3 54 @Kansas St. L 72-77 33%    
  Fri, Mar 6 68 Central Florida W 76-73 60%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 1.8 0.6 0.0 3.7 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 2.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 5.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.1 2.5 0.3 0.0 6.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.6 3.9 0.8 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.8 5.0 1.6 0.1 8.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 4.7 3.6 0.3 0.0 9.3 10th
11th 0.2 3.5 5.2 1.0 0.0 10.0 11th
12th 0.1 2.0 5.6 2.3 0.1 10.1 12th
13th 0.0 1.1 4.8 3.7 0.4 0.0 10.0 13th
14th 0.1 0.9 3.6 4.3 0.8 0.0 9.6 14th
15th 0.1 0.9 3.1 4.0 1.2 0.1 0.0 9.4 15th
16th 0.3 0.9 2.0 1.9 0.6 0.0 5.7 16th
Total 0.3 1.0 3.0 5.9 9.5 12.5 14.5 14.7 13.0 10.0 7.2 4.5 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 73.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 24.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 5.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 10.5% 89.5% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.4% 96.6% 5.1% 91.5% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.4%
13-5 1.0% 98.1% 5.4% 92.7% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.0%
12-6 2.4% 85.3% 2.4% 82.9% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 84.9%
11-7 4.5% 64.3% 1.2% 63.1% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.6 63.9%
10-8 7.2% 43.6% 0.9% 42.7% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.0 4.1 43.1%
9-9 10.0% 20.7% 0.2% 20.5% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.0 7.9 20.6%
8-10 13.0% 4.5% 0.1% 4.4% 10.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 12.4 4.4%
7-11 14.7% 0.7% 0.7% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.6 0.7%
6-12 14.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 14.5 0.1%
5-13 12.5% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 12.5
4-14 9.5% 9.5
3-15 5.9% 5.9
2-16 3.0% 3.0
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 12.4% 0.3% 12.1% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.8 2.7 3.2 2.8 0.1 0.0 87.6 12.1%