Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#132
Expected Predictive Rating+3.5#122
Pace79.2#19
Improvement+1.6#64

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#159
First Shot+2.2#112
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#311
Layup/Dunks+3.6#64
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#149
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#315
Freethrows+2.8#47
Improvement-1.3#302

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#109
First Shot-2.0#244
After Offensive Rebounds+4.0#11
Layups/Dunks+4.7#46
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#343
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#187
Freethrows-3.2#335
Improvement+2.9#9
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.3% 16.7% 11.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.6 13.1
.500 or above 79.5% 88.8% 74.3%
.500 or above in Conference 79.0% 84.5% 75.9%
Conference Champion 16.0% 20.2% 13.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 1.0% 2.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round13.2% 16.7% 11.3%
Second Round1.6% 2.4% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wichita St. (Neutral) - 35.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 36 - 67 - 10
Quad 411 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 322 Tennessee Tech W 82-70 89%     1 - 0 +0.4 -1.7 +1.2
  Mon, Nov 10 258 @Eastern Kentucky W 87-79 66%     2 - 0 +5.7 +4.9 +0.2
  Sun, Nov 16 224 Tennessee St. W 95-82 80%     3 - 0 +6.2 +12.0 -7.0
  Wed, Nov 26 19 Vanderbilt L 78-83 10%     3 - 1 +11.0 +0.4 +11.3
  Thu, Nov 27 81 South Florida L 91-97 OT 31%     3 - 2 +1.1 -1.0 +3.4
  Fri, Nov 28 92 Wichita St. L 75-79 36%    
  Sat, Dec 6 291 Evansville W 80-68 87%    
  Wed, Dec 10 183 @Marshall W 82-81 52%    
  Fri, Dec 19 91 Tulsa L 77-78 47%    
  Mon, Dec 29 222 @Jacksonville St. W 72-69 60%    
  Fri, Jan 2 170 Sam Houston St. W 83-77 71%    
  Sun, Jan 4 194 Louisiana Tech W 73-66 73%    
  Thu, Jan 8 108 @New Mexico St. L 69-74 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 234 @UTEP W 73-70 61%    
  Wed, Jan 14 239 Missouri St. W 76-66 80%    
  Sat, Jan 17 163 Kennesaw St. W 88-82 70%    
  Wed, Jan 21 97 Liberty L 76-77 49%    
  Sat, Jan 24 170 @Sam Houston St. W 80-79 50%    
  Wed, Jan 28 163 @Kennesaw St. L 85-86 49%    
  Sat, Jan 31 149 @Middle Tennessee L 78-79 46%    
  Thu, Feb 5 222 Jacksonville St. W 75-66 77%    
  Sat, Feb 7 215 Florida International W 82-74 77%    
  Sat, Feb 14 149 Middle Tennessee W 81-76 67%    
  Wed, Feb 18 241 @Delaware W 78-74 62%    
  Sat, Feb 21 97 @Liberty L 73-79 29%    
  Thu, Feb 26 108 New Mexico St. W 72-71 53%    
  Sat, Feb 28 234 UTEP W 76-67 78%    
  Thu, Mar 5 239 @Missouri St. W 73-69 62%    
  Sat, Mar 7 215 @Florida International W 79-77 58%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.2 4.4 3.5 2.1 0.9 0.2 16.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.9 5.3 4.6 2.4 0.6 0.1 16.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.3 5.4 3.7 1.1 0.1 14.4 3rd
4th 0.7 3.4 5.2 2.7 0.6 0.1 12.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.9 4.5 2.4 0.3 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 4.1 2.1 0.2 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.3 2.1 0.3 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.2 1.7 0.3 5.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 2.4 3.4 5.5 7.7 10.1 11.1 12.0 11.7 11.1 8.9 6.9 4.0 2.1 0.9 0.2 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
18-2 96.2% 2.1    1.9 0.2
17-3 86.3% 3.5    2.8 0.7 0.0
16-4 64.1% 4.4    2.8 1.4 0.2
15-5 35.4% 3.2    1.4 1.3 0.4 0.0
14-6 13.2% 1.5    0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 16.0% 16.0 10.4 4.2 1.1 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 40.7% 31.5% 9.3% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.5%
19-1 0.9% 44.5% 44.1% 0.4% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.7%
18-2 2.1% 42.1% 41.8% 0.3% 11.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.2 0.5%
17-3 4.0% 36.1% 36.1% 12.2 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.0 2.6
16-4 6.9% 28.2% 28.2% 12.5 0.1 1.0 0.7 0.1 5.0
15-5 8.9% 24.7% 24.7% 12.8 0.0 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 6.7
14-6 11.1% 18.4% 18.4% 13.0 0.5 1.1 0.4 0.0 9.1
13-7 11.7% 13.7% 13.7% 13.3 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.1 10.1
12-8 12.0% 10.4% 10.4% 13.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 10.7
11-9 11.1% 6.3% 6.3% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.4
10-10 10.1% 3.6% 3.6% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.7
9-11 7.7% 2.6% 2.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.5
8-12 5.5% 1.6% 1.6% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.4
7-13 3.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.4
6-14 2.4% 2.4
5-15 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-16 0.7% 0.7
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 13.3% 13.2% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 4.1 5.0 2.4 0.8 0.2 86.7 0.0%