William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#130
Expected Predictive Rating+7.8#75
Pace84.8#5
Improvement+2.7#17

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#134
First Shot+1.1#144
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#183
Layup/Dunks+1.1#143
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#288
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#134
Freethrows+0.6#138
Improvement+0.2#152

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#132
First Shot+1.6#117
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#223
Layups/Dunks+0.0#176
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#60
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#137
Freethrows-1.1#255
Improvement+2.5#13
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.1% 18.2% 13.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.9 13.3
.500 or above 89.4% 92.3% 78.6%
.500 or above in Conference 86.9% 88.5% 81.1%
Conference Champion 24.8% 26.7% 17.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.5% 1.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round17.1% 18.2% 13.1%
Second Round1.8% 2.0% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Home) - 79.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 36 - 58 - 9
Quad 412 - 219 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 233 @Norfolk St. W 81-78 62%     1 - 0 +1.8 +3.5 -2.0
  Tue, Nov 11 115 @Richmond L 86-90 34%     1 - 1 +2.2 +7.2 -4.7
  Sat, Nov 15 15 @St. John's L 60-93 5%     1 - 2 -12.3 -12.3 +4.1
  Wed, Nov 19 140 @Bowling Green W 82-74 42%     2 - 2 +12.2 +4.8 +6.5
  Mon, Nov 24 234 UTEP W 74-63 73%     3 - 2 +6.8 -1.7 +7.9
  Tue, Nov 25 252 Abilene Christian W 92-58 75%     4 - 2 +29.0 +14.7 +12.1
  Sun, Nov 30 216 Old Dominion W 85-76 79%    
  Tue, Dec 2 126 @Duquesne L 86-89 37%    
  Sat, Dec 6 62 @George Washington L 83-93 19%    
  Thu, Dec 18 273 Radford W 92-81 85%    
  Mon, Dec 29 128 Towson W 76-73 61%    
  Wed, Dec 31 251 Stony Brook W 82-72 82%    
  Mon, Jan 5 151 @College of Charleston L 79-80 47%    
  Thu, Jan 8 201 @Monmouth W 79-77 56%    
  Sat, Jan 10 262 @Drexel W 78-73 66%    
  Thu, Jan 15 313 N.C. A&T W 89-76 88%    
  Thu, Jan 22 113 UNC Wilmington W 79-77 56%    
  Sat, Jan 24 162 Hofstra W 82-76 69%    
  Thu, Jan 29 190 @Elon W 84-83 54%    
  Sat, Jan 31 219 Campbell W 88-79 78%    
  Thu, Feb 5 113 @UNC Wilmington L 76-80 36%    
  Sat, Feb 7 235 @Hampton W 79-76 61%    
  Thu, Feb 12 200 @Northeastern W 80-79 55%    
  Sat, Feb 14 190 Elon W 87-80 73%    
  Thu, Feb 19 219 @Campbell W 85-82 60%    
  Thu, Feb 26 200 Northeastern W 83-76 74%    
  Sat, Feb 28 313 @N.C. A&T W 86-79 73%    
  Tue, Mar 3 235 Hampton W 82-73 79%    
Projected Record 18 - 10 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.6 6.5 6.7 4.7 2.1 0.4 24.8 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 4.4 6.6 4.6 1.6 0.1 18.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 4.3 6.2 3.0 0.5 0.0 14.6 3rd
4th 0.2 2.8 5.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.5 4.7 2.2 0.3 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.3 2.3 0.4 0.0 6.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 2.4 0.4 0.0 5.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 2.2 0.6 0.0 3.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.8 0.1 2.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.1 2.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 1.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 3.6 5.7 8.2 10.9 12.9 14.2 13.5 11.6 8.3 4.8 2.1 0.4 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 100.0% 2.1    2.0 0.0
16-2 97.0% 4.7    4.2 0.5 0.0
15-3 80.8% 6.7    4.8 1.8 0.1
14-4 55.9% 6.5    3.3 2.6 0.6 0.0
13-5 26.5% 3.6    0.9 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0
12-6 5.3% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 24.8% 24.8 15.7 6.7 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 61.7% 61.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
17-1 2.1% 45.6% 45.2% 0.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 1.1 0.6%
16-2 4.8% 38.8% 38.8% 12.2 0.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 3.0
15-3 8.3% 33.1% 33.1% 12.5 0.1 1.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.5
14-4 11.6% 26.3% 26.3% 12.8 0.0 0.9 1.6 0.5 0.0 8.5
13-5 13.5% 22.3% 22.3% 13.0 0.0 0.6 1.6 0.7 0.1 10.5
12-6 14.2% 15.5% 15.5% 13.4 0.2 1.1 0.8 0.1 12.0
11-7 12.9% 11.7% 11.7% 13.6 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 11.4
10-8 10.9% 7.8% 7.8% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 10.0
9-9 8.2% 4.8% 4.8% 14.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 7.8
8-10 5.7% 3.4% 3.4% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.5
7-11 3.6% 2.3% 2.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6
6-12 2.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.1
5-13 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0
4-14 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 17.1% 17.1% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 4.9 6.9 3.5 0.9 0.1 82.9 0.0%