Wofford
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.6 #228
Expected Predictive Rating -0.4 #172
Pace 69.5 #177
Improvement -0.1 #192

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #146 D C C+ B+ B
Defense #304 C- D+ D+ C F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #172 0.97 #347 -3.7 #301
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #319 0.63 #319 -3.4 #334
Three Pointers 48% #50 0.99 #211 +3.1 #85
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #294 -4.1 #293
Freethrows 20.6 #34 73% #165 15.1 #49
Second Chance 31.0% #172 0.99 #247 0.31 #199
Turnovers 15.7% #128
Total Offense +0.5 #146

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 48% #6 1.12 #127 -4.5 #321
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #256 0.75 #174 +1.0 #120
Three Pointers 34% #341 1.12 #318 +1.7 #118
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #246 -1.9 #246
Freethrows 16.5 #137 78% #353 12.9 #166
Second Chance 32.0% #239 1.13 #282 0.36 #279
Turnovers 15.3% #257
Total Defense -4.1 #304

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.8% #69 2.1% #344
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -9.8% #330 1.6% #218
Possession Length 17.9 #235 16.4 #50
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #266 0.14 #81
Improvement +4.6 #6 -4.7 #361

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.5% 8.5% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 86.1% 91.5% 73.6%
.500 or above in Conference 84.8% 90.6% 71.5%
Conference Champion 7.8% 10.0% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.6%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.5%
First Round7.3% 8.4% 4.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Chattanooga (Home) - 69.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 416 - 418 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 86 @George Mason L 46 - 70 11% -9  0 - 1 -14 -20 F D F +4 B+ D A
 Sat, Nov 8 229 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 86 - 76 62% +12  1 - 1 +3 +2 F A D +1 B- A+ F
 Tue, Nov 11 27 @Auburn L 62 - 93 3% -19  1 - 2 -13 -6 F F C+ -6 C F B-
 Sat, Nov 15 294 @Bellarmine W 94 - 86 54% +8  2 - 2 +3 +13 A+ F D -10 C+ F F
 Wed, Nov 19 350 North Florida W 86 - 78 88% +1  3 - 2 -8 -2 F A- C -7 D- A+ F
 Wed, Nov 26 179 @Northern Kentucky L 83 - 93 31% -2  3 - 3 -8 +6 F D- A+ -13 F D- F
 Sat, Nov 29 253 @Eastern Kentucky W 83 - 77 45% +8  4 - 3 +4 +4 F D+ A+ -1 A F F
 Wed, Dec 3 292 Presbyterian W 63 - 56 75% +4  5 - 3 -4 -8 F D- A+ +5 A D D+
 Sat, Dec 6 169 Elon L 52 - 73 51% -21  5 - 4 -25 -19 F F B- -9 D- A+ B
 Mon, Dec 15 362 @Gardner-Webb W 83 - 57 82% +11  6 - 4 +13 +5 F A+ D+ +8 B A+ A-
 Wed, Dec 17 105 @Wichita St. L 73 - 84 14% -7  6 - 5 -3 +8 C B+ B+ -12 F B+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 291 @Western Carolina W 79 - 74 54% +3  7 - 5 1 - 0 +1 +3 C- C- D+ -2 B+ C- C+
 Sat, Jan 3 358 @The Citadel W 95 - 86 79% +8  8 - 5 2 - 0 -3 +19 A+ F D- -21 F F C+
 Wed, Jan 7 288 UNC Greensboro W 97 - 85 74% +11  9 - 5 3 - 0 +2 +18 D A+ A+ -16 F F F
 Sat, Jan 10 153 @Mercer L 97 - 109 25% -7  9 - 6 3 - 1 -9 +16 B+ A- B- -24 F F B
 Wed, Jan 14 267 Chattanooga W 78 - 73 70%
 Sat, Jan 17 147 @Furman L 71 - 78 24%
 Wed, Jan 21 240 Samford W 80 - 76 64%
 Sat, Jan 24 153 Mercer L 81 - 82 47%
 Thu, Jan 29 267 @Chattanooga L 75 - 76 48%
 Sat, Jan 31 119 East Tennessee St. L 74 - 77 38%
 Wed, Feb 4 339 @VMI W 79 - 74 66%
 Sat, Feb 7 291 Western Carolina W 83 - 76 74%
 Wed, Feb 11 240 @Samford L 77 - 79 43%
 Sat, Feb 14 288 @UNC Greensboro W 79 - 78 52%
 Wed, Feb 18 339 VMI W 82 - 71 84%
 Sat, Feb 21 147 Furman L 74 - 75 45%
 Wed, Feb 25 119 @East Tennessee St. L 71 - 80 20%
 Sat, Feb 28 358 The Citadel W 82 - 68 91%
Totals 17 - 12 11 - 7 -4 +1 D C C+ -4 C- D+ D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.0 1.9 0.6 0.0 7.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 5.6 6.0 2.5 0.3 0.0 15.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.5 8.1 7.7 2.6 0.2 21.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.7 10.1 8.5 2.3 0.2 25.2 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 6.3 4.7 0.6 14.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 4.0 2.9 0.3 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.2 1.6 0.2 4.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 1.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 4.4 8.6 13.3 17.7 18.7 15.9 10.6 5.7 2.3 0.6 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 99.1% 0.6    0.5 0.0
15-3 84.8% 1.9    1.4 0.5 0.0
14-4 53.8% 3.0    1.5 1.2 0.3 0.0
13-5 17.5% 1.9    0.4 0.8 0.6 0.1
12-6 2.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.8% 7.8 3.9 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.6% 23.2% 23.2% 13.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-3 2.3% 25.1% 25.1% 14.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.7
14-4 5.7% 16.7% 16.7% 14.4 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 4.7
13-5 10.6% 13.4% 13.4% 14.7 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.1 9.2
12-6 15.9% 10.0% 10.0% 15.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.3 14.3
11-7 18.7% 6.5% 6.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.4 17.5
10-8 17.7% 4.7% 4.7% 15.4 0.0 0.4 0.4 16.9
9-9 13.3% 3.4% 3.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 12.9
8-10 8.6% 2.7% 2.7% 15.8 0.0 0.2 8.4
7-11 4.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 4.4
6-12 1.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.6
5-13 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.5% 7.5% 0.0% 14.9 92.5 0.0%