Wofford
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -3.9 229
Results Rating -1.4 183
Consistency 0.16 237
Pace 69.1 159
Improvement +0.2 183

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 151 C- D+ B C+ B-
Defense D 308 D+ C- D+ C- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 118 D+ 54% 284 -0.3 194
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 272 C 37% 194 -2.2 286
Three Pointers 44% 122 C- 33% 233 +0.9 150
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.9 72 D+ -2.4 266
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 220
Second Chance C- 28.0% 245 C- 0.98 254 D+ 0.28 261
Opponents' Steals C+ 8.9% 122
Other Turnovers B+ 5.9% 36
Turnovers B 14.7% 61
Freethrows B- 0.33 110 C- 71% 218 C+ 0.23 128
Total Offense C +0.6 151

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 49% 161 C- 11.5% 219
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 263 C+ 4.2% 127
Three Pointers D+ 80% 263 D- 1.6% 330
Total C 56% 170 C- 6.1% 230

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 10 C 57% 155 +4.4 321
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 270 C- 40% 249 -0.8 127
Three Pointers 35% 331 D- 38% 321 -0.9 148
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +0.9 340 C- +1.7 250
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 269
Second Chance C 29.9% 170 D 1.14 321 C- 0.34 258
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.0% 286
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 193
Turnovers D+ 15.2% 273
Freethrows C 0.30 181 F 77% 356 C- 0.23 238
Total Defense D -4.5 308

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 156 C- 9.4% 236
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 30% 270 D- 1.1% 352
Three Pointers C- 86% 247 A- 2.0% 27
Total C 56% 182 C- 5.3% 196

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.8 228 16.5 44
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 301 0.18 199
Consistency 0.14 298 0.14 304
Improvement +3.0 51 -2.8 315

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 247 229 204
Results Rating Rank 217 192 141
Conference Record 11 - 7 12 - 6 12 - 6
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10% 10% 8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.1 15.6
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 1%
First Round9% 10% 7%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: The Citadel (Home) - 88.1% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 32 - 53 - 8
Quad 416 - 419 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 109 @George Mason L 46 - 70 16% -9  0% 0 - 1 F+ -17 F -23 F D F B +4 B D B
 Sat, Nov 8 263 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 86 - 76 68% +12  98% 1 - 1 C +1 C- -1 F+ A- D+ C+ +2 C+ A F
 Tue, Nov 11 38 @Auburn L 62 - 93 4% -19  2% 1 - 2 D- -14 F -10 F+ D- C+ D+ -3 C F+ B-
 Sat, Nov 15 292 @Bellarmine W 94 - 86 53% +8  84% 2 - 2 C+ +3 B+ +8 A+ F D+ D -5 C- F+ F
 Wed, Nov 19 333 North Florida W 86 - 78 84% +1  41% 3 - 2 D+ -6 D+ -4 D A- D+ C- -3 D- A+ D-
 Wed, Nov 26 191 @Northern Kentucky L 83 - 93 32% -2  21% 3 - 3 D -9 B- +4 D- D- A F -13 D- F F
 Sat, Nov 29 287 @Eastern Kentucky W 83 - 77 51% +8  91% 4 - 3 C+ +2 C -0 F D+ A+ C+ +2 A F D-
 Wed, Dec 3 271 Presbyterian W 63 - 56 70% +4  76% 5 - 3 C- -2 F+ -9 F D- A+ A- +8 A D- C
 Sat, Dec 6 225 Elon L 52 - 73 60% -21  0% 5 - 4 F -28 F -22 F F C+ F+ -9 F A B
 Mon, Dec 15 362 @Gardner-Webb W 83 - 57 86% +11  89% 6 - 4 B +11 C +1 F+ A+ C- A +10 B+ A- B+
 Wed, Dec 17 93 @Wichita St. L 73 - 84 12% -7  0% 6 - 5 C- -2 B+ +8 C A- B+ F -10 F C D
 Wed, Dec 31 244 @Western Carolina W 79 - 74 42% +3  74% 7 - 5 1 - 0 C+ +3 C- -1 C C- D+ B +4 B+ B- B
 Sat, Jan 3 349 @The Citadel W 95 - 86 74% +8  94% 8 - 5 2 - 0 C -1 A+ +20 A+ F C F -21 F F B-
 Wed, Jan 7 298 UNC Greensboro W 97 - 85 75% +11  92% 9 - 5 3 - 0 C +1 A +14 D A+ A+ F -13 F+ F D
 Sat, Jan 10 181 @Mercer L 97 - 109 30% -7  3% 9 - 6 3 - 1 D -10 A +12 B- B+ B- F -21 F F C
 Wed, Jan 14 282 Chattanooga L 67 - 76 72% +2  61% 9 - 7 3 - 2 F -19 F -13 D- F A- D -6 F A D+
 Sat, Jan 17 171 @Furman W 74 - 70 28% -3  18% 10 - 7 4 - 2 B- +6 B+ +8 B B- B- C- -2 A F C
 Wed, Jan 21 195 Samford W 88 - 78 54% +1  55% 11 - 7 5 - 2 B- +5 A+ +14 A+ C B+ F+ -9 F+ D- D+
 Sat, Jan 24 181 Mercer W 80 - 77 52% +1  60% 12 - 7 6 - 2 C -1 C +1 C- A- B- C- -2 C- A+ D
 Thu, Jan 29 282 @Chattanooga W 81 - 55 50% +13  88% 13 - 7 7 - 2 A +22 B+ +8 C C- A A+ +16 A+ B C-
 Sun, Feb 1 135 East Tennessee St. L 72 - 86 41% -5  4% 13 - 8 7 - 3 F+ -16 C +2 C- B- A- F -18 B+ F F
 Wed, Feb 4 359 @VMI W 81 - 67 82% +12  93% 14 - 8 8 - 3 C +1 C +0 C+ F A C+ +1 D- A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 244 Western Carolina W 77 - 66 65% +5  75% 15 - 8 9 - 3 C+ +3 D+ -3 B- F F+ B+ +7 A D C-
 Wed, Feb 11 195 @Samford L 80 - 97 32% -13  1% 15 - 9 9 - 4 F+ -16 C +0 C- F+ A+ F -16 F F A-
 Sat, Feb 14 298 @UNC Greensboro L 89 - 99 55% -12  0% 15 - 10 9 - 5 F+ -15 B+ +8 C+ A C- F -23 F B F
 Wed, Feb 18 359 VMI W 82 - 76 92% +3  60% 16 - 10 10 - 5 D- -13 D+ -3 B D C+ F -10 D+ F+ C-
 Sat, Feb 21 171 Furman L 67 - 76 50% -4  24% 16 - 11 10 - 6 D- -13 D+ -3 C D- A- F -11 F B+ D-
 Wed, Feb 25 135 @East Tennessee St. W 72 - 69 21% -0  41% 17 - 11 11 - 6 B- +7 C+ +3 F+ B- A+ B +5 D- B+ B-
 Sat, Feb 28 349 The Citadel W 80 - 67 88%
Totals 18 - 11 12 - 6 -4 C +1 D+ D+ B- D -4 C- C- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ C C- D+ 41% 29% 44% B- C- C- C- D+ B B- C- C+ D C C- D- C- 47% 18% 35% D- D+ C D C- D+ C F C-
1.09 54% 37% 33% -2 +1 0.99 28% 1.0 .28 15% .33 71% .23 1.15 57% 40% 38% +2 +1 1.07 30% 1.1 .34 15% .30 77% .25
Nov
3		 George Mason F B- F F F 19% 19% 62% C- F C F D F A F B B C+ B B- B 42% 25% 33% C+ B B+ F D B A- D+ B+
0.71 63% 13% 23% -14 -1 0.71 26% 0.7 .18 25% .33 63% .20 1.08 60% 33% 31% -2 0 0.98 27% 1.4 .37 18% .30 75% .23
Nov
8		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee C- D B F F 57% 13% 30% B+ F+ A C- A- D+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A- A F B- 45% 24% 31% D+ C+ A+ F A F C- F D-
1.14 53% 43% 25% -6 +2 0.94 39% 1.1 .45 17% .48 83% .40 1.01 46% 29% 39% -5 0 0.91 18% 1.3 .23 11% .28 79% .22
Nov
11		 Auburn F C C- F F 40% 20% 40% B- F+ D- D- D- C+ F A- F D+ C+ F D D+ 35% 22% 44% A- C F B- F+ B- A+ A+ A+
0.87 55% 36% 23% -9 0 0.85 22% 0.9 .19 18% .17 80% .14 1.31 58% 58% 38% +7 0 1.15 51% 1.0 .51 15% .30 67% .20
Nov
15		 Bellarmine B+ B- F A+ A+ 38% 4% 57% A A+ F F F D+ A+ B- A+ D D+ F A- C 57% 11% 31% D- C- F C+ F+ F F C- F
1.33 67% 0% 59% +23 +2 1.53 24% 0.2 .04 17% .50 76% .38 1.22 65% 67% 29% +5 +3 1.17 28% 1.1 .31 11% .42 81% .34
Nov
19		 North Florida D+ C- A+ F F+ 50% 4% 46% A D C A+ A- D+ A+ F+ A- C- C A+ F D- 36% 12% 53% C- D- A+ D- A+ D- A+ B A+
1.18 58% 100% 25% -4 +3 1.00 36% 1.5 .56 14% .40 64% .25 1.07 57% 29% 42% +5 +1 1.14 12% 1.3 .15 15% .13 75% .10
Nov
26		 Northern Kentucky B- F F A D- 37% 26% 37% D D- C- F D- A A+ B A+ F F+ A C- F+ 55% 22% 24% C- D- C- F F F F F+ F
1.12 47% 25% 41% -3 -1 0.93 31% 0.9 .28 15% .68 74% .51 1.25 68% 27% 33% +3 +1 1.10 30% 1.4 .42 12% .52 76% .40
Nov
29		 Eastern Kentucky C C- D+ D- F 29% 20% 51% C- F D+ D+ D+ A+ A+ C+ A+ C+ B- A+ A- A+ 28% 20% 52% D A D F F D- C F D+
1.15 60% 40% 31% -2 -1 0.98 30% 0.9 .28 8% .49 75% .36 1.07 53% 17% 29% -10 -1 0.82 36% 1.4 .51 14% .26 81% .21
Dec
3		 Presbyterian F+ F C D- F 39% 10% 51% B- F B- F D- A+ C+ B B- A- A+ A+ C- A+ 69% 11% 20% F A D- D+ D- C B- A- B
1.00 35% 40% 31% -11 +1 0.82 35% 0.6 .22 8% .31 72% .22 0.89 39% 20% 33% -16 +3 0.78 37% 1.1 .39 19% .31 63% .20
Dec
6		 Elon F F F F F 32% 4% 64% A- F D- F F C+ C F D F+ B- F F F 52% 9% 39% D F F A+ A B B- F C
0.85 47% 0% 23% -15 +2 0.74 28% 0.7 .20 15% .29 60% .17 1.20 54% 75% 44% +7 +3 1.22 39% 0.5 .21 18% .28 79% .22
Dec
15		 Gardner-Webb C F+ B- C F+ 39% 20% 41% D+ F+ A+ B- A+ C- B+ F C+ A B F A+ A- 48% 22% 30% C+ B+ A+ C- A- B+ D- F F
1.20 53% 40% 35% -1 0 1.00 49% 1.2 .57 16% .34 65% .22 0.82 50% 50% 14% -10 +1 0.83 13% 1.0 .13 23% .32 88% .28
Dec
17		 Wichita St. B+ D A+ F+ D+ 37% 18% 45% A- C A+ C A- B+ A+ B A+ F F F+ C F 42% 24% 33% C F A- F C D F C- F
1.11 50% 56% 27% -4 0 0.94 39% 0.9 .37 14% .44 72% .32 1.27 68% 45% 33% +6 0 1.13 33% 1.2 .39 12% .62 69% .43
Dec
31		 Western Carolina C- F A+ B+ C- 32% 12% 56% B- C D B C- D+ A- F+ B B B- A+ A+ A+ 61% 4% 35% F B+ F A+ B- B F B- F
1.11 44% 67% 39% +3 +1 1.10 24% 1.1 .26 17% .39 70% .27 1.04 52% 0% 22% -12 +4 0.86 43% 0.7 .30 20% .51 69% .35
Jan
3		 The Citadel A+ D+ D A+ A+ 38% 6% 56% B- A+ B F F C A- B+ A F C- A- F F 43% 14% 43% D- F F F F B- D F F
1.43 58% 33% 61% +22 +2 1.50 38% 0.5 .21 15% .35 75% .27 1.29 57% 29% 48% +7 +1 1.18 41% 1.7 .70 20% .30 88% .26
Jan
7		 UNC Greensboro A F A B D- 39% 14% 46% B D B- A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ F A- A- F F+ 44% 19% 37% F+ F+ D- F F D C+ B- B-
1.40 45% 50% 38% 0 +1 1.04 34% 1.8 .60 6% .40 73% .29 1.23 48% 30% 53% +4 +1 1.12 32% 1.3 .42 13% .35 67% .23
Jan
10		 Mercer A F C A+ C+ 41% 8% 51% A- B- C A+ B+ B- A C A- F F A+ F F 54% 10% 35% F F B- F F C F F F
1.27 38% 40% 50% +4 +2 1.14 33% 1.2 .40 16% .34 77% .26 1.42 73% 20% 59% +19 +2 1.46 30% 1.7 .52 17% .49 87% .42
Jan
14		 Chattanooga F F F C F+ 35% 17% 48% C D- F F F A- B+ F C+ D C F F F 38% 14% 48% F+ F A- A+ A D+ D- B- D
0.97 47% 22% 35% -6 0 0.91 23% 0.3 .08 10% .40 64% .26 1.10 58% 57% 42% +8 +1 1.20 14% 0.8 .10 15% .32 74% .24
Jan
17		 Furman B+ B+ A D B 44% 16% 40% B B D+ A+ B- B- C- A- C C- A+ F A+ B+ 23% 26% 51% A+ A F F F C C F D
1.16 64% 50% 30% +2 +1 1.08 27% 1.3 .33 13% .23 77% .18 1.10 45% 58% 25% -5 -2 0.89 37% 1.4 .51 19% .29 80% .23
Jan
21		 Samford A+ A A+ A+ A+ 55% 19% 26% A+ A+ F A+ C B+ A+ C A+ F+ D- F B+ D- 41% 12% 47% F F+ D+ F D- D+ A+ F A-
1.34 69% 56% 50% +16 +1 1.36 14% 2.0 .29 11% .41 75% .31 1.19 67% 67% 29% +3 +1 1.12 27% 1.3 .33 12% .24 79% .19
Jan
24		 Mercer C D- D+ A+ C- 52% 21% 27% B- C- B A- A- B- C- B C C- C+ D- C+ C+ 43% 13% 44% F C- A A+ A+ D D+ F F
1.15 48% 36% 50% +1 +1 1.06 37% 1.2 .43 16% .26 80% .20 1.10 57% 43% 33% 0 +1 1.04 25% 0.2 .06 14% .37 86% .32
Jan
29		 Chattanooga B+ D+ F+ B+ C- 48% 13% 39% B+ C A- F C- A C- F D A+ B B- A+ A+ 35% 16% 49% D A+ D A+ B C- F+ A+ C+
1.22 54% 29% 38% -1 +2 1.04 41% 0.8 .34 9% .33 65% .22 0.83 53% 38% 21% -12 0 0.80 24% 0.7 .17 15% .34 58% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 East Tennessee St. C D- A+ D- D 58% 8% 34% A C- F A+ B- A- C A- B- F B+ A B- A 59% 14% 27% F B+ F F F F F F F
1.11 52% 75% 29% -3 +3 1.02 20% 1.7 .33 15% .29 81% .24 1.32 52% 29% 31% -6 +2 0.94 38% 1.7 .66 9% .47 93% .44
Feb
4		 VMI C A+ F A C+ 27% 22% 51% D C+ F F F A A+ C+ A C+ C C+ C- D- 42% 17% 40% C- D- B+ A+ A+ F D D+ D
1.20 79% 27% 42% +10 -1 1.20 22% 0.5 .11 12% .40 75% .30 0.99 55% 33% 33% -3 +1 0.98 21% 0.4 .08 12% .32 74% .23
Feb
7		 Western Carolina D+ A B- D+ C+ 49% 17% 34% B+ B- F C- F F+ F A+ D- B+ A A+ A A+ 51% 7% 42% F A B- F D C- A+ A+ A+
1.12 69% 44% 33% +6 +1 1.17 15% 1.0 .15 19% .22 92% .20 0.96 43% 25% 26% -14 +3 0.80 32% 1.2 .39 16% .17 60% .10
Feb
11		 Samford C D B C C- 32% 30% 38% C- C- F A+ F+ A+ B+ F C+ F F F F F 35% 18% 47% D+ F C+ F F A- C- D D+
1.10 53% 44% 35% +1 -2 1.00 11% 1.8 .19 5% .35 67% .23 1.33 78% 56% 50% +21 0 1.45 23% 2.0 .45 18% .37 73% .27
Feb
14		 UNC Greensboro B+ A- A+ D- C+ 39% 18% 43% B- C+ A+ C+ A C- A+ D A+ F C+ F F F 40% 22% 38% D+ F B+ C B F F F+ F
1.27 70% 56% 32% +6 0 1.16 43% 1.1 .49 14% .47 68% .32 1.41 55% 64% 53% +15 0 1.32 21% 1.0 .21 4% .57 76% .43
Feb
18		 VMI D+ A- A+ B- B- 31% 4% 64% B+ B F+ B- D C+ A+ C- A+ F C+ C- B- D+ 47% 15% 38% D- D+ B- F F+ C- F+ F F
1.19 71% 100% 38% +11 +2 1.27 30% 1.1 .33 16% .48 71% .35 1.10 52% 38% 30% -5 +1 0.94 23% 1.4 .31 16% .35 95% .33
Feb
21		 Furman D+ C+ A+ F D+ 48% 8% 44% A C D- D D- A- A F C F C+ A+ F F 55% 11% 34% F F A C- B+ D- D+ F D-
1.05 58% 75% 23% -4 +2 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 11% .33 53% .18 1.19 58% 20% 56% +9 +3 1.26 22% 1.0 .22 16% .31 76% .24
Feb
25		 East Tennessee St. C+ C- F F+ F+ 39% 17% 44% C F+ D+ A+ B- A+ C B C+ B F C+ A+ D 55% 18% 27% D- D- C+ A+ B+ B- F A+ C
1.08 57% 22% 29% -6 +1 0.91 26% 1.3 .34 9% .30 78% .23 1.04 79% 38% 17% +4 +1 1.14 26% 0.9 .22 18% .40 59% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 11.9 88.1 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 11.9 88.1 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 88.1% 9.8% 9.8% 15.1 0.0 1.0 5.8 1.8 79.4
11-7 11.9% 7.7% 7.7% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 11.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.6% 9.6% 0.0% 15.1 90.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 8.7% 100.0% 15.1 0.4 12.0 66.6 21.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 15.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 31.7%
Lose Out 5.8%