East Carolina
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#178
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#129
Pace68.8#204
Improvement-1.3#275

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#163
First Shot+0.7#161
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#196
Layup/Dunks-0.9#195
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#217
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#125
Freethrows+0.9#120
Improvement+0.5#120

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#217
First Shot+0.2#163
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#282
Layups/Dunks-0.7#214
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#231
Freethrows-1.6#276
Improvement-1.8#317
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.5 14.0
.500 or above 39.0% 48.8% 22.9%
.500 or above in Conference 13.3% 16.4% 8.1%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 25.4% 22.8% 29.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gardner-Webb (Home) - 62.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 21 - 41 - 10
Quad 33 - 55 - 15
Quad 410 - 215 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 354   South Carolina St. W 70-62 96%     1 - 0 -12.5 -20.4 +7.0
  Nov 12, 2021 284   Canisius W 83-71 79%     2 - 0 +2.5 -2.7 +4.1
  Nov 14, 2021 302   Western Carolina W 95-79 82%     3 - 0 +5.2 +8.9 -4.8
  Nov 18, 2021 35   Oklahoma L 74-79 12%     3 - 1 +6.7 +10.2 -3.7
  Nov 19, 2021 228   Old Dominion W 73-60 58%     4 - 1 +9.9 +10.8 +1.0
  Nov 21, 2021 73   Davidson L 67-76 23%     4 - 2 -2.0 -0.5 -2.0
  Nov 27, 2021 307   Coppin St. W 70-68 83%     5 - 2 -9.1 -2.0 -7.0
  Nov 30, 2021 228   Old Dominion W 63-62 69%     6 - 2 -5.1 -5.5 +0.5
  Dec 04, 2021 190   Gardner-Webb W 71-68 62%    
  Dec 07, 2021 281   N.C. A&T W 75-67 80%    
  Dec 17, 2021 171   Liberty L 65-66 47%    
  Dec 21, 2021 247   Southern Miss W 72-65 73%    
  Dec 29, 2021 53   Wichita St. L 65-71 28%    
  Jan 01, 2022 225   @ South Florida L 60-61 46%    
  Jan 05, 2022 168   Tulane W 70-68 59%    
  Jan 08, 2022 150   @ Temple L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 12, 2022 55   @ Cincinnati L 63-75 13%    
  Jan 15, 2022 23   Memphis L 67-79 15%    
  Jan 18, 2022 65   Central Florida L 68-73 31%    
  Jan 22, 2022 7   @ Houston L 56-77 3%    
  Jan 27, 2022 23   @ Memphis L 64-82 6%    
  Jan 30, 2022 55   Cincinnati L 66-72 29%    
  Feb 02, 2022 150   Temple W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 05, 2022 168   @ Tulane L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 08, 2022 142   @ Tulsa L 67-73 31%    
  Feb 12, 2022 99   SMU L 72-75 39%    
  Feb 20, 2022 65   @ Central Florida L 65-76 16%    
  Feb 23, 2022 225   South Florida W 63-58 66%    
  Feb 26, 2022 142   Tulsa W 70-69 52%    
  Mar 05, 2022 53   @ Wichita St. L 62-74 13%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.6 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.0 6.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 4.0 2.4 0.4 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.2 2.6 6.4 3.1 0.5 0.0 12.8 7th
8th 0.3 2.9 6.9 4.4 0.8 0.0 15.3 8th
9th 0.5 3.5 7.9 4.8 0.8 0.0 17.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 4.4 7.9 4.7 0.7 18.8 10th
11th 0.3 3.0 4.7 5.2 2.4 0.2 15.7 11th
Total 0.3 3.0 5.8 10.1 14.1 15.8 15.1 13.3 9.2 6.4 3.6 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 45.5% 0.0    0.0
14-4 15.6% 0.0    0.0
13-5 5.5% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 4.5% 4.5% 11.0 0.0 0.0 4.5%
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.4% 6.1% 6.1% 12.0 0.0 0.3 6.1%
12-6 0.9% 2.6% 2.6% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.8
11-7 1.8% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 1.8
10-8 3.6% 1.8% 1.8% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6
9-9 6.4% 1.3% 1.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3
8-10 9.2% 9.2
7-11 13.3% 0.2% 0.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 13.3
6-12 15.1% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 15.0
5-13 15.8% 15.8
4-14 14.1% 14.1
3-15 10.1% 10.1
2-16 5.8% 5.8
1-17 3.0% 3.0
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.0%