South Carolina
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.0#101
Expected Predictive Rating+8.6#70
Pace81.6#5
Improvement-0.1#188

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#167
First Shot-2.8#265
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#39
Layup/Dunks-0.6#187
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#224
Freethrows-1.8#288
Improvement+1.9#26

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#56
First Shot+4.6#50
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#156
Layups/Dunks+6.6#13
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#261
Freethrows-1.3#259
Improvement-2.1#326
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.1% 1.4% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.0% 13.5% 5.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 10.7% 13.1% 5.7%
Average Seed 9.3 9.3 9.6
.500 or above 43.1% 51.1% 26.4%
.500 or above in Conference 17.7% 20.0% 13.0%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 15.5% 13.3% 20.1%
First Four2.5% 2.9% 1.5%
First Round9.6% 11.8% 5.0%
Second Round3.8% 4.8% 1.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coastal Carolina (Away) - 67.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 11
Quad 23 - 35 - 13
Quad 35 - 210 - 16
Quad 45 - 115 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 337   South Carolina Upstate W 78-60 96%     1 - 0 +3.4 -13.9 +14.7
  Nov 12, 2021 150   Princeton L 62-66 65%     1 - 1 -2.9 -10.9 +7.8
  Nov 14, 2021 126   Western Kentucky W 75-64 59%     2 - 1 +13.6 -2.8 +15.5
  Nov 18, 2021 50   UAB W 66-63 47%     3 - 1 +8.8 -6.7 +15.3
  Nov 23, 2021 118   Wofford W 85-74 68%     4 - 1 +11.2 +8.9 +2.0
  Nov 28, 2021 264   Rider W 65-58 89%     5 - 1 -1.5 -6.8 +5.7
  Dec 01, 2021 226   @ Coastal Carolina W 78-73 68%    
  Dec 05, 2021 137   Georgetown W 78-72 71%    
  Dec 12, 2021 26   Florida St. L 70-78 22%    
  Dec 18, 2021 46   @ Clemson L 65-73 24%    
  Dec 22, 2021 223   Army W 79-68 84%    
  Dec 29, 2021 354   South Carolina St. W 91-65 99%    
  Jan 04, 2022 21   Auburn L 75-81 29%    
  Jan 08, 2022 78   @ Vanderbilt L 70-75 34%    
  Jan 11, 2022 24   @ Tennessee L 68-80 14%    
  Jan 15, 2022 14   Florida L 70-77 25%    
  Jan 18, 2022 25   @ Arkansas L 74-85 15%    
  Jan 22, 2022 158   Georgia W 80-72 75%    
  Jan 26, 2022 78   Vanderbilt W 73-72 55%    
  Jan 29, 2022 81   @ Texas A&M L 67-71 35%    
  Feb 01, 2022 37   @ Mississippi St. L 66-75 22%    
  Feb 05, 2022 24   Tennessee L 71-77 31%    
  Feb 08, 2022 12   Kentucky L 72-79 26%    
  Feb 12, 2022 158   @ Georgia W 77-75 55%    
  Feb 15, 2022 76   @ Mississippi L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 19, 2022 10   LSU L 73-81 23%    
  Feb 23, 2022 37   Mississippi St. L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 26, 2022 13   @ Alabama L 74-87 12%    
  Mar 01, 2022 128   Missouri W 75-69 69%    
  Mar 05, 2022 21   @ Auburn L 72-84 15%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 2.0 0.5 0.0 3.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.0 1.1 0.0 5.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.8 2.3 0.2 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 4.7 3.7 0.7 0.0 10.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.3 5.4 5.0 1.3 0.1 13.1 10th
11th 0.1 1.6 5.5 6.3 1.9 0.1 0.0 15.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.6 5.8 6.3 2.0 0.2 0.0 16.0 12th
13th 0.2 1.6 4.6 4.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 12.8 13th
14th 0.4 1.8 3.1 2.5 0.9 0.1 8.8 14th
Total 0.4 1.9 4.8 8.8 13.0 14.9 15.2 13.0 10.3 7.7 4.8 2.8 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 78.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 40.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 12.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 28.6% 71.4% 4.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.3% 100.0% 7.8% 92.2% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.7% 98.2% 3.5% 94.7% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.2%
12-6 1.4% 92.9% 4.1% 88.8% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 92.6%
11-7 2.8% 80.8% 1.8% 79.0% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.5 80.4%
10-8 4.8% 55.1% 1.4% 53.7% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.1 54.5%
9-9 7.7% 31.7% 0.4% 31.2% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.0 5.2 31.4%
8-10 10.3% 9.9% 0.4% 9.6% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 9.2 9.6%
7-11 13.0% 2.1% 0.1% 2.0% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.7 2.0%
6-12 15.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.1 0.1%
5-13 14.9% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 14.9
4-14 13.0% 13.0
3-15 8.8% 8.8
2-16 4.8% 4.8
1-17 1.9% 1.9
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 11.0% 0.4% 10.7% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 89.0 10.7%