South Carolina
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.2#86
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#132
Pace66.0#280
Improvement+0.3#141

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#91
First Shot+2.8#94
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#134
Layup/Dunks-1.5#234
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#176
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#72
Freethrows+0.9#128
Improvement+0.1#177

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#93
First Shot-0.1#174
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#28
Layups/Dunks-3.6#301
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#310
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#35
Freethrows+0.5#155
Improvement+0.2#164
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 6.9% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.0% 6.8% 2.5%
Average Seed 9.2 9.2 9.3
.500 or above 32.1% 41.9% 19.0%
.500 or above in Conference 6.7% 8.3% 4.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 38.3% 34.0% 44.1%
First Four1.3% 1.7% 0.6%
First Round4.4% 6.0% 2.2%
Second Round1.9% 2.6% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Tech (Home) - 57.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 52 - 13
Quad 22 - 45 - 16
Quad 31 - 16 - 17
Quad 49 - 015 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 318 N.C. A&T W 91-72 94%     1 - 0 +7.6 +6.0 +0.1
  Sun, Nov 9 236 Southern Miss W 83-79 OT 89%     2 - 0 -3.5 -1.0 -2.8
  Wed, Nov 12 275 Presbyterian W 81-61 92%     3 - 0 +10.7 +11.3 +1.0
  Tue, Nov 18 271 Radford W 87-58 92%     4 - 0 +20.0 +7.8 +11.8
  Fri, Nov 21 48 Butler L 72-79 31%     4 - 1 +4.3 +5.0 -0.8
  Sun, Nov 23 55 Northwestern L 77-79 37%     4 - 2 +7.7 +14.7 -7.2
  Fri, Nov 28 279 Charleston Southern W 74-62 92%     5 - 2 +2.6 -3.3 +5.8
  Tue, Dec 2 75 Virginia Tech W 74-72 57%    
  Sat, Dec 6 343 Stetson W 82-61 97%    
  Sat, Dec 13 359 The Citadel W 83-60 98%    
  Tue, Dec 16 35 @Clemson L 65-74 20%    
  Mon, Dec 22 348 South Carolina St. W 82-61 97%    
  Tue, Dec 30 313 Albany W 79-62 95%    
  Sat, Jan 3 13 Vanderbilt L 73-82 21%    
  Tue, Jan 6 44 @LSU L 70-79 22%    
  Sat, Jan 10 32 Georgia L 78-82 36%    
  Wed, Jan 14 25 @Arkansas L 69-80 16%    
  Sat, Jan 17 22 @Auburn L 69-81 15%    
  Tue, Jan 20 52 Oklahoma L 75-76 46%    
  Sat, Jan 24 40 @Texas A&M L 71-80 22%    
  Wed, Jan 28 17 Florida L 71-79 23%    
  Sat, Jan 31 44 LSU L 73-76 41%    
  Tue, Feb 3 36 @Texas L 69-78 21%    
  Sat, Feb 7 31 Missouri L 73-77 36%    
  Sat, Feb 14 9 @Alabama L 74-90 8%    
  Tue, Feb 17 17 @Florida L 68-82 11%    
  Sat, Feb 21 85 Mississippi St. W 74-71 60%    
  Tue, Feb 24 16 Kentucky L 71-79 23%    
  Sat, Feb 28 32 @Georgia L 75-85 19%    
  Tue, Mar 3 14 Tennessee L 68-77 22%    
  Sat, Mar 7 51 @Mississippi L 68-75 26%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.2 6th
7th 0.2 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 1.3 0.1 2.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.9 0.7 0.0 3.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.8 1.9 0.2 0.0 4.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.3 0.9 0.0 5.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 4.1 2.5 0.2 7.7 12th
13th 0.0 1.0 4.3 4.4 0.8 0.0 10.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 1.3 5.0 6.6 2.1 0.1 15.2 14th
15th 0.3 2.7 7.1 7.6 3.1 0.3 0.0 21.1 15th
16th 1.8 5.4 8.6 6.8 2.7 0.4 0.0 25.7 16th
Total 1.8 5.7 11.4 15.2 16.3 15.4 12.5 9.0 6.0 3.4 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 80.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 70.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 34.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 0.4% 99.1% 2.8% 96.3% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
11-7 0.9% 84.1% 0.4% 83.8% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 84.1%
10-8 1.8% 68.1% 1.8% 66.3% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.6 67.5%
9-9 3.4% 41.1% 0.4% 40.7% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 2.0 40.8%
8-10 6.0% 14.3% 0.4% 13.9% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 5.1 14.0%
7-11 9.0% 2.6% 0.1% 2.5% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.8 2.6%
6-12 12.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5 0.2%
5-13 15.4% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 15.4
4-14 16.3% 16.3
3-15 15.2% 15.2
2-16 11.4% 11.4
1-17 5.7% 5.7
0-18 1.8% 1.8
Total 100% 5.1% 0.1% 5.0% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.1 0.1 94.9 5.0%