Kansas St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.4#78
Expected Predictive Rating+5.6#99
Pace80.6#11
Improvement-3.9#353

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#71
First Shot+3.8#76
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#131
Layup/Dunks+4.9#44
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#105
Freethrows-0.9#233
Improvement-2.5#349

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#91
First Shot+4.3#50
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#295
Layups/Dunks-1.7#243
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#69
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#69
Freethrows+1.3#101
Improvement-1.4#292
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.9% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.3% 14.4% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 8.2% 14.3% 5.8%
Average Seed 9.3 9.1 9.5
.500 or above 30.8% 47.4% 24.0%
.500 or above in Conference 14.8% 19.3% 12.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 16.5% 12.9% 17.9%
First Four2.5% 3.6% 2.1%
First Round6.9% 12.5% 4.7%
Second Round2.9% 5.2% 1.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 1.0% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Creighton (Away) - 29.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 12
Quad 24 - 37 - 16
Quad 33 - 110 - 17
Quad 45 - 015 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 278 UNC Greensboro W 93-64 93%     1 - 0 +19.7 +2.7 +13.4
  Sat, Nov 8 296 Bellarmine W 98-71 94%     2 - 0 +16.7 +15.1 +1.2
  Thu, Nov 13 72 California W 99-96 60%     3 - 0 +7.8 +17.3 -9.8
  Mon, Nov 17 85 Tulsa W 84-83 65%     4 - 0 +4.4 +3.6 +0.7
  Thu, Nov 20 82 Mississippi St. W 98-77 51%     5 - 0 +28.0 +21.8 +4.8
  Fri, Nov 21 30 Nebraska L 85-86 26%     5 - 1 +13.0 +12.9 +0.1
  Tue, Nov 25 22 @Indiana L 69-86 15%     5 - 2 +1.2 -0.7 +3.2
  Mon, Dec 1 131 Bowling Green L 66-82 78%     5 - 3 -16.7 +0.1 -18.3
  Sat, Dec 6 64 Seton Hall L 67-78 57%     5 - 4 -5.4 -7.2 +2.9
  Mon, Dec 8 365 Mississippi Valley W 108-49 99%     6 - 4 +33.3 +16.0 +12.6
  Sat, Dec 13 56 @Creighton L 76-82 29%    
  Sat, Dec 20 283 South Dakota W 97-80 94%    
  Sun, Dec 28 357 Louisiana Monroe W 95-70 99%    
  Sat, Jan 3 10 BYU L 77-86 21%    
  Wed, Jan 7 5 @Arizona L 76-93 7%    
  Sat, Jan 10 60 @Arizona St. L 80-85 34%    
  Wed, Jan 14 58 Central Florida W 87-86 53%    
  Sat, Jan 17 45 @Oklahoma St. L 86-93 27%    
  Tue, Jan 20 112 Utah W 87-80 74%    
  Sat, Jan 24 17 Kansas L 75-81 28%    
  Tue, Jan 27 67 @West Virginia L 72-76 36%    
  Sun, Feb 1 3 Iowa St. L 76-88 15%    
  Sat, Feb 7 47 @TCU L 75-82 28%    
  Wed, Feb 11 68 Cincinnati W 80-78 57%    
  Sat, Feb 14 8 @Houston L 66-81 8%    
  Tue, Feb 17 34 Baylor L 85-88 39%    
  Sat, Feb 21 21 @Texas Tech L 74-85 16%    
  Wed, Feb 25 63 @Colorado L 82-86 35%    
  Sat, Feb 28 47 TCU L 78-79 48%    
  Tue, Mar 3 67 West Virginia W 75-73 57%    
  Sat, Mar 7 17 @Kansas L 72-84 14%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.6 0.0 3.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.2 1.3 0.1 0.0 4.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.5 2.4 0.4 0.0 5.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.8 4.2 1.1 0.1 7.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.5 2.6 0.2 8.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 3.9 5.0 0.7 0.0 9.9 11th
12th 0.1 2.4 6.1 2.1 0.1 10.8 12th
13th 0.1 1.6 6.1 4.0 0.3 12.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 1.3 5.3 5.3 0.9 0.0 12.9 14th
15th 0.2 1.4 4.8 5.2 1.5 0.1 13.1 15th
16th 0.2 1.5 3.0 2.9 1.1 0.1 8.8 16th
Total 0.2 1.6 4.5 9.0 13.4 15.6 16.0 14.2 10.8 6.9 4.2 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 28.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 32.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 5.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.4% 97.5% 2.5% 94.9% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.4%
12-6 0.9% 95.4% 2.1% 93.3% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 95.3%
11-7 2.2% 82.5% 1.2% 81.3% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 82.3%
10-8 4.2% 58.6% 0.6% 58.1% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.0 1.7 58.4%
9-9 6.9% 28.1% 0.3% 27.8% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.1 5.0 27.9%
8-10 10.8% 5.6% 0.1% 5.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 10.1 5.5%
7-11 14.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.6% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.1 0.6%
6-12 16.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 16.0 0.0%
5-13 15.6% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 15.6
4-14 13.4% 13.4
3-15 9.0% 9.0
2-16 4.5% 4.5
1-17 1.6% 1.6
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 8.3% 0.1% 8.2% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.5 2.0 2.2 0.2 0.0 91.7 8.2%