Kansas St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.9#91
Expected Predictive Rating+1.0#161
Pace65.5#268
Improvement+2.6#28

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#162
First Shot+3.2#91
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#318
Layup/Dunks+7.6#15
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#322
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#240
Freethrows+0.8#128
Improvement+0.3#143

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#47
First Shot+1.1#131
After Offensive Rebounds+4.3#5
Layups/Dunks+1.6#123
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#191
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#208
Freethrows+0.2#176
Improvement+2.3#24
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.1% 1.2% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.4% 8.8% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.7% 8.1% 2.6%
Average Seed 8.8 8.8 9.5
.500 or above 28.5% 29.9% 8.1%
.500 or above in Conference 11.3% 11.9% 3.0%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 38.4% 37.1% 56.2%
First Four1.4% 1.4% 0.9%
First Round7.6% 8.0% 2.0%
Second Round3.1% 3.3% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 0.9% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Home) - 93.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 53 - 13
Quad 23 - 46 - 17
Quad 31 - 17 - 18
Quad 47 - 014 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 305   Florida A&M W 67-57 93%     1 - 0 -1.1 -6.9 +6.1
  Nov 17, 2021 335   Nebraska Omaha W 79-64 96%     2 - 0 -0.1 -1.2 +1.1
  Nov 22, 2021 24   Arkansas L 64-72 23%     2 - 1 +5.5 -5.0 +10.8
  Nov 23, 2021 30   Illinois L 64-72 27%     2 - 2 +4.3 -1.5 +5.5
  Nov 28, 2021 330   North Dakota W 84-42 96%     3 - 2 +28.1 +1.6 +26.2
  Dec 01, 2021 298   Albany W 72-56 93%    
  Dec 05, 2021 53   @ Wichita St. L 60-65 30%    
  Dec 08, 2021 62   Marquette W 71-70 55%    
  Dec 12, 2021 301   Green Bay W 74-57 94%    
  Dec 19, 2021 107   @ Nebraska L 69-70 45%    
  Dec 21, 2021 328   McNeese St. W 79-60 97%    
  Dec 29, 2021 314   Morgan St. W 78-60 94%    
  Jan 01, 2022 35   @ Oklahoma L 60-69 21%    
  Jan 04, 2022 11   Texas L 58-65 27%    
  Jan 08, 2022 45   @ West Virginia L 62-69 27%    
  Jan 12, 2022 90   TCU W 66-63 60%    
  Jan 15, 2022 17   Texas Tech L 61-67 30%    
  Jan 18, 2022 11   @ Texas L 55-68 13%    
  Jan 22, 2022 9   Kansas L 67-75 23%    
  Jan 25, 2022 3   @ Baylor L 59-75 8%    
  Jan 29, 2022 69   @ Mississippi L 60-64 35%    
  Feb 02, 2022 32   Oklahoma St. L 64-67 38%    
  Feb 05, 2022 90   @ TCU L 63-66 40%    
  Feb 09, 2022 3   Baylor L 62-72 19%    
  Feb 12, 2022 59   @ Iowa St. L 63-68 33%    
  Feb 14, 2022 45   West Virginia L 65-66 47%    
  Feb 19, 2022 32   @ Oklahoma St. L 61-70 20%    
  Feb 22, 2022 9   @ Kansas L 64-78 10%    
  Feb 26, 2022 59   Iowa St. W 66-65 54%    
  Feb 28, 2022 17   @ Texas Tech L 58-70 15%    
  Mar 05, 2022 35   Oklahoma L 63-66 39%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.2 4th
5th 0.3 1.9 2.4 1.1 0.1 5.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.7 1.6 0.1 8.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.7 4.2 2.0 0.2 12.3 7th
8th 0.3 2.2 6.5 6.1 2.2 0.2 17.5 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 4.5 8.3 6.7 2.1 0.2 23.0 9th
10th 1.1 4.6 7.3 7.7 5.1 1.0 0.1 26.8 10th
Total 1.1 4.6 8.3 12.5 15.6 15.5 13.5 9.4 8.1 5.2 2.9 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 83.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-5 31.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.3% 100.0% 24.0% 76.0% 5.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 1.1% 96.1% 10.3% 85.8% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 95.7%
11-7 1.6% 90.0% 1.5% 88.5% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 89.8%
10-8 2.9% 68.5% 2.3% 66.2% 9.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.9 67.8%
9-9 5.2% 42.4% 2.6% 39.8% 9.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.0 40.9%
8-10 8.1% 11.6% 1.5% 10.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 7.2 10.2%
7-11 9.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.9% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 9.2 0.9%
6-12 13.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 13.4 0.1%
5-13 15.5% 15.5
4-14 15.6% 15.6
3-15 12.5% 12.5
2-16 8.3% 8.3
1-17 4.6% 4.6
0-18 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 8.4% 0.7% 7.7% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.6 1.2 1.4 1.4 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 91.6 7.7%