Kansas St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#53
Expected Predictive Rating+14.3#30
Pace67.0#223
Improvement-0.2#272

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#79
First Shot+3.7#77
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#187
Layup/Dunks+7.9#8
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#266
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#307
Freethrows+1.9#77
Improvement+0.0#150

Defense
Total Defense+5.9#42
First Shot+5.2#47
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#141
Layups/Dunks+1.1#155
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#77
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#164
Freethrows+2.2#63
Improvement-0.2#311
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.9% 3.0% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 11.0% 11.1% 2.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 40.5% 40.8% 20.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 38.3% 38.6% 18.6%
Average Seed 8.1 8.1 9.0
.500 or above 77.6% 78.0% 44.5%
.500 or above in Conference 23.0% 23.2% 11.6%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.4% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 30.0% 29.7% 50.1%
First Four6.3% 6.3% 4.7%
First Round37.5% 37.7% 16.8%
Second Round18.6% 18.8% 6.9%
Sweet Sixteen5.8% 5.9% 1.8%
Elite Eight1.9% 1.9% 1.1%
Final Four0.6% 0.6% 0.5%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Incarnate Word (Home) - 98.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 10
Quad 25 - 29 - 13
Quad 33 - 011 - 13
Quad 46 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 325   UT Rio Grande Valley W 93-59 97%     1 - 0 +21.2 +0.7 +16.4
  Nov 11, 2022 244   @ California W 63-54 83%     2 - 0 +8.0 -6.4 +14.5
  Nov 17, 2022 275   UMKC W 69-53 94%     3 - 0 +7.1 -1.1 +9.4
  Nov 21, 2022 203   Rhode Island W 77-57 85%     4 - 0 +18.1 +4.7 +12.9
  Nov 22, 2022 71   Nevada W 96-87 OT 57%     5 - 0 +16.4 +22.2 -6.3
  Nov 23, 2022 74   LSU W 61-59 58%     6 - 0 +9.3 -4.4 +13.8
  Nov 30, 2022 60   @ Butler L 64-76 40%     6 - 1 -0.2 +0.2 -0.9
  Dec 03, 2022 96   Wichita St. W 55-50 76%     7 - 1 +7.1 -8.1 +15.6
  Dec 06, 2022 252   Abilene Christian W 81-64 93%     8 - 1 +9.7 +8.1 +2.2
  Dec 11, 2022 338   Incarnate Word W 76-52 99%    
  Dec 17, 2022 77   Nebraska W 69-64 68%    
  Dec 21, 2022 199   Radford W 75-61 90%    
  Dec 31, 2022 15   West Virginia L 67-70 38%    
  Jan 03, 2023 7   @ Texas L 62-73 14%    
  Jan 07, 2023 18   @ Baylor L 68-77 21%    
  Jan 10, 2023 37   Oklahoma St. W 67-66 54%    
  Jan 14, 2023 47   @ TCU L 64-68 36%    
  Jan 17, 2023 13   Kansas L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 21, 2023 34   Texas Tech W 66-65 53%    
  Jan 24, 2023 31   @ Iowa St. L 60-66 30%    
  Jan 28, 2023 56   Florida W 72-69 61%    
  Jan 31, 2023 13   @ Kansas L 64-74 19%    
  Feb 04, 2023 7   Texas L 65-70 31%    
  Feb 07, 2023 47   TCU W 67-65 58%    
  Feb 11, 2023 34   @ Texas Tech L 63-68 32%    
  Feb 14, 2023 44   @ Oklahoma L 62-66 35%    
  Feb 18, 2023 31   Iowa St. W 64-63 51%    
  Feb 21, 2023 18   Baylor L 71-74 39%    
  Feb 25, 2023 37   @ Oklahoma St. L 64-69 33%    
  Mar 01, 2023 44   Oklahoma W 65-63 56%    
  Mar 04, 2023 15   @ West Virginia L 64-73 20%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.8 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 2.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.3 1.4 0.1 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.5 2.1 0.1 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.8 6.4 3.2 0.2 0.0 13.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.2 6.7 4.3 0.4 0.0 15.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.2 6.9 4.3 0.7 0.0 17.4 9th
10th 0.3 1.3 3.4 5.7 5.7 3.1 0.7 0.0 20.2 10th
Total 0.3 1.3 3.5 6.9 10.4 13.6 14.7 14.2 12.1 9.4 6.4 3.8 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 96.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 76.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 53.0% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 18.7% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 3.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 100.0% 9.1% 90.9% 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 11.3% 88.7% 2.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.3% 100.0% 10.2% 89.8% 3.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.9% 100.0% 6.1% 93.9% 3.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 2.0% 100.0% 9.7% 90.3% 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-7 3.8% 99.6% 7.0% 92.6% 5.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
10-8 6.4% 99.0% 6.1% 92.8% 6.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.9%
9-9 9.4% 95.5% 5.2% 90.3% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.6 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.4 95.2%
8-10 12.1% 77.7% 4.4% 73.4% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.6 2.6 1.4 0.1 0.0 2.7 76.7%
7-11 14.2% 42.4% 3.4% 39.0% 10.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 8.2 40.4%
6-12 14.7% 12.4% 3.0% 9.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.9 9.7%
5-13 13.6% 3.0% 2.5% 0.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.1 0.5%
4-14 10.4% 2.0% 2.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.2
3-15 6.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.8
2-16 3.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.4
1-17 1.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.3
0-18 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3
Total 100% 40.5% 3.6% 37.0% 8.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.3 4.8 5.7 6.1 5.1 4.9 5.2 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 59.5 38.3%