San Jose St.
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#188
Expected Predictive Rating-1.8#198
Pace63.8#318
Improvement+0.8#110

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#181
First Shot-3.0#266
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#56
Layup/Dunks-4.3#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#293
Freethrows-0.8#229
Improvement-2.0#331

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#204
First Shot-1.6#228
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#156
Layups/Dunks-3.6#302
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#96
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#283
Freethrows+3.3#18
Improvement+2.8#13
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.6 13.5
.500 or above 10.9% 16.5% 5.9%
.500 or above in Conference 14.5% 18.1% 11.3%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 15.0% 11.6% 18.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Irvine (Home) - 47.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 71 - 11
Quad 34 - 75 - 19
Quad 46 - 211 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 121 @Utah L 75-84 23%     0 - 1 -3.1 +3.9 -6.9
  Sat, Nov 8 145 @UC Santa Barbara L 74-85 31%     0 - 2 -7.7 +9.0 -18.0
  Thu, Nov 13 12 @Michigan St. L 60-79 3%     0 - 3 +2.1 +2.5 -1.5
  Fri, Nov 21 201 Southern W 80-66 64%     1 - 3 +8.5 +6.5 +2.1
  Tue, Nov 25 91 Tulsa L 51-81 23%     1 - 4 -24.1 -13.6 -14.8
  Wed, Nov 26 262 Loyola Chicago W 63-51 64%     2 - 4 +6.4 -0.8 +9.6
  Sun, Nov 30 134 UC Irvine L 66-67 47%    
  Fri, Dec 5 245 San Diego W 77-71 71%    
  Tue, Dec 9 298 Long Beach St. W 75-66 79%    
  Sat, Dec 13 88 Stanford L 70-75 33%    
  Sat, Dec 20 103 @New Mexico L 69-79 19%    
  Tue, Dec 30 56 San Diego St. L 67-76 22%    
  Sat, Jan 3 33 @Utah St. L 64-82 6%    
  Tue, Jan 6 154 Fresno St. W 72-71 55%    
  Sat, Jan 10 97 @Grand Canyon L 66-76 18%    
  Tue, Jan 13 322 Air Force W 70-60 81%    
  Sat, Jan 17 130 UNLV L 76-77 47%    
  Tue, Jan 20 110 @Nevada L 65-74 21%    
  Sat, Jan 24 114 @Wyoming L 67-75 23%    
  Tue, Jan 27 60 Boise St. L 63-71 24%    
  Sat, Jan 31 103 New Mexico L 72-76 38%    
  Sat, Feb 7 77 @Colorado St. L 64-76 14%    
  Tue, Feb 10 130 @UNLV L 73-80 27%    
  Sat, Feb 14 97 Grand Canyon L 69-73 36%    
  Tue, Feb 17 110 Nevada L 68-71 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 60 @Boise St. L 60-74 11%    
  Tue, Feb 24 322 @Air Force W 67-63 63%    
  Sat, Feb 28 77 Colorado St. L 67-73 29%    
  Tue, Mar 3 154 @Fresno St. L 69-74 34%    
  Sat, Mar 7 114 Wyoming L 70-72 43%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 2.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.7 5th
6th 0.2 1.4 2.6 1.1 0.1 5.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.6 1.8 0.2 0.0 7.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.6 2.8 0.4 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.1 5.8 3.6 0.7 0.0 13.8 9th
10th 0.2 1.8 5.3 7.3 4.3 0.8 0.0 19.7 10th
11th 0.1 1.5 5.0 7.9 7.1 3.4 0.7 0.0 25.8 11th
12th 0.3 1.2 2.7 2.7 1.5 0.5 0.1 8.9 12th
Total 0.3 1.4 4.1 7.9 11.3 13.6 14.2 13.1 11.1 8.7 6.0 4.0 2.5 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 62.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 47.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 28.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.3% 10.3% 10.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-6 0.6% 6.4% 6.4% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-7 1.2% 4.2% 4.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
12-8 2.5% 3.5% 3.5% 12.3 0.1 0.0 2.4
11-9 4.0% 1.7% 1.7% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9
10-10 6.0% 1.1% 1.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9
9-11 8.7% 0.2% 0.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 8.6
8-12 11.1% 0.2% 0.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 11.1
7-13 13.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.1
6-14 14.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.2
5-15 13.6% 13.6
4-16 11.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.3
3-17 7.9% 7.9
2-18 4.1% 4.1
1-19 1.4% 1.4
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6 0.0%