Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-14.7#360
Expected Predictive Rating-17.0#357
Pace74.6#53
Improvement+0.0#181

Offense
Total Offense-8.3#358
First Shot-10.3#361
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#77
Layup/Dunks-0.4#196
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#336
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#326
Freethrows-1.8#281
Improvement+0.3#159

Defense
Total Defense-6.3#349
First Shot-5.1#330
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#263
Layups/Dunks+1.5#127
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#6
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#350
Freethrows-3.7#343
Improvement-0.2#200
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.8% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.9% 8.0% 1.5%
.500 or above in Conference 23.9% 38.2% 22.8%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.3% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 12.5% 5.6% 13.0%
First Four0.8% 1.8% 0.8%
First Round0.3% 0.7% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Chattanooga (Away) - 6.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 50 - 7
Quad 48 - 148 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2024 318   @ Tennessee St. L 71-81 20%     0 - 1 -15.9 -14.7 +0.3
  Nov 19, 2024 38   @ Georgia L 45-93 1%     0 - 2 -33.1 -20.7 -11.4
  Nov 22, 2024 303   South Carolina St. L 70-82 34%     0 - 3 -22.4 -6.8 -15.7
  Nov 23, 2024 272   Coastal Carolina W 77-70 29%     1 - 3 -2.0 +2.7 -4.6
  Nov 25, 2024 356   IU Indianapolis L 83-88 57%     1 - 4 -21.4 +1.7 -23.1
  Nov 30, 2024 105   Lipscomb L 44-82 8%     1 - 5 -36.9 -30.1 -5.2
  Dec 15, 2024 200   @ Chattanooga L 67-83 7%    
  Dec 18, 2024 124   @ UAB L 69-89 3%    
  Dec 21, 2024 121   Samford L 78-92 9%    
  Dec 28, 2024 111   @ Georgia Tech L 67-88 3%    
  Jan 04, 2025 362   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 84-78 70%    
  Jan 06, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 73-63 81%    
  Jan 11, 2025 352   @ Alcorn St. L 69-74 33%    
  Jan 13, 2025 315   @ Jackson St. L 68-77 20%    
  Jan 18, 2025 285   Alabama St. L 73-78 32%    
  Jan 25, 2025 294   Texas Southern L 71-76 34%    
  Jan 27, 2025 357   Prairie View W 83-80 59%    
  Feb 01, 2025 353   @ Florida A&M L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 03, 2025 288   @ Bethune-Cookman L 68-79 16%    
  Feb 08, 2025 234   Southern L 68-76 25%    
  Feb 10, 2025 226   Grambling St. L 67-75 24%    
  Feb 15, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 70-66 62%    
  Feb 17, 2025 362   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 81-82 49%    
  Feb 22, 2025 288   Bethune-Cookman L 71-76 33%    
  Feb 24, 2025 353   Florida A&M W 72-71 55%    
  Mar 01, 2025 285   @ Alabama St. L 70-81 16%    
  Mar 06, 2025 226   @ Grambling St. L 64-78 11%    
  Mar 08, 2025 234   @ Southern L 65-79 12%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.9 1.1 0.1 5.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.1 1.9 0.2 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.4 3.2 0.4 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.2 6.5 4.3 0.7 0.0 15.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.4 7.0 4.4 0.8 0.0 16.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.6 6.4 4.0 0.7 0.0 15.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 3.6 5.3 2.8 0.5 0.0 13.2 11th
12th 0.1 1.0 2.3 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 6.9 12th
Total 0.1 1.1 3.2 6.5 10.3 13.2 15.0 14.2 12.6 9.6 6.7 4.0 2.1 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 77.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 55.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 18.3% 18.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 12.7% 12.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4
13-5 0.9% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 0.1 0.9
12-6 2.1% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.1 2.0
11-7 4.0% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.1 3.8
10-8 6.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.2 6.5
9-9 9.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 9.4
8-10 12.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 12.4
7-11 14.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.2
6-12 15.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.0
5-13 13.2% 13.2
4-14 10.3% 10.3
3-15 6.5% 6.5
2-16 3.2% 3.2
1-17 1.1% 1.1
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.9 99.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%