Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.0#341
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#265
Pace70.5#146
Improvement-1.7#304

Offense
Total Offense-9.3#353
First Shot-10.3#356
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#112
Layup/Dunks-5.4#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#30
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#329
Freethrows-3.4#339
Improvement-1.8#328

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#291
First Shot-5.0#320
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#93
Layups/Dunks+3.2#72
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#86
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.5#355
Freethrows-0.3#204
Improvement+0.2#163
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.0% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 8.3% 17.5% 5.6%
.500 or above in Conference 44.7% 53.7% 42.0%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.5% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 1.5% 3.3%
First Four1.5% 2.0% 1.4%
First Round0.7% 1.0% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Alabama (Away) - 23.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 50 - 9
Quad 410 - 1110 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 319   Tennessee St. W 82-73 45%     1 - 0 -2.8 +0.1 -3.2
  Nov 13, 2021 147   @ Jacksonville St. L 47-70 6%     1 - 1 -18.7 -20.8 +0.6
  Nov 16, 2021 55   @ Cincinnati L 66-89 2%     1 - 2 -11.7 -1.3 -9.5
  Nov 21, 2021 52   @ UAB L 41-86 2%     1 - 3 -33.3 -28.0 -2.7
  Nov 24, 2021 126   @ Western Kentucky L 62-88 5%     1 - 4 -20.4 -10.6 -8.5
  Dec 08, 2021 307   @ North Alabama L 65-73 23%    
  Dec 11, 2021 241   @ Samford L 69-81 13%    
  Dec 14, 2021 242   @ Troy L 60-72 13%    
  Dec 18, 2021 175   @ Indiana St. L 63-79 8%    
  Dec 23, 2021 88   @ Georgia Tech L 56-78 2%    
  Dec 30, 2021 220   @ Lipscomb L 64-78 11%    
  Jan 03, 2022 357   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 70-66 63%    
  Jan 05, 2022 358   @ Mississippi Valley W 77-68 78%    
  Jan 08, 2022 316   Alcorn St. L 66-67 44%    
  Jan 10, 2022 249   Jackson St. L 61-66 32%    
  Jan 15, 2022 339   @ Alabama St. L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 22, 2022 199   @ Texas Southern L 62-76 10%    
  Jan 24, 2022 253   @ Prairie View L 67-78 16%    
  Jan 29, 2022 305   Florida A&M L 65-67 44%    
  Jan 31, 2022 344   Bethune-Cookman W 70-67 63%    
  Feb 05, 2022 289   @ Southern L 65-74 21%    
  Feb 07, 2022 323   @ Grambling St. L 64-71 28%    
  Feb 12, 2022 358   Mississippi Valley W 80-65 90%    
  Feb 14, 2022 357   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 73-63 80%    
  Feb 19, 2022 344   @ Bethune-Cookman L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 21, 2022 305   @ Florida A&M L 62-70 24%    
  Feb 26, 2022 339   Alabama St. W 71-68 59%    
  Mar 03, 2022 323   Grambling St. L 67-68 48%    
  Mar 05, 2022 289   Southern L 68-71 39%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 2.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 3.6 1.9 0.2 7.5 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 5.0 2.7 0.3 10.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 5.2 3.8 0.5 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 5.7 4.7 0.9 0.0 13.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.5 5.6 5.8 1.3 0.1 14.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.2 5.2 1.4 0.0 14.3 9th
10th 0.5 2.5 4.4 3.2 1.2 0.1 11.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.5 5.0 8.0 10.3 13.8 14.6 13.3 11.4 8.3 5.6 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 90.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1
15-3 56.3% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
14-4 31.9% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 7.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.3% 18.8% 18.8% 16.0 0.1 0.3
15-3 0.7% 14.1% 14.1% 16.0 0.1 0.6
14-4 1.7% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.1 1.6
13-5 3.3% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 0.3 3.0
12-6 5.6% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.3 5.4
11-7 8.3% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.3 8.1
10-8 11.4% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 11.3
9-9 13.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 13.1
8-10 14.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 14.5
7-11 13.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.7
6-12 10.3% 10.3
5-13 8.0% 8.0
4-14 5.0% 5.0
3-15 2.5% 2.5
2-16 1.0% 1.0
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 16.0 1.6 98.5 0.0%