Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#293
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#232
Pace65.0#299
Improvement-1.3#267

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#311
First Shot-2.7#248
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#329
Layup/Dunks-5.3#335
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#29
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#230
Freethrows+0.6#140
Improvement+0.3#150

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#238
First Shot-2.8#273
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#125
Layups/Dunks-3.0#289
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#196
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#153
Freethrows-0.9#248
Improvement-1.7#298
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.3% 12.1% 7.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 56.3% 66.6% 41.0%
.500 or above in Conference 76.7% 85.3% 63.9%
Conference Champion 14.2% 18.9% 7.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 0.7%
First Four6.8% 7.6% 5.6%
First Round6.7% 8.1% 4.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Away) - 59.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 415 - 815 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 28 @Indiana L 51-98 2%     0 - 1 -29.4 -13.1 -16.1
  Thu, Nov 13 240 Charleston Southern W 68-64 52%     1 - 1 -3.6 -7.4 +3.8
  Sun, Nov 16 224 Lindenwood W 74-65 49%     2 - 1 +2.2 +1.4 +1.0
  Fri, Nov 28 41 @Clemson L 56-92 3%     2 - 2 -20.8 -9.6 -10.9
  Sun, Nov 30 250 @Coastal Carolina L 60-67 31%     2 - 3 -9.0 -10.0 +0.8
  Wed, Dec 3 238 Tennessee St. W 80-53 51%     3 - 3 +19.5 +11.6 +9.9
  Sun, Dec 7 145 @Lipscomb L 58-92 15%     3 - 4 -29.8 -7.6 -24.6
  Mon, Dec 15 246 North Alabama W 68-60 53%     4 - 4 +0.1 -3.4 +4.1
  Wed, Dec 17 63 Mississippi L 66-80 8%     4 - 5 -5.6 +3.7 -10.5
  Sun, Dec 21 234 Chattanooga L 66-73 51%     4 - 6 -14.5 -5.6 -9.5
  Sat, Jan 3 352 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 75-72 60%    
  Mon, Jan 5 365 @Mississippi Valley W 75-62 89%    
  Sat, Jan 10 339 Alcorn St. W 75-68 74%    
  Mon, Jan 12 328 Jackson St. W 73-67 70%    
  Sat, Jan 17 280 @Alabama St. L 69-73 36%    
  Sat, Jan 24 320 @Texas Southern L 70-71 48%    
  Mon, Jan 26 324 @Prairie View L 72-73 49%    
  Sat, Jan 31 343 Florida A&M W 73-66 75%    
  Mon, Feb 2 269 Bethune-Cookman W 71-69 56%    
  Sat, Feb 7 223 @Southern L 70-76 29%    
  Mon, Feb 9 241 @Grambling St. L 65-71 30%    
  Sat, Feb 14 365 Mississippi Valley W 78-59 96%    
  Mon, Feb 16 352 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-69 78%    
  Thu, Feb 19 343 @Florida A&M W 70-69 54%    
  Sat, Feb 21 269 @Bethune-Cookman L 68-72 35%    
  Sat, Feb 28 280 Alabama St. W 72-70 58%    
  Tue, Mar 3 241 Grambling St. W 68-67 52%    
  Thu, Mar 5 223 Southern L 72-73 49%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.4 3.9 4.3 2.7 1.4 0.4 0.1 14.2 1st
2nd 0.1 2.1 5.7 4.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 15.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.5 6.1 4.6 1.0 0.1 13.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 5.4 5.1 1.0 0.1 12.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.7 5.7 1.3 0.1 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.9 5.5 2.1 0.1 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.0 2.9 0.2 0.0 8.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.0 0.4 6.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.4 0.7 0.0 4.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 0.7 0.0 3.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.9 6.6 9.9 13.2 15.0 14.9 12.7 9.9 6.2 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4
16-2 96.9% 1.4    1.3 0.1
15-3 89.9% 2.7    2.2 0.5 0.0
14-4 69.4% 4.3    2.6 1.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 39.2% 3.9    1.3 1.7 0.7 0.1
12-6 10.9% 1.4    0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.2% 14.2 8.1 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 36.5% 36.5% 14.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.4% 31.7% 31.7% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 1.0
15-3 3.0% 27.6% 27.6% 15.5 0.0 0.4 0.5 2.2
14-4 6.2% 21.6% 21.6% 15.8 0.2 1.1 4.9
13-5 9.9% 18.9% 18.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.8 8.0
12-6 12.7% 13.9% 13.9% 16.0 0.1 1.7 10.9
11-7 14.9% 11.0% 11.0% 16.0 0.0 1.6 13.2
10-8 15.0% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 0.0 1.2 13.8
9-9 13.2% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.7 12.5
8-10 9.9% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 9.6
7-11 6.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.6
6-12 3.9% 3.9
5-13 1.9% 1.9
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 10.3% 10.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.1 9.1 89.7 0.0%