Bethune-Cookman
Southwestern Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.4 241
Expected Predictive Rating -4.9 245
Pace 71.4 106
Improvement +0.6 166

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 287 D+ D+ D+ C C
Defense C 170 C+ D D+ C- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 47 C 58% 161 +3.2 77
2 Pt. Jumpers 50% 49 D- 32% 343 +0.0 180
Three Pointers 32% 343 D+ 32% 268 -5.7 340
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 210 D+ -2.3 264
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 257
Second Chance D+ 27.3% 271 C- 0.98 252 D+ 0.27 272
Turnovers D+ 18.1% 267
Freethrows C+ 0.32 140 D 68% 311 C 0.22 187
Total Offense D+ -4.4 287

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 48% 196 B 8.2% 44
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 49 C 5.4% 207
Three Pointers C- 83% 223 B 0.4% 69
Total C- 53% 226 C+ 5.1% 112

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 28 B- 54% 82 +1.9 241
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 302 D+ 40% 264 -1.1 102
Three Pointers 39% 252 C+ 33% 112 -2.0 98
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +0.9 338 B- -2.1 95
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 132
Second Chance C- 31.9% 242 D- 1.16 339 D 0.37 315
Turnovers D+ 15.1% 287
Freethrows C- 0.33 252 C 72% 174 C- 0.24 246
Total Defense C +0.0 170

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 237 C+ 13.1% 89
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 40 C 5.1% 152
Three Pointers C- 85% 210 B 1.6% 56
Total C 56% 181 B 7.3% 58

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 202 16.7 79
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 40 0.18 199
Improvement -3.8 #338 +4.4 #21

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 265 240 207
Conference Record 12 - 6 13 - 5 15 - 3
Conference Finish 2 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30% 31% 27%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 74% 82% 49%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 93% 98% 76%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four22% 22% 23%
First Round20% 22% 16%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Home) - 75.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 20 - 20 - 8
Quad 31 - 01 - 8
Quad 416 - 717 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 33 @Auburn L 90 - 95 OT 3% -1  25% 0 - 1 B+ +13 B+ +8 A D- B B +5 A C- C
 Thu, Nov 6 40 @Miami (FL) L 61 - 101 4% -20  0% 0 - 2 F -24 F+ -9 F B B+ F -14 F A F
 Sat, Nov 15 88 @Dayton L 82 - 91 10% -6  14% 0 - 3 C +0 A+ +14 C A+ A+ F -14 F F+ B-
 Wed, Nov 19 208 @Ohio W 76 - 73 33% +4  81% 1 - 3 C+ +3 C+ +3 A F A C+ +0 C+ B- F
 Mon, Nov 24 308 Jacksonville L 64 - 69 66% +2  61% 1 - 4 D- -14 F+ -10 F F B- D+ -4 D- C- F+
 Tue, Nov 25 216 Stony Brook L 54 - 61 45% +2  54% 1 - 5 D -10 F -16 F F+ D+ B+ +5 B+ C- A
 Sat, Nov 29 37 @Indiana L 56 - 100 4% -26  1% 1 - 6 F -27 F -14 F D C+ F -13 F C+ F+
 Fri, Dec 5 357 South Carolina St. W 80 - 59 90% +12  91% 2 - 6 C+ +3 C+ +2 A- F A+ C+ +2 A+ D+ C+
 Sun, Dec 14 49 @Missouri L 60 - 82 5% -15  0% 2 - 7 D+ -8 D- -8 D- A- F C -1 C- F A
 Wed, Dec 17 23 @Saint Louis L 53 - 112 2% -31  0% 2 - 8 F -40 F -18 F C- D F -16 F F C
 Mon, Dec 22 3 @Arizona L 71 - 107 1% -15  0% 2 - 9 D -9 C+ +2 A+ D F D- -7 F D+ A
 Mon, Dec 29 62 @Oklahoma St. L 77 - 103 7% -13  8% 2 - 10 D- -14 D+ -3 A- F+ F D- -7 A- F F
 Sat, Jan 3 333 Florida A&M W 87 - 83 82% +4  85% 3 - 10 1 - 0 D -10 B- +5 B- D+ A F -15 D- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 293 Grambling St. W 74 - 65 72% +8  85% 4 - 10 2 - 0 C -1 D- -8 D- C+ F+ B+ +6 C A+ B+
 Mon, Jan 12 267 Southern L 73 - 77 67% +4  83% 4 - 11 2 - 1 D- -13 F+ -9 C F D- D+ -4 A F D-
 Sat, Jan 17 365 @Mississippi Valley W 79 - 63 93% +7  96% 5 - 11 3 - 1 D+ -5 C -0 A A F D+ -4 B- F F
 Mon, Jan 19 328 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 87 - 82 OT 63% -2  37% 6 - 11 4 - 1 C- -3 D+ -3 F A F C -1 D D+ B+
 Sat, Jan 24 332 Jackson St. W 85 - 48 82% +16  89% 7 - 11 5 - 1 A +23 D+ -3 F+ A C A+ +24 A+ B- C-
 Mon, Jan 26 349 Alcorn St. W 82 - 73 87% +11  95% 8 - 11 6 - 1 D+ -7 D+ -2 B F C+ D -5 B+ F F
 Sat, Jan 31 309 @Alabama St. W 69 - 54 55% +1  37% 9 - 11 7 - 1 B +9 D- -6 C- C+ F A+ +16 B A- A
 Mon, Feb 2 307 @Alabama A&M W 80 - 62 55% +14  95% 10 - 11 8 - 1 B+ +12 C- -1 B F C- A+ +12 A+ C+ C-
 Sat, Feb 7 334 Prairie View W 82 - 76 82% +0  45% 11 - 11 9 - 1 D -8 D- -6 F B- B+ C- -3 B+ D F
 Mon, Feb 9 297 Texas Southern W 79 - 69 OT 73% -2  29% 12 - 11 10 - 1 C -1 D- -6 F A- D+ B +5 A+ C- D-
 Sat, Feb 14 349 @Alcorn St. L 55 - 57 72% +5  74% 12 - 12 10 - 2 D- -12 F -20 D D+ F A- +8 B F B+
 Mon, Feb 16 332 @Jackson St. L 86 - 91 65% -2  17% 12 - 13 10 - 3 D- -13 D+ -3 D- C+ D+ F -10 F F D
 Thu, Feb 19 309 Alabama St. W 82 - 71 76% +11  99% 13 - 13 11 - 3 C -1 C +1 C F+ A+ C- -2 B C+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 307 Alabama A&M W 74 - 67 75%
 Thu, Feb 26 293 @Grambling St. W 69 - 68 50%
 Sat, Feb 28 267 @Southern L 75 - 76 45%
 Thu, Mar 5 333 @Florida A&M W 74 - 70 64%
Totals 15 - 15 13 - 5 -4 D+ -4 A+ D+ C C +0 D+ D C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C D- D+ D+ 44% 50% 32% C D+ D+ C- D+ D+ C+ D C C B- D+ C+ B- 45% 17% 39% D- C+ C- D- D D+ C- C C-
1.02 58% 32% 32% -2 0 0.97 27% 1.0 .27 18% .32 68% .22 1.09 54% 40% 33% -2 +1 1.00 32% 1.2 .37 15% .33 72% .23
Nov
3		 Auburn B+ A- F A+ A 44% 21% 35% B- A D D- D- B F A+ F B A- F A A+ 54% 7% 39% F A C C- C- C F B+ F
1.13 64% 23% 50% +8 0 1.19 24% 0.9 .21 16% .14 89% .12 1.19 52% 50% 29% -6 +3 0.96 40% 1.1 .44 14% .55 71% .39
Nov
6		 Miami (FL) F+ F F F F 34% 25% 42% C F B+ C B B+ A- C+ B+ F F+ C+ F F 61% 14% 25% F+ F B+ A- A F C+ C C+
0.84 44% 23% 18% -18 -1 0.64 31% 1.1 .33 17% .32 68% .22 1.40 72% 38% 47% +13 +3 1.34 33% 0.9 .30 8% .33 68% .23
Nov
15		 Dayton A+ B+ C+ D C+ 36% 34% 30% D C A- A+ A+ A+ D F F+ F A F F F 44% 12% 44% C- F F B- F+ B- F D- F
1.19 63% 39% 31% +1 -2 1.00 38% 1.3 .50 15% .26 60% .15 1.33 50% 60% 61% +17 +1 1.39 39% 1.1 .43 19% .57 81% .47
Nov
19		 Ohio C+ D A+ A+ A+ 48% 23% 29% C A F F F A F F F C+ D+ F A+ B 51% 22% 27% F+ C+ D+ A+ B- F F B- F
1.13 52% 58% 53% +10 0 1.23 16% 0.8 .13 12% .24 57% .13 1.08 62% 55% 14% -3 +1 0.98 31% 0.8 .23 10% .46 68% .31
Nov
24		 Jacksonville F+ A D+ F F+ 36% 28% 36% F+ F D- F F B- B+ F D- D+ D- A+ C+ D 53% 13% 34% F D- D+ C+ C- F+ F A+ F+
0.99 72% 36% 22% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.7 .16 14% .43 50% .22 1.07 64% 17% 31% -1 +2 1.04 30% 1.0 .30 14% .45 56% .25
Nov
25		 Stony Brook F F+ C- F F 42% 35% 23% F+ F A+ F F+ D+ A+ F A+ B+ B- B+ B B+ 26% 19% 55% B+ B+ F A- C- A F+ A+ D+
0.86 50% 33% 20% -10 -2 0.79 45% 0.4 .17 17% .50 62% .31 0.97 50% 33% 31% -6 -1 0.89 38% 0.7 .28 22% .33 63% .20
Nov
29		 Indiana F F F F F 30% 42% 28% F F D D D C+ B A- A- F F D+ F F 45% 7% 48% D F D A C+ F+ B F+ C+
0.79 40% 24% 21% -17 -3 0.62 21% 1.0 .21 15% .35 81% .28 1.41 76% 50% 41% +14 +2 1.34 33% 0.9 .30 10% .30 84% .25
Dec
5		 South Carolina St. C+ A- F A+ A- 47% 17% 36% C- A- F F F A+ F A+ F C+ A A+ A- A+ 30% 24% 46% F+ A+ F A+ D+ C+ D- D F+
1.21 72% 22% 47% +11 +1 1.26 26% 0.3 .06 11% .20 92% .19 0.90 43% 9% 29% -15 -1 0.70 43% 0.7 .32 21% .37 68% .25
Dec
14		 Missouri D- F C A+ F 54% 20% 27% A D- F A+ A- F A+ C+ A+ C B- F C+ C 49% 14% 37% D C- F+ F F A A+ B A+
0.89 32% 38% 45% -10 +1 0.85 18% 2.0 .36 24% .41 76% .31 1.22 58% 71% 33% +5 +2 1.14 42% 1.9 .81 22% .21 64% .13
Dec
17		 Saint Louis F D- F F F 40% 29% 31% C- F D C+ C- D B D B- F D+ F F F 48% 3% 48% D+ F C- F F C D- A C-
0.68 45% 19% 12% -21 -1 0.58 21% 0.9 .19 18% .36 70% .25 1.45 64% 50% 57% +20 +3 1.48 34% 1.7 .59 17% .36 65% .23
Dec
22		 Arizona C+ C A A+ A+ 35% 23% 42% A- A+ F A- D F A- C- B+ D- C- F F F 51% 20% 29% F F D- C+ D+ A F C F
0.90 53% 45% 45% +7 -1 1.15 13% 1.0 .13 28% .32 67% .21 1.35 65% 60% 53% +17 +1 1.37 45% 0.9 .42 19% .55 74% .41
Dec
29		 Oklahoma St. D+ A- A+ B- A 26% 26% 47% F A- D- F F+ F A C+ A D- A+ F D A+ 67% 9% 24% F A- D- F F F F F+ F
0.97 64% 50% 36% +6 -2 1.11 22% 0.9 .19 24% .36 73% .26 1.29 43% 60% 38% -6 +4 0.96 37% 1.4 .51 10% .59 81% .47
Jan
3		 Florida A&M B- A+ C+ F+ B 41% 24% 35% D B- F A D+ A A+ C- A+ F D+ C+ F F+ 35% 29% 35% B- D- B- F F F F+ F F
1.21 80% 42% 29% +7 0 1.16 22% 1.2 .26 14% .55 76% .42 1.16 61% 33% 39% +2 -1 1.04 24% 1.6 .39 15% .36 82% .30
Jan
10		 Grambling St. D- D F B- D- 48% 24% 28% D+ D- C B C+ F+ B- D- C+ B+ F+ D A+ C 41% 20% 39% C- C C- A+ A+ B+ D- D F+
0.99 54% 25% 36% -4 0 0.94 33% 1.2 .38 23% .38 68% .26 0.87 65% 40% 21% -4 0 0.94 29% 0.2 .06 24% .39 77% .30
Jan
12		 Southern F+ B A D- C- 43% 17% 40% B- C D- F F D- C B+ B- D+ A+ A+ B- A+ 49% 21% 30% F A F F F D- F D- F
1.01 65% 50% 32% +4 +1 1.11 25% 0.5 .13 22% .37 81% .30 1.06 42% 18% 31% -13 +1 0.77 37% 1.2 .46 14% .48 73% .35
Jan
17		 Mississippi Valley C C A A+ A+ 33% 20% 48% D+ A C A+ A F D+ F F D+ A+ F+ A- B+ 35% 27% 39% F B- A+ F F F F A+ D
1.19 62% 50% 53% +17 0 1.35 38% 1.6 .62 21% .36 63% .23 0.95 35% 46% 26% -10 -1 0.80 14% 3.5 .48 9% .38 61% .23
Jan
19		 Arkansas Pine Bluff D+ D F F F 61% 13% 26% A- F B+ B+ A F A+ D+ A+ C C F C+ D 46% 24% 30% D D B- F D+ B+ F B+ F
1.10 54% 17% 25% -9 +3 0.89 42% 1.3 .53 22% .66 73% .48 1.04 57% 50% 33% +2 0 1.06 24% 1.1 .26 22% .48 70% .34
Jan
24		 Jackson St. D+ C- F C- F+ 48% 20% 32% C+ F+ C+ A+ A C C+ A B A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 21% 46% D A+ B+ D B- C- A+ F A-
1.15 59% 18% 33% -4 +1 0.96 38% 1.4 .53 15% .35 82% .29 0.65 32% 17% 15% -26 0 0.49 22% 1.1 .24 18% .17 90% .15
Jan
26		 Alcorn St. D+ A A+ F B- 55% 13% 32% B B F F F C+ A+ D A D B A+ C+ A- 43% 25% 32% D+ B+ D- F F F B B- B
1.16 73% 67% 27% +8 +2 1.23 26% 0.8 .19 17% .44 69% .31 1.04 50% 21% 33% -8 0 0.86 30% 1.6 .48 13% .20 67% .13
Jan
31		 Alabama St. D- C- D+ C+ D+ 60% 14% 26% A- C- B+ D C+ F A+ F B A+ D- A+ A B- 33% 35% 31% A B A- A A- A A- D+ B+
1.00 58% 33% 36% 0 +2 1.07 40% 1.0 .40 29% .49 63% .31 0.78 63% 24% 27% -7 -2 0.83 24% 0.7 .16 23% .21 73% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 Alabama A&M C- A F A B 49% 18% 33% C+ B F F F C- A+ F C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 59% 10% 31% F A+ C- B+ C+ C- F C- F
1.10 72% 22% 41% +8 +1 1.20 19% 0.7 .14 16% .46 54% .25 0.85 38% 0% 20% -22 +3 0.63 25% 0.9 .23 16% .46 75% .35
Feb
7		 Prairie View D- F+ F F F 58% 19% 23% B F B- C+ B- B+ A+ D+ A+ C- A- F A+ A 42% 24% 34% F B+ D+ D- D F D+ C+ C-
1.08 48% 20% 17% -15 +2 0.75 40% 1.1 .44 16% .53 71% .37 1.00 46% 53% 14% -11 0 0.79 26% 1.2 .30 9% .38 73% .27
Feb
9		 Texas Southern D- F+ F A F 31% 35% 33% F F B+ B- A- D+ A+ D- A+ B A D A+ A+ 31% 27% 42% B- A+ C- C- C- D- F D- F
1.06 50% 17% 41% -6 -2 0.84 40% 1.2 .47 18% .57 66% .38 0.93 44% 43% 18% -13 -1 0.73 27% 1.1 .29 15% .46 76% .35
Feb
14		 Alcorn St. F A F F D- 51% 19% 30% C D A F D+ F C+ F D+ A- B- D A+ B+ 50% 34% 16% C+ B C- F F B+ F A- F
0.86 74% 14% 27% +1 +1 1.05 47% 0.9 .42 36% .34 64% .22 0.89 53% 38% 17% -7 -1 0.87 26% 1.7 .44 22% .38 63% .24
Feb
16		 Jackson St. D+ A F F F+ 50% 21% 29% C D- C- B C+ D+ A+ B- A+ F B- F F F 47% 17% 36% F F D F F D F C- F
1.11 73% 18% 20% -3 +1 0.98 34% 1.2 .40 17% .51 76% .39 1.18 50% 50% 47% +5 +1 1.15 29% 1.3 .38 17% .55 77% .42
Feb
19		 Alabama St. C B F A+ C+ 41% 24% 35% D+ C F A+ F+ A+ A F+ B+ C- B+ F A+ A 47% 14% 39% F B A F C+ F C- A C+
1.15 67% 17% 44% +4 0 1.10 16% 1.6 .26 11% .46 69% .32 0.99 46% 50% 22% -11 +2 0.83 22% 1.1 .24 8% .29 63% .18



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 12.4 34.8 33.3 11.8 92.7 1st
2nd 1.6 4.3 5.9 2nd
3rd 1.1 0.2 1.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 3.1 16.9 34.8 33.3 11.8 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 11.8    11.8
14-4 100.0% 33.3    33.3
13-5 100.0% 34.8    28.3 6.3 0.2
12-6 73.5% 12.4    3.7 6.2 2.3 0.3
11-7 10.4% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8
9-9
Total 92.7% 92.7 77.1 12.6 2.5 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 11.8% 37.7% 37.7% 15.5 0.1 1.8 2.5 7.4
14-4 33.3% 33.1% 33.1% 16.0 0.4 10.6 22.3
13-5 34.8% 28.6% 28.6% 16.0 0.1 9.8 24.8
12-6 16.9% 24.4% 24.4% 16.0 4.1 12.8
11-7 3.1% 21.0% 21.0% 16.0 0.7 2.5
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 30.2% 30.2% 0.0% 15.9 69.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.5% 100.0% 15.5 3.1 40.2 56.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.6%
Lose Out 1.2%