Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.1#28
Expected Predictive Rating+18.4#14
Pace65.9#270
Improvement+3.5#15

Offense
Total Offense+6.2#42
First Shot+5.0#51
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#109
Layup/Dunks-0.4#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#127
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#45
Freethrows-0.3#204
Improvement+0.6#129

Defense
Total Defense+6.9#22
First Shot+3.5#75
After Offensive Rebounds+3.4#16
Layups/Dunks+3.0#86
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#269
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#224
Freethrows+2.6#45
Improvement+2.9#18
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.3% 1.7% 0.5%
Top 2 Seed 4.1% 5.4% 1.7%
Top 4 Seed 15.9% 19.9% 8.6%
Top 6 Seed 33.6% 39.8% 22.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 80.2% 84.6% 72.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 78.1% 82.7% 70.1%
Average Seed 7.0 6.7 7.8
.500 or above 99.4% 99.8% 98.7%
.500 or above in Conference 93.5% 96.4% 88.2%
Conference Champion 12.1% 15.6% 5.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four7.0% 5.8% 9.3%
First Round76.7% 81.8% 67.4%
Second Round47.8% 52.7% 38.8%
Sweet Sixteen20.1% 23.0% 14.8%
Elite Eight8.6% 10.0% 5.9%
Final Four3.4% 3.9% 2.3%
Championship Game1.3% 1.6% 0.8%
National Champion0.5% 0.5% 0.3%

Next Game: Miami (FL) (Away) - 64.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 22 - 2
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 5
Quad 27 - 312 - 8
Quad 37 - 119 - 9
Quad 45 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 276   Charleston Southern W 91-64 97%     1 - 0 +17.7 +13.6 +4.1
  Nov 08, 2024 339   St. Francis (PA) W 88-62 99%     2 - 0 +12.3 +6.2 +5.4
  Nov 12, 2024 207   Eastern Kentucky W 75-62 95%     3 - 0 +7.8 +3.5 +5.3
  Nov 17, 2024 53   @ Boise St. L 71-84 52%     3 - 1 -0.3 +2.5 -2.7
  Nov 21, 2024 189   Radford W 79-51 94%     4 - 1 +23.7 +9.9 +16.3
  Nov 25, 2024 64   San Francisco W 70-55 65%     5 - 1 +24.1 +12.3 +13.9
  Nov 26, 2024 31   Penn St. W 75-67 51%     6 - 1 +20.9 +9.0 +12.0
  Nov 29, 2024 353   Florida A&M W 86-58 99%     7 - 1 +12.1 +12.7 +1.0
  Dec 03, 2024 9   Kentucky W 70-66 44%     8 - 1 +18.7 +5.4 +13.4
  Dec 07, 2024 87   @ Miami (FL) W 76-72 65%    
  Dec 14, 2024 32   Memphis W 76-73 62%    
  Dec 17, 2024 69   @ South Carolina W 69-67 56%    
  Dec 21, 2024 89   Wake Forest W 72-62 83%    
  Jan 01, 2025 93   Stanford W 76-66 83%    
  Jan 04, 2025 109   California W 80-68 87%    
  Jan 07, 2025 43   @ Louisville L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 11, 2025 61   Florida St. W 75-68 73%    
  Jan 14, 2025 111   @ Georgia Tech W 77-70 72%    
  Jan 18, 2025 36   @ Pittsburgh L 70-72 42%    
  Jan 22, 2025 96   Syracuse W 80-70 83%    
  Jan 25, 2025 129   @ Virginia Tech W 72-64 78%    
  Feb 01, 2025 72   @ North Carolina St. W 71-69 59%    
  Feb 04, 2025 111   Georgia Tech W 80-67 87%    
  Feb 08, 2025 2   Duke L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 10, 2025 17   North Carolina W 79-78 54%    
  Feb 15, 2025 61   @ Florida St. W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 22, 2025 62   @ SMU W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 26, 2025 80   Notre Dame W 73-64 79%    
  Mar 01, 2025 90   @ Virginia W 63-59 64%    
  Mar 05, 2025 145   @ Boston College W 73-64 79%    
  Mar 08, 2025 129   Virginia Tech W 75-61 90%    
Projected Record 23 - 8 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.4 3.6 3.4 1.5 0.2 12.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.9 6.5 7.2 3.9 0.9 0.0 21.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.8 5.7 1.9 0.2 17.9 3rd
4th 0.1 2.0 5.7 4.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.0 3.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 9.6 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 3.5 1.0 0.1 7.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 2.8 1.2 0.1 5.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 4.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 1.5 0.4 0.0 2.8 9th
10th 0.2 1.2 0.7 0.0 2.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.1 1.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 3.3 5.6 8.1 11.3 14.0 15.2 13.9 11.6 7.7 4.3 1.6 0.2 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 96.9% 1.5    1.3 0.2
18-2 78.7% 3.4    2.4 1.0 0.0
17-3 46.3% 3.6    1.6 1.6 0.3 0.0
16-4 21.1% 2.4    0.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 5.3% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 12.1% 12.1 6.4 4.3 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 100.0% 40.2% 59.8% 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
19-1 1.6% 99.9% 27.2% 72.7% 2.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.8%
18-2 4.3% 100.0% 25.3% 74.7% 3.0 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 7.7% 99.8% 20.2% 79.6% 4.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 2.2 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7%
16-4 11.6% 99.2% 16.0% 83.2% 5.3 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.2 2.9 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.1%
15-5 13.9% 98.1% 13.5% 84.6% 6.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.3 3.2 2.8 2.0 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.3 97.8%
14-6 15.2% 93.4% 8.9% 84.5% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 2.7 3.2 3.0 1.7 0.5 0.0 1.0 92.7%
13-7 14.0% 84.1% 5.4% 78.7% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 2.2 3.0 2.9 1.4 0.0 2.2 83.2%
12-8 11.3% 72.4% 4.5% 67.9% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.8 2.7 2.0 0.1 3.1 71.1%
11-9 8.1% 54.7% 2.4% 52.3% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 1.8 0.1 3.7 53.6%
10-10 5.6% 37.6% 1.7% 35.9% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.1 3.5 36.6%
9-11 3.3% 15.7% 1.0% 14.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 2.8 14.9%
8-12 1.8% 4.1% 0.2% 3.9% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.7 3.9%
7-13 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.2%
6-14 0.4% 0.4
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 80.2% 9.9% 70.4% 7.0 1.3 2.8 5.0 6.8 8.3 9.5 9.1 9.4 10.2 10.1 7.4 0.5 19.8 78.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 1.3 73.3 26.7