Mississippi
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.0#60
Expected Predictive Rating+4.9#103
Pace65.6#284
Improvement-1.0#250

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#72
First Shot+3.0#92
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#88
Layup/Dunks-1.8#254
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#47
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#237
Freethrows+3.5#20
Improvement-3.2#355

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#58
First Shot+6.6#25
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#314
Layups/Dunks+8.9#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#246
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#290
Freethrows+1.4#92
Improvement+2.2#38
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.2% 2.3% 0.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.7% 23.3% 9.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.3% 22.7% 9.1%
Average Seed 8.9 8.7 9.1
.500 or above 37.5% 54.6% 29.8%
.500 or above in Conference 19.8% 25.5% 17.2%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.6% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 17.3% 13.9% 18.8%
First Four3.2% 4.4% 2.6%
First Round12.2% 21.3% 8.1%
Second Round5.4% 9.8% 3.4%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 1.9% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina St. (Neutral) - 31.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 54 - 13
Quad 23 - 36 - 16
Quad 33 - 19 - 17
Quad 46 - 015 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 272 SE Louisiana W 88-58 94%     1 - 0 +21.0 +17.8 +4.8
  Fri, Nov 7 356 Louisiana Monroe W 86-65 98%     2 - 0 +4.2 -0.1 +3.1
  Tue, Nov 11 76 Memphis W 83-77 67%     3 - 0 +10.6 +17.4 -6.6
  Fri, Nov 14 312 Cal St. Bakersfield W 82-60 96%     4 - 0 +10.1 +13.8 -1.0
  Tue, Nov 18 191 Austin Peay W 72-65 90%     5 - 0 +2.0 +1.4 +0.7
  Tue, Nov 25 22 Iowa L 69-74 27%     5 - 1 +10.5 +9.4 +0.8
  Wed, Nov 26 119 Utah L 74-75 72%     5 - 2 +2.0 +6.2 -4.3
  Tue, Dec 2 33 Miami (FL) L 66-75 45%     5 - 3 +1.2 +1.2 -0.4
  Sat, Dec 6 18 @St. John's L 58-63 15%     5 - 4 +15.2 -6.2 +21.5
  Sat, Dec 13 202 Southern Miss W 71-67 86%     6 - 4 +1.3 -0.4 +1.9
  Wed, Dec 17 280 Alabama A&M W 80-66 92%     7 - 4 +7.6 +12.6 -3.8
  Sun, Dec 21 29 North Carolina St. L 73-78 31%    
  Mon, Dec 29 333 Alcorn St. W 84-62 98%    
  Sat, Jan 3 47 @Oklahoma L 72-77 32%    
  Wed, Jan 7 20 Arkansas L 73-77 36%    
  Sat, Jan 10 49 Missouri W 75-74 53%    
  Wed, Jan 14 19 @Georgia L 75-85 19%    
  Sat, Jan 17 84 @Mississippi St. L 72-73 48%    
  Tue, Jan 20 28 Auburn L 74-76 41%    
  Sat, Jan 24 21 @Kentucky L 68-78 19%    
  Sat, Jan 31 10 Vanderbilt L 73-79 29%    
  Tue, Feb 3 15 @Tennessee L 64-75 15%    
  Sat, Feb 7 40 @Texas L 70-76 28%    
  Wed, Feb 11 16 Alabama L 80-85 31%    
  Sat, Feb 14 84 Mississippi St. W 75-70 68%    
  Wed, Feb 18 45 @Texas A&M L 73-78 32%    
  Sat, Feb 21 13 Florida L 70-76 30%    
  Wed, Feb 25 35 LSU L 72-73 47%    
  Sat, Feb 28 28 @Auburn L 71-79 22%    
  Wed, Mar 4 10 @Vanderbilt L 70-82 14%    
  Sat, Mar 7 86 South Carolina W 72-66 70%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 1.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 1.8 0.4 0.0 2.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 1.5 0.1 0.0 3.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 3.2 0.5 0.0 5.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.3 2.0 0.1 6.1 9th
10th 0.2 2.7 4.2 0.4 0.0 7.5 10th
11th 0.1 1.8 5.2 2.0 0.1 9.1 11th
12th 0.1 1.0 5.1 4.4 0.5 11.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 4.6 5.6 1.2 0.0 12.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.6 3.9 5.8 2.6 0.1 13.1 14th
15th 0.1 0.8 3.4 5.0 2.7 0.4 0.0 12.3 15th
16th 0.2 1.2 2.9 3.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 9.9 16th
Total 0.2 1.2 3.7 7.7 11.4 14.4 15.6 14.3 11.6 8.6 5.4 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 95.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 46.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 23.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 8.7% 91.3% 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.3% 100.0% 11.3% 88.8% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.7% 99.5% 6.6% 92.9% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.5%
12-6 1.7% 96.4% 4.4% 91.9% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 96.2%
11-7 3.1% 87.6% 2.1% 85.5% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.4 87.4%
10-8 5.4% 67.0% 1.5% 65.5% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.0 1.8 66.5%
9-9 8.6% 38.3% 0.7% 37.5% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.2 0.0 5.3 37.8%
8-10 11.6% 10.4% 0.6% 9.8% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.1 10.4 9.9%
7-11 14.3% 1.5% 0.1% 1.4% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 14.1 1.4%
6-12 15.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.6 0.1%
5-13 14.4% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 14.4
4-14 11.4% 11.4
3-15 7.7% 7.7
2-16 3.7% 3.7
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 13.7% 0.5% 13.2% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.8 0.2 86.3 13.3%