IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.4	#346
Expected Predictive Rating	-7.4	#311

Pace	74.1	#71
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.2	#326

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.2	#343

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.5%	6.3%	3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	15.8	15.9

.500 or above	5.8%	21.0%	5.5%
.500 or above in Conference	53.6%	71.7%	53.3%
Conference Champion	5.7%	12.8%	5.6%
Last Place in Conference	1.9%	0.5%	1.9%

First Four	3.0%	4.9%	2.9%
First Round	1.9%	3.5%	1.8%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Maryland (Away) - 1.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 8
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 13
Quad 4	9 - 9	10 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2025	79	@ Florida St.	L	76-108	4%	0 - 1			-22.0	+1.5	-21.0
Nov 06, 2025	175	@ South Alabama	L	70-76	13%	0 - 2			-4.5	-3.2	-1.1
Nov 08, 2025	62	@ Minnesota	L	50-95	3%	0 - 3			-33.4	-17.2	-16.4
Nov 11, 2025	56	@ Maryland	L	63-86	1%
Nov 13, 2025	321	@ Howard	L	74-79	33%
Nov 18, 2025	53	@ LSU	L	64-88	2%
Nov 23, 2025	43	@ Oklahoma	L	64-89	1%
Nov 28, 2025	221	Indiana St.	L	78-85	26%
Nov 29, 2025	179	@ Louisiana Tech	L	63-75	15%
Dec 03, 2025	14	@ Iowa St.	L	59-89	0.3%
Dec 19, 2025	29	@ Baylor	L	61-88	1%
Dec 29, 2025	37	@ Mississippi	L	62-88	1%
Dec 31, 2025	189	Southern	L	76-81	32%
Jan 03, 2026	267	@ Jackson St.	L	71-79	24%
Jan 10, 2026	318	@ Alabama A&M	L	75-80	33%
Jan 12, 2026	308	@ Alabama St.	L	71-77	30%
Jan 17, 2026	292	Texas Southern	L	75-76	48%
Jan 19, 2026	342	Prairie View	W	78-75	58%
Jan 24, 2026	353	@ Florida A&M	L	77-79	43%
Jan 26, 2026	220	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	72-82	19%
Jan 31, 2026	189	Southern	L	76-81	33%
Feb 02, 2026	306	Grambling St.	W	71-70	50%
Feb 07, 2026	363	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	79-78	53%
Feb 09, 2026	365	@ Mississippi Valley	W	87-76	83%
Feb 14, 2026	220	Bethune-Cookman	L	75-79	37%
Feb 16, 2026	353	Florida A&M	W	80-76	64%
Feb 21, 2026	267	Jackson St.	L	74-76	43%
Feb 26, 2026	292	@ Texas Southern	L	72-79	28%
Feb 28, 2026	342	@ Prairie View	L	75-78	39%
Mar 03, 2026	365	Mississippi Valley	W	90-73	92%
Mar 05, 2026	363	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	82-75	72%
Projected Record						10 - 21	9 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.4	1.0	1.6	1.4	0.9	0.3	0.1		5.7	1st
2nd											0.1	0.8	2.4	2.9	1.3	0.5	0.1	0.0			7.9	2nd
3rd										0.1	1.1	3.5	3.2	1.4	0.2	0.0					9.4	3rd
4th									0.0	1.0	4.0	3.8	1.3	0.2							10.3	4th
5th								0.0	0.8	4.3	4.9	1.3	0.1								11.3	5th
6th							0.0	0.6	3.9	5.4	1.6	0.2	0.0								11.7	6th
7th						0.0	0.5	3.0	5.0	2.1	0.2										10.9	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	2.4	4.8	2.5	0.2											10.4	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	1.9	4.1	2.2	0.3												8.7	9th
10th			0.0	0.3	1.7	3.1	1.9	0.3	0.0												7.4	10th
11th		0.0	0.5	1.4	2.0	1.1	0.2	0.0													5.3	11th
12th	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0															0.9	12th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.9	2.0	4.0	6.5	9.2	11.0	12.6	13.0	11.9	9.7	7.3	5.4	3.1	1.8	0.9	0.3	0.1			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	98.7%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	94.5%	0.9		0.7	0.1	0.0
15-3	74.9%	1.4		1.0	0.4	0.0
14-4	52.1%	1.6		0.9	0.6	0.1	0.0
13-5	18.6%	1.0		0.3	0.5	0.2	0.0
12-6	4.9%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	5.7%	5.7		3.3	1.8	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		25.0%	25.0%		15.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
17-1	0.3%		27.8%	27.8%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
16-2	0.9%		25.0%	25.0%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7
15-3	1.8%		15.8%	15.8%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	1.6
14-4	3.1%		12.6%	12.6%		15.9																0.0	0.4	2.7
13-5	5.4%		9.7%	9.7%		16.0																0.0	0.5	4.9
12-6	7.3%		6.2%	6.2%		16.0																	0.5	6.8
11-7	9.7%		4.7%	4.7%		16.0																	0.5	9.2
10-8	11.9%		3.9%	3.9%		16.0																	0.5	11.5
9-9	13.0%		2.6%	2.6%		16.0																	0.3	12.6
8-10	12.6%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	12.5
7-11	11.0%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	11.0
6-12	9.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.1
5-13	6.5%																							6.5
4-14	4.0%																							4.0
3-15	2.0%																							2.0
2-16	0.9%																							0.9
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		3.5%	3.5%	0.0%	15.9															0.0	0.2	3.3	96.5		0.0%