Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -12.9 #351
Expected Predictive Rating -11.1 #331
Pace 69.9 #151
Improvement -0.6 #212

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #345 D+ D- D- F+ D+
Defense #327 F+ F C+ D+ F+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #172 1.09 #265 -1.2 #223
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #67 0.61 #350 +0.3 #164
Three Pointers 35% #313 1.06 #119 -2.6 #275
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #289 -3.6 #288
Freethrows 0.24 #351 68% #307 0.16 #356
Second Chance 26.8% #285 0.83 #359 0.22 #346
Turnovers 20.2% #338
Total Offense -7.1 #345

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #21 1.35 #359 -8.4 #364
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #358 0.80 #255 +2.8 #10
Three Pointers 42% #164 1.06 #243 -1.1 #239
1st FG Attempt 1.16 #357 -6.7 #353
Freethrows 0.33 #264 74% #286 0.25 #280
Second Chance 37.1% #356 1.21 #350 0.45 #362
Turnovers 18.0% #116
Total Defense -5.8 #327

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.5% #287 2.9% #360
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.6% #279 10.5% #344
Possession Length 17.8 #234 16.2 #27
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #144 0.28 #364
Improvement -0.6 #220 +0.0 #190

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.6% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 22.8% 44.6% 14.6%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four1.1% 1.6% 0.9%
First Round0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Away) - 27.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 20 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 10
Quad 48 - 129 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 102 @Florida St. L 76 - 108 4% -17  0 - 1 -24 +1 A C F -23 F F D-
 Thu, Nov 6 204 @South Alabama L 70 - 76 11% +3  0 - 2 -6 -3 A F F -3 F+ F A+
 Sat, Nov 8 66 @Minnesota L 50 - 95 2% -30  0 - 3 -34 -17 F C- F+ -17 C+ F C+
 Tue, Nov 11 116 @Maryland L 64 - 84 5% -12  0 - 4 -14 -7 C+ D- F -6 F+ D- A
 Thu, Nov 13 254 @Howard L 64 - 72 16% -5  0 - 5 -10 -3 C F B+ -7 F F B+
 Tue, Nov 18 48 @LSU L 81 - 107 1% -7  0 - 6 -12 +10 B A+ D+ -21 B- F C
 Sun, Nov 23 57 @Oklahoma L 53 - 72 2% -5  0 - 7 -7 -15 C F F +8 A+ A D-
 Fri, Nov 28 192 Indiana St. W 81 - 74 15% +11  1 - 7 +5 -2 A F+ F +6 A+ F B
 Sat, Nov 29 228 @Louisiana Tech L 58 - 83 13% -10  1 - 8 -26 -6 D+ F D -22 F F F
 Wed, Dec 3 4 @Iowa St. L 68 - 132 0% -36  1 - 9 -39 -1 A+ D+ F -30 F F B
 Fri, Dec 19 42 @Baylor L 56 - 113 1% -29  1 - 10 -42 -17 F D- C- -19 F C B+
 Mon, Dec 29 60 @Mississippi L 43 - 79 2% -14  1 - 11 -24 -21 F F B- -4 F+ C- A+
 Sat, Jan 3 341 @Jackson St. L 86 - 89 34% -7  1 - 12 0 - 1 -12 +8 C+ C- B- -20 F C+ F+
 Sat, Jan 10 307 @Alabama A&M W 64 - 62 24% -4  2 - 12 1 - 1 -4 -5 F+ F B+ +2 C D- C+
 Mon, Jan 12 318 @Alabama St. L 66 - 81 27% -6  2 - 13 1 - 2 -22 -11 F C+ C -10 F F B+
 Sat, Jan 17 312 Texas Southern L 71 - 72 47% -1  2 - 14 1 - 3 -13 -3 F+ F C- -10 D+ D- D-
 Mon, Jan 19 340 Prairie View W 76 - 75 56% +3  3 - 14 2 - 3 -14 -3 F C C -11 F A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 324 @Florida A&M L 58 - 66 29% +0  3 - 15 2 - 4 -15 -13 F+ F F -2 F F A+
 Mon, Jan 26 222 @Bethune-Cookman L 73 - 82 12% -11  3 - 16 2 - 5 -9 +1 F+ A- B+ -10 F B C-
 Sat, Jan 31 267 Southern W 78 - 73 35% +1  4 - 16 3 - 5 -4 +8 A+ D- D- -11 D+ D- D
 Mon, Feb 2 276 Grambling St. L 50 - 74 38% -13  4 - 17 3 - 6 -34 -19 F F A+ -17 D- F C-
 Sat, Feb 7 322 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 75 - 81 27%
 Mon, Feb 9 365 @Mississippi Valley W 74 - 66 76%
 Sat, Feb 14 222 Bethune-Cookman L 71 - 77 27%
 Mon, Feb 16 324 Florida A&M W 72 - 71 51%
 Sat, Feb 21 341 Jackson St. W 78 - 76 55%
 Thu, Feb 26 312 @Texas Southern L 74 - 81 26%
 Sat, Feb 28 340 @Prairie View L 76 - 80 34%
 Tue, Mar 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 77 - 63 90%
 Thu, Mar 5 322 Arkansas Pine Bluff L 77 - 78 50%
Totals 8 - 22 7 - 11 -13 -7 D+ D- D- -6 F+ F C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.2 1st
2nd 0.3 0.7 0.2 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.7 0.7 0.0 2.4 3rd
4th 1.0 2.5 0.1 3.6 4th
5th 0.1 4.5 1.2 5.8 5th
6th 1.8 6.6 0.2 8.6 6th
7th 0.3 6.8 2.7 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.1 2.7 9.7 0.3 12.7 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 9.0 4.6 0.0 14.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 6.5 9.5 0.6 17.3 10th
11th 0.1 2.0 7.7 10.8 3.1 0.0 23.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.2 2.0 8.4 18.4 24.6 23.7 15.2 5.8 1.6 0.3 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 34.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 3.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.3% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2
11-7 1.6% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.1 1.5
10-8 5.8% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.2 5.6
9-9 15.2% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.5 14.7
8-10 23.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.3 23.4
7-11 24.6% 24.6
6-12 18.4% 18.4
5-13 8.4% 8.4
4-14 2.0% 2.0
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 16.0 98.9 0.0%