Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.0#337
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#287
Pace74.5#56
Improvement-0.1#186

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#334
First Shot-1.6#214
After Offensive Rebound-4.7#362
Layup/Dunks-0.5#207
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#66
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#169
Freethrows-3.6#348
Improvement-0.7#228

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#325
First Shot-1.1#204
After Offensive Rebounds-3.7#357
Layups/Dunks-2.5#271
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#70
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#144
Freethrows-1.1#269
Improvement+0.6#136
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 5.1% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.1% 12.6% 2.9%
.500 or above in Conference 54.7% 69.5% 54.4%
Conference Champion 6.5% 13.9% 6.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.4% 1.7%
First Four3.3% 4.3% 3.2%
First Round1.6% 2.3% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi (Away) - 1.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 31 - 31 - 11
Quad 410 - 1110 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 113 @Florida St. L 76-108 6%     0 - 1 -25.5 +0.3 -23.4
  Thu, Nov 6 190 @South Alabama L 70-76 13%     0 - 2 -4.9 -3.4 -1.4
  Sat, Nov 8 96 @Minnesota L 50-95 4%     0 - 3 -36.2 -18.0 -18.3
  Tue, Nov 11 94 @Maryland L 64-84 4%     0 - 4 -11.1 -6.2 -4.3
  Thu, Nov 13 265 @Howard L 64-72 22%     0 - 5 -10.7 -4.8 -6.3
  Tue, Nov 18 39 @LSU L 81-107 2%     0 - 6 -10.6 +11.0 -20.6
  Sun, Nov 23 45 @Oklahoma L 53-72 2%     0 - 7 -4.7 -14.5 +9.5
  Fri, Nov 28 201 Indiana St. W 81-74 21%     1 - 7 +4.5 -1.4 +5.1
  Sat, Nov 29 187 @Louisiana Tech L 58-83 13%     1 - 8 -23.8 -4.1 -22.5
  Wed, Dec 3 3 @Iowa St. L 68-132 0.4%    1 - 9 -38.8 -0.5 -30.1
  Fri, Dec 19 27 @Baylor L 56-113 1%     1 - 10 -39.2 -17.7 -15.6
  Mon, Dec 29 63 @Mississippi L 62-84 2%    
  Wed, Dec 31 222 Southern L 77-81 35%    
  Sat, Jan 3 324 @Jackson St. L 74-78 35%    
  Sat, Jan 10 293 @Alabama A&M L 68-75 26%    
  Mon, Jan 12 281 @Alabama St. L 73-81 25%    
  Sat, Jan 17 327 Texas Southern W 78-76 57%    
  Mon, Jan 19 320 Prairie View W 80-79 56%    
  Sat, Jan 24 341 @Florida A&M L 74-76 41%    
  Mon, Jan 26 269 @Bethune-Cookman L 72-80 23%    
  Sat, Jan 31 222 Southern L 77-81 36%    
  Mon, Feb 2 245 Grambling St. L 71-74 39%    
  Sat, Feb 7 351 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 79-80 46%    
  Mon, Feb 9 365 @Mississippi Valley W 78-69 80%    
  Sat, Feb 14 269 Bethune-Cookman L 75-77 43%    
  Mon, Feb 16 341 Florida A&M W 77-73 63%    
  Sat, Feb 21 324 Jackson St. W 77-75 57%    
  Thu, Feb 26 327 @Texas Southern L 75-79 36%    
  Sat, Feb 28 320 @Prairie View L 77-82 35%    
  Tue, Mar 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 81-66 91%    
  Thu, Mar 5 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82-77 66%    
Projected Record 10 - 21 9 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 6.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 3.2 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 4.3 2.8 0.6 0.1 9.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.5 3.6 0.7 0.0 9.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.7 4.9 1.0 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 5.9 1.9 0.1 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 5.6 3.2 0.2 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.5 4.3 0.5 0.0 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.5 4.6 0.9 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 2.9 3.6 1.3 0.1 8.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.1 2.2 0.9 0.1 6.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.1 5.9 8.9 11.9 13.5 14.1 12.7 10.7 7.6 5.0 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 96.9% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-3 90.4% 1.1    0.9 0.2 0.0
14-4 69.9% 1.9    1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 37.2% 1.9    0.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 10.8% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.4% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.5% 6.5 3.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 19.6% 19.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 24.8% 24.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.3
15-3 1.2% 16.7% 16.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.0
14-4 2.8% 10.6% 10.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 2.5
13-5 5.0% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 0.5 4.5
12-6 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.6 7.0
11-7 10.7% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.5 10.1
10-8 12.7% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.5 12.2
9-9 14.1% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.4 13.7
8-10 13.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 13.3
7-11 11.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.9
6-12 8.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.9
5-13 5.9% 5.9
4-14 3.1% 3.1
3-15 1.4% 1.4
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.4 96.5 0.0%