Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.5#321
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#275
Pace69.8#160
Improvement-1.2#268

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#333
First Shot-6.1#328
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#197
Layup/Dunks-1.6#234
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#109
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#335
Freethrows+0.5#149
Improvement-0.2#199

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#281
First Shot-5.1#320
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#71
Layups/Dunks-4.6#316
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#40
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#209
Freethrows-2.5#301
Improvement-1.0#267
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 8.8% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 5.4% 22.9% 5.0%
.500 or above in Conference 65.6% 79.7% 65.3%
Conference Champion 3.7% 6.9% 3.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.2% 0.6%
First Four4.1% 7.7% 4.0%
First Round2.0% 4.3% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wichita St. (Away) - 2.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 20 - 20 - 8
Quad 30 - 51 - 13
Quad 411 - 811 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 49   @ Washington St. L 67-85 3%     0 - 1 -5.7 +2.3 -8.2
  Nov 10, 2021 199   @ Seattle L 66-69 15%     0 - 2 -1.4 -8.3 +7.0
  Nov 13, 2021 269   @ Portland L 58-62 26%     0 - 3 -6.8 -16.3 +9.5
  Nov 15, 2021 2   @ Gonzaga L 57-84 1%     0 - 4 -3.9 -8.6 +5.4
  Nov 26, 2021 146   @ Southern Illinois L 59-62 10%     0 - 5 +1.5 +0.5 +0.4
  Nov 28, 2021 272   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 61-57 27%     1 - 5 +1.0 -11.3 +12.4
  Dec 04, 2021 160   @ Tulane L 64-85 11%     1 - 6 -17.4 -4.6 -13.3
  Dec 06, 2021 4   @ Houston L 45-77 1%     1 - 7 -10.4 -15.0 +3.7
  Dec 14, 2021 54   @ Wichita St. L 54-75 2%    
  Dec 16, 2021 138   @ Tulsa L 60-75 9%    
  Dec 20, 2021 3   @ Baylor L 55-86 0.2%   
  Dec 22, 2021 29   @ Oklahoma L 55-80 1%    
  Dec 29, 2021 71   @ Minnesota L 59-78 3%    
  Jan 03, 2022 244   @ Jackson St. L 60-68 23%    
  Jan 08, 2022 341   @ Alabama A&M W 68-67 52%    
  Jan 10, 2022 344   @ Alabama St. W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 15, 2022 176   Texas Southern L 66-72 29%    
  Jan 17, 2022 249   Prairie View L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 22, 2022 301   @ Florida A&M L 64-69 34%    
  Jan 24, 2022 348   @ Bethune-Cookman W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 29, 2022 297   Southern W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 31, 2022 320   Grambling St. W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 05, 2022 357   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 72-65 74%    
  Feb 07, 2022 358   @ Mississippi Valley W 79-67 86%    
  Feb 12, 2022 348   Bethune-Cookman W 73-65 75%    
  Feb 14, 2022 301   Florida A&M W 67-66 55%    
  Feb 19, 2022 244   Jackson St. L 63-65 43%    
  Feb 26, 2022 249   @ Prairie View L 70-78 24%    
  Feb 28, 2022 176   @ Texas Southern L 63-75 14%    
  Mar 03, 2022 358   Mississippi Valley W 82-64 94%    
  Mar 05, 2022 357   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 75-62 88%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.1 2.2 0.5 0.0 7.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.0 4.8 2.7 0.4 0.0 10.0 3rd
4th 0.2 2.3 5.8 3.4 0.4 0.0 12.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.2 6.5 4.4 0.6 0.0 13.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.0 6.5 4.7 0.7 0.0 14.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 5.8 4.9 0.9 0.0 13.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.7 4.2 0.9 0.0 11.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.1 2.9 0.7 0.0 7.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.7 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.3 6.2 9.8 12.9 14.8 14.6 13.3 10.2 6.7 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 92.8% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 70.8% 1.1    0.7 0.4 0.0
14-4 32.9% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0
13-5 8.8% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.7% 3.7 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 16.1% 16.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 23.5% 23.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
15-3 1.6% 17.0% 17.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 1.3
14-4 3.8% 14.2% 14.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5 3.3
13-5 6.7% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 0.0 0.7 6.0
12-6 10.2% 7.3% 7.3% 16.0 0.7 9.4
11-7 13.3% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.7 12.5
10-8 14.6% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.5 14.1
9-9 14.8% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.4 14.4
8-10 12.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 12.8
7-11 9.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.8
6-12 6.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.2
5-13 3.3% 3.3
4-14 1.5% 1.5
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.2 95.8 0.0%