IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.7	#352
Expected Predictive Rating	-9.1	#312

Pace	64.4	#305
Improvement	+3.3	#18

Offense
Total Offense	-6.3	#339

First Shot	-7.0	#344
After Offensive Rebound	+0.6	#140

Layup/Dunks	-3.8	#300
2 Pt Jumpshots	+3.3	#31
3 Pt Jumpshots	-6.4	#342
Freethrows	-0.1	#186

Improvement	+1.1	#99

Defense
Total Defense	-6.4	#350

First Shot	-4.8	#326
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.5	#285

Layups/Dunks	+2.7	#89
2 Pt Jumpshots	+3.0	#10
3 Pt Jumpshots	-10.5	#362
Freethrows	+0.0	#196

Improvement	+2.2	#31

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.7%	4.8%	1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	0.9%	4.4%	0.9%
.500 or above in Conference	45.6%	63.7%	45.5%
Conference Champion	1.4%	1.6%	1.4%
Last Place in Conference	4.3%	1.6%	4.3%

First Four	1.7%	4.8%	1.7%
First Round	0.7%	2.8%	0.6%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma (Away) - 0.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 8
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 12
Quad 4	8 - 10	9 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	60	@ Utah	L	59-100	2%	0 - 1			-28.7	-4.7	-26.4
Nov 06, 2024	52	@ Utah St.	L	46-101	2%	0 - 2			-42.3	-21.2	-21.1
Nov 11, 2024	220	@ Tulane	L	51-84	12%	0 - 3			-33.2	-17.7	-18.4
Nov 19, 2024	78	@ TCU	L	48-71	3%	0 - 4			-12.9	-14.3	-0.3
Nov 22, 2024	75	@ Washington	L	60-77	3%	0 - 5			-6.5	-1.0	-7.0
Nov 24, 2024	175	@ UC Riverside	L	52-69	9%	0 - 6			-14.8	-17.2	+1.6
Nov 29, 2024	206	@ South Alabama	L	65-74 OT	11%	0 - 7			-8.1	-2.0	-6.7
Dec 01, 2024	19	@ Maryland	L	58-96	1%	0 - 8			-20.4	-7.4	-11.5
Dec 04, 2024	94	@ Wichita St.	L	54-78	3%	0 - 9			-15.4	-13.0	-2.3
Dec 07, 2024	41	@ Oklahoma	L	56-83	1%
Dec 16, 2024	168	@ Rice	L	59-74	8%
Dec 22, 2024	124	@ UAB	L	65-83	5%
Jan 04, 2025	315	Jackson St.	L	68-69	46%
Jan 11, 2025	360	Alabama A&M	W	74-69	67%
Jan 13, 2025	285	Alabama St.	L	69-72	39%
Jan 18, 2025	294	@ Texas Southern	L	64-73	21%
Jan 20, 2025	357	@ Prairie View	L	76-77	44%
Jan 25, 2025	353	Florida A&M	W	69-66	61%
Jan 27, 2025	288	Bethune-Cookman	L	68-71	39%
Feb 01, 2025	234	@ Southern	L	62-74	15%
Feb 03, 2025	226	@ Grambling St.	L	61-73	14%
Feb 08, 2025	362	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	80-72	75%
Feb 10, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	70-58	85%
Feb 15, 2025	288	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	65-74	20%
Feb 17, 2025	353	@ Florida A&M	L	66-69	41%
Feb 22, 2025	315	@ Jackson St.	L	65-72	26%
Mar 01, 2025	357	Prairie View	W	79-74	66%
Mar 03, 2025	294	Texas Southern	L	67-70	40%
Mar 06, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	67-61	69%
Mar 08, 2025	362	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	77-75	56%
Projected Record						8 - 22	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.4	1st
2nd												0.2	1.0	1.4	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0			3.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.6	2.5	1.2	0.2	0.0					5.8	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	2.2	3.7	1.6	0.2							7.9	4th
5th									0.2	2.1	4.9	2.6	0.3	0.0							10.2	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	2.5	6.3	3.7	0.5	0.0								13.4	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	2.6	7.0	4.8	0.8	0.0									15.5	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	2.5	6.2	4.3	0.8	0.0										14.1	8th
9th					0.2	1.9	5.0	3.8	0.9	0.0											11.8	9th
10th			0.0	0.1	1.5	3.9	2.9	0.7	0.0												9.0	10th
11th		0.0	0.3	1.2	2.2	1.5	0.4	0.0													5.5	11th
12th	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0														1.9	12th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.7	2.0	4.3	7.6	11.0	13.5	15.0	14.4	12.0	8.7	5.5	3.1	1.4	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	76.5%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	89.4%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-3	64.5%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
14-4	37.9%	0.5		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	10.5%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.4%	1.4		0.5	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.0%																					0.0	0.0	0.0
16-2	0.1%		8.5%	8.5%		16.0																	0.0	0.1
15-3	0.5%		14.5%	14.5%		16.0																	0.1	0.4
14-4	1.4%		10.0%	10.0%		16.0																	0.1	1.2
13-5	3.1%		6.9%	6.9%		16.0																	0.2	2.9
12-6	5.5%		4.8%	4.8%		16.0																	0.3	5.3
11-7	8.7%		3.7%	3.7%		16.0																	0.3	8.3
10-8	12.0%		2.7%	2.7%		16.0																	0.3	11.6
9-9	14.4%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.2	14.1
8-10	15.0%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	14.9
7-11	13.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	13.5
6-12	11.0%																							11.0
5-13	7.6%																							7.6
4-14	4.3%																							4.3
3-15	2.0%																							2.0
2-16	0.7%																							0.7
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		1.7%	1.7%	0.0%	16.0																0.0	1.7	98.3		0.0%