Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.2#314
Expected Predictive Rating-10.9#333
Pace71.9#88
Improvement-1.1#300

Offense
Total Offense-6.9#342
First Shot-5.5#331
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#284
Layup/Dunks+2.5#82
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.1#360
Freethrows-1.5#297
Improvement-0.5#270

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#221
First Shot-1.0#210
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#210
Layups/Dunks-1.9#260
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#167
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#128
Freethrows-0.6#239
Improvement-0.6#277
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 4.2% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 30.9% 35.0% 9.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.4% 4.6%
First Four3.9% 4.2% 2.5%
First Round1.7% 1.8% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida A&M (Home) - 83.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 21 - 31 - 7
Quad 31 - 21 - 10
Quad 48 - 1010 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 88   @ San Francisco L 77-90 7%     0 - 1 -4.6 -3.3 +0.5
  Nov 10, 2022 53   @ Texas Tech L 54-78 4%     0 - 2 -11.4 -14.4 +4.1
  Nov 13, 2022 66   Arizona St. W 67-66 OT 10%     1 - 2 +6.6 -8.2 +14.8
  Nov 15, 2022 69   Oral Roberts L 64-82 11%     1 - 3 -12.5 -9.0 -3.6
  Nov 16, 2022 1   @ Houston L 48-83 1%     1 - 4 -12.8 -10.1 -4.9
  Nov 18, 2022 27   @ Auburn L 56-72 2%     1 - 5 -0.4 -11.2 +11.6
  Nov 20, 2022 145   @ Samford L 63-78 13%     1 - 6 -10.9 -8.0 -3.7
  Nov 28, 2022 7   @ Kansas L 55-87 1%     1 - 7 -12.6 -4.8 -9.7
  Dec 17, 2022 277   N.C. A&T L 66-67 OT 41%     1 - 8 -6.9 -16.1 +9.3
  Dec 18, 2022 342   Hampton W 82-77 63%     2 - 8 -6.7 +3.0 -9.7
  Dec 22, 2022 109   @ Wichita St. L 56-65 9%     2 - 9 -2.6 -11.6 +9.1
  Jan 02, 2023 233   Southern L 76-77 OT 43%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -7.4 -7.3 +0.0
  Jan 04, 2023 240   Grambling St. L 72-85 45%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -19.8 -3.7 -15.9
  Jan 07, 2023 331   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 66-70 47%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -11.4 -16.5 +5.7
  Jan 09, 2023 361   @ Mississippi Valley L 67-71 73%     2 - 13 0 - 4 -18.5 -9.8 -8.7
  Jan 14, 2023 289   Alcorn St. L 74-79 OT 55%     2 - 14 0 - 5 -14.5 -10.5 -3.6
  Jan 16, 2023 327   Jackson St. W 84-82 65%     3 - 14 1 - 5 -10.2 -0.6 -9.7
  Jan 21, 2023 347   @ Alabama A&M W 70-59 55%     4 - 14 2 - 5 +1.6 -12.3 +12.8
  Jan 23, 2023 353   @ Alabama St. W 71-65 59%     5 - 14 3 - 5 -4.6 -6.4 +1.6
  Jan 28, 2023 287   Prairie View L 74-89 2OT 55%     5 - 15 3 - 6 -24.4 -11.5 -10.5
  Feb 04, 2023 358   Florida A&M W 67-57 84%    
  Feb 06, 2023 354   Bethune-Cookman W 76-67 80%    
  Feb 11, 2023 240   @ Grambling St. L 64-71 25%    
  Feb 13, 2023 233   @ Southern L 68-75 24%    
  Feb 18, 2023 361   Mississippi Valley W 73-61 87%    
  Feb 20, 2023 331   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 70-65 68%    
  Feb 25, 2023 327   @ Jackson St. L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 27, 2023 289   @ Alcorn St. L 67-71 34%    
  Mar 04, 2023 287   @ Prairie View L 63-67 34%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.1 1.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.7 1.2 0.0 4.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 5.2 4.4 0.3 10.4 5th
6th 0.3 5.4 9.5 1.3 0.0 16.5 6th
7th 0.1 3.9 12.4 4.1 0.1 20.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.7 11.1 7.7 0.4 21.0 8th
9th 0.5 6.3 7.7 1.2 0.0 15.6 9th
10th 0.2 2.5 4.5 1.2 0.0 8.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 12th
Total 0.1 0.7 4.1 12.9 24.2 27.1 19.8 8.6 2.3 0.2 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 2.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.2% 23.9% 23.9% 16.0 0.1 0.2
11-7 2.3% 14.2% 14.2% 16.0 0.3 2.0
10-8 8.6% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 0.8 7.9
9-9 19.8% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 1.1 18.7
8-10 27.1% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 1.0 26.1
7-11 24.2% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.6 23.7
6-12 12.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 12.7
5-13 4.1% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 4.0
4-14 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 16.0 3.9 96.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 23.9% 16.0 23.9
Lose Out 0.1%