Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#201
Expected Predictive Rating-8.3#291
Pace71.9#108
Improvement+1.0#88

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#226
First Shot-4.7#305
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#39
Layup/Dunks-0.9#202
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#61
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#327
Freethrows-0.5#216
Improvement-1.4#309

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#176
First Shot+0.3#169
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#205
Layups/Dunks+2.5#98
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#160
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#236
Freethrows-1.3#261
Improvement+2.5#12
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.9% 40.3% 33.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 67.3% 83.6% 63.2%
.500 or above in Conference 98.4% 99.3% 98.2%
Conference Champion 48.5% 57.6% 46.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four25.2% 23.0% 25.7%
First Round25.5% 32.1% 23.8%
Second Round0.9% 1.6% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Tech (Away) - 20.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 31 - 21 - 10
Quad 416 - 517 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 56   @ Oregon L 66-83 11%     0 - 1 -5.7 +3.7 -10.8
  Nov 12, 2021 43   @ St. Mary's L 58-67 9%     0 - 2 +4.1 -2.6 +6.3
  Nov 15, 2021 131   @ Washington L 65-72 24%     0 - 3 -1.5 -5.2 +3.9
  Nov 17, 2021 256   @ Air Force L 57-61 52%     0 - 4 -6.3 -9.3 +2.6
  Nov 21, 2021 65   @ North Carolina St. L 57-65 13%     0 - 5 +2.6 -10.6 +12.9
  Nov 24, 2021 26   @ BYU L 64-81 6%     0 - 6 -0.7 -3.2 +3.0
  Dec 01, 2021 112   @ Louisiana Tech L 70-79 20%    
  Dec 06, 2021 15   @ Florida L 60-80 3%    
  Dec 14, 2021 282   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 77-75 56%    
  Dec 18, 2021 57   @ Cincinnati L 62-75 11%    
  Dec 29, 2021 89   @ TCU L 64-75 17%    
  Jan 03, 2022 291   @ Southern W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 05, 2022 332   @ Grambling St. W 74-68 71%    
  Jan 08, 2022 357   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-60 97%    
  Jan 10, 2022 358   Mississippi Valley W 89-63 99%    
  Jan 15, 2022 326   @ Alcorn St. W 72-67 68%    
  Jan 17, 2022 249   @ Jackson St. L 65-66 50%    
  Jan 22, 2022 344   Alabama A&M W 76-62 90%    
  Jan 24, 2022 334   Alabama St. W 78-66 87%    
  Jan 29, 2022 266   @ Prairie View W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 05, 2022 306   @ Florida A&M W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 07, 2022 346   @ Bethune-Cookman W 75-66 78%    
  Feb 12, 2022 332   Grambling St. W 77-65 86%    
  Feb 14, 2022 291   Southern W 76-68 77%    
  Feb 21, 2022 357   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-63 90%    
  Feb 21, 2022 358   @ Mississippi Valley W 86-66 96%    
  Feb 26, 2022 249   Jackson St. W 69-63 71%    
  Feb 28, 2022 326   Alcorn St. W 75-64 84%    
  Mar 05, 2022 266   Prairie View W 78-71 73%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 14 - 4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 2.2 7.8 13.5 13.8 8.3 2.7 48.5 1st
2nd 0.2 2.2 7.2 8.1 3.6 0.7 21.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 4.9 4.4 1.2 0.1 12.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.2 2.9 0.5 0.0 7.5 4th
5th 0.3 1.9 2.0 0.4 0.0 4.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.4 0.4 0.0 2.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.2 4.4 7.1 10.6 14.3 17.0 17.2 14.4 8.3 2.7 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 2.7    2.7
17-1 100.0% 8.3    8.2 0.2
16-2 95.4% 13.8    11.9 1.9 0.0
15-3 78.6% 13.5    9.0 4.1 0.5 0.0
14-4 45.5% 7.8    3.2 3.5 1.0 0.1
13-5 15.2% 2.2    0.3 1.0 0.7 0.2
12-6 2.5% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 48.5% 48.5 35.2 10.6 2.3 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 2.7% 65.8% 65.8% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.9
17-1 8.3% 57.0% 57.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.4 3.6
16-2 14.4% 50.3% 50.3% 15.9 0.0 0.8 6.5 7.2
15-3 17.2% 39.0% 39.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 6.5 10.5
14-4 17.0% 35.0% 35.0% 16.0 0.1 5.9 11.1
13-5 14.3% 27.5% 27.5% 16.0 3.9 10.4
12-6 10.6% 21.9% 21.9% 16.0 2.3 8.3
11-7 7.1% 17.3% 17.3% 16.0 1.2 5.9
10-8 4.4% 15.6% 15.6% 16.0 0.7 3.7
9-9 2.2% 10.5% 10.5% 16.0 0.2 2.0
8-10 1.0% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0
7-11 0.4% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4
6-12 0.2% 0.2
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 34.9% 34.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.7 31.6 65.1 0.0%