IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.9	#294
Expected Predictive Rating	-8.4	#301

Pace	69.9	#158
Improvement	-1.5	#274

Offense
Total Offense	-4.8	#310

First Shot	-5.7	#327
After Offensive Rebound	+0.9	#126

Layup/Dunks	-8.2	#358
2 Pt Jumpshots	+7.2	#4
3 Pt Jumpshots	-4.9	#323
Freethrows	+0.2	#169

Improvement	-0.5	#229

Defense
Total Defense	-2.1	#241

First Shot	+0.9	#142
After Offensive Rebounds	-3.0	#344

Layups/Dunks	+6.6	#23
2 Pt Jumpshots	-0.2	#216
3 Pt Jumpshots	-5.0	#337
Freethrows	-0.5	#225

Improvement	-1.0	#266

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	12.2%	16.8%	11.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.7	15.9

.500 or above	27.1%	49.1%	23.3%
.500 or above in Conference	85.9%	92.7%	84.7%
Conference Champion	16.1%	24.5%	14.7%
Last Place in Conference	0.4%	0.1%	0.4%

First Four	9.2%	10.1%	9.0%
First Round	7.8%	12.1%	7.0%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Sam Houston St. (Away) - 14.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 10
Quad 4	12 - 7	13 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	68	@ Xavier	L	69-78	5%	0 - 1			+2.5	-0.9	+3.8
Nov 10, 2024	38	@ Georgia	L	64-92	3%	0 - 2			-13.1	-2.7	-9.5
Nov 12, 2024	111	@ Georgia Tech	L	62-81	11%	0 - 3			-12.4	-11.7	+0.3
Nov 17, 2024	121	@ Samford	L	82-97	13%	0 - 4			-9.5	+1.6	-10.0
Nov 24, 2024	65	@ New Mexico	L	68-99	5%	0 - 5			-18.9	-6.4	-9.4
Dec 01, 2024	138	Texas St.	L	59-72	31%	0 - 6			-14.6	-9.3	-6.3
Dec 07, 2024	139	@ Sam Houston St.	L	68-79	15%
Dec 14, 2024	48	@ Nevada	L	59-79	3%
Dec 17, 2024	53	@ Boise St.	L	61-81	3%
Dec 21, 2024	178	@ Abilene Christian	L	67-76	21%
Jan 04, 2025	234	Southern	W	70-69	50%
Jan 06, 2025	226	Grambling St.	L	68-69	49%
Jan 11, 2025	362	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	81-74	75%
Jan 13, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	71-60	85%
Jan 18, 2025	352	Alcorn St.	W	73-64	79%
Jan 20, 2025	315	Jackson St.	W	72-67	66%
Jan 25, 2025	360	@ Alabama A&M	W	76-71	66%
Jan 27, 2025	285	@ Alabama St.	L	71-74	38%
Feb 01, 2025	357	Prairie View	W	83-73	82%
Feb 08, 2025	353	Florida A&M	W	74-65	79%
Feb 10, 2025	288	Bethune-Cookman	W	72-69	60%
Feb 15, 2025	226	@ Grambling St.	L	65-71	29%
Feb 17, 2025	234	@ Southern	L	66-72	30%
Feb 22, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	74-57	94%
Feb 24, 2025	362	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	84-71	88%
Mar 01, 2025	315	@ Jackson St.	L	69-70	45%
Mar 03, 2025	352	@ Alcorn St.	W	70-67	60%
Mar 08, 2025	357	@ Prairie View	W	80-76	65%
Projected Record						12 - 16	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	1.6	4.5	5.1	3.2	1.3	0.3		16.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.4	2.8	6.5	5.0	1.7	0.2				16.5	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	3.0	6.5	4.7	0.9	0.0					15.5	3rd
4th										0.2	2.6	6.2	4.4	0.7	0.0						14.1	4th
5th									0.2	1.9	5.5	3.9	0.6	0.0							12.1	5th
6th								0.1	1.3	4.3	3.4	0.6	0.0								9.7	6th
7th							0.1	0.8	2.9	2.6	0.5	0.0									6.8	7th
8th						0.0	0.4	1.9	1.8	0.3	0.0										4.5	8th
9th					0.0	0.2	1.0	1.2	0.3	0.0											2.7	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0												1.2	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1														0.5	11th
12th		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0														0.2	12th

Total		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	2.0	4.1	6.5	9.3	12.3	14.1	14.7	13.4	10.4	6.8	3.4	1.3	0.3			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
17-1	100.0%	1.3		1.3	0.0
16-2	94.9%	3.2		2.7	0.5
15-3	74.8%	5.1		3.3	1.6	0.2
14-4	43.0%	4.5		1.6	2.0	0.7	0.1	0.0
13-5	11.8%	1.6		0.2	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.0
12-6	1.7%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0		0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	16.1%	16.1		9.4	4.8	1.5	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.3%		40.0%	40.0%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
17-1	1.3%		38.2%	38.2%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.8
16-2	3.4%		32.5%	32.5%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.7	2.3
15-3	6.8%		27.8%	27.8%		15.8															0.0	0.3	1.6	4.9
14-4	10.4%		20.8%	20.8%		15.9															0.0	0.1	2.0	8.2
13-5	13.4%		16.4%	16.4%		16.0																0.0	2.2	11.2
12-6	14.7%		12.0%	12.0%		16.0																0.0	1.8	12.9
11-7	14.1%		8.4%	8.4%		16.0																	1.2	12.9
10-8	12.3%		5.8%	5.8%		16.0																	0.7	11.6
9-9	9.3%		4.5%	4.5%		16.0																	0.4	8.9
8-10	6.5%		2.6%	2.6%		16.0																	0.2	6.3
7-11	4.1%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	4.1
6-12	2.0%																							2.0
5-13	0.9%																							0.9
4-14	0.4%																							0.4
3-15	0.1%																							0.1
2-16	0.0%																							0.0
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18

Total	100%		12.2%	12.2%	0.0%	15.9													0.0	0.0	0.2	1.0	11.0	87.8		0.0%