Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.9#329
Expected Predictive Rating-11.1#329
Pace72.5#100
Improvement+1.1#108

Offense
Total Offense-6.5#337
First Shot-4.6#311
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#307
Layup/Dunks-9.0#361
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#37
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#61
Freethrows-2.6#317
Improvement+1.7#64

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#288
First Shot-1.1#217
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#325
Layups/Dunks-0.6#202
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#270
Freethrows-1.1#254
Improvement-0.6#228
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 7.7% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.0% 13.8% 2.9%
.500 or above in Conference 59.4% 75.5% 59.1%
Conference Champion 5.2% 9.5% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.0% 1.2%
First Four3.5% 6.3% 3.5%
First Round1.7% 3.6% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: TCU (Away) - 1.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 20 - 10 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 11
Quad 410 - 1111 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 12 @Illinois L 55-113 1%     0 - 1 -37.1 -14.1 -18.8
  Thu, Nov 6 11 @Louisville L 70-106 1%     0 - 2 -15.1 -1.2 -10.6
  Sat, Nov 15 187 @Louisiana Tech L 51-68 15%     0 - 3 -15.8 -16.2 +0.0
  Wed, Nov 19 34 @Auburn L 66-112 2%     0 - 4 -29.7 -6.3 -20.0
  Fri, Nov 21 24 @Arkansas L 61-115 1%     0 - 5 -35.7 -9.7 -21.7
  Sun, Nov 23 124 Winthrop L 62-80 19%     0 - 6 -18.7 -9.5 -10.8
  Fri, Nov 28 315 @Louisiana W 51-45 35%     1 - 6 +0.0 -14.5 +15.3
  Tue, Dec 2 155 @Kennesaw St. L 73-88 11%     1 - 7 -11.9 -1.4 -9.9
  Wed, Dec 10 8 @Houston L 38-80 1%     1 - 8 -18.7 -19.6 -2.8
  Sat, Dec 13 61 @Northwestern L 53-93 3%     1 - 9 -28.0 -16.9 -9.7
  Thu, Dec 18 242 Hampton L 77-84 30%     1 - 10 -11.6 +0.1 -11.6
  Fri, Dec 19 243 Norfolk St. L 72-82 31%     1 - 11 -14.7 -2.9 -11.3
  Mon, Dec 29 55 @TCU L 59-82 2%    
  Sat, Jan 3 340 Alcorn St. W 78-74 65%    
  Sat, Jan 10 281 @Alabama St. L 72-79 27%    
  Mon, Jan 12 285 @Alabama A&M L 67-73 27%    
  Sat, Jan 17 327 Prairie View W 78-75 60%    
  Mon, Jan 19 321 Texas Southern W 76-73 59%    
  Sat, Jan 24 266 @Bethune-Cookman L 70-77 25%    
  Wed, Jan 28 343 @Florida A&M L 73-74 45%    
  Sat, Jan 31 241 Grambling St. L 70-72 41%    
  Mon, Feb 2 206 Southern L 75-79 36%    
  Sat, Feb 7 365 @Mississippi Valley W 77-67 83%    
  Mon, Feb 9 351 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 77-78 49%    
  Sat, Feb 14 343 Florida A&M W 76-71 66%    
  Mon, Feb 16 266 Bethune-Cookman L 73-74 45%    
  Sat, Feb 21 340 @Alcorn St. L 75-77 44%    
  Thu, Feb 26 327 @Prairie View L 75-78 39%    
  Sat, Feb 28 321 @Texas Southern L 73-76 38%    
  Tue, Mar 3 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-75 70%    
  Thu, Mar 5 365 Mississippi Valley W 80-64 93%    
Projected Record 10 - 21 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 3.5 2.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 9.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 4.7 3.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 10.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.9 4.4 0.9 0.0 11.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 4.0 5.7 1.2 0.1 11.3 5th
6th 0.1 2.4 6.2 2.1 0.1 11.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 5.6 3.3 0.2 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.9 4.2 4.1 0.5 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.2 1.0 0.0 8.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 2.1 3.2 1.2 0.1 7.2 10th
11th 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.6 0.8 0.1 4.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.1 4.4 8.0 11.2 13.6 14.9 14.4 11.9 8.6 5.2 2.7 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 91.3% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 83.2% 1.0    0.7 0.2 0.0
14-4 57.5% 1.6    0.9 0.6 0.1
13-5 29.6% 1.5    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.2% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.2% 5.2 2.6 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 23.3% 23.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 11.5% 11.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.2% 14.5% 14.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.0
14-4 2.7% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 0.3 2.5
13-5 5.2% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 0.5 4.7
12-6 8.6% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 0.7 8.0
11-7 11.9% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.7 11.2
10-8 14.4% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.6 13.8
9-9 14.9% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.5 14.4
8-10 13.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 13.3
7-11 11.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 11.2
6-12 8.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.0
5-13 4.4% 4.4
4-14 2.1% 2.1
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.7 96.3 0.0%