Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -11.3 332
Expected Predictive Rating -8.6 307
Pace 73.7 50
Improvement +3.6 57

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 293 D- D+ D C- D-
Defense D- 341 D D D+ D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% 354 D- 50% 340 -7.4 359
2 Pt. Jumpers 46% 84 C 38% 167 +2.2 70
Three Pointers 44% 115 D 30% 316 -0.7 206
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.3 330 D- -4.6 326
1st FG Attempt D- 0.90 341
Second Chance D 26.3% 297 C- 1.00 216 D+ 0.26 285
Turnovers D 18.9% 303
Freethrows D 0.27 301 B 76% 47 C- 0.20 243
Total Offense D+ -4.6 293

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots F+ 34% 351 D+ 12.6% 276
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 18% 276 C 5.5% 220
Three Pointers D+ 79% 280 D- 1.7% 332
Total D- 46% 343 C- 5.9% 218

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 182 D- 66% 346 +3.0 281
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 322 B+ 34% 36 -2.5 14
Three Pointers 45% 51 D+ 36% 253 +3.5 328
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 278 D +3.3 305
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 311
Second Chance F+ 36.0% 347 C- 1.05 217 D 0.38 325
Turnovers D+ 15.3% 275
Freethrows D+ 0.34 288 C- 73% 244 D+ 0.25 289
Total Defense D- -6.6 341

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F 63% 360 D 7.1% 324
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 45% 360 A 10.0% 15
Three Pointers D- 91% 347 C+ 1.3% 96
Total F 70% 361 C- 4.9% 232

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 210 15.6 4
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 161 0.24 351
Improvement +5.1 #9 -1.5 #271

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 347 331 313
Conference Record 9 - 9 11 - 7 12 - 6
Conference Finish 6 3 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5% 5% 4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 1% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 99% 100% 98%
Conference Champion 5% 9% 1%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four5% 5% 4%
First Round2% 2% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Alcorn St. (Away) - 46.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 20 - 10 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 10
Quad 412 - 1112 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 5 @Illinois L 55 - 113 0% -33  0% 0 - 1 F -32 F -15 D- F D+ F -13 F F B+
 Thu, Nov 6 12 @Louisville L 70 - 106 1% -22  1% 0 - 2 D- -14 D+ -3 A- F B D- -8 D+ D+ D
 Sat, Nov 15 218 @Louisiana Tech L 51 - 68 15% -3  38% 0 - 3 F+ -17 F -20 F D- D- B- +2 B+ D- C+
 Wed, Nov 19 33 @Auburn L 66 - 112 1% -26  1% 0 - 4 F -28 F+ -10 D+ C F F -15 F B+ D+
 Fri, Nov 21 17 @Arkansas L 61 - 115 1% -30  3% 0 - 5 F -32 F -12 F A- F F -16 F D F+
 Sun, Nov 23 136 Winthrop L 62 - 80 18% -8  15% 0 - 6 F -20 F -10 C F+ F+ F -11 F+ D- D
 Fri, Nov 28 303 @Louisiana W 51 - 45 28% +5  89% 1 - 6 C +1 F -19 F F D- A+ +20 A+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 165 @Kennesaw St. L 73 - 88 10% -9  24% 1 - 7 D- -12 D -5 F B F+ D -6 A F F+
 Wed, Dec 10 6 @Houston L 38 - 80 0% -22  2% 1 - 8 F+ -17 F -22 D+ F F C+ +2 B F A
 Sat, Dec 13 67 @Northwestern L 53 - 93 3% -18  0% 1 - 9 F -29 F -20 F F C D- -8 D- C- B-
 Thu, Dec 18 257 Hampton L 77 - 84 29% -5  12% 1 - 10 D- -12 C- -1 C+ D C F -12 F+ F B
 Fri, Dec 19 306 Norfolk St. L 72 - 82 40% -11  12% 1 - 11 F -19 F+ -9 D- D+ F F+ -9 F B+ C
 Mon, Dec 29 50 @TCU L 64 - 115 2% -24  0% 1 - 12 F -37 D- -6 D- B+ D- F -28 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 3 349 Alcorn St. W 89 - 86 69% +7  86% 2 - 12 1 - 0 D- -13 B- +5 B+ F A- F -18 F F F
 Sat, Jan 10 309 @Alabama St. W 75 - 64 30% +7  90% 3 - 12 2 - 0 B- +5 D- -7 F D- D+ A+ +11 A+ F A+
 Mon, Jan 12 307 @Alabama A&M L 91 - 100 30% -6  14% 3 - 13 2 - 1 F+ -15 C +1 D D- A- F -14 F F D+
 Sat, Jan 17 334 Prairie View W 82 - 78 62% +4  83% 4 - 13 3 - 1 D -10 D+ -4 C+ D- F D- -7 C D- C-
 Mon, Jan 19 297 Texas Southern W 94 - 89 48% +5  96% 5 - 13 4 - 1 D+ -6 A- +10 A D- B F -16 F D+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 241 @Bethune-Cookman L 48 - 85 18% -16  8% 5 - 14 4 - 2 F -38 F -28 F F D F+ -8 C F D-
 Mon, Jan 26 333 @Florida A&M W 66 - 65 39% -3  10% 6 - 14 5 - 2 D+ -7 D+ -3 F A- C+ D+ -5 C- D+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 293 Grambling St. L 66 - 69 47% -3  14% 6 - 15 5 - 3 D- -13 D- -7 F D- C+ D- -7 D C+ D
 Mon, Feb 2 267 Southern L 91 - 96 OT 41% -11  1% 6 - 16 5 - 4 D- -14 C +0 C- D+ A- F -13 F C+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 365 @Mississippi Valley W 97 - 81 82% +6  72% 7 - 16 6 - 4 D+ -5 B +7 F A+ D- F -13 F C F
 Mon, Feb 9 328 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 63 - 84 37% -10  5% 7 - 17 6 - 5 F -29 F -13 F B+ D- F -18 F D+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 333 Florida A&M W 80 - 60 62% +12  99% 8 - 17 7 - 5 B- +6 C +1 C D+ B- B+ +5 A+ B D
 Mon, Feb 16 241 Bethune-Cookman W 91 - 86 35% +2  69% 9 - 17 8 - 5 C- -2 B +6 A- C+ D+ F+ -9 C F D+
 Sat, Feb 21 349 @Alcorn St. L 78 - 79 47%
 Thu, Feb 26 334 @Prairie View L 81 - 84 39%
 Sat, Feb 28 297 @Texas Southern L 77 - 83 27%
 Tue, Mar 3 328 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83 - 80 59%
 Thu, Mar 5 365 Mississippi Valley W 83 - 67 93%
Totals 12 - 19 11 - 7 -11 D+ -5 F D- D- D- -7 D B C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D- C D D- 30% 46% 44% D- D- D C- D+ D D B C- D- D- B+ D+ D 39% 16% 45% D+ D F+ C- D D+ D+ C- D+
1.02 50% 38% 30% -5 -1 0.90 26% 1.0 .26 19% .27 76% .20 1.18 66% 34% 36% +3 +1 1.10 36% 1.0 .38 15% .34 73% .20
Nov
3		 Illinois F A- F+ F D 13% 42% 45% F D- F F F D+ B+ B- B+ F B+ C+ F F 32% 9% 59% C- F F C F B+ F+ A+ C
0.73 63% 28% 26% -9 -4 0.75 9% 0.3 .02 15% .22 71% .15 1.50 56% 40% 52% +15 +1 1.34 58% 1.2 .72 16% .38 67% .25
Nov
6		 Louisville D+ F C+ A+ A- 30% 25% 45% C+ A- F+ F F B D+ F F+ D- F F C+ D+ 48% 5% 46% D D+ D- C+ D+ D F B F
0.91 41% 36% 44% +1 -1 1.02 17% 0.6 .10 16% .25 56% .14 1.37 74% 67% 35% +10 +3 1.27 41% 1.0 .41 13% .52 74% .39
Nov
15		 Louisiana Tech F F F F F 33% 7% 61% B F F B+ D- D- C B C+ B- B+ A+ A- A 63% 12% 26% F B+ F B- D- C+ F B+ F
0.75 27% 0% 21% -24 +1 0.57 23% 1.2 .27 20% .31 76% .24 0.99 48% 0% 27% -13 +3 0.81 46% 0.7 .34 19% .56 58% .32
Nov
19		 Auburn F+ D B+ D C 26% 39% 35% F D+ B F C F A C A- F F F F F 44% 5% 51% F+ F A D+ B+ D+ A+ D A
0.87 50% 44% 31% -1 -3 0.93 33% 0.8 .27 29% .35 74% .26 1.48 88% 67% 43% +22 +2 1.51 32% 1.1 .36 12% .29 79% .23
Nov
21		 Arkansas F F C- F F 25% 33% 42% F F C A+ A- F D- B+ D+ F F A+ F F 54% 15% 31% F+ F D+ D+ D F+ F D+ F
0.80 31% 35% 23% -15 -3 0.67 29% 1.6 .46 26% .20 73% .14 1.51 79% 25% 53% +18 +2 1.43 38% 1.3 .50 8% .51 78% .40
Nov
23		 Winthrop F C- A C B- 18% 33% 49% F C D F F+ F+ F F F F F+ A+ F+ F 37% 11% 52% C- F+ C F D- D A+ F A+
0.96 56% 50% 33% +3 -3 1.02 24% 0.9 .21 20% .16 63% .10 1.24 65% 17% 39% +4 +1 1.13 33% 1.3 .42 12% .18 90% .16
Nov
28		 Louisiana F F A- F F 38% 22% 40% D F F F+ F D- F A- F A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 14% 51% F A+ F D- F A+ F A+ C-
0.82 47% 45% 20% -11 0 0.80 23% 0.9 .20 21% .10 80% .08 0.73 53% 17% 14% -20 +1 0.63 37% 1.0 .37 26% .35 50% .17
Dec
2		 Kennesaw St. D F B- F F 31% 24% 45% F+ F C- A+ B F+ A A+ A+ D C A+ A+ A+ 41% 2% 57% F A F D+ F F+ F B+ F
1.00 33% 42% 27% -11 -1 0.78 29% 1.3 .37 19% .49 90% .44 1.21 57% 0% 21% -12 +3 0.82 50% 1.0 .52 12% .61 64% .39
Dec
10		 Houston F F F+ C- D+ 17% 20% 63% D+ D+ D F F F F F F C+ D- F A B- 15% 33% 52% A- B F F F A C+ A+ A
0.59 29% 25% 31% -11 -1 0.78 23% 0.4 .10 39% .13 60% .08 1.24 71% 56% 28% +3 -3 1.02 46% 1.4 .64 17% .24 54% .13
Dec
13		 Northwestern F F D+ F F 27% 24% 49% D+ F F F F C A+ F+ B+ D- F A+ A D 41% 11% 48% F D- D- B+ C- B- F D+ F
0.73 36% 33% 24% -15 -1 0.71 19% 0.5 .10 18% .39 65% .25 1.28 89% 20% 27% +6 +1 1.17 34% 1.2 .41 14% .62 77% .48
Dec
18		 Hampton C- B- A+ D- B- 33% 22% 44% D+ C+ F B+ D C F A+ D F A+ B F F 30% 30% 41% B- F+ C- F F B F F F
1.07 67% 58% 29% +4 -1 1.09 19% 1.2 .22 17% .27 81% .22 1.17 38% 31% 50% +2 -2 1.02 34% 1.5 .52 21% .55 84% .46
Dec
19		 Norfolk St. F+ D+ F A+ D+ 24% 34% 42% F D- D+ C- D+ F F B+ D- F+ F C- F F 20% 37% 43% A+ F D+ A+ B+ C D- F F
0.99 58% 24% 43% +1 -3 0.98 29% 1.0 .29 22% .28 75% .21 1.12 70% 39% 48% +12 -3 1.18 32% 0.7 .24 19% .41 83% .34
Dec
29		 TCU D- F B B D 30% 32% 38% F+ D- C A+ B+ D- C D+ C F F F F F 43% 15% 43% D+ F C+ B B- F A+ F A-
0.87 27% 44% 37% -6 -2 0.86 26% 1.3 .34 23% .26 67% .18 1.56 88% 56% 50% +26 +1 1.56 33% 1.0 .33 11% .18 100% .18
Jan
3		 Alcorn St. B- A+ C- B A- 36% 16% 48% D B+ F F F A- A A+ A+ F B- A+ F F 28% 28% 44% B F F F F F F A+ F
1.27 83% 38% 38% +12 0 1.26 24% 0.9 .21 14% .42 84% .35 1.23 53% 20% 54% +7 -2 1.13 34% 1.1 .37 14% .40 58% .23
Jan
10		 Alabama St. D- D+ F F F 53% 16% 31% B F C F D- D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 60% 11% 29% F A+ F B F A+ F B D-
0.99 56% 0% 25% -12 +2 0.82 33% 0.8 .28 20% .53 88% .46 0.85 39% 17% 13% -23 +3 0.62 48% 0.8 .37 25% .37 67% .25
Jan
12		 Alabama A&M C B- A+ F D 32% 13% 55% C D F A+ D- A- A+ A- A+ F F B- C+ F 37% 18% 45% D- F C- F F D+ F D- F
1.12 63% 63% 27% -1 0 1.02 15% 1.5 .22 12% .43 77% .34 1.23 78% 33% 32% +5 0 1.12 25% 1.6 .41 16% .63 79% .50
Jan
17		 Prairie View D+ A D- C+ C+ 37% 17% 46% C C+ B F D- F D+ D D D- C+ B- C+ C 31% 31% 39% C C F+ C- D- C- F D+ F
1.11 70% 33% 36% +5 0 1.13 42% 0.8 .32 23% .35 70% .25 1.05 53% 33% 32% -4 -2 0.90 29% 1.1 .32 15% .56 77% .43
Jan
19		 Texas Southern A- A+ A+ B- A+ 38% 24% 38% D- A D- D D- B A- A+ A+ F F C- A- F 41% 9% 50% F F F A+ D+ D F C F
1.29 74% 58% 37% +12 0 1.26 27% 1.0 .27 14% .45 86% .38 1.22 83% 40% 29% +6 +2 1.18 38% 0.8 .31 15% .39 71% .27
Jan
24		 Bethune-Cookman F F F F F 33% 21% 46% D- F F D+ F D F A+ F F+ C- A+ C C+ 48% 20% 32% D- C F F F D- D+ F F
0.65 32% 17% 15% -26 0 0.49 22% 1.1 .24 18% .17 90% .15 1.15 59% 18% 33% -4 +1 0.96 38% 1.4 .53 15% .35 82% .29
Jan
26		 Florida A&M D+ B+ F C F+ 21% 40% 40% F F B+ B A- C+ A F+ B D+ F A+ A- D 25% 29% 46% A- C- D C D+ F D+ A+ B-
1.06 67% 24% 35% -3 -4 0.88 38% 1.1 .41 18% .41 71% .29 1.05 92% 21% 27% -1 -2 0.96 31% 0.8 .26 15% .32 53% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Grambling St. D- C D+ F+ D- 27% 27% 47% F F F+ D+ D- C+ A+ C A+ D- B A+ F D- 29% 17% 54% C D F A+ C+ D A- C+ A-
1.00 58% 33% 29% -5 -2 0.89 26% 1.0 .26 18% .56 73% .41 1.05 50% 13% 42% 0 0 1.02 38% 0.7 .25 18% .26 71% .19
Feb
2		 Southern C F C+ A C 26% 26% 48% D- C- D C D+ A- A C+ A F D+ B- F+ F+ 46% 20% 34% F F F+ A+ C+ F F B F
1.13 47% 40% 43% +4 -2 1.07 28% 1.1 .30 15% .45 77% .35 1.19 61% 33% 38% +2 +1 1.08 36% 0.8 .27 11% .48 65% .31
Feb
7		 Mississippi Valley B F A+ D- F 30% 6% 64% B- F A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A A+ F D+ F+ D F 30% 39% 30% C- F D+ B C F F B D-
1.28 40% 67% 31% -6 +1 0.92 53% 1.6 .84 20% .58 83% .48 1.07 59% 45% 35% +4 -3 1.04 26% 0.8 .21 13% .37 67% .24
Feb
9		 Arkansas Pine Bluff F F B F F 18% 37% 45% F F C+ A- B+ D- F F F F C F F F 37% 27% 37% C F D C+ D+ F D- F+ F+
0.96 33% 42% 22% -11 -4 0.73 37% 1.3 .49 18% .28 67% .19 1.28 56% 54% 50% +12 -1 1.24 30% 0.9 .27 11% .36 81% .29
Feb
14		 Florida A&M C C+ B+ C+ C+ 52% 26% 22% C- C B+ F D+ B- C C+ C B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 31% 29% 40% B A+ A C- B D F F F
1.15 62% 46% 36% +5 0 1.12 38% 0.7 .26 17% .33 79% .26 0.86 50% 23% 22% -14 -2 0.71 20% 0.9 .17 19% .48 89% .43
Feb
16		 Bethune-Cookman B D A A+ A 47% 17% 36% C A- D+ B+ C+ D+ A+ B+ A+ F+ F A+ A+ C 50% 21% 29% D C F F F D+ F F F
1.18 50% 50% 47% +5 +1 1.15 29% 1.3 .38 17% .55 77% .42 1.11 73% 18% 20% -3 +1 0.98 34% 1.2 .40 17% .51 76% .39



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 2.5 1.9 4.5 1st
2nd 0.7 15.4 13.3 1.5 30.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 6.7 16.9 1.5 25.1 3rd
4th 0.1 13.2 1.9 15.3 4th
5th 1.9 9.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.1 7.5 1.8 9.4 6th
7th 0.3 2.9 0.0 3.2 7th
8th 0.4 0.2 0.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.9 12.6 31.5 34.4 17.2 3.4 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 55.9% 1.9    0.5 1.2 0.2
12-6 14.3% 2.5    0.1 1.0 1.2 0.3
11-7 0.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.5% 4.5 0.6 2.2 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 3.4% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 0.3 3.1
12-6 17.2% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 1.1 16.1
11-7 34.4% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 1.5 32.9
10-8 31.5% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 1.2 30.2
9-9 12.6% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.4 12.2
8-10 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 16.0 95.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.1%
Lose Out 0.9%