Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#249
Expected Predictive Rating-2.5#220
Pace66.1#260
Improvement+0.3#144

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#324
First Shot-2.0#240
After Offensive Rebound-3.6#345
Layup/Dunks-1.7#233
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#32
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#194
Freethrows-3.4#340
Improvement+1.4#47

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#142
First Shot+1.5#123
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#231
Layups/Dunks-0.1#201
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#245
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#110
Freethrows+0.6#155
Improvement-1.1#287
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.7% 22.6% 17.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 46.1% 70.5% 44.0%
.500 or above in Conference 92.9% 97.2% 92.6%
Conference Champion 24.6% 33.3% 23.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four13.3% 13.3% 13.2%
First Round11.6% 16.0% 11.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marquette (Away) - 7.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 31 - 42 - 11
Quad 414 - 615 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 30   @ Illinois L 47-71 4%     0 - 1 -8.7 -17.5 +7.8
  Nov 12, 2021 108   @ Louisiana Tech L 68-70 14%     0 - 2 +5.1 -6.1 +11.3
  Nov 16, 2021 218   @ California Baptist L 64-77 30%     0 - 3 -12.4 -4.8 -8.8
  Nov 21, 2021 114   @ Marshall L 66-80 15%     0 - 4 -7.6 -6.8 -0.5
  Nov 23, 2021 32   @ Indiana L 35-70 4%     0 - 5 -19.8 -25.4 +2.5
  Nov 27, 2021 183   @ Louisiana W 75-70 26%     1 - 5 +6.9 +0.4 +6.3
  Nov 30, 2021 71   @ Marquette L 63-78 8%    
  Dec 04, 2021 244   @ Illinois St. L 67-71 37%    
  Dec 12, 2021 58   @ Iowa St. L 58-74 8%    
  Dec 14, 2021 112   @ Northern Iowa L 62-73 15%    
  Dec 16, 2021 57   @ Drake L 56-72 7%    
  Dec 21, 2021 158   @ Stephen F. Austin L 63-71 23%    
  Jan 03, 2022 316   Alcorn St. W 67-60 74%    
  Jan 08, 2022 339   @ Alabama St. W 69-64 67%    
  Jan 10, 2022 341   @ Alabama A&M W 66-61 68%    
  Jan 15, 2022 253   Prairie View W 71-68 61%    
  Jan 17, 2022 199   Texas Southern W 66-65 50%    
  Jan 22, 2022 344   @ Bethune-Cookman W 69-63 69%    
  Jan 24, 2022 305   @ Florida A&M W 64-63 51%    
  Jan 29, 2022 323   Grambling St. W 69-61 75%    
  Jan 31, 2022 289   Southern W 69-64 68%    
  Feb 05, 2022 358   @ Mississippi Valley W 78-61 93%    
  Feb 07, 2022 357   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 71-59 86%    
  Feb 12, 2022 305   Florida A&M W 66-60 71%    
  Feb 14, 2022 344   Bethune-Cookman W 72-60 85%    
  Feb 19, 2022 316   @ Alcorn St. W 64-63 53%    
  Feb 26, 2022 199   @ Texas Southern L 63-69 30%    
  Feb 28, 2022 253   @ Prairie View L 68-71 40%    
  Mar 03, 2022 357   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 74-56 94%    
  Mar 05, 2022 358   Mississippi Valley W 81-58 98%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.9 5.7 7.4 5.7 3.0 0.7 24.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.7 7.3 7.2 2.7 0.3 0.0 20.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 6.8 5.6 1.2 0.1 16.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 5.9 4.4 0.8 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 4.5 3.5 0.7 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.8 2.8 0.5 0.0 6.6 6th
7th 0.4 1.5 2.1 0.6 4.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.4 0.4 0.0 2.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.8 6.6 9.7 12.2 14.8 15.7 14.0 10.2 6.0 3.1 0.7 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
17-1 99.7% 3.0    3.0 0.1
16-2 94.7% 5.7    5.0 0.7 0.0
15-3 72.7% 7.4    4.6 2.6 0.2
14-4 40.4% 5.7    2.1 2.6 0.9 0.1
13-5 11.9% 1.9    0.2 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 24.6% 24.6 15.5 6.8 1.9 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.7% 46.4% 46.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4
17-1 3.1% 45.9% 45.9% 15.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7
16-2 6.0% 35.0% 35.0% 15.8 0.1 0.4 1.7 3.9
15-3 10.2% 31.0% 31.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 2.8 7.1
14-4 14.0% 24.4% 24.4% 16.0 0.1 3.4 10.6
13-5 15.7% 18.0% 18.0% 16.0 0.0 2.8 12.8
12-6 14.8% 12.6% 12.6% 16.0 1.9 12.9
11-7 12.2% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 1.3 10.9
10-8 9.7% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 0.8 9.0
9-9 6.6% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.3 6.2
8-10 3.8% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.2 3.6
7-11 2.0% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.1 1.9
6-12 0.9% 0.9
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 17.7% 17.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.3 16.2 82.3 0.0%