Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#215
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#219
Pace74.5#57
Improvement+5.3#3

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#232
First Shot-0.4#181
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#314
Layup/Dunks-2.4#267
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#349
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.4#8
Freethrows-2.7#323
Improvement+2.1#47

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#199
First Shot-1.5#215
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#154
Layups/Dunks-0.7#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#55
Freethrows-1.8#303
Improvement+3.2#12
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.0% 6.8% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.2
.500 or above 49.8% 59.3% 32.7%
.500 or above in Conference 40.5% 49.8% 23.7%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.6% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.5% 1.7% 6.7%
First Four0.9% 0.9% 1.1%
First Round5.6% 6.5% 4.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Asheville (Home) - 64.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 32 - 53 - 9
Quad 411 - 514 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 74 @Virginia Tech L 67-98 10%     0 - 1 -20.4 -8.1 -9.1
  Mon, Nov 10 356 @The Citadel W 96-86 76%     1 - 1 -0.7 +13.4 -14.4
  Thu, Nov 13 292 @Alabama A&M L 64-68 52%     1 - 2 -8.0 -8.7 +0.6
  Fri, Nov 14 228 Lindenwood L 77-83 52%     1 - 3 -10.0 -4.3 -5.1
  Tue, Nov 18 355 IU Indianapolis W 103-91 89%     2 - 3 -4.7 +5.0 -11.5
  Fri, Nov 21 270 @East Carolina W 77-65 48%     3 - 3 +9.1 +5.1 +3.9
  Fri, Nov 28 90 @South Carolina L 62-74 12%     3 - 4 -2.7 -6.0 +3.4
  Tue, Dec 2 214 @Tennessee Martin L 56-73 38%     3 - 5 -17.4 -12.5 -5.9
  Mon, Dec 8 359 South Carolina St. W 84-44 90%     4 - 5 +22.2 +4.9 +18.2
  Thu, Dec 18 348 North Florida W 113-90 86%     5 - 5 +7.8 +14.5 -9.7
  Sun, Dec 21 148 @Furman L 76-84 24%     5 - 6 -4.1 +0.3 -3.9
  Sun, Dec 28 113 @Richmond W 77-72 18%     6 - 6 +11.3 +5.3 +5.9
  Sat, Jan 3 235 UNC Asheville W 76-72 64%    
  Wed, Jan 7 131 @Winthrop L 77-85 22%    
  Sat, Jan 10 101 High Point L 78-84 30%    
  Wed, Jan 14 264 South Carolina Upstate W 78-73 69%    
  Wed, Jan 21 287 @Presbyterian W 70-69 51%    
  Sat, Jan 24 300 @Longwood W 78-77 54%    
  Thu, Jan 29 260 Radford W 85-80 68%    
  Wed, Feb 4 101 @High Point L 75-87 14%    
  Sat, Feb 7 264 @South Carolina Upstate L 75-76 47%    
  Thu, Feb 12 287 Presbyterian W 72-66 72%    
  Sat, Feb 14 260 @Radford L 82-83 46%    
  Sat, Feb 21 300 Longwood W 81-74 74%    
  Thu, Feb 26 131 Winthrop L 80-82 41%    
  Sat, Feb 28 235 @UNC Asheville L 73-75 42%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.2 1.9 0.7 0.1 5.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.4 5.8 4.2 1.1 0.0 13.7 3rd
4th 0.2 2.9 8.1 4.7 0.9 0.0 16.8 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 8.4 5.1 0.6 0.0 16.8 5th
6th 0.2 2.6 8.1 5.3 0.7 0.0 16.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.7 6.5 4.8 0.7 0.0 15.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.0 4.9 2.9 0.5 0.0 12.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 9th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.8 7.9 12.1 16.2 17.4 16.3 11.9 7.3 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 76.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1
12-4 39.1% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1
11-5 10.7% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.3% 19.8% 19.8% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-4 1.2% 26.4% 26.4% 13.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9
11-5 3.4% 16.3% 16.3% 14.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.9
10-6 7.3% 13.7% 13.7% 14.5 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 6.3
9-7 11.9% 9.3% 9.3% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 10.8
8-8 16.3% 6.3% 6.3% 15.2 0.1 0.6 0.3 15.3
7-9 17.4% 5.1% 5.1% 15.5 0.0 0.4 0.5 16.5
6-10 16.2% 3.4% 3.4% 15.9 0.0 0.5 15.6
5-11 12.1% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 11.8
4-12 7.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 7.8
3-13 3.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 3.8
2-14 1.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.6
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.4 2.0 94.0 0.0%