Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.2#342
Expected Predictive Rating-8.1#288
Pace80.4#11
Improvement+1.4#82

Offense
Total Offense-7.7#346
First Shot-9.9#354
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#69
Layup/Dunks-3.6#287
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#180
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#277
Freethrows-2.6#309
Improvement-0.2#201

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#325
First Shot-5.7#329
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#164
Layups/Dunks-4.9#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#94
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#273
Freethrows+0.4#167
Improvement+1.6#55
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 0.8% 1.5% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 6.8% 8.8% 4.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 38.8% 34.2% 43.5%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee St. (Home) - 51.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 9
Quad 46 - 117 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 61   @ Mississippi L 68-93 2%     0 - 1 -14.3 -3.4 -8.4
  Nov 17, 2021 51   @ Wake Forest L 59-95 2%     0 - 2 -24.0 -15.9 -3.8
  Nov 22, 2021 99   @ Georgia Tech L 70-85 3%     0 - 3 -6.8 -0.3 -6.1
  Nov 26, 2021 56   @ Clemson L 59-91 2%     0 - 4 -20.7 -11.1 -8.1
  Nov 28, 2021 283   @ Kennesaw St. L 52-89 18%     0 - 5 -40.5 -26.1 -11.4
  Dec 02, 2021 251   Jacksonville L 56-67 30%     0 - 6 -18.7 -18.1 -0.4
  Dec 05, 2021 191   @ Tarleton St. W 59-57 9%     1 - 6 +3.9 -5.8 +9.9
  Dec 16, 2021 327   Tennessee St. W 77-76 51%    
  Dec 20, 2021 270   Manhattan L 68-75 25%    
  Dec 21, 2021 352   South Carolina St. W 81-78 61%    
  Jan 05, 2022 216   Gardner-Webb L 68-76 23%    
  Jan 08, 2022 255   @ UNC Asheville L 69-80 15%    
  Jan 12, 2022 171   @ Campbell L 60-76 7%    
  Jan 15, 2022 157   Winthrop L 76-87 16%    
  Jan 19, 2022 263   High Point L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 22, 2022 335   @ South Carolina Upstate L 74-78 37%    
  Jan 26, 2022 276   Presbyterian L 66-70 36%    
  Jan 29, 2022 333   Hampton W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 02, 2022 253   @ Radford L 64-75 15%    
  Feb 05, 2022 218   Longwood L 67-75 24%    
  Feb 09, 2022 284   @ N.C. A&T L 70-80 19%    
  Feb 12, 2022 216   @ Gardner-Webb L 65-79 10%    
  Feb 16, 2022 255   UNC Asheville L 72-77 32%    
  Feb 19, 2022 335   South Carolina Upstate W 77-75 58%    
  Feb 23, 2022 276   @ Presbyterian L 63-73 19%    
  Feb 26, 2022 157   @ Winthrop L 73-90 7%    
Projected Record 6 - 20 4 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.8 0.1 2.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 2.6 0.9 0.0 4.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 3.9 2.4 0.2 7.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.8 5.5 4.4 0.6 0.0 12.5 9th
10th 0.3 3.1 8.1 6.4 1.3 0.0 19.2 10th
11th 0.6 4.9 9.3 6.7 1.6 0.1 23.2 11th
12th 2.3 7.5 9.2 5.3 1.2 0.1 25.5 12th
Total 2.3 8.1 14.4 17.8 17.8 15.0 10.9 6.8 3.8 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 66.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-4 27.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 6.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-6 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-4 0.1% 6.8% 6.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-5 0.3% 3.1% 3.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
10-6 0.8% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.8
9-7 1.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.8
8-8 3.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.8
7-9 6.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.8
6-10 10.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.9
5-11 15.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.0
4-12 17.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.8
3-13 17.8% 17.8
2-14 14.4% 14.4
1-15 8.1% 8.1
0-16 2.3% 2.3
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%