Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -5.5 258
Expected Predictive Rating -7.5 285
Pace 76.3 23
Improvement -2.0 267

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 263 C+ D D+ F+ B
Defense C- 234 B- C+ F D+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 216 C 57% 189 -0.9 213
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 344 C- 36% 241 -3.9 343
Three Pointers 52% 17 C 34% 164 +5.7 28
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 42 C -0.2 182
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 141
Second Chance C- 28.5% 235 D- 0.90 331 D 0.26 302
Turnovers D+ 18.4% 285
Freethrows D- 0.25 332 F+ 66% 346 F+ 0.17 350
Total Offense D+ -3.6 263

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 45% 237 B- 9.3% 86
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 20% 253 D 7.5% 318
Three Pointers D+ 79% 290 C 0.9% 171
Total C+ 57% 151 B- 4.7% 87

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 93 B 53% 60 +0.1 184
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 30 C+ 37% 123 +2.1 330
Three Pointers 31% 362 C 34% 189 -5.1 12
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 85 B- -2.4 87
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 82
Second Chance C+ 29.2% 132 C 1.03 189 C+ 0.30 151
Turnovers F 12.0% 364
Freethrows D 0.35 317 B- 71% 84 D+ 0.25 296
Total Defense C- -1.9 234

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 41% 40 B 15.4% 49
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 24 D+ 3.6% 259
Three Pointers B- 80% 67 D+ 0.4% 299
Total A- 45% 11 B 7.6% 50

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.1 63 16.4 32
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 314 0.17 187
Improvement -1.9 #279 -0.1 #196

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 283 259 233
Conference Record 4 - 12 5 - 11 7 - 9
Conference Finish 8 7 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 2% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 2% 2%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Longwood (Home) - 63.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 52 - 10
Quad 410 - 812 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 59 @Virginia Tech L 67 - 98 6% -13  12% 0 - 1 F -19 F+ -9 C- F C- D- -6 B F F
 Mon, Nov 10 342 @The Citadel W 96 - 86 65% +0  43% 1 - 1 C +1 A +13 B B- B F -13 F A F
 Thu, Nov 13 307 @Alabama A&M L 64 - 68 51% -5  20% 1 - 2 D -10 F -13 D C F B- +3 A- F B+
 Fri, Nov 14 260 Lindenwood L 77 - 83 50% +6  73% 1 - 3 D- -12 D- -7 B- F D- D+ -4 D+ A F
 Tue, Nov 18 323 IU Indianapolis W 103 - 91 77% +13  84% 2 - 3 C -1 B- +4 B+ B- D+ D- -7 B D+ F
 Fri, Nov 21 242 @East Carolina W 77 - 65 35% +7  99% 3 - 3 B +11 C+ +2 A- F A A +9 B+ C- D-
 Fri, Nov 28 94 @South Carolina L 62 - 74 10% -4  7% 3 - 4 C- -3 F+ -9 D+ F B- B+ +6 A C- F
 Tue, Dec 2 217 @Tennessee Martin L 56 - 73 30% -5  15% 3 - 5 F+ -17 F -13 F D D D -5 B B F
 Mon, Dec 8 357 South Carolina St. W 84 - 44 88% +15  72% 4 - 5 A +22 C+ +4 C+ F C+ A+ +19 A+ A+ C+
 Thu, Dec 18 339 North Florida W 113 - 90 81% +12  99% 5 - 5 B +8 A- +11 A+ F D- D -6 C+ B- F
 Sun, Dec 21 181 @Furman L 76 - 84 24% -6  10% 5 - 6 D+ -6 C- -2 C D B D+ -4 B D- F
 Sun, Dec 28 129 @Richmond W 77 - 72 16% +4  83% 6 - 6 B +10 C +1 C D+ D+ A +9 A- A+ D
 Wed, Dec 31 363 @Gardner-Webb W 89 - 79 82% -1  51% 7 - 6 1 - 0 D+ -5 C +2 C C+ D+ D- -8 A- F F
 Sat, Jan 3 226 UNC Asheville W 86 - 83 54% +6  95% 8 - 6 2 - 0 C- -4 B +6 A+ A F F+ -9 A+ F F
 Wed, Jan 7 136 @Winthrop L 77 - 81 17% +2  56% 8 - 7 2 - 1 C +0 D -5 F A A B+ +6 A B- D
 Sat, Jan 10 89 High Point L 82 - 84 OT 20% +2  61% 8 - 8 2 - 2 C +1 D -5 C- F+ A+ A- +7 A A D
 Wed, Jan 14 302 South Carolina Upstate L 81 - 86 OT 70% +1  59% 8 - 9 2 - 3 F+ -16 D- -7 A F C+ F+ -8 A- F F
 Wed, Jan 21 272 @Presbyterian L 83 - 87 42% -8  5% 8 - 10 2 - 4 D+ -7 C+ +3 C+ A- C+ F -10 F A- F
 Fri, Jan 23 270 @Longwood L 79 - 81 OT 41% -6  10% 8 - 11 2 - 5 D+ -5 D- -8 C D F B- +3 C+ A C+
 Thu, Jan 29 234 Radford L 75 - 84 56% -8  6% 8 - 12 2 - 6 F+ -16 F -13 F F D C- -2 C+ D- C
 Wed, Feb 4 89 @High Point L 55 - 80 9% -11  7% 8 - 13 2 - 7 F+ -16 F -19 C+ F F B- +3 B C D
 Sat, Feb 7 302 @South Carolina Upstate L 94 - 100 OT 48% +0  48% 8 - 14 2 - 8 D -11 A- +10 B- A+ F F -21 F B F
 Thu, Feb 12 272 Presbyterian W 84 - 67 65% +8  94% 9 - 14 3 - 8 B- +8 B+ +8 B+ A+ F C +0 B C- C+
 Sat, Feb 14 234 @Radford L 80 - 90 33% -14  3% 9 - 15 3 - 9 D -11 D -4 B- F D+ D -6 F D- C-
 Tue, Feb 17 363 Gardner-Webb W 75 - 66 92% +10  99% 10 - 15 4 - 9 D- -12 F -15 F D B- B- +2 C- A+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 270 Longwood W 79 - 75 64%
 Thu, Feb 26 136 Winthrop L 79 - 83 36%
 Sat, Feb 28 226 @UNC Asheville L 71 - 76 32%
Totals 11 - 17 5 - 11 -5 D+ -4 F C B C- -2 C F+ F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C C- C C 37% 20% 52% B C+ C- D- D D+ D- F+ F+ C- B C+ C B- 42% 27% 31% B- B- C+ C C+ F D B- D+
1.04 57% 36% 34% 0 +1 1.04 29% 0.9 .26 18% .25 66% .17 1.11 53% 37% 34% -2 -1 0.96 29% 1.0 .30 12% .35 71% .18
Nov
3		 Virginia Tech F+ F F A D+ 38% 14% 48% B+ C- C F F C- C D- C- D- D- A C+ B 32% 29% 39% A- B F F F F F+ B D
0.86 41% 13% 39% -6 +1 0.91 29% 0.5 .16 19% .24 67% .16 1.26 70% 28% 33% +1 -2 1.00 41% 1.4 .57 9% .38 70% .27
Nov
10		 The Citadel A C+ A+ A B- 45% 7% 47% B+ B A- D B- B B A A- F F F F F 35% 33% 33% A F A A+ A F F B- F
1.33 64% 50% 42% +9 +2 1.25 40% 0.9 .37 12% .33 76% .25 1.19 67% 53% 41% +11 -2 1.21 19% 0.7 .13 11% .47 67% .31
Nov
13		 Alabama A&M F B F F D- 41% 11% 48% B- D B+ F+ C F B F D+ B- A+ D- D+ A 41% 34% 25% B- A- F F+ F B+ A+ F B+
0.92 67% 20% 29% -2 +1 1.00 38% 0.8 .30 26% .37 58% .21 0.98 26% 42% 36% -11 -2 0.77 38% 1.2 .45 20% .22 92% .20
Nov
14		 Lindenwood D- A A+ F+ C+ 41% 4% 55% B+ B- F+ F F D- F+ C- F+ D+ B D F+ D- 40% 32% 28% A D+ B A+ A F F C- F
0.99 70% 50% 29% +1 +2 1.09 25% 0.7 .18 20% .26 69% .18 1.06 52% 39% 38% -1 -1 0.98 27% 0.8 .23 14% .46 68% .31
Nov
18		 IU Indianapolis B- A+ A+ C+ A- 33% 7% 60% C B+ D+ A+ B- D+ B+ F D+ D- D A+ A B+ 38% 23% 39% C- B B- F D+ F F A+ D+
1.25 78% 75% 36% +11 +1 1.27 33% 1.5 .48 21% .46 60% .28 1.10 65% 25% 26% -5 0 0.91 24% 1.3 .33 5% .26 60% .15
Nov
21		 East Carolina C+ C F A+ A 22% 22% 56% D A- F F F A D- B- D A C B- A+ B+ 47% 33% 20% B- B+ A F C- D- D- A+ B
1.10 58% 25% 48% +9 -1 1.18 15% 0.8 .12 13% .21 77% .16 0.92 54% 35% 10% -10 -1 0.80 26% 1.3 .34 14% .40 54% .22
Nov
28		 South Carolina F+ D+ D+ F D- 43% 10% 47% A D+ C+ F F B- F F F B+ D+ D A+ A 37% 24% 39% B A A+ F C- F D- B D+
0.88 54% 33% 25% -9 +2 0.88 30% 0.5 .14 14% .13 63% .08 1.05 65% 46% 14% -7 -1 0.87 19% 1.7 .32 7% .38 76% .29
Dec
2		 Tennessee Martin F B B F F 19% 10% 71% C+ F C- D D D F F F D D+ A+ B+ B+ 27% 15% 58% C- B D- A B F F F F
0.85 67% 40% 24% -9 0 0.83 31% 0.8 .26 21% .23 58% .13 1.11 62% 14% 29% -7 0 0.88 40% 0.7 .27 12% .55 78% .43
Dec
8		 South Carolina St. C+ F F A+ C+ 34% 9% 57% C- C+ D+ F F C+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ 28% 52% 20% A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ C+ F A+ B
1.23 50% 25% 44% +5 +1 1.15 34% 0.7 .24 16% .52 80% .42 0.64 31% 25% 33% -15 -5 0.63 28% 0.5 .13 22% .45 38% .17
Dec
18		 North Florida A- A+ A- A+ A+ 25% 10% 65% C- A+ F F F D- C+ A+ B+ D C+ C C+ C+ 40% 16% 44% C C+ A+ F B- F F C- F
1.41 80% 50% 51% +24 0 1.50 23% 1.0 .23 15% .29 85% .25 1.12 56% 40% 33% -1 +1 1.02 16% 1.5 .24 11% .35 80% .28
Dec
21		 Furman C- B+ C F D+ 43% 8% 49% A C F+ C+ D B F F F D+ A- A D+ B 38% 21% 41% B+ B A+ F D- F F F F
1.02 63% 40% 26% -4 +2 0.98 23% 1.0 .23 12% .14 56% .08 1.13 52% 33% 35% -3 0 0.96 20% 1.8 .35 11% .39 77% .30
Dec
28		 Richmond C A F D- C- 31% 11% 58% A- C B F D+ D+ A D- B+ A A A- F A- 29% 39% 31% A A- C+ A+ A+ D F F F
1.06 71% 17% 28% -4 +1 0.96 36% 0.9 .31 18% .39 65% .25 1.00 47% 30% 44% -2 -3 0.92 24% 0.2 .05 12% .46 86% .39
Dec
31		 Gardner-Webb C F+ A+ B+ C- 48% 12% 40% B C D- A+ C+ D+ A+ F+ A+ D- A+ F+ D+ A 48% 13% 38% D A- F+ F F F F F F
1.21 54% 67% 40% +5 +2 1.16 29% 1.4 .41 16% .50 68% .34 1.07 28% 43% 35% -13 +2 0.79 28% 1.4 .38 14% .52 88% .46
Jan
3		 UNC Asheville B A+ A A- A+ 53% 9% 38% A A+ A B- A F A+ F A- F+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 42% 32% 26% F A+ F F F F F C F
1.19 72% 50% 39% +11 +3 1.30 42% 1.0 .42 22% .52 52% .27 1.15 33% 38% 23% -15 -1 0.70 44% 1.3 .58 11% .61 69% .42
Jan
7		 Winthrop D F+ A F F 43% 10% 47% B+ F C A+ A A C+ F F+ B+ B A- A+ A+ 54% 12% 34% F+ A D+ A- B- D F A+ C-
1.00 48% 50% 19% -14 +2 0.78 30% 1.5 .45 12% .34 57% .19 1.05 50% 29% 20% -13 +2 0.81 36% 0.9 .32 13% .46 61% .28
Jan
10		 High Point D F A+ A- D+ 46% 10% 44% B+ C- F B- F+ A+ F F F A- C+ A+ C A 49% 25% 25% B+ A C A+ A D F A+ F
1.01 41% 67% 39% -1 +2 1.03 19% 1.1 .21 15% .22 60% .13 1.04 59% 13% 33% -6 0 0.90 31% 0.8 .25 11% .56 60% .33
Jan
14		 South Carolina Upstate D- A+ A- C A 44% 16% 40% C+ A F F F C+ A- F D+ F+ A+ D+ A A- 46% 37% 17% A- A- D- F F F D- B+ D+
1.02 72% 44% 35% +8 +1 1.19 19% 0.0 .00 15% .37 52% .19 1.08 41% 39% 27% -9 -2 0.81 33% 1.3 .41 10% .35 64% .22
Jan
21		 Presbyterian C+ D+ F A- C 41% 7% 52% B+ C+ D A+ A- C+ F F F F F D+ F F 40% 36% 23% B+ F A+ F+ A- F F A- F
1.13 54% 25% 40% +2 +2 1.10 26% 1.6 .42 15% .13 38% .05 1.18 68% 41% 55% +13 -2 1.23 20% 1.2 .23 12% .56 61% .34
Jan
23		 Longwood D- F+ D A C 35% 6% 59% B C C+ F D F C- D- D+ B- A D F+ C+ 51% 33% 16% C+ C+ A+ B A C+ F F F
0.97 53% 33% 41% +4 +2 1.13 30% 0.7 .21 27% .33 65% .22 0.99 46% 41% 38% -4 -1 0.92 21% 0.9 .18 21% .52 82% .43
Jan
29		 Radford F C- F F F 42% 6% 52% B+ F C F F D A+ F A+ C- A+ F F C 45% 31% 24% A- C+ C F D- C F D- F
0.96 57% 0% 27% -8 +2 0.90 33% 0.7 .23 20% .58 61% .35 1.07 41% 47% 42% -2 -1 0.96 29% 1.3 .37 18% .51 79% .40
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 High Point F A+ D D C 29% 7% 63% C+ C+ B- F F F F A+ F B- C A+ A B+ 58% 15% 27% D B C- B- C D B- C B-
0.78 75% 33% 31% +2 +1 1.07 35% 0.6 .19 41% .17 86% .14 1.14 59% 25% 27% -4 +2 0.98 33% 1.1 .36 11% .32 75% .24
Feb
7		 South Carolina Upstate A- A- A+ D- B- 37% 5% 58% B B- A+ B+ A+ F D+ A+ B- F A- F F F 45% 23% 32% C- F D- A+ B F D F F
1.22 67% 67% 30% +1 +2 1.09 47% 1.3 .61 22% .28 82% .23 1.30 46% 64% 45% +6 0 1.15 33% 0.6 .21 4% .34 80% .27
Feb
12		 Presbyterian B+ A F D B- 57% 4% 39% A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F D+ B C- C D+ A A+ B 46% 36% 18% B B D- B- C- C+ F A- F
1.24 71% 0% 32% +5 +3 1.18 50% 1.3 .65 22% .27 71% .19 0.99 61% 28% 22% -6 -1 0.88 37% 0.9 .34 21% .52 61% .32
Feb
14		 Radford D F A+ A+ C+ 46% 3% 51% A B- F D F D+ F F F D D+ F F F 38% 26% 36% A- F C- F D- C- C- A- C+
1.04 44% 50% 47% +4 +3 1.15 22% 1.0 .22 19% .13 38% .05 1.17 60% 50% 42% +8 -1 1.17 31% 1.2 .36 17% .37 67% .25
Feb
17		 Gardner-Webb F F F F+ F 59% 7% 34% A+ F F+ B D B- C+ F C- B- F+ B A+ C- 43% 17% 40% C C- B+ A+ A+ F A D- A-
1.01 50% 0% 30% -9 +3 0.90 28% 1.2 .33 13% .31 65% .20 0.89 65% 30% 25% -4 +1 0.97 18% 0.1 .02 13% .17 73% .12



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 1.4 1.4 4th
5th 0.4 3.9 4.4 5th
6th 13.7 2.5 16.3 6th
7th 6.7 36.8 18.4 61.9 7th
8th 10.3 5.7 16.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 17.0 42.5 32.6 7.9 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 7.9% 2.9% 2.9% 15.7 0.1 0.2 7.7
6-10 32.6% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8 31.8
5-11 42.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.8 41.7
4-12 17.0% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 16.7
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 16.0 98.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 15.7 31.9 68.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.1%
Lose Out 2.6%