Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#280
Expected Predictive Rating-8.2#301
Pace65.5#265
Improvement+0.6#117

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#121
First Shot-1.1#223
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#18
Layup/Dunks-4.1#332
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#48
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#143
Freethrows-0.4#208
Improvement+0.1#182

Defense
Total Defense-8.1#357
First Shot-7.1#356
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#283
Layups/Dunks-4.3#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#317
Freethrows-2.1#320
Improvement+0.5#110
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.2% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 15.3% 26.9% 6.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.4% 0.3% 4.1%
First Four1.8% 2.2% 1.5%
First Round0.9% 1.1% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Away) - 44.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 71 - 10
Quad 48 - 89 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2022 29   @ Ohio St. L 56-82 3%     0 - 1 -10.6 -10.8 -0.6
  Nov 16, 2022 77   @ Tulane L 79-99 8%     0 - 2 -10.4 +4.9 -14.1
  Nov 21, 2022 354   Bethune-Cookman W 78-63 84%     1 - 2 -1.8 +1.1 -1.9
  Nov 25, 2022 49   @ Virginia Tech L 64-69 5%     1 - 3 +7.7 +6.8 +0.2
  Nov 30, 2022 301   The Citadel L 73-76 66%     1 - 4 -13.5 -2.7 -10.9
  Dec 02, 2022 129   @ South Florida L 59-79 15%     1 - 5 -15.0 -3.9 -13.4
  Dec 05, 2022 150   Kennesaw St. L 65-76 33%     1 - 6 -12.9 -12.6 +0.4
  Dec 14, 2022 321   @ Tennessee St. W 91-87 50%     2 - 6 -2.4 +8.6 -11.2
  Dec 17, 2022 197   @ Jacksonville L 63-72 23%     2 - 7 -7.7 +4.5 -14.0
  Dec 29, 2022 192   @ Gardner-Webb L 63-83 23%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -18.5 -0.7 -19.3
  Dec 31, 2022 306   South Carolina Upstate W 90-85 67%     3 - 8 1 - 1 -5.7 +15.1 -20.7
  Jan 04, 2023 181   Longwood L 74-79 38%     3 - 9 1 - 2 -8.2 +5.0 -13.5
  Jan 07, 2023 330   @ Presbyterian W 67-61 54%     4 - 9 2 - 2 -1.3 -2.3 +1.6
  Jan 11, 2023 304   High Point W 106-69 66%     5 - 9 3 - 2 +26.5 +20.7 +3.3
  Jan 14, 2023 178   @ Radford L 70-75 20%     5 - 10 3 - 3 -2.5 +1.5 -4.2
  Jan 18, 2023 188   UNC Asheville L 63-73 41%     5 - 11 3 - 4 -13.9 -6.0 -8.6
  Jan 21, 2023 255   Campbell L 76-78 OT 55%     5 - 12 3 - 5 -9.6 +1.4 -11.0
  Jan 25, 2023 244   @ Winthrop L 64-76 32%     5 - 13 3 - 6 -13.6 +0.2 -16.3
  Jan 28, 2023 181   @ Longwood W 75-63 21%     6 - 13 4 - 6 +14.3 +12.4 +3.2
  Feb 01, 2023 192   Gardner-Webb L 59-67 41%     6 - 14 4 - 7 -11.9 -8.4 -4.0
  Feb 04, 2023 304   @ High Point L 78-79 44%    
  Feb 08, 2023 306   @ South Carolina Upstate L 72-73 45%    
  Feb 11, 2023 178   Radford L 68-71 38%    
  Feb 15, 2023 255   @ Campbell L 68-72 34%    
  Feb 18, 2023 244   Winthrop W 77-76 54%    
  Feb 22, 2023 188   @ UNC Asheville L 69-77 22%    
  Feb 25, 2023 330   Presbyterian W 73-67 73%    
Projected Record 9 - 18 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.2 2.0 4th
5th 0.1 3.0 6.3 2.0 0.1 11.5 5th
6th 0.3 5.7 13.3 4.3 0.2 23.8 6th
7th 0.4 7.1 16.7 6.1 0.2 30.5 7th
8th 0.3 5.2 12.8 5.7 0.3 0.0 24.3 8th
9th 1.3 4.0 1.9 0.1 7.3 9th
10th 0.3 0.1 0.5 10th
Total 1.9 9.7 22.1 28.3 22.7 11.5 3.4 0.4 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.4% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3
10-8 3.4% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.2 3.3
9-9 11.5% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 11.2
8-10 22.7% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.5 22.2
7-11 28.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.4 27.9
6-12 22.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.3 21.9
5-13 9.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.6
4-14 1.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.9
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 16.0 1.8 98.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 8.5% 16.0 8.5
Lose Out 1.9% 0.5% 16.0 0.5