Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#276
Expected Predictive Rating-8.5#303
Pace69.1#173
Improvement+4.2#10

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#265
First Shot-5.6#322
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#67
Layup/Dunks-0.3#194
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#313
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#195
Freethrows-2.2#295
Improvement+3.4#11

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#272
First Shot-5.7#342
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#31
Layups/Dunks-5.9#344
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#354
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#58
Freethrows+1.4#99
Improvement+0.8#107
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 3.6% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 3.1% 5.6% 1.3%
.500 or above in Conference 29.2% 34.1% 25.4%
Conference Champion 2.4% 3.2% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 18.4% 15.2% 20.8%
First Four2.4% 2.4% 2.3%
First Round2.1% 2.6% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina St. (Away) - 43.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 32 - 93 - 15
Quad 46 - 610 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 28   @ Clemson L 64-91 3%     0 - 1 -10.9 -0.5 -10.4
  Nov 07, 2024 182   @ North Florida L 66-90 22%     0 - 2 -22.1 -14.4 -6.0
  Nov 15, 2024 166   UT Rio Grande Valley L 76-86 29%     0 - 3 -10.6 -7.4 -2.1
  Nov 16, 2024 346   VMI L 69-80 72%     0 - 4 -23.3 -11.5 -11.4
  Nov 19, 2024 47   @ LSU L 68-77 4%     0 - 5 +4.3 +4.3 -0.3
  Nov 23, 2024 119   Furman L 46-67 28%     0 - 6 -21.3 -23.2 +0.5
  Nov 27, 2024 111   @ Georgia Tech L 67-91 12%     0 - 7 -17.4 -7.2 -8.8
  Nov 30, 2024 87   @ Miami (FL) W 83-79 8%     1 - 7 +13.2 +12.1 +1.3
  Dec 03, 2024 328   Tennessee Martin W 83-68 72%     2 - 7 +2.6 +10.1 -6.7
  Dec 06, 2024 134   @ Davidson L 72-73 16%     2 - 8 +3.4 +2.8 +0.6
  Dec 09, 2024 303   @ South Carolina St. L 71-73 43%    
  Dec 19, 2024 214   @ North Alabama L 69-76 26%    
  Dec 22, 2024 38   @ Georgia L 62-83 2%    
  Jan 02, 2025 221   Gardner-Webb L 73-74 50%    
  Jan 04, 2025 202   @ Longwood L 68-75 25%    
  Jan 08, 2025 141   High Point L 72-76 34%    
  Jan 15, 2025 179   @ Winthrop L 71-79 22%    
  Jan 18, 2025 189   Radford L 68-70 43%    
  Jan 22, 2025 248   @ Presbyterian L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 25, 2025 193   UNC Asheville L 72-74 43%    
  Jan 29, 2025 343   @ South Carolina Upstate W 79-77 59%    
  Feb 01, 2025 202   Longwood L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 05, 2025 179   Winthrop L 74-76 42%    
  Feb 08, 2025 221   @ Gardner-Webb L 70-76 30%    
  Feb 12, 2025 248   Presbyterian W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 15, 2025 193   @ UNC Asheville L 69-77 24%    
  Feb 19, 2025 141   @ High Point L 69-79 18%    
  Feb 22, 2025 343   South Carolina Upstate W 82-74 77%    
  Mar 01, 2025 189   @ Radford L 65-73 24%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.0 2.2 0.4 0.0 6.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.9 3.6 0.6 0.0 8.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.6 5.2 0.9 0.0 11.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.8 7.0 1.9 0.1 14.8 6th
7th 0.2 1.7 6.2 7.9 2.7 0.1 18.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.1 7.8 7.0 2.3 0.1 22.4 8th
9th 0.2 1.4 2.9 3.8 2.2 0.6 0.0 11.2 9th
Total 0.2 1.5 3.9 8.1 11.7 14.9 15.6 15.0 11.6 8.2 5.0 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 92.2% 0.4    0.3 0.1
12-4 66.8% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1
11-5 28.9% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
10-6 6.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 18.2% 18.2% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.4% 13.2% 13.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-4 1.2% 16.8% 16.8% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0
11-5 2.7% 11.3% 11.3% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.4
10-6 5.0% 7.8% 7.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 4.6
9-7 8.2% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.5 7.7
8-8 11.6% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.5 11.1
7-9 15.0% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.5 14.5
6-10 15.6% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.4 15.2
5-11 14.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 14.7
4-12 11.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.6
3-13 8.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.1
2-14 3.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.9
1-15 1.5% 1.5
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.6 96.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%