IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Arkansas Pine Bluff
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-16.7	#364
Expected Predictive Rating	-12.9	#342

Pace	79.5	#13
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-9.7	#364

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.0	#363

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.3%	0.0%	0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	n/a	16.0

.500 or above	0.3%	3.0%	0.2%
.500 or above in Conference	8.3%	28.7%	7.8%
Conference Champion	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	18.9%	3.1%	19.3%

First Four	0.3%	0.0%	0.3%
First Round	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Marymount (Away) - 2.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 13
Quad 4	5 - 11	5 - 24

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	51	@ Washington	L	50-94	1%	0 - 1			-30.3	-19.8	-8.5
Nov 06, 2025	287	@ Portland	L	74-83	11%	0 - 2			-12.5	-12.0	+0.9
Nov 08, 2025	129	@ Loyola Marymount	L	63-84	3%
Nov 11, 2025	45	@ Oklahoma	L	62-93	0.3%
Nov 15, 2025	25	@ Vanderbilt	L	62-96	0.1%
Nov 18, 2025	49	@ SMU	L	62-93	0.2%
Nov 20, 2025	167	@ Marshall	L	66-85	4%
Nov 23, 2025	112	@ Miami (OH)	L	66-89	2%
Dec 03, 2025	137	@ Illinois-Chicago	L	67-87	4%
Dec 06, 2025	77	@ DePaul	L	62-88	1%
Dec 10, 2025	141	@ Tulsa	L	64-84	4%
Jan 03, 2026	322	Alabama A&M	L	76-81	34%
Jan 05, 2026	286	Alabama St.	L	72-79	26%
Jan 10, 2026	309	@ Texas Southern	L	70-82	16%
Jan 12, 2026	340	@ Prairie View	L	72-82	21%
Jan 17, 2026	346	Florida A&M	L	75-78	41%
Jan 19, 2026	214	Bethune-Cookman	L	73-83	18%
Jan 24, 2026	191	@ Southern	L	72-89	7%
Jan 26, 2026	294	@ Grambling St.	L	66-79	13%
Jan 31, 2026	365	@ Mississippi Valley	W	83-79	65%
Feb 07, 2026	333	Alcorn St.	L	76-80	36%
Feb 09, 2026	268	Jackson St.	L	72-80	24%
Feb 14, 2026	286	@ Alabama St.	L	69-82	13%
Feb 16, 2026	322	@ Alabama A&M	L	73-84	18%
Feb 21, 2026	309	Texas Southern	L	73-79	30%
Feb 21, 2026	340	Prairie View	L	75-79	38%
Feb 28, 2026	365	Mississippi Valley	W	86-76	80%
Mar 03, 2026	268	@ Jackson St.	L	69-83	12%
Mar 05, 2026	333	@ Alcorn St.	L	73-83	19%
Projected Record						5 - 24	5 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.0		0.0					0.2	1st
2nd												0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0						0.5	2nd
3rd											0.2	0.3	0.2								0.6	3rd
4th										0.6	0.9	0.4	0.0								1.9	4th
5th									0.2	1.1	0.8	0.1									2.3	5th
6th							0.0	0.5	1.8	1.9	0.3										4.5	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	1.8	1.6	0.7	0.0										4.6	7th
8th					0.1	0.9	3.3	3.3	1.1	0.0											8.6	8th
9th				0.1	1.3	4.8	6.2	1.5	0.2												14.1	9th
10th			0.2	2.8	7.7	6.7	2.8	0.3													20.5	10th
11th		0.9	7.4	11.0	7.7	3.4	0.5														30.9	11th
12th	1.4	4.3	3.7	1.7	0.2																11.3	12th

Total	1.4	5.3	11.3	15.6	16.9	15.8	13.2	7.4	4.9	4.4	2.2	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0						Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3	100.0%	0.0		0.0
14-4	0.0%
13-5	16.7%	0.0				0.0
12-6	22.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.2%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.1

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3	0.0%																							0.0
14-4	0.0%																							0.0
13-5	0.2%																							0.2
12-6	0.5%		7.7%	7.7%		16.0																	0.0	0.5
11-7	0.9%																							0.9
10-8	2.2%		5.1%	5.1%		16.0																	0.1	2.1
9-9	4.4%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.1	4.3
8-10	4.9%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	4.8
7-11	7.4%																							7.4
6-12	13.2%																							13.2
5-13	15.8%																							15.8
4-14	16.9%																							16.9
3-15	15.6%																							15.6
2-16	11.3%																							11.3
1-17	5.3%																							5.3
0-18	1.4%																							1.4

Total	100%		0.3%	0.3%	0.0%	16.0																	0.3	99.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.1%