Arkansas Pine Bluff
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-19.6#357
Expected Predictive Rating-10.3#311
Pace71.3#122
Improvement-0.9#261

Offense
Total Offense-11.3#356
First Shot-6.9#340
After Offensive Rebound-4.5#356
Layup/Dunks-7.6#348
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#102
Freethrows+0.1#172
Improvement-1.0#282

Defense
Total Defense-8.3#350
First Shot-5.2#323
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#327
Layups/Dunks-5.3#318
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#165
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#185
Freethrows-0.3#205
Improvement+0.1#179
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 3.7% 6.3% 3.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 27.1% 18.8% 27.2%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa St. (Away) - 0.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 20 - 7
Quad 30 - 40 - 11
Quad 44 - 144 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 87   @ Creighton L 77-90 1%     0 - 1 -3.9 +1.8 -4.5
  Nov 12, 2021 41   @ Colorado St. L 71-91 1%     0 - 2 -6.8 -3.0 -2.8
  Nov 14, 2021 91   @ Wyoming L 45-85 1%     0 - 3 -31.2 -23.3 -8.2
  Nov 18, 2021 254   @ Portland L 74-86 6%     0 - 4 -14.2 -2.8 -10.8
  Nov 22, 2021 176   @ Seattle L 56-77 3%     0 - 5 -18.6 -17.5 -0.7
  Nov 24, 2021 95   @ UC Santa Barbara L 58-86 1%     0 - 6 -19.5 -11.4 -8.3
  Nov 26, 2021 188   @ Pacific L 50-74 3%     0 - 7 -22.2 -15.6 -9.1
  Dec 01, 2021 61   @ Iowa St. L 55-85 0.2%   
  Dec 04, 2021 3   @ Baylor L 51-92 0.0%   
  Dec 08, 2021 245   Arkansas St. L 64-76 13%    
  Dec 14, 2021 11   @ Texas L 46-85 0.1%   
  Jan 03, 2022 344   Alabama A&M L 66-70 37%    
  Jan 05, 2022 334   Alabama St. L 68-73 31%    
  Jan 08, 2022 201   @ Texas Southern L 60-81 3%    
  Jan 10, 2022 266   @ Prairie View L 65-82 7%    
  Jan 15, 2022 306   Florida A&M L 63-72 22%    
  Jan 17, 2022 346   Bethune-Cookman L 68-71 40%    
  Jan 22, 2022 291   @ Southern L 63-78 9%    
  Jan 24, 2022 332   @ Grambling St. L 64-76 15%    
  Jan 29, 2022 358   @ Mississippi Valley W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 05, 2022 326   Alcorn St. L 66-73 28%    
  Feb 07, 2022 249   Jackson St. L 59-71 15%    
  Feb 12, 2022 334   @ Alabama St. L 65-76 17%    
  Feb 14, 2022 344   @ Alabama A&M L 63-73 20%    
  Feb 19, 2022 266   Prairie View L 68-79 17%    
  Feb 21, 2022 201   Texas Southern L 63-78 10%    
  Feb 26, 2022 358   Mississippi Valley W 79-71 76%    
  Mar 03, 2022 249   @ Jackson St. L 56-74 6%    
  Mar 05, 2022 326   @ Alcorn St. L 63-76 14%    
Projected Record 4 - 25 4 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 4th
5th 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.2 1.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.7 0.0 2.9 7th
8th 0.2 1.6 3.0 1.3 0.1 0.0 6.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.6 2.8 0.3 0.0 10.8 9th
10th 0.2 2.2 6.6 8.0 4.2 0.8 0.0 22.0 10th
11th 1.2 7.2 13.2 11.0 4.2 0.9 0.0 37.6 11th
12th 1.8 5.7 5.8 3.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 16.9 12th
Total 1.8 6.9 13.2 18.4 18.7 15.1 11.3 7.4 3.8 2.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.2
11-7 0.5% 0.5
10-8 0.8% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.8
9-9 2.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.1
8-10 3.8% 3.8
7-11 7.4% 7.4
6-12 11.3% 11.3
5-13 15.1% 15.1
4-14 18.7% 18.7
3-15 18.4% 18.4
2-16 13.2% 13.2
1-17 6.9% 6.9
0-18 1.8% 1.8
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.7%