Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#245
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#193
Pace72.3#104
Improvement+0.7#127

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#288
First Shot-2.4#242
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#302
Layup/Dunks-5.9#344
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#53
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#110
Freethrows-1.6#285
Improvement+2.3#38

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#177
First Shot+0.8#138
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#278
Layups/Dunks+5.2#33
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#355
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#90
Freethrows-3.4#339
Improvement-1.6#302
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 4.6% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 14.9
.500 or above 46.9% 62.9% 37.8%
.500 or above in Conference 54.6% 70.8% 45.3%
Conference Champion 3.7% 7.1% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 1.0% 3.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round2.9% 4.5% 1.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Appalachian St. (Away) - 36.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 21 - 2
Quad 33 - 74 - 9
Quad 411 - 715 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 250 @Western Michigan L 71-76 40%     0 - 1 -7.1 -8.9 +2.1
  Tue, Nov 11 111 Winthrop W 72-66 31%     1 - 1 +6.4 -4.9 +11.2
  Fri, Nov 14 253 @Jacksonville St. L 67-74 41%     1 - 2 -9.2 -1.5 -8.1
  Fri, Nov 21 354 @Western Illinois W 84-64 72%     2 - 2 +9.3 +2.1 +6.2
  Sat, Nov 22 343 North Dakota W 75-58 74%     3 - 2 +5.5 -5.9 +10.4
  Sun, Nov 23 91 @Illinois St. L 42-94 11%     3 - 3 -43.2 -30.0 -10.1
  Sun, Nov 30 279 Alabama A&M W 67-60 68%     4 - 3 -2.5 -7.4 +5.0
  Wed, Dec 3 261 @South Carolina Upstate L 78-85 OT 41%     4 - 4 -9.5 -4.8 -3.8
  Sat, Dec 6 111 @Winthrop W 88-84 15%     5 - 4 +10.4 +15.9 -5.5
  Sat, Dec 13 92 @Grand Canyon L 61-82 11%     5 - 5 -12.3 -3.5 -9.5
  Thu, Dec 18 230 @Appalachian St. L 65-69 36%    
  Sat, Dec 20 217 @Old Dominion L 72-76 34%    
  Mon, Dec 22 174 @Saint Joseph's L 68-75 27%    
  Thu, Jan 1 237 Georgia Southern W 79-77 59%    
  Sat, Jan 3 335 Georgia St. W 77-68 80%    
  Thu, Jan 8 217 Old Dominion W 75-73 56%    
  Sat, Jan 10 230 Appalachian St. W 68-66 58%    
  Wed, Jan 14 160 @Marshall L 71-79 24%    
  Sat, Jan 17 237 @Georgia Southern L 76-80 37%    
  Thu, Jan 22 241 Texas St. W 71-68 61%    
  Sat, Jan 24 202 Southern Miss W 74-73 54%    
  Thu, Jan 29 180 @South Alabama L 66-72 28%    
  Sat, Jan 31 357 @Louisiana Monroe W 78-71 73%    
  Wed, Feb 4 154 Arkansas St. L 77-79 43%    
  Thu, Feb 12 326 @Louisiana W 67-65 57%    
  Wed, Feb 18 183 James Madison L 73-74 49%    
  Sat, Feb 21 160 Marshall L 74-76 44%    
  Tue, Feb 24 335 @Georgia St. W 74-71 61%    
  Fri, Feb 27 183 @James Madison L 70-76 29%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.7 1st
2nd 0.2 1.5 2.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.7 3.2 1.4 0.2 6.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 3.9 2.2 0.2 7.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.9 3.5 0.4 0.0 8.3 5th
6th 0.2 2.7 5.1 1.3 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 5.2 2.4 0.1 9.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.4 4.5 0.5 0.0 10.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.2 1.2 0.0 10.0 9th
10th 0.3 2.4 5.0 2.3 0.1 10.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.7 2.5 0.3 0.0 8.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.7 2.0 0.4 0.0 6.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.6 3.3 5.8 8.7 11.6 13.8 14.3 13.1 10.7 7.6 4.7 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 96.6% 0.1    0.1
16-2 90.4% 0.4    0.3 0.1
15-3 78.6% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 49.2% 1.2    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 19.2% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.7% 3.7 1.6 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 17.2% 17.2% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 27.9% 27.9% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
15-3 1.1% 21.1% 21.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8
14-4 2.5% 17.2% 17.2% 14.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.1
13-5 4.7% 14.7% 14.7% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 4.0
12-6 7.6% 7.9% 7.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 7.0
11-7 10.7% 3.6% 3.6% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 10.4
10-8 13.1% 1.8% 1.8% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.9
9-9 14.3% 0.8% 0.8% 15.5 0.1 0.1 14.1
8-10 13.8% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 13.8
7-11 11.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 11.6
6-12 8.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.7
5-13 5.8% 5.8
4-14 3.3% 3.3
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 0.5 97.1 0.0%