Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#227
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#243
Pace73.9#77
Improvement+0.9#97

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#230
First Shot-0.4#186
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#271
Layup/Dunks+7.4#16
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#329
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#240
Freethrows-2.4#309
Improvement+0.6#117

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#202
First Shot-2.4#257
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#82
Layups/Dunks+1.5#135
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#296
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#321
Freethrows+2.4#47
Improvement+0.3#142
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 8.5% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 37.1% 54.8% 28.6%
.500 or above in Conference 48.8% 59.8% 43.5%
Conference Champion 6.2% 8.9% 4.9%
Last Place in Conference 11.3% 6.7% 13.5%
First Four0.7% 0.5% 0.7%
First Round5.6% 8.2% 4.4%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Home) - 32.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 34 - 85 - 10
Quad 48 - 512 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 18, 2021 282   @ UNC Wilmington L 53-65 52%     0 - 1 -15.5 -20.6 +5.0
  Nov 23, 2021 201   Valparaiso W 64-61 46%     1 - 1 +1.2 -6.1 +7.3
  Nov 24, 2021 116   Toledo L 70-79 28%     1 - 2 -5.7 -3.4 -2.4
  Dec 01, 2021 99   South Carolina L 73-78 32%    
  Dec 04, 2021 146   Winthrop L 79-80 45%    
  Dec 06, 2021 196   Mercer W 73-71 56%    
  Dec 12, 2021 118   Wofford L 69-72 39%    
  Dec 19, 2021 181   @ Middle Tennessee L 69-74 33%    
  Dec 30, 2021 260   Louisiana Monroe W 77-71 69%    
  Jan 01, 2022 183   Louisiana W 77-76 55%    
  Jan 06, 2022 242   @ Troy L 69-71 44%    
  Jan 08, 2022 157   @ South Alabama L 68-74 28%    
  Jan 13, 2022 172   @ Appalachian St. L 64-70 31%    
  Jan 15, 2022 172   Appalachian St. W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 20, 2022 180   @ Georgia Southern L 66-71 33%    
  Jan 22, 2022 140   @ Georgia St. L 73-81 25%    
  Jan 27, 2022 288   Arkansas Little Rock W 77-70 74%    
  Jan 29, 2022 231   Arkansas St. W 73-70 62%    
  Feb 03, 2022 237   @ Texas Arlington L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 05, 2022 152   @ Texas St. L 64-71 28%    
  Feb 10, 2022 140   Georgia St. L 76-78 45%    
  Feb 12, 2022 180   Georgia Southern W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 17, 2022 157   South Alabama L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 19, 2022 242   Troy W 72-68 65%    
  Feb 23, 2022 231   @ Arkansas St. L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 26, 2022 288   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 74-73 53%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.7 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 6.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 2.6 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 7.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 3.4 2.7 0.7 0.0 7.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.7 3.5 0.8 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.3 4.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 5.1 1.8 0.1 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 5.1 2.6 0.2 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.3 3.9 0.5 9.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.5 4.3 0.9 9.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.0 1.3 0.1 8.7 10th
11th 0.2 0.8 2.4 3.2 1.3 0.1 8.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 1.4 2.1 1.8 0.9 0.1 6.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.5 1.6 3.0 4.7 7.5 9.9 11.5 12.5 11.9 11.1 9.2 6.7 4.7 2.7 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 98.1% 0.5    0.5 0.0
15-3 91.4% 1.6    1.2 0.3 0.0
14-4 64.3% 1.7    1.0 0.6 0.1
13-5 31.4% 1.5    0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0
12-6 9.3% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.2% 6.2 3.6 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 42.3% 42.3% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3
15-3 1.7% 28.2% 28.2% 13.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.3
14-4 2.7% 19.5% 19.5% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 2.1
13-5 4.7% 18.7% 18.7% 14.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 3.8
12-6 6.7% 17.5% 17.5% 14.8 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 5.6
11-7 9.2% 10.7% 10.7% 15.2 0.1 0.6 0.3 8.2
10-8 11.1% 6.1% 6.1% 15.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 10.4
9-9 11.9% 3.4% 3.4% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 11.5
8-10 12.5% 2.3% 2.3% 15.8 0.1 0.2 12.2
7-11 11.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 11.4
6-12 9.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 9.8
5-13 7.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.5
4-14 4.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.7
3-15 3.0% 3.0
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.5 2.3 1.5 94.1 0.0%