Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#272
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#266
Pace61.2#349
Improvement-0.3#205

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#303
First Shot-4.1#292
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#213
Layup/Dunks-2.2#258
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#152
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#181
Freethrows-2.0#286
Improvement-0.9#250

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#216
First Shot-3.2#283
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#60
Layups/Dunks+7.0#19
2 Pt Jumpshots-8.8#363
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#67
Freethrows-4.6#353
Improvement+0.6#130
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.6% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 22.7% 39.1% 17.9%
.500 or above in Conference 29.4% 38.2% 26.8%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.5% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 11.8% 8.1% 12.9%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round1.0% 1.5% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Winthrop (Away) - 22.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 72 - 10
Quad 410 - 712 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 271   Western Michigan W 60-56 61%     1 - 0 -5.0 -11.7 +7.1
  Nov 09, 2024 159   @ East Carolina L 59-63 19%     1 - 1 -0.8 -0.1 -1.4
  Nov 13, 2024 72   @ North Carolina St. L 70-82 7%     1 - 2 -1.2 +2.3 -3.3
  Nov 17, 2024 174   Jacksonville St. L 53-71 41%     1 - 3 -21.8 -12.0 -13.5
  Nov 22, 2024 356   IU Indianapolis W 71-57 76%     2 - 3 +0.6 +0.8 +2.0
  Nov 23, 2024 360   @ Alabama A&M L 70-77 71%     2 - 4 -18.7 -6.3 -12.5
  Nov 30, 2024 343   South Carolina Upstate W 73-51 79%     3 - 4 +7.4 -5.3 +13.6
  Dec 04, 2024 278   @ Campbell W 58-57 40%     4 - 4 -2.4 -7.4 +5.2
  Dec 07, 2024 179   @ Winthrop L 65-73 22%    
  Dec 17, 2024 311   @ N.C. A&T L 71-72 46%    
  Dec 21, 2024 130   @ Arkansas St. L 61-72 16%    
  Jan 02, 2025 262   Louisiana W 71-68 60%    
  Jan 04, 2025 332   Louisiana Monroe W 68-61 73%    
  Jan 08, 2025 163   @ Appalachian St. L 58-67 22%    
  Jan 11, 2025 230   @ Georgia St. L 65-70 32%    
  Jan 16, 2025 235   Georgia Southern W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 18, 2025 195   Marshall L 68-70 45%    
  Jan 22, 2025 235   @ Georgia Southern L 67-72 33%    
  Jan 25, 2025 317   @ Old Dominion L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 30, 2025 114   @ James Madison L 62-74 13%    
  Feb 01, 2025 195   @ Marshall L 65-73 25%    
  Feb 05, 2025 206   South Alabama L 63-64 47%    
  Feb 13, 2025 163   Appalachian St. L 61-64 42%    
  Feb 15, 2025 114   James Madison L 65-71 28%    
  Feb 20, 2025 250   @ Southern Miss L 66-70 35%    
  Feb 22, 2025 125   @ Troy L 61-72 16%    
  Feb 26, 2025 230   Georgia St. W 68-67 52%    
  Feb 28, 2025 317   Old Dominion W 71-65 70%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 5.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.8 2.9 0.4 0.0 6.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 4.5 1.2 0.0 8.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 4.9 2.5 0.1 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.5 4.3 0.6 0.0 10.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.8 5.7 1.5 0.0 11.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.8 2.5 0.2 0.0 12.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.6 5.3 3.2 0.4 0.0 12.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.0 2.6 0.5 0.0 10.0 13th
14th 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.3 14th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.3 4.9 8.4 12.0 14.2 14.5 13.5 11.1 7.8 5.2 3.0 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 89.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 80.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 48.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 18.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 21.6% 21.6% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 14.2% 14.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.6% 9.9% 9.9% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.5% 9.9% 9.9% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3
12-6 3.0% 6.7% 6.7% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.8
11-7 5.2% 3.9% 3.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.0
10-8 7.8% 2.4% 2.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.6
9-9 11.1% 0.8% 0.8% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.0
8-10 13.5% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 13.4
7-11 14.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 14.5
6-12 14.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.2
5-13 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.0
4-14 8.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.4
3-15 4.9% 4.9
2-16 2.3% 2.3
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%