IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Arkansas Little Rock
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.5	#309
Expected Predictive Rating	-9.3	#310

Pace	66.3	#266
Improvement	+1.0	#113

Offense
Total Offense	-5.1	#308

First Shot	-4.9	#313
After Offensive Rebound	-0.3	#199

Layup/Dunks	+1.9	#105
2 Pt Jumpshots	-0.5	#211
3 Pt Jumpshots	-2.6	#276
Freethrows	-3.6	#346

Improvement	+0.1	#166

Defense
Total Defense	-3.4	#291

First Shot	-3.5	#298
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.2	#175

Layups/Dunks	-3.2	#296
2 Pt Jumpshots	+3.0	#7
3 Pt Jumpshots	-6.1	#354
Freethrows	+2.8	#35

Improvement	+0.8	#123

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.6%	5.0%	1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	6.8%	10.4%	2.6%
.500 or above in Conference	43.6%	55.2%	29.9%
Conference Champion	4.0%	6.0%	1.5%
Last Place in Conference	6.0%	3.1%	9.4%

First Four	2.6%	3.6%	1.5%
First Round	2.3%	3.3%	1.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee Tech (Home) - 54.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 9
Quad 4	10 - 10	11 - 20

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Mon, Nov 10	210 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	72-92	22%	0 - 1			-20.2	-2.4	-18.0
Wed, Nov 12	105 @Marquette	L	49-89	8%	0 - 2			-32.6	-16.7	-17.8
Sat, Nov 15	306 @Ball St.	W	68-62	38%	1 - 2			+0.8	-3.1	+4.1
Tue, Nov 18	100 @Murray St.	L	68-89	7%	1 - 3			-12.7	+0.3	-14.1
Fri, Nov 21	255 @Texas St.	L	56-65	27%	1 - 4			-11.2	-11.6	-0.4
Sat, Nov 29	130 @Southern Illinois	L	65-74	11%	1 - 5			-4.0	+1.9	-6.8
Wed, Dec 3	282 @Central Arkansas	L	47-85	31%	1 - 6			-41.5	-26.8	-13.9
Sat, Dec 6	136 Arkansas St.	L	78-90	25%	1 - 7			-13.3	+1.3	-14.3
Tue, Dec 9	62 @West Virginia	L	58-90	4%	1 - 8			-20.5	-1.3	-22.9
Tue, Dec 16	307 @Morehead St.	L	64-78	38%	1 - 9	0 - 1		-19.4	-13.9	-4.7
Thu, Dec 18	339 @Southern Indiana	W	77-62	50%	2 - 9	1 - 1		+6.6	+5.6	+1.7
Thu, Jan 1	285 Tennessee Tech	W	73-72	54%
Sat, Jan 3	237 Tennessee St.	L	71-72	46%
Thu, Jan 8	249 @SIU Edwardsville	L	64-70	27%
Sat, Jan 10	229 @Lindenwood	L	70-77	25%
Thu, Jan 15	325 Eastern Illinois	W	70-66	66%
Sat, Jan 17	356 Western Illinois	W	72-64	78%
Thu, Jan 22	215 @Southeast Missouri St.	L	70-78	23%
Sat, Jan 24	214 @Tennessee Martin	L	65-73	23%
Thu, Jan 29	237 @Tennessee St.	L	68-75	26%
Sat, Jan 31	285 @Tennessee Tech	L	70-75	33%
Thu, Feb 5	229 Lindenwood	L	73-74	45%
Sat, Feb 7	249 SIU Edwardsville	L	66-67	48%
Thu, Feb 12	356 @Western Illinois	W	69-67	58%
Sat, Feb 14	325 @Eastern Illinois	L	67-69	43%
Thu, Feb 19	214 Tennessee Martin	L	68-70	43%
Sat, Feb 21	215 Southeast Missouri St.	L	73-75	43%
Thu, Feb 26	307 Morehead St.	W	71-68	60%
Sat, Feb 28	339 Southern Indiana	W	73-67	70%
Projected Record					10 - 19	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.7	1.3	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.1				4.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.5	2.3	1.4	0.4	0.0	0.0					5.7	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.7	3.5	1.8	0.3	0.0							7.4	3rd
4th										0.1	1.3	4.3	2.7	0.4	0.0								8.7	4th
5th									0.0	1.1	4.8	4.1	0.6	0.0									10.6	5th
6th								0.1	1.0	4.7	5.4	1.1	0.0										12.2	6th
7th							0.1	1.0	4.5	6.4	1.7	0.1											13.8	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.1	4.6	6.1	2.1	0.2												14.2	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	1.4	4.0	4.8	2.0	0.2													12.5	9th
10th			0.0	0.2	1.2	2.5	2.8	1.0	0.1														7.9	10th
11th		0.0	0.2	0.7	1.0	0.8	0.3	0.0															3.0	11th

Total		0.0	0.2	0.9	2.5	4.8	8.2	11.4	13.7	14.6	13.5	11.4	8.3	5.2	2.9	1.5	0.6	0.2	0.1					Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-3	96.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-4	93.6%	0.5		0.4	0.1	0.0
15-5	74.3%	1.1		0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0
14-6	43.2%	1.3		0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-7	13.3%	0.7		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-8	1.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	4.0%	4.0		1.9	1.3	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2	0.1%																				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
17-3	0.2%		48.0%	48.0%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
16-4	0.6%		27.9%	27.9%		15.7																0.1	0.1	0.4
15-5	1.5%		26.8%	26.8%		15.8																0.1	0.3	1.1
14-6	2.9%		20.7%	20.7%		15.9																0.1	0.5	2.3
13-7	5.2%		13.0%	13.0%		16.0																0.0	0.6	4.5
12-8	8.3%		7.3%	7.3%		16.0																	0.6	7.7
11-9	11.4%		4.4%	4.4%		16.0																	0.5	10.9
10-10	13.5%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.3	13.2
9-11	14.6%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.2	14.4
8-12	13.7%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	13.6
7-13	11.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.4
6-14	8.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.2
5-15	4.8%																							4.8
4-16	2.5%																							2.5
3-17	0.9%																							0.9
2-18	0.2%																							0.2
1-19	0.0%																							0.0
0-20

Total	100%		3.6%	3.6%	0.0%	15.9															0.0	0.3	3.3	96.4		0.0%