IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Arkansas Little Rock
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.2	#152
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#165

Pace	67.1	#232
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.4	#173

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.2	#148

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	31.8%	35.4%	28.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.2	13.9	14.5

.500 or above	80.7%	88.5%	72.6%
.500 or above in Conference	89.7%	93.5%	85.6%
Conference Champion	46.0%	51.6%	40.1%
Last Place in Conference	0.7%	0.4%	1.0%

First Four	2.5%	1.6%	3.5%
First Round	30.9%	34.7%	26.8%
Second Round	2.2%	3.2%	1.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.4%	0.7%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Away) - 51.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	1 - 3
Quad 3	3 - 4	4 - 7
Quad 4	15 - 5	19 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2025	217	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	73-72	51%
Nov 12, 2025	46	@ Marquette	L	65-79	8%
Nov 15, 2025	223	@ Ball St.	W	71-70	52%
Nov 18, 2025	120	@ Murray St.	L	70-75	30%
Nov 21, 2025	261	@ Texas St.	W	69-67	57%
Nov 29, 2025	138	@ Southern Illinois	L	68-72	36%
Dec 03, 2025	362	@ Central Arkansas	W	74-64	80%
Dec 06, 2025	131	Arkansas St.	W	74-72	58%
Dec 09, 2025	71	@ West Virginia	L	61-72	18%
Dec 16, 2025	289	@ Morehead St.	W	68-65	61%
Dec 18, 2025	308	@ Southern Indiana	W	72-68	66%
Jan 01, 2026	331	Tennessee Tech	W	76-64	83%
Jan 03, 2026	252	Tennessee St.	W	76-68	74%
Jan 08, 2026	235	@ SIU Edwardsville	W	68-67	53%
Jan 10, 2026	317	@ Lindenwood	W	73-68	67%
Jan 15, 2026	314	Eastern Illinois	W	72-61	82%
Jan 17, 2026	336	Western Illinois	W	74-62	85%
Jan 22, 2026	234	@ Southeast Missouri St.	W	71-70	53%
Jan 24, 2026	297	@ Tennessee Martin	W	77-73	61%
Jan 29, 2026	252	@ Tennessee St.	W	73-71	55%
Jan 31, 2026	331	@ Tennessee Tech	W	73-67	67%
Feb 05, 2026	317	Lindenwood	W	76-65	82%
Feb 07, 2026	235	SIU Edwardsville	W	71-64	71%
Feb 12, 2026	336	@ Western Illinois	W	71-65	70%
Feb 14, 2026	314	@ Eastern Illinois	W	69-64	65%
Feb 19, 2026	297	Tennessee Martin	W	80-70	79%
Feb 21, 2026	234	Southeast Missouri St.	W	74-67	71%
Feb 26, 2026	289	Morehead St.	W	71-62	77%
Feb 28, 2026	308	Southern Indiana	W	75-65	80%
Projected Record						18 - 11	14 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	1.1	3.7	7.0	10.3	9.4	7.8	4.9	1.7		46.0	1st
2nd												0.0	1.1	3.8	6.0	3.6	2.7	0.8	0.0				18.0	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.9	3.8	4.1	1.7	0.5	0.1						11.1	3rd
4th											0.6	2.7	2.7	0.9	0.2								7.1	4th
5th									0.0	0.8	2.0	2.3	0.6	0.0									5.6	5th
6th									0.3	1.3	1.9	0.3	0.0										3.8	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	0.8	1.3	0.5												2.7	7th
8th						0.1	0.2	0.8	1.3	0.5													2.8	8th
9th						0.1	0.6	0.6	0.2														1.5	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3															0.9	10th
11th				0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0															0.5	11th

Total				0.2	0.2	0.5	1.1	1.9	2.6	3.8	5.0	6.2	8.2	10.0	11.5	11.1	13.1	10.2	7.8	4.9	1.7			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	1.7		1.7
19-1	100.0%	4.9		4.9	0.0
18-2	99.5%	7.8		7.5	0.2
17-3	92.5%	9.4		8.4	1.0
16-4	79.0%	10.3		7.5	2.7	0.2
15-5	62.8%	7.0		4.1	2.4	0.5
14-6	32.4%	3.7		1.3	1.4	1.0	0.0
13-7	11.0%	1.1		0.1	0.6	0.2	0.2	0.0
12-8	0.5%	0.0		0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	46.0%	46.0		35.5	8.4	1.9	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	1.7%		86.8%	86.8%		11.9											0.1	0.3	0.8	0.3	0.0			0.2
19-1	4.9%		75.3%	75.3%		12.8												0.2	1.3	1.5	0.6	0.2		1.2
18-2	7.8%		59.5%	59.5%		13.2												0.1	1.1	1.7	1.0	0.6	0.1	3.2
17-3	10.2%		50.6%	50.6%		13.9													0.2	1.7	1.9	1.3	0.2	5.0
16-4	13.1%		40.5%	40.5%		14.5													0.2	0.6	1.8	2.2	0.6	7.8
15-5	11.1%		35.9%	35.9%		15.0													0.0	0.3	1.0	1.1	1.5	7.1
14-6	11.5%		32.3%	32.3%		15.2													0.0	0.1	0.6	1.3	1.7	7.8
13-7	10.0%		19.7%	19.7%		15.5															0.2	0.6	1.2	8.0
12-8	8.2%		11.7%	11.7%		15.8																0.2	0.7	7.2
11-9	6.2%		9.3%	9.3%		15.9																0.0	0.5	5.6
10-10	5.0%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.1	4.9
9-11	3.8%		4.0%	4.0%		16.0																	0.2	3.6
8-12	2.6%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.0	2.5
7-13	1.9%																							1.9
6-14	1.1%																							1.1
5-15	0.5%																							0.5
4-16	0.2%																							0.2
3-17	0.2%																							0.2
2-18
1-19
0-20

Total	100%		31.8%	31.8%	0.0%	14.2											0.1	0.7	3.6	6.1	7.0	7.5	6.8	68.2		0.0%