IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Arkansas Little Rock
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.1	#149
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#121

Pace	67.1	#224
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.9	#195

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.0	#130

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	34.6%	40.7%	28.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.7	13.8	14.5

.500 or above	83.7%	91.8%	75.4%
.500 or above in Conference	92.7%	96.0%	89.3%
Conference Champion	48.6%	56.9%	40.1%
Last Place in Conference	0.6%	0.2%	0.9%

First Four	3.1%	2.1%	4.1%
First Round	34.8%	41.1%	28.4%
Second Round	2.5%	3.5%	1.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.5%	0.7%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Away) - 50.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	1 - 3
Quad 3	3 - 4	3 - 6
Quad 4	16 - 5	20 - 11

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2025	219	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	73-72	50%
Nov 12, 2025	45	@ Marquette	L	62-76	9%
Nov 15, 2025	225	@ Ball St.	W	70-69	53%
Nov 18, 2025	120	@ Murray St.	L	68-73	31%
Nov 21, 2025	260	@ Texas St.	W	69-67	58%
Nov 29, 2025	139	@ Southern Illinois	L	68-72	36%
Dec 03, 2025	360	@ Central Arkansas	W	74-63	83%
Dec 06, 2025	134	Arkansas St.	W	74-72	56%
Dec 09, 2025	63	@ West Virginia	L	60-71	17%
Dec 16, 2025	287	@ Morehead St.	W	67-63	64%
Dec 18, 2025	305	@ Southern Indiana	W	72-67	65%
Jan 01, 2026	326	Tennessee Tech	W	76-63	86%
Jan 03, 2026	251	Tennessee St.	W	76-68	75%
Jan 08, 2026	236	@ SIU Edwardsville	W	67-66	55%
Jan 10, 2026	317	@ Lindenwood	W	73-67	69%
Jan 15, 2026	322	Eastern Illinois	W	72-60	84%
Jan 17, 2026	333	Western Illinois	W	74-61	87%
Jan 22, 2026	238	@ Southeast Missouri St.	W	70-69	55%
Jan 24, 2026	325	@ Tennessee Martin	W	71-65	70%
Jan 29, 2026	251	@ Tennessee St.	W	73-71	57%
Jan 31, 2026	326	@ Tennessee Tech	W	73-66	71%
Feb 05, 2026	317	Lindenwood	W	76-64	84%
Feb 07, 2026	236	SIU Edwardsville	W	70-63	73%
Feb 12, 2026	333	@ Western Illinois	W	71-64	72%
Feb 14, 2026	322	@ Eastern Illinois	W	69-63	69%
Feb 19, 2026	325	Tennessee Martin	W	74-62	84%
Feb 21, 2026	238	Southeast Missouri St.	W	73-66	72%
Feb 26, 2026	287	Morehead St.	W	70-60	79%
Feb 28, 2026	305	Southern Indiana	W	75-64	81%
Projected Record						18 - 11	15 - 5

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.7	2.8	6.3	9.7	11.0	9.2	6.5	2.4		48.6	1st
2nd												0.1	1.0	3.5	5.9	5.1	2.6	0.9	0.1				19.2	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.9	3.1	3.9	2.3	0.5	0.1						10.8	3rd
4th										0.0	0.7	2.5	2.7	1.3	0.2	0.0							7.4	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	1.7	1.9	0.6	0.1									4.7	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	1.2	1.6	0.5	0.0										3.6	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	0.7	1.0	0.3	0.0											2.3	7th
8th						0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.3	0.0												1.4	8th
9th					0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.0													1.0	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0														0.7	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0																0.2	11th

Total			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	1.1	1.9	3.0	4.3	5.9	7.6	9.4	11.3	11.8	12.3	11.9	9.3	6.5	2.4			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	2.4		2.4
19-1	100.0%	6.5		6.4	0.0
18-2	99.1%	9.2		8.9	0.3
17-3	92.6%	11.0		9.9	1.1	0.0
16-4	78.3%	9.7		7.0	2.5	0.2
15-5	52.9%	6.3		3.4	2.4	0.4	0.0
14-6	25.2%	2.8		1.0	1.2	0.5	0.1
13-7	7.4%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-8	0.9%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	48.6%	48.6		39.1	7.9	1.4	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	2.4%		75.7%	75.7%		11.9							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.0		0.6
19-1	6.5%		67.4%	67.4%		12.7											0.0	0.4	1.6	1.5	0.7	0.2	0.0	2.1
18-2	9.3%		61.5%	61.5%		13.3												0.1	1.2	2.1	1.6	0.6	0.1	3.6
17-3	11.9%		52.1%	52.1%		14.2												0.0	0.4	1.6	2.3	1.6	0.3	5.7
16-4	12.3%		45.6%	45.6%		14.9												0.0	0.2	0.9	2.0	2.1	0.7	6.7
15-5	11.8%		36.7%	36.7%		15.9													0.0	0.3	1.1	2.0	1.2	7.5
14-6	11.3%		26.3%	26.3%		17.0														0.1	0.4	1.4	1.4	8.3
13-7	9.4%		19.7%	19.7%		17.8														0.0	0.2	0.7	1.2	7.6
12-8	7.6%		12.3%	12.3%		18.7														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	6.7
11-9	5.9%		7.4%	7.4%		19.3																0.1	0.4	5.4
10-10	4.3%		5.3%	5.3%		18.0																0.0	0.2	4.1
9-11	3.0%		2.5%	2.5%		17.1																	0.1	3.0
8-12	1.9%		2.4%	2.4%		17.8																	0.1	1.9
7-13	1.1%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.0	1.1
6-14	0.6%																							0.6
5-15	0.4%																							0.4
4-16	0.2%																							0.2
3-17	0.1%																							0.1
2-18	0.0%																							0.0
1-19
0-20

Total	100%		34.6%	34.6%	0.0%	14.7							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	1.1	3.9	6.9	8.6	9.1	6.4	65.4		0.0%