Binghamton
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#322
Expected Predictive Rating-8.4#299
Pace64.6#299
Improvement+2.2#48

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#292
First Shot-2.0#231
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#311
Layup/Dunks+0.3#174
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#328
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#88
Freethrows-2.5#306
Improvement+1.2#91

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#316
First Shot-1.0#206
After Offensive Rebounds-3.6#353
Layups/Dunks+4.0#61
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#187
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#279
Freethrows-2.3#312
Improvement+1.0#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.6% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 6.9% 11.6% 3.5%
.500 or above in Conference 25.2% 30.5% 21.4%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.6% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 17.9% 13.9% 20.8%
First Four1.6% 1.9% 1.3%
First Round1.1% 1.6% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Le Moyne (Away) - 42.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 71 - 9
Quad 49 - 1010 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 31   @ Penn St. L 66-108 2%     0 - 1 -26.1 -2.1 -22.2
  Nov 10, 2024 87   @ Miami (FL) L 64-88 6%     0 - 2 -14.8 -8.1 -7.2
  Nov 12, 2024 201   @ Fordham L 63-78 17%     0 - 3 -13.9 -9.1 -4.5
  Nov 19, 2024 202   Longwood L 60-66 35%     0 - 4 -10.9 -5.6 -6.2
  Nov 24, 2024 240   @ Central Connecticut St. L 56-64 23%     0 - 5 -9.3 -2.1 -8.9
  Nov 29, 2024 308   Niagara L 62-65 45%     0 - 6 -10.6 -6.1 -4.9
  Nov 30, 2024 342   LIU Brooklyn W 75-70 OT 60%     1 - 6 -6.5 -6.4 -0.3
  Dec 01, 2024 231   @ Lafayette W 82-81 OT 22%     2 - 6 +0.2 +6.5 -6.3
  Dec 07, 2024 334   @ Le Moyne L 69-71 42%    
  Dec 18, 2024 361   Mercyhurst W 69-60 79%    
  Dec 22, 2024 282   @ Army L 65-71 30%    
  Dec 29, 2024 242   @ Marist L 61-69 24%    
  Jan 04, 2025 296   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-77 53%    
  Jan 09, 2025 211   @ Maine L 60-70 19%    
  Jan 11, 2025 350   @ New Hampshire W 69-68 52%    
  Jan 16, 2025 183   @ Vermont L 58-69 16%    
  Jan 18, 2025 237   Albany L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 25, 2025 176   @ Bryant L 71-82 15%    
  Jan 30, 2025 183   Vermont L 61-66 33%    
  Feb 01, 2025 237   @ Albany L 70-78 24%    
  Feb 06, 2025 154   Umass Lowell L 71-77 28%    
  Feb 08, 2025 176   Bryant L 74-79 32%    
  Feb 13, 2025 296   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 75-80 32%    
  Feb 15, 2025 347   @ NJIT W 67-66 51%    
  Feb 20, 2025 350   New Hampshire W 72-65 73%    
  Feb 22, 2025 211   Maine L 63-67 38%    
  Mar 01, 2025 154   @ Umass Lowell L 68-80 14%    
  Mar 04, 2025 347   NJIT W 70-64 71%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.0 0.6 0.0 4.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.1 3.6 0.8 0.1 8.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 4.9 5.4 1.5 0.1 13.2 5th
6th 0.2 2.7 7.4 6.8 1.9 0.1 19.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.8 9.1 6.8 1.6 0.1 23.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 4.7 6.9 3.9 0.6 0.0 17.3 8th
9th 0.3 1.5 3.6 3.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 10.3 9th
Total 0.3 1.6 4.7 8.8 13.2 16.0 16.2 13.9 10.8 7.2 4.0 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 97.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 80.0% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
12-4 46.9% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-5 15.7% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.1% 32.6% 32.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.3% 14.7% 14.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-4 0.9% 10.3% 10.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8
11-5 2.0% 9.9% 9.9% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.8
10-6 4.0% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 3.8
9-7 7.2% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3 6.8
8-8 10.8% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 10.5
7-9 13.9% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 13.6
6-10 16.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.3 15.9
5-11 16.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 15.9
4-12 13.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.2
3-13 8.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.8
2-14 4.7% 4.7
1-15 1.6% 1.6
0-16 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.8 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%