Binghamton
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -16.0 359
Expected Predictive Rating -19.7 359
Pace 64.7 286
Improvement +2.6 84

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 349 D F F+ A- C-
Defense F+ 355 D- D+ F C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 104 D 53% 298 -0.3 188
2 Pt. Jumpers 51% 44 C+ 40% 123 +1.9 81
Three Pointers 34% 317 D 30% 318 -5.4 337
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.3 231 D -3.5 302
1st FG Attempt D 0.94 299
Second Chance F 19.7% 363 F 0.82 362 F 0.16 365
Turnovers F+ 20.7% 350
Freethrows A- 0.37 17 B 76% 64 A- 0.28 11
Total Offense D- -8.3 349

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 49% 170 D 13.3% 308
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 268 B- 3.3% 64
Three Pointers B- 88% 92 B+ 0.2% 27
Total D+ 52% 266 D+ 6.4% 267

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 35 D+ 61% 262 +4.8 329
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 279 D 42% 315 -0.5 152
Three Pointers 38% 261 F+ 39% 357 +1.4 257
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 317 D- +4.6 337
1st FG Attempt D- 1.13 341
Second Chance D+ 32.6% 276 C- 1.06 235 D+ 0.34 266
Turnovers F 12.0% 363
Freethrows C- 0.32 241 C+ 71% 127 C- 0.23 229
Total Defense F+ -7.7 355

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 75 D+ 8.5% 279
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 101 B- 7.0% 66
Three Pointers C 84% 178 D 0.1% 333
Total B- 52% 114 C- 5.0% 217

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.4 346 16.3 29
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 325 0.21 308
Improvement +0.5 #158 +2.1 #70

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 361 359 354
Conference Record 2 - 14 3 - 13 4 - 12
Conference Finish 9 9 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 97% 84% 100%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Away) - 16.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 20 - 5
Quad 44 - 204 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 70 @Syracuse L 47 - 85 1% -19  0% 0 - 1 F -27 F -23 F C- F D+ -4 B- F F
 Sat, Nov 8 337 Niagara L 59 - 67 45% -0  46% 0 - 2 F -23 F -17 F D- C+ D -6 B+ F+ F
 Wed, Nov 12 74 @Georgetown L 70 - 83 2% -8  3% 0 - 3 C- -2 C+ +2 C F D- D -5 C+ D+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 270 @Longwood L 82 - 90 12% -14  7% 0 - 4 D -11 C+ +2 C A+ F F -13 D- F+ F
 Sat, Nov 22 348 Maryland Eastern Shore L 52 - 63 39% -9  1% 0 - 5 F -24 F -19 F C- F D- -7 D F D
 Sun, Nov 23 343 @Canisius L 66 - 75 26% -3  18% 0 - 6 F -18 D+ -2 D- D C- F -17 F F F
 Tue, Dec 2 305 Lehigh W 80 - 71 OT 33% +1  57% 1 - 6 C- -3 C- -2 A+ F F+ C -1 B D D-
 Sat, Dec 6 296 Le Moyne L 63 - 78 31% -10  0% 1 - 7 F -26 F -13 F F F+ F -13 F D F
 Sat, Dec 13 292 Central Connecticut St. L 67 - 84 30% -8  5% 1 - 8 F -27 F -11 C- F F F -18 F C B-
 Wed, Dec 17 101 @Pittsburgh L 63 - 103 2% -21  0% 1 - 9 F -32 F -10 B+ F F F -21 F A C-
 Sat, Dec 20 301 @Mercyhurst L 61 - 82 15% -19  0% 1 - 10 F -26 F -15 D- F F F -11 F C F
 Tue, Dec 23 336 @Army L 85 - 95 OT 24% -4  2% 1 - 11 F -19 D -5 C- F B+ F -13 F D D
 Sat, Jan 3 315 NJIT L 65 - 73 37% +1  62% 1 - 12 0 - 1 F -20 D- -7 B+ F F F -14 C- F D+
 Thu, Jan 8 229 @Vermont L 59 - 60 9% +1  59% 1 - 13 0 - 2 C- -2 F+ -9 D F B- A- +7 C+ B- D-
 Sat, Jan 10 310 Umass Lowell L 68 - 73 35% -6  0% 1 - 14 0 - 3 F+ -17 F -12 D+ F F D+ -5 D+ B- F+
 Thu, Jan 15 316 @Albany L 53 - 69 19% -5  4% 1 - 15 0 - 4 F -23 F -21 F F D- D+ -3 F+ C C+
 Mon, Jan 19 232 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 60 - 78 20% -9  16% 1 - 16 0 - 5 F -25 F -12 D- F C+ F -14 F D F
 Thu, Jan 22 344 @New Hampshire L 82 - 88 3OT 27% +6  74% 1 - 17 0 - 6 F+ -16 F+ -10 D D+ F D -5 B+ D F
 Sat, Jan 24 346 @Maine L 63 - 79 27% -7  3% 1 - 18 0 - 7 F -26 D+ -4 B F F F -24 F F+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 354 Bryant W 63 - 60 55% +2  62% 2 - 18 1 - 7 D- -14 F+ -9 D- F B+ D+ -5 B- B F
 Thu, Feb 5 232 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62 - 79 9% -11  0% 2 - 19 1 - 8 F -18 F -10 D- F C+ F+ -9 D+ C+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 315 @NJIT L 64 - 73 19% -4  16% 2 - 20 1 - 9 F+ -15 F+ -9 F D+ C+ D- -7 F+ C- F
 Thu, Feb 12 229 Vermont L 65 - 73 19% -2  11% 2 - 21 1 - 10 F+ -15 F -10 C+ F F D -5 D- C D
 Sat, Feb 14 316 Albany L 74 - 77 37% -5  1% 2 - 22 1 - 11 F+ -16 D- -7 D+ F D+ F+ -9 D- C C-
 Thu, Feb 19 354 @Bryant W 79 - 67 33% +6  86% 3 - 22 2 - 11 C +1 A- +11 A C- D- D- -8 F+ C+ D
 Sat, Feb 21 310 @Umass Lowell L 69 - 79 17%
 Thu, Feb 26 344 New Hampshire L 69 - 70 48%
 Sat, Feb 28 346 Maine L 64 - 65 49%
Totals 4 - 24 3 - 13 -16 D- -8 C+ D C- F+ -8 D B A-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- D C+ D D 41% 51% 34% C- D F F F F+ A- B A- F+ D+ D F+ D- 44% 17% 38% D D- D+ C- D+ F C- C+ C-
0.97 53% 40% 30% -4 0 0.94 20% 0.8 .16 21% .37 76% .28 1.20 61% 42% 39% +5 +1 1.13 33% 1.1 .34 12% .32 71% .26
Nov
3		 Syracuse F F A+ F F 47% 18% 34% B- F F A+ C- F A+ C A+ D+ D+ F A+ B- 50% 18% 32% D+ B- C- F F F A D B+
0.68 28% 57% 8% -24 +1 0.55 21% 1.6 .32 32% .47 73% .34 1.23 64% 80% 17% +2 +1 1.09 33% 1.4 .45 7% .25 69% .17
Nov
8		 Niagara F F F F F 53% 22% 24% B- F D F+ D- C+ A- F B- D C+ B- A+ A- 47% 18% 35% C- B+ F+ F+ F+ F F+ C+ D-
0.92 46% 18% 25% -14 +1 0.76 30% 0.9 .27 14% .37 70% .26 1.05 54% 33% 22% -9 +1 0.86 28% 1.0 .28 13% .30 71% .22
Nov
12		 Georgetown C+ C C+ C+ B- 20% 34% 45% F C F+ F F D- A+ A+ A+ D B F A C+ 44% 27% 29% C+ C+ F B+ D+ F C+ D- C-
1.05 56% 40% 35% +1 -3 0.98 21% 0.7 .14 19% .46 92% .43 1.24 52% 57% 27% -1 0 1.00 41% 1.0 .41 6% .33 81% .27
Nov
15		 Longwood C+ A- A+ F C 44% 10% 46% B- C A+ B- A+ F A A A+ F F A+ A- D 37% 13% 50% D- D- F+ D+ F+ F F D F
1.11 71% 60% 27% +4 +2 1.13 47% 1.0 .47 28% .43 78% .34 1.21 84% 14% 27% +1 +1 1.06 38% 1.0 .38 15% .48 77% .36
Nov
22		 Maryland Eastern Shore F F D+ F F 54% 15% 31% B+ F A- F C- F A+ B A+ D- B- F C+ D+ 48% 16% 36% F D F C+ F D F+ A+ C+
0.87 38% 33% 17% -19 +2 0.67 41% 0.9 .35 27% .51 77% .39 1.06 52% 57% 31% -1 +1 1.02 44% 0.9 .38 20% .29 50% .15
Nov
23		 Canisius D+ A+ A+ F D- 26% 24% 50% F+ D- D C- D C- A+ A- A+ F C+ A+ F F 41% 20% 39% D F B- F F F F F F
1.07 80% 67% 16% -1 -1 0.97 26% 1.0 .26 16% .62 78% .48 1.22 50% 22% 47% +1 0 1.05 24% 2.2 .52 13% .39 86% .34
Dec
2		 Lehigh C- A+ C+ A+ A+ 47% 33% 21% D A+ F F F F+ A+ F A+ C B+ D- B+ B+ 36% 16% 48% F+ B F+ C+ D D- A- B+ A-
1.12 80% 43% 44% +15 -1 1.30 15% 0.5 .07 20% .57 67% .38 0.99 50% 44% 30% -5 0 0.93 28% 0.9 .26 15% .20 67% .13
Dec
6		 Le Moyne F F F B- F 52% 8% 40% A F D- F F F+ A B- A F C+ A+ F F 64% 11% 26% F F C- D- D F C+ B B-
0.95 40% 0% 37% -11 +3 0.85 26% 0.7 .18 18% .39 76% .29 1.18 57% 0% 67% +8 +3 1.23 26% 1.1 .30 15% .32 67% .21
Dec
13		 Central Connecticut St. F B F F D+ 56% 9% 35% A- C- F C F F A+ D- A+ F F C- F F 42% 19% 38% F F C+ C- C B- B+ B+ B+
1.03 63% 25% 27% -3 +3 1.02 19% 1.0 .19 17% .44 75% .33 1.29 82% 40% 45% +17 0 1.37 25% 1.0 .25 18% .21 73% .15
Dec
17		 Pittsburgh F F A+ A+ A 43% 30% 27% D B+ D- F F F A+ C+ A+ F D- F F F 42% 10% 48% D- F A B+ A C- F B F+
0.88 38% 55% 60% +7 -1 1.14 19% 0.4 .08 31% .54 78% .42 1.44 67% 60% 67% +29 +2 1.64 28% 0.9 .24 15% .40 63% .25
Dec
20		 Mercyhurst F C+ F D- D- 55% 20% 25% C+ D- F F F F A+ B+ A+ F D+ F D+ F 43% 31% 26% D- F C C- C F C+ F C-
0.88 59% 13% 30% -6 +1 0.93 11% 0.0 .00 23% .58 77% .45 1.18 60% 50% 33% +4 -1 1.09 26% 1.1 .29 10% .19 83% .16
Dec
23		 Army D A- B+ F D+ 53% 15% 32% B+ C- F F+ F B+ D+ B C- F B- F F F 41% 10% 49% D+ F B F D D F A F
1.08 71% 44% 21% +2 +2 1.08 11% 1.0 .11 11% .32 77% .25 1.21 52% 60% 48% +10 +2 1.25 25% 1.3 .33 15% .45 63% .29
Jan
3		 NJIT D- B- D+ A B+ 46% 15% 38% B- B+ F F F F A+ A+ A+ F A+ F D C- 42% 27% 31% D+ C- F F F D+ F F F
1.04 61% 33% 40% +4 +1 1.13 13% 0.7 .08 22% .54 81% .43 1.17 42% 50% 36% -3 -1 0.96 39% 1.2 .45 16% .42 77% .32
Jan
8		 Vermont F+ F A+ D C- 24% 39% 37% F D F F F B- F+ F F A- D+ A+ D+ B- 50% 18% 32% D- C+ C+ B B- D- F A+ D
0.96 42% 55% 32% +1 -3 0.98 15% 0.0 .00 11% .26 64% .17 0.98 64% 13% 36% -1 +1 1.02 23% 0.9 .20 13% .45 54% .24
Jan
10		 Umass Lowell F D+ F C+ D- 57% 16% 27% B D+ F F F F A- F+ B D+ A D F D 40% 24% 36% B- D+ A+ F B- F+ F D+ F
0.98 55% 25% 36% -3 +2 1.00 19% 0.7 .13 19% .34 68% .23 1.06 44% 45% 44% +2 0 1.04 19% 1.5 .28 16% .52 67% .34
Jan
15		 Albany F F C- F+ F 43% 22% 35% C- F F F F D- C C- C- D+ B+ F F F 38% 25% 38% B F+ F A C C+ B F D+
0.84 38% 36% 29% -11 0 0.80 24% 0.6 .15 17% .31 75% .23 1.09 50% 50% 44% +6 -1 1.13 40% 0.8 .30 21% .20 90% .18
Jan
19		 Maryland Baltimore Co. F C+ F C- D 41% 29% 31% D D- F F+ F C+ B F D F D F+ F F 47% 25% 28% D+ F A F D F A- C A-
0.95 60% 29% 33% -2 -1 0.96 19% 0.9 .17 13% .27 47% .13 1.23 64% 46% 40% +7 0 1.17 15% 1.8 .26 8% .21 75% .15
Jan
22		 New Hampshire F+ F D+ A D 50% 24% 26% C D F+ B D+ F D- A+ C- D A+ C+ A- B+ 34% 14% 52% C+ B+ F+ C+ D F F C- F
0.97 48% 36% 40% -3 0 0.97 23% 1.1 .26 19% .26 89% .23 1.05 41% 33% 27% -12 +1 0.80 32% 0.9 .28 13% .40 69% .27
Jan
24		 Maine D+ A+ F+ F+ B+ 51% 23% 26% C+ B F C- F F B- A+ A+ F F A- F F 36% 21% 43% C F C- F F+ F A+ F B-
1.02 77% 30% 27% +5 +1 1.14 19% 1.0 .19 26% .35 88% .31 1.28 76% 30% 50% +15 0 1.32 20% 1.4 .28 11% .22 83% .18
Jan
29		 Bryant F+ C F B D- 50% 23% 27% D+ D- F+ F F B+ C+ D+ C D+ B C+ A B 43% 6% 51% F+ B- C+ A- B F F A F
1.07 58% 18% 38% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.7 .18 10% .32 71% .23 1.02 50% 33% 25% -11 +2 0.85 26% 0.8 .21 8% .39 67% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Maryland Baltimore Co. F F A+ F D 28% 32% 40% F D- F F F C+ A A+ A+ F+ B+ D- D- C- 42% 16% 42% F+ D+ D A C+ F D+ C+ C-
0.94 43% 63% 25% -2 -2 0.94 6% 0.0 .00 12% .31 83% .26 1.19 50% 44% 38% 0 +1 1.04 25% 0.8 .20 5% .30 74% .22
Feb
7		 NJIT F+ F F C F 49% 27% 24% C- F F A+ D+ C+ A- A A+ D- D A D D- 49% 15% 36% F F+ C+ D+ C- F F A+ F
0.97 42% 15% 33% -14 0 0.73 23% 1.3 .31 14% .42 79% .33 1.11 61% 29% 35% +1 +1 1.06 25% 1.0 .25 9% .55 55% .30
Feb
12		 Vermont F B- D+ A+ B 33% 37% 31% F C+ F C- F F D+ F D- D F F A+ F+ 43% 21% 36% C D- D+ B C D D A C-
0.99 63% 33% 47% +6 -2 1.08 16% 1.0 .16 20% .30 63% .19 1.11 85% 60% 18% +7 0 1.17 26% 0.9 .22 14% .32 67% .21
Feb
14		 Albany D- D C+ B- C- 32% 28% 40% F+ D+ F A- F D+ A+ B A+ F+ C B+ F D- 42% 13% 44% D- D- C- C+ C C- F F F
1.08 53% 38% 37% 0 -1 1.00 16% 1.4 .22 16% .50 79% .40 1.12 58% 33% 40% +3 +1 1.11 32% 0.9 .29 19% .54 77% .41
Feb
19		 Bryant A- D- A+ A+ A+ 44% 29% 27% F+ A F+ A C- D- A+ A+ A+ D- F A+ B D- 36% 4% 60% D- F+ F A+ C+ D B- F C-
1.30 50% 67% 55% +13 -1 1.27 26% 1.2 .32 17% .45 91% .42 1.11 71% 0% 29% -2 +2 1.02 46% 0.5 .24 20% .23 91% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.6 0.6 6th
7th 2.0 2.9 4.9 7th
8th 13.9 0.9 14.9 8th
9th 22.7 45.1 11.7 0.0 79.6 9th
Total 22.7 45.1 27.6 4.5 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 4.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.5
4-12 27.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 27.5
3-13 45.1% 45.1
2-14 22.7% 22.7
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 99.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6%
Lose Out 22.7%