Binghamton
America East
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#317
Expected Predictive Rating-11.2#316
Pace66.6#249
Improvement-1.4#281

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#295
First Shot-6.0#327
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#104
Layup/Dunks-2.7#268
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#28
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#269
Freethrows-3.9#349
Improvement+0.0#187

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#308
First Shot-6.7#342
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#53
Layups/Dunks-6.2#337
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#278
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#63
Freethrows-2.8#309
Improvement-1.3#286
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.4% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 4.8% 8.3% 2.2%
.500 or above in Conference 18.7% 23.5% 15.1%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 15.2% 11.7% 17.8%
First Four0.8% 1.0% 0.6%
First Round0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marist (Home) - 43.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 71 - 9
Quad 47 - 98 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 188   Cornell L 69-76 30%     0 - 1 -11.0 -15.9 +5.7
  Nov 14, 2021 291   @ Sacred Heart W 72-60 32%     1 - 1 +7.6 -2.1 +10.2
  Nov 17, 2021 339   @ Columbia L 77-85 OT 53%     1 - 2 -18.1 -6.5 -11.1
  Nov 20, 2021 23   @ Connecticut L 63-87 2%     1 - 3 -7.5 -0.7 -7.4
  Dec 01, 2021 207   @ Saint Joseph's L 57-79 16%     1 - 4 -20.8 -18.0 -2.1
  Dec 04, 2021 156   @ Boston University L 63-68 12%     1 - 5 -1.3 -2.3 +0.5
  Dec 08, 2021 241   Marist L 66-68 43%    
  Dec 21, 2021 221   Niagara L 63-67 36%    
  Jan 02, 2022 225   Umass Lowell L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 06, 2022 300   @ Albany L 64-68 34%    
  Jan 08, 2022 256   NJIT L 66-67 45%    
  Jan 12, 2022 254   Hartford L 68-69 44%    
  Jan 16, 2022 353   @ Maine W 65-61 64%    
  Jan 19, 2022 233   Stony Brook L 67-70 41%    
  Jan 22, 2022 256   @ NJIT L 63-70 25%    
  Jan 26, 2022 254   @ Hartford L 65-72 25%    
  Jan 29, 2022 201   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 02, 2022 233   @ Stony Brook L 64-73 22%    
  Feb 05, 2022 353   Maine W 68-58 81%    
  Feb 09, 2022 103   @ Vermont L 56-73 7%    
  Feb 12, 2022 187   New Hampshire L 61-66 32%    
  Feb 16, 2022 300   Albany W 67-65 55%    
  Feb 19, 2022 225   @ Umass Lowell L 64-74 20%    
  Feb 23, 2022 103   Vermont L 59-70 17%    
  Feb 26, 2022 187   @ New Hampshire L 58-69 16%    
  Mar 01, 2022 201   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 65-76 18%    
Projected Record 8 - 18 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.0 2.5 0.2 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.7 6.3 3.4 0.4 0.0 14.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.1 6.0 7.8 3.9 0.6 0.0 20.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.8 5.7 8.9 7.3 3.2 0.4 0.0 27.4 9th
10th 0.3 1.6 2.8 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 9.1 10th
Total 0.3 1.8 4.6 8.6 12.3 14.4 15.0 13.4 10.9 8.0 5.0 2.9 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 81.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 64.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 45.4% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 21.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 14.0% 14.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 12.3% 12.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.7% 7.9% 7.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7
12-6 1.6% 4.5% 4.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.5
11-7 2.9% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.8
10-8 5.0% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.9
9-9 8.0% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 7.8
8-10 10.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 10.7
7-11 13.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.2
6-12 15.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 15.0
5-13 14.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.4
4-14 12.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.3
3-15 8.6% 8.6
2-16 4.6% 4.6
1-17 1.8% 1.8
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%