Binghamton
America East
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#324
Expected Predictive Rating-7.9#298
Pace66.2#238
Improvement+1.3#36

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#303
First Shot-3.7#299
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#226
Layup/Dunks-0.4#189
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#50
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#343
Freethrows-0.1#184
Improvement-0.6#286

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#317
First Shot-4.0#305
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#272
Layups/Dunks-2.3#271
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#144
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#145
Freethrows-3.0#346
Improvement+1.9#4
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 53.4% 80.1% 43.6%
Conference Champion 0.8% 2.2% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.1% 1.1%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Away) - 27.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 71 - 10
Quad 49 - 810 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2022 316   @ Marist W 78-75 36%     1 - 0 -2.5 +6.1 -8.6
  Nov 15, 2022 31   @ Maryland L 52-76 2%     1 - 1 -8.9 -11.4 +1.9
  Nov 19, 2022 323   Sacred Heart L 60-75 60%     1 - 2 -26.9 -17.8 -9.3
  Nov 23, 2022 346   Columbia W 81-79 70%     2 - 2 -12.8 +4.6 -17.3
  Nov 26, 2022 230   @ La Salle L 62-65 21%     2 - 3 -3.8 -11.2 +7.4
  Nov 30, 2022 333   Loyola Maryland L 70-84 64%     2 - 4 -27.0 -5.1 -22.4
  Dec 03, 2022 340   Stonehill L 66-69 67%     2 - 5 -16.8 -9.5 -7.4
  Dec 07, 2022 118   Colgate L 62-81 19%     2 - 6 -19.0 -7.9 -13.1
  Dec 09, 2022 132   @ Fordham L 62-77 10%     2 - 7 -10.3 -9.3 -0.2
  Dec 21, 2022 239   @ Niagara L 67-73 22%     2 - 8 -7.3 -4.1 -3.3
  Dec 29, 2022 105   @ Cornell L 70-86 8%     2 - 9 -9.3 -3.9 -5.6
  Dec 31, 2022 195   @ Bryant L 78-82 16%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -2.6 -0.8 -1.6
  Jan 05, 2023 272   New Hampshire W 68-50 47%     3 - 10 1 - 1 +9.5 +1.0 +10.9
  Jan 11, 2023 320   @ NJIT W 72-71 OT 39%     4 - 10 2 - 1 -5.3 -2.6 -2.6
  Jan 14, 2023 177   Umass Lowell W 66-65 27%     5 - 10 3 - 1 -2.0 -4.3 +2.4
  Jan 19, 2023 336   @ Albany W 65-54 45%     6 - 10 4 - 1 +3.1 -6.1 +10.2
  Jan 22, 2023 288   @ Maine L 57-78 31%     6 - 11 4 - 2 -25.0 -14.8 -11.3
  Jan 25, 2023 146   Vermont L 55-80 23%     6 - 12 4 - 3 -26.5 -11.2 -18.4
  Jan 28, 2023 195   Bryant W 84-67 31%     7 - 12 5 - 3 +12.9 +6.9 +6.2
  Feb 01, 2023 217   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 55-69 18%     7 - 13 5 - 4 -13.6 -17.0 +2.1
  Feb 08, 2023 272   @ New Hampshire L 62-68 27%    
  Feb 11, 2023 336   Albany W 72-68 66%    
  Feb 15, 2023 320   NJIT W 68-66 60%    
  Feb 18, 2023 177   @ Umass Lowell L 64-76 13%    
  Feb 22, 2023 146   @ Vermont L 60-73 10%    
  Feb 25, 2023 288   Maine W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 28, 2023 217   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 72-76 36%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.8 1st
2nd 0.8 2.9 0.5 0.0 4.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 6.0 2.3 0.0 8.6 3rd
4th 0.1 5.4 8.0 0.2 13.7 4th
5th 0.1 3.9 15.2 2.4 21.6 5th
6th 0.1 4.6 18.7 8.3 0.1 31.8 6th
7th 1.3 8.3 5.4 0.2 15.2 7th
8th 1.9 1.9 0.1 4.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
Total 3.3 14.9 28.3 29.5 17.2 5.7 0.9 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 85.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 39.7% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 6.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.1% 5.7% 5.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-5 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.9
10-6 5.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.7
9-7 17.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 17.2
8-8 29.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 29.4
7-9 28.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 28.3
6-10 14.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.9
5-11 3.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.3
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 5.7% 15.5 2.9 2.9
Lose Out 3.3% 0.1% 16.0 0.1