Bryant
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -14.3 354
Expected Predictive Rating -13.7 349
Pace 63.2 323
Improvement -5.2 347

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 343 D- D+ F D+ B-
Defense D- 347 D+ D+ F+ C D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 296 D 51% 321 -4.9 339
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 337 D- 31% 347 -4.0 344
Three Pointers 53% 9 D- 29% 340 +2.4 100
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 81 F+ -6.7 354
1st FG Attempt D- 0.90 345
Second Chance D+ 27.6% 262 D+ 0.97 270 D+ 0.27 280
Turnovers F 21.8% 361
Freethrows D 0.26 320 B 76% 68 D+ 0.20 278
Total Offense D- -7.4 343

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 52% 117 C+ 10.5% 150
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 264 A- 1.3% 9
Three Pointers D 79% 296 D- 1.7% 336
Total B- 60% 93 B- 4.7% 84

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 7 C 57% 163 +4.5 328
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 311 C+ 37% 140 -1.8 51
Three Pointers 37% 297 F+ 39% 358 +0.6 214
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.1 353 D+ +2.1 261
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.09 290
Second Chance D- 35.0% 335 C+ 0.99 124 D+ 0.35 275
Turnovers F+ 13.3% 345
Freethrows C 0.30 190 C- 73% 250 C 0.22 199
Total Defense D- -6.9 347

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 54% 299 C 11.6% 148
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 128 D- 1.9% 330
Three Pointers B+ 77% 33 C- 0.6% 218
Total C- 57% 215 C 6.0% 145

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.4 348 16.8 104
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 347 0.21 307
Improvement +0.1 #181 -5.3 #355

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 358 354 345
Conference Record 4 - 12 5 - 11 6 - 10
Conference Finish 8 7 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 2% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 12% 1% 13%
First Four1% 2% 1%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Away) - 10.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 47 - 137 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 192 @Siena L 66 - 82 8% -10  0% 0 - 1 F+ -15 D- -6 B- B F F -10 B- F F
 Fri, Nov 7 141 @Georgia Tech L 45 - 74 5% -19  0% 0 - 2 F -25 F -30 F F F B+ +6 C- A+ C
 Wed, Nov 12 255 Dartmouth W 82 - 75 28% +1  47% 1 - 2 C -1 C- -2 C F B+ C+ +0 C+ A- F+
 Sun, Nov 16 161 @Valparaiso L 50 - 68 6% -4  22% 1 - 3 F+ -15 F -17 F C+ D- C+ +0 B+ D+ F+
 Wed, Nov 19 59 @Virginia Tech L 61 - 78 2% -5  36% 1 - 4 C- -5 D- -7 C F+ D B- +2 B F C-
 Sun, Nov 23 9 @Connecticut L 49 - 72 0% -14  0% 1 - 5 C -0 F -12 D- C- F A +10 A+ B- F+
 Sat, Nov 29 164 @Harvard L 53 - 56 7% -2  32% 1 - 6 C -0 F+ -9 F C+ C- A +8 B B+ D+
 Tue, Dec 2 345 Stonehill W 77 - 65 55% +4  64% 2 - 6 C- -4 A- +10 B- A+ D- F -12 F+ C F
 Fri, Dec 5 268 @Brown L 56 - 75 15% -12  0% 2 - 7 F -22 F -14 D F D- F+ -8 D- C- F
 Wed, Dec 10 249 @Iona L 63 - 69 13% -5  8% 2 - 8 D+ -8 F+ -9 B- F F C+ +1 B- D+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 184 Marist L 74 - 82 17% -6  14% 2 - 9 D- -12 C+ +3 A+ F F F -15 F C- D+
 Mon, Dec 22 89 @High Point L 47 - 93 2% -27  6% 2 - 10 F -37 F -22 F D F F -19 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 346 @Maine W 56 - 51 33% +5  84% 3 - 10 1 - 0 C- -5 F -18 F F+ F A+ +14 A+ D- C+
 Thu, Jan 8 310 Umass Lowell L 63 - 77 41% -6  5% 3 - 11 1 - 1 F -26 F -13 D- F+ C- F -14 F+ F D-
 Sat, Jan 10 316 @Albany L 46 - 71 23% -13  0% 3 - 12 1 - 2 F -32 F -23 F D D+ F -14 F A F
 Thu, Jan 15 232 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79 - 74 OT 24% +1  61% 4 - 12 2 - 2 C- -2 C+ +2 A- A- F D+ -4 F+ A- C+
 Mon, Jan 19 315 @NJIT L 55 - 79 23% -9  11% 4 - 13 2 - 3 F -30 F -15 F F F F -18 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 24 229 Vermont L 52 - 62 24% -8  0% 4 - 14 2 - 4 F+ -17 F -11 F A- D F+ -9 B F+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 359 @Binghamton L 60 - 63 45% -2  22% 4 - 15 2 - 5 F+ -16 F -10 F F A- D -6 C- C- F
 Sat, Jan 31 344 New Hampshire W 92 - 84 55% +1  49% 5 - 15 3 - 5 D+ -8 B +6 C- A+ D+ F -14 D- D F
 Thu, Feb 5 316 Albany L 63 - 65 43% +5  86% 5 - 16 3 - 6 F+ -15 F+ -10 B+ F+ F D -5 F A+ D-
 Sat, Feb 7 346 Maine W 73 - 67 55% +2  66% 6 - 16 4 - 6 D -10 D+ -3 D C- F+ D -6 D- B- F
 Thu, Feb 12 310 @Umass Lowell L 69 - 88 21% -12  0% 6 - 17 4 - 7 F -25 D -4 F+ A F F -22 F F F
 Sat, Feb 14 229 @Vermont L 63 - 90 11% -15  1% 6 - 18 4 - 8 F -28 F -10 D+ F+ F F -19 F F+ C-
 Thu, Feb 19 359 Binghamton L 67 - 79 67% -6  3% 6 - 19 4 - 9 F -31 D- -7 D- F+ F F -26 F F F+
 Thu, Feb 26 232 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 63 - 76 10%
 Sat, Feb 28 315 NJIT L 69 - 71 43%
 Tue, Mar 3 344 @New Hampshire L 66 - 71 33%
Totals 7 - 21 5 - 11 -14 D- -7 D- F+ B- D- -7 D- B D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- D D- D- F+ 34% 23% 53% B- D- D+ D+ D+ F D B D+ D- C C+ F+ D+ 47% 16% 37% D- D+ D- C+ D+ F+ C C- C
0.98 51% 31% 29% -7 +1 0.90 28% 1.0 .27 22% .26 76% .20 1.18 57% 37% 39% +2 +1 1.09 35% 1.0 .35 13% .30 73% .19
Nov
3		 Siena D- D- F A+ C+ 45% 14% 41% A- B- A+ D B F D+ D- D F D+ A+ A- A- 58% 20% 22% F B- F F F F D- C D-
0.99 50% 17% 50% +3 +1 1.11 44% 0.9 .38 30% .26 67% .17 1.23 62% 10% 27% -5 +1 0.94 47% 1.3 .61 11% .34 75% .25
Nov
7		 Georgia Tech F D F+ F F 23% 13% 64% C+ F F F F F C- D+ C- B+ D A+ F C- 39% 25% 37% C+ C- A+ B+ A+ C A+ A+ A+
0.61 50% 29% 12% -24 0 0.53 20% 0.8 .16 22% .28 69% .19 1.00 64% 21% 43% +3 0 1.07 20% 1.0 .20 18% .16 60% .10
Nov
12		 Dartmouth C- D- A+ C+ C- 45% 4% 52% A C F A F B+ B+ A+ A C+ B- D- C C+ 33% 12% 55% D+ C+ B- A+ A- F+ A- A+ A+
1.10 52% 50% 34% -2 +3 1.04 14% 1.2 .16 9% .33 82% .27 1.01 53% 43% 34% -1 +1 1.02 22% 0.8 .17 16% .26 56% .14
Nov
16		 Valparaiso F F+ F F F 34% 19% 47% C F B+ D+ C+ D- F A+ F+ C+ A+ B- C A 40% 20% 40% F B+ C- D D+ F+ F B+ D-
0.79 50% 0% 18% -21 0 0.60 38% 0.8 .31 21% .18 89% .16 1.08 39% 33% 33% -9 0 0.84 33% 1.2 .38 11% .45 64% .29
Nov
19		 Virginia Tech D- A+ A F C 30% 21% 49% C- C F A+ F+ D B+ B- B+ B- C- F A+ B+ 50% 20% 30% D- B D+ F F C- F A+ C
0.88 79% 50% 17% -4 -1 0.94 13% 1.5 .19 20% .29 75% .22 1.13 64% 50% 20% -1 +1 1.02 35% 1.5 .55 14% .41 58% .24
Nov
23		 Connecticut F F F D+ D- 24% 14% 62% C+ D- F+ A+ C- F A+ A+ A+ A A- A+ A A+ 59% 6% 35% F A+ F A+ B- F+ F+ F+ F
0.75 22% 20% 30% -14 0 0.73 17% 1.2 .21 32% .47 95% .45 1.10 53% 0% 28% -8 +3 0.92 45% 0.8 .38 12% .38 77% .30
Nov
29		 Harvard F+ F F C- F 40% 8% 52% B F C B- C+ C- F A+ F A A+ F F+ A 59% 10% 31% F B F A+ B+ D+ A+ F A+
0.91 32% 0% 32% -15 +2 0.75 30% 1.1 .33 17% .15 86% .12 0.96 41% 60% 40% -5 +3 0.98 35% 0.5 .18 17% .04 100% .04
Dec
2		 Stonehill A- A- B- D- B- 43% 10% 47% B+ B- A- A+ A+ D- B F C- F C+ D- C- D- 57% 14% 29% F F+ F+ B+ C F B+ F B-
1.25 67% 40% 30% +1 +2 1.08 35% 1.5 .52 15% .32 59% .19 1.05 52% 43% 33% -3 +2 1.00 33% 0.7 .24 15% .17 78% .13
Dec
5		 Brown F D+ A+ F D- 33% 10% 57% B D F F F D- F A+ F F+ A+ A+ F D- 48% 13% 38% D- D- D B C- F C- A+ B-
0.83 53% 80% 24% -6 +1 0.92 17% 0.5 .08 21% .13 86% .11 1.11 32% 14% 60% -1 +2 1.04 32% 1.0 .32 13% .27 56% .15
Dec
10		 Iona F+ F F A+ B- 19% 15% 67% D B- F+ F F F F A+ F C+ A A+ F+ B+ 44% 13% 43% F+ B- A F D+ F A+ F B+
0.95 44% 14% 44% +4 -1 1.08 26% 0.8 .21 26% .08 100% .08 1.04 46% 14% 39% -5 +1 0.94 17% 1.7 .29 12% .15 89% .14
Dec
13		 Marist C+ A- A+ A+ A+ 33% 12% 55% B+ A+ F+ F F F D- C- D F F B+ D- F 52% 25% 23% F+ F D- B+ C- D+ F F F
1.08 69% 50% 41% +11 +1 1.24 21% 0.3 .07 23% .30 69% .21 1.19 68% 33% 36% +5 0 1.13 31% 1.0 .31 16% .36 95% .35
Dec
22		 High Point F F A+ F F 54% 5% 41% A+ F D D+ D F C F D F D+ F F F 54% 5% 41% F F F F F A+ F A- F
0.73 45% 100% 20% -12 +3 0.84 28% 1.0 .28 34% .31 62% .19 1.45 64% 100% 41% +10 +3 1.29 58% 1.5 .88 20% .63 69% .43
Jan
3		 Maine F F D F F 40% 19% 42% C F C F F+ F B- D C+ A+ A+ B A+ A+ 46% 20% 35% D A+ F A+ D- C+ F A+ D
0.82 47% 33% 20% -14 0 0.75 37% 0.8 .28 23% .34 67% .23 0.74 38% 33% 13% -21 +1 0.61 33% 0.8 .27 22% .45 54% .24
Jan
8		 Umass Lowell F F+ C+ D+ D- 31% 20% 49% D D- F+ D- F+ C- F F F F F C+ C F 50% 26% 24% C F+ D- F F D- C- F+ D+
0.97 50% 40% 32% -4 0 0.94 24% 1.0 .24 14% .16 67% .11 1.19 68% 38% 33% +5 0 1.12 36% 1.3 .46 17% .32 71% .22
Jan
10		 Albany F F B- F F 23% 12% 65% C- F C- D- D D+ B- F D F F F D- F 55% 9% 36% F F F A+ A F F+ C D-
0.81 10% 40% 21% -23 0 0.56 33% 1.1 .36 16% .33 63% .21 1.25 71% 50% 38% +10 +3 1.27 43% 0.4 .18 14% .31 67% .20
Jan
15		 Maryland Baltimore Co. C+ A D B- B+ 52% 10% 38% A A- A- C+ A- F C- D+ C- D+ D+ A F F+ 31% 14% 55% D F+ A- A A- C+ F+ F F
1.15 70% 33% 36% +7 +2 1.21 38% 1.1 .41 22% .22 67% .15 1.08 63% 29% 39% +4 0 1.12 16% 0.8 .13 16% .35 85% .30
Jan
19		 NJIT F D F F F 33% 13% 53% C+ F F+ F F F A+ A A+ F B F F F 30% 15% 55% D- F C- A- B- F F F F
0.88 53% 17% 25% -12 +1 0.80 26% 0.8 .21 19% .48 79% .38 1.27 50% 57% 42% +7 0 1.17 28% 0.8 .21 13% .40 91% .37
Jan
24		 Vermont F C F F F 31% 26% 44% D+ F B A A- D A+ A A+ F+ B B C- B- 28% 23% 50% B+ B F A+ F+ F F C- F
0.98 58% 20% 6% -23 -1 0.54 31% 1.3 .40 15% .49 82% .40 1.17 55% 33% 35% -1 -1 0.98 46% 0.7 .31 11% .43 75% .32
Jan
29		 Binghamton F F+ D- F F 43% 6% 51% B+ F D- F F A- A- D- B- D C- A+ F+ C- 50% 23% 27% D C- F A- C- F B+ B+ A-
1.02 50% 33% 25% -11 +2 0.85 26% 0.8 .21 8% .39 67% .26 1.07 58% 18% 38% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.7 .18 10% .32 71% .23
Jan
31		 New Hampshire B C- F C+ D+ 51% 16% 33% B C- B- A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ F F A+ A+ D 57% 9% 34% F D- C F D F F D F
1.24 58% 25% 35% -2 +2 1.02 34% 1.7 .59 16% .60 86% .52 1.14 67% 20% 22% -3 +3 1.02 25% 1.1 .28 12% .43 71% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Albany F+ D A+ A+ B 43% 5% 52% A B+ F+ D+ F+ F F B F D D- A+ F F 52% 12% 36% F F A- A+ A+ D- A+ A- A+
1.04 53% 50% 43% +6 +2 1.18 28% 1.1 .32 28% .12 80% .09 1.08 65% 17% 44% +7 +2 1.20 26% 0.3 .06 17% .10 60% .06
Feb
7		 Maine D+ F+ F B- D- 50% 11% 39% A- D D B- C- F+ A+ A+ A+ D C F B D- 36% 18% 47% C- D- A+ F B- F F B F
1.08 50% 20% 35% -5 +2 0.95 33% 1.1 .37 22% .49 81% .40 0.99 56% 63% 29% 0 0 1.02 9% 1.7 .16 16% .53 60% .32
Feb
12		 Umass Lowell D F F C F 37% 12% 51% C+ F+ B A+ A F C+ F C- F C+ F F F 50% 17% 33% D- F F F F F D C- D
1.06 47% 17% 35% -6 +1 0.92 36% 1.4 .52 20% .29 67% .19 1.35 54% 75% 44% +9 +1 1.23 45% 1.3 .58 14% .36 65% .23
Feb
14		 Vermont F D B+ D+ D 33% 14% 53% B D+ D- F F+ F F+ A+ D+ F D- B F F 52% 20% 28% D- F C F F+ C- F F F
0.94 53% 43% 33% -2 +1 1.00 20% 0.9 .17 18% .26 86% .22 1.35 67% 33% 62% +15 +1 1.35 24% 1.3 .32 15% .44 84% .37
Feb
19		 Binghamton D- A F F F+ 36% 4% 60% B D- A+ F F+ F F A+ D+ F B F F F 44% 29% 27% B- F F+ F F F+ F F F
1.11 71% 0% 29% -2 +2 1.02 46% 0.5 .24 20% .23 91% .21 1.30 50% 67% 55% +13 -1 1.27 26% 1.2 .32 17% .45 91% .42



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.3 0.6 0.9 5th
6th 3.9 12.3 1.2 17.4 6th
7th 4.0 25.9 5.4 0.0 35.3 7th
8th 29.9 15.1 0.1 45.2 8th
9th 1.2 1.2 9th
Total 35.1 44.9 18.2 1.8 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 1.8
6-10 18.2% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.4 17.8
5-11 44.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.7 44.2
4-12 35.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.3 34.9
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 16.0 98.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 30.8%