Bucknell
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#265
Expected Predictive Rating+4.7#88
Pace68.8#183
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#286
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#232
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.5% 12.5% 6.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.7 15.3
.500 or above 38.3% 55.7% 27.7%
.500 or above in Conference 57.8% 68.4% 51.5%
Conference Champion 10.1% 15.6% 6.8%
Last Place in Conference 8.3% 5.6% 9.9%
First Four2.3% 2.6% 2.1%
First Round7.4% 11.2% 5.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Away) - 37.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 413 - 815 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 262   Delaware W 78-70 60%     1 - 0 -0.2 -0.7 +0.4
  Nov 07, 2025 257   @ Mount St. Mary's L 67-71 38%    
  Nov 11, 2025 181   @ Princeton L 66-73 27%    
  Nov 14, 2025 164   Hofstra L 64-66 44%    
  Nov 17, 2025 64   @ Pittsburgh L 62-79 6%    
  Nov 20, 2025 11   @ St. John's L 62-88 1%    
  Nov 24, 2025 149   Bowling Green L 68-74 31%    
  Nov 26, 2025 320   Buffalo W 76-73 59%    
  Nov 30, 2025 160   Cornell L 75-77 44%    
  Dec 03, 2025 95   @ Akron L 69-83 10%    
  Dec 06, 2025 295   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 77-73 63%    
  Dec 09, 2025 325   @ Rider W 68-67 50%    
  Dec 20, 2025 33   Iowa L 65-84 4%    
  Dec 31, 2025 329   @ Holy Cross W 73-72 50%    
  Jan 03, 2026 291   Lehigh W 71-67 63%    
  Jan 07, 2026 153   @ Navy L 66-74 23%    
  Jan 10, 2026 301   Loyola Maryland W 71-66 66%    
  Jan 14, 2026 288   Lafayette W 71-67 65%    
  Jan 17, 2026 194   @ Colgate L 68-74 32%    
  Jan 21, 2026 345   Army W 75-67 75%    
  Jan 24, 2026 301   @ Loyola Maryland L 68-69 45%    
  Jan 26, 2026 288   @ Lafayette L 68-70 43%    
  Jan 31, 2026 243   Boston University W 67-65 57%    
  Feb 04, 2026 296   @ American L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 07, 2026 194   Colgate L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 09, 2026 153   Navy L 69-71 43%    
  Feb 14, 2026 243   @ Boston University L 64-68 37%    
  Feb 18, 2026 296   American W 72-68 62%    
  Feb 22, 2026 329   Holy Cross W 75-69 70%    
  Feb 25, 2026 345   @ Army W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 28, 2026 291   @ Lehigh L 68-70 45%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.7 2.0 2.5 2.6 1.6 0.5 0.2 10.1 1st
2nd 0.3 1.9 4.2 3.7 2.0 0.3 0.1 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.4 5.7 3.5 0.7 0.0 12.6 3rd
4th 0.3 2.8 4.9 3.5 0.6 12.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.4 2.9 0.5 10.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 5.3 2.4 0.4 10.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.6 3.3 0.2 10.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.9 3.8 2.3 0.2 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.2 1.3 0.2 7.1 9th
10th 0.4 0.9 1.5 1.3 0.9 0.0 5.0 10th
Total 0.4 1.0 2.3 3.5 6.3 7.5 9.8 11.6 10.2 10.9 11.7 9.0 6.4 4.5 2.9 1.6 0.5 0.2 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5
16-2 95.3% 1.6    1.4 0.2
15-3 89.3% 2.6    2.1 0.4 0.0
14-4 55.0% 2.5    1.4 0.9 0.1 0.0
13-5 31.4% 2.0    0.6 1.0 0.4 0.0
12-6 8.0% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
11-7 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.1% 10.1 6.5 2.7 0.7 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 33.3% 16.7% 16.7% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 20.0%
17-1 0.5% 50.2% 50.2% 13.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.6% 42.0% 42.0% 13.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.9
15-3 2.9% 25.2% 25.2% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.1
14-4 4.5% 25.5% 25.5% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 3.3
13-5 6.4% 21.2% 21.2% 14.9 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 5.1
12-6 9.0% 15.6% 15.6% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.8 7.6
11-7 11.7% 8.8% 8.8% 15.4 0.2 0.3 0.6 10.7
10-8 10.9% 6.6% 6.6% 15.9 0.0 0.7 10.2
9-9 10.2% 4.9% 4.9% 15.8 0.1 0.4 9.7
8-10 11.6% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 11.3
7-11 9.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.7
6-12 7.5% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.2 7.3
5-13 6.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.2
4-14 3.5% 3.5
3-15 2.3% 2.3
2-16 1.0% 1.0
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18
Total 100% 8.5% 8.4% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.7 2.0 3.8 91.5 0.0%