Bucknell
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -11.8 334
Results Rating -10.6 327
Consistency 0.16 211
Pace 68.0 192
Improvement -4.6 333

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense D- 343 D- D+ D- C- C+
Defense D 297 D D C+ D+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 223 D 53% 300 -2.8 285
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 262 F+ 30% 356 -2.7 306
Three Pointers 46% 83 D- 30% 330 -0.5 200
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 137 F+ -6.0 350
1st FG Attempt D- 0.90 342
Second Chance D 25.7% 309 B- 1.09 99 D+ 0.28 254
Opponents' Steals F+ 11.8% 350
Other Turnovers D+ 8.1% 286
Turnovers D- 19.9% 340
Freethrows D 0.27 289 B 76% 44 C- 0.21 231
Total Offense D- -7.5 343

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 50% 159 F+ 15.4% 353
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 179 F 9.6% 351
Three Pointers C+ 86% 128 D+ 1.3% 295
Total B- 59% 97 F 8.0% 351


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 281 D+ 62% 287 -0.7 146
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 162 D 43% 330 +0.9 268
Three Pointers 44% 86 D- 38% 337 +4.2 336
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.3 116 D- +4.8 341
1st FG Attempt D 1.11 325
Second Chance D 33.6% 310 C- 1.07 245 D 0.36 299
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.0% 142
Other Turnovers C+ 7.5% 143
Turnovers C+ 17.5% 135
Freethrows C- 0.32 244 D+ 74% 298 D+ 0.24 264
Total Defense D -4.3 297

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 54% 296 D 7.4% 320
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 303 D- 1.5% 341
Three Pointers F+ 92% 357 D- 0.0% 350
Total D- 63% 329 D- 2.9% 351

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.9 242 16.7 76
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 325 0.17 181
Consistency 0.13 255 0.13 259
Improvement -1.2 257 -3.4 328

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 341 334 329
Results Rating Rank 338 327 320
Conference Record 6 - 12 6 - 12 6 - 12
Conference Finish 8 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 1% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 70 - 11
Quad 49 - 1210 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 273 Delaware W 78 - 70 40% +6  92% 1 - 0 C -1 D+ -4 C B F B- +3 A+ F C-
 Fri, Nov 7 272 @Mount St. Mary's W 73 - 62 21% +4  80% 2 - 0 B- +8 B- +5 B+ F A+ B +4 B A- C
 Tue, Nov 11 240 @Princeton L 63 - 73 17% -5  4% 2 - 1 D- -11 F -12 D+ F F C+ +0 C- D+ C
 Fri, Nov 14 103 Hofstra L 77 - 83 12% -2  35% 2 - 2 C- -5 D+ -3 D+ A+ F C- -2 F+ A C
 Mon, Nov 17 96 @Pittsburgh L 50 - 84 4% -17  10% 2 - 3 F -25 F -17 F F+ F F -11 F F B+
 Thu, Nov 20 20 @St. John's L 49 - 97 1% -17  22% 2 - 4 F -27 F -18 F D- F D -5 F B A-
 Mon, Nov 24 167 Bowling Green L 66 - 71 15% -7  6% 2 - 5 D+ -6 D- -7 B+ D F C+ +1 C- D A
 Wed, Nov 26 212 Buffalo L 71 - 73 20% -2  33% 2 - 6 D+ -5 C+ +2 C+ C C D- -7 D A D-
 Sun, Nov 30 164 Cornell L 72 - 101 21% -14  6% 2 - 7 F -32 F -15 F A+ F F -16 F F A-
 Wed, Dec 3 70 @Akron L 77 - 97 3% -11  8% 2 - 8 D -9 B +6 C+ D A+ F -15 F+ D+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 220 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66 - 73 30% -1  39% 2 - 9 D- -13 D- -7 F C+ C- D- -7 F C- B+
 Tue, Dec 9 356 @Rider W 51 - 38 52% +8  99% 3 - 9 C +1 F -22 F F F+ A+ +25 B A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 20 28 Iowa L 39 - 94 1% -23  13% 3 - 10 F -40 F -27 D F F F -17 F F C-
 Wed, Dec 31 330 @Holy Cross L 58 - 65 37% -4  9% 3 - 11 0 - 1 F+ -15 F -14 D- F F C- -2 D+ D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 3 292 Lehigh W 72 - 65 46% -3  33% 4 - 11 1 - 1 C- -4 F -12 F B C- A- +8 B+ F A+
 Wed, Jan 7 139 @Navy L 55 - 76 8% -7  38% 4 - 12 1 - 2 F+ -17 F -12 F+ F D D -6 D F B+
 Sat, Jan 10 313 Loyola Maryland W 70 - 67 53% +1  51% 5 - 12 2 - 2 D -10 F -11 F A F C+ +1 F+ A- A
 Wed, Jan 14 322 Lafayette W 76 - 69 56% +1  53% 6 - 12 3 - 2 D+ -6 C -0 B- A+ F D -5 D D+ C
 Sat, Jan 17 252 @Colgate L 76 - 95 18% -14  0% 6 - 13 3 - 3 F -21 D+ -3 D- D+ C- F -18 F F D
 Wed, Jan 21 339 Army L 84 - 87 OT 63% -2  31% 6 - 14 3 - 4 F -18 C +0 C+ F+ B F -18 F D+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 313 @Loyola Maryland L 62 - 67 31% -2  22% 6 - 15 3 - 5 D- -12 F -11 F C C C -1 C+ F A
 Wed, Jan 28 322 @Lafayette L 79 - 81 33% +4  84% 6 - 16 3 - 6 D -9 B +6 D+ B C- F -16 F F F+
 Sat, Jan 31 256 Boston University W 103 - 97 2OT 37% +3  62% 7 - 16 4 - 6 C- -2 A- +11 B+ B B F -13 B F F
 Wed, Feb 4 254 @American W 60 - 59 18% -2  21% 8 - 16 5 - 6 C -1 D -5 F+ B F B +4 B D+ B
 Sat, Feb 7 252 Colgate L 59 - 78 36% -14  0% 8 - 17 5 - 7 F -27 F -24 F D D- C- -2 C+ C D
 Mon, Feb 9 139 Navy L 60 - 76 17% -9  9% 8 - 18 5 - 8 F+ -18 F -13 F D B- D+ -5 C+ F C+
 Sat, Feb 14 256 @Boston University L 69 - 82 18% -10  4% 8 - 19 5 - 9 F+ -15 D- -6 D+ F+ C F -10 F+ D- B-
 Wed, Feb 18 254 American L 57 - 75 36% -6  19% 8 - 20 5 - 10 F -26 F -17 F+ C- F F -11 C+ D+ F
 Sun, Feb 22 330 Holy Cross L 63 - 72 59% -1  27% 8 - 21 5 - 11 F -23 F -16 F C+ D F+ -8 F+ F C
 Wed, Feb 25 339 @Army W 75 - 73 40% +9  94% 9 - 21 6 - 11 D+ -7 F+ -8 C D- F C+ +1 D- C A-
 Sat, Feb 28 292 @Lehigh L 79 - 89 25% -4  11% 9 - 22 6 - 12 F+ -15 B- +4 C+ A- C- F -19 F C+ B
 Tue, Mar 3 339 Army W 74 - 71 63%
Totals 10 - 22 6 - 12 -12 D- -7 F F+ C+ D -4 D- B C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- D F+ D- F+ 37% 30% 46% C+ D- D B- D+ D- D B C- D D+ D D- D- 35% 21% 44% C+ D D C- D C+ C- D+ D+
0.98 53% 30% 30% -6 0 0.90 26% 1.1 .28 20% .27 76% .21 1.15 62% 43% 38% +5 0 1.11 34% 1.1 .36 17% .32 74% .20
Nov
3
Delaware D+ C- F A C- 37% 20% 43% B- C B C+ B F D B+ D+ B- A A+ A A+ 40% 13% 47% F+ A+ F F F C- D- A+ C+
1.10 58% 20% 41% +1 0 1.04 35% 1.1 .38 18% .24 86% .21 0.98 48% 14% 28% -12 +1 0.81 29% 1.6 .45 17% .30 61% .19
Nov
7
Mount St. Mary's B- B+ D- B B+ 42% 17% 42% B B+ D- F F A+ B F C B F C+ A+ B+ 40% 7% 52% D B D A+ A- C F D- F
1.12 64% 33% 36% +3 +1 1.09 23% 0.3 .08 6% .37 65% .24 0.95 71% 33% 18% -8 +2 0.90 33% 0.6 .21 23% .50 72% .36
Nov
11
Princeton F F A+ D D- 48% 10% 42% A- D+ F F F F A C A- C+ C D- C D 19% 27% 54% A+ C- C D- D+ C F A+ F
0.92 48% 60% 30% -5 +2 0.96 18% 0.5 .09 19% .38 71% .27 1.07 56% 46% 35% +2 -2 1.02 27% 1.1 .30 18% .51 66% .34
Nov
14
Hofstra D+ A F F D+ 31% 19% 50% B- D+ C+ A+ A+ F A- A+ A+ C- C- F+ F F 20% 33% 47% A F+ B A+ A C F A+ F
1.03 67% 22% 25% -7 0 0.88 32% 1.6 .53 23% .36 86% .31 1.11 60% 44% 43% +9 -3 1.14 29% 0.8 .24 16% .51 66% .34
Nov
17
Pittsburgh F F F F F 37% 17% 46% C F C+ F F+ F A+ B- A+ F B F F F 35% 20% 45% B F F D+ F B+ B- B- B-
0.77 33% 14% 26% -18 0 0.66 27% 0.5 .14 25% .47 78% .37 1.30 53% 60% 50% +13 0 1.29 44% 1.1 .47 20% .27 64% .17
Nov
20
St. John's F F F F F 41% 17% 41% B- F D- D+ D- F A+ D A+ D F D- C+ F 47% 13% 40% D+ F F A+ B A- D- C- D-
0.65 32% 25% 21% -21 +1 0.61 21% 0.9 .18 32% .42 68% .29 1.28 76% 43% 33% +9 +2 1.23 49% 0.8 .37 17% .45 75% .33
Nov
24
Bowling Green D- B F A+ B 44% 12% 44% B B+ F A+ D F A- B- A- C+ A+ D+ F C 42% 11% 47% C- C- A+ F D A F B F
0.96 63% 0% 42% +3 +2 1.12 15% 1.5 .23 26% .39 75% .29 1.03 42% 40% 43% 0 +2 1.04 16% 1.8 .28 22% .48 69% .33
Nov
26
Buffalo C+ B+ F B- C 40% 9% 51% B C+ A- F+ C C D F F D- B F F D 35% 8% 56% D D D- A+ A D- D+ C D+
1.17 68% 25% 38% +6 +2 1.17 41% 0.8 .31 18% .24 58% .14 1.20 53% 50% 41% +5 +1 1.15 31% 0.6 .19 13% .36 74% .26
Nov
30
Cornell F F B+ F F 33% 22% 45% D- F C+ A+ A+ F A+ B- A+ F F F F 43% 0% 57% F F A F F A- A+ D A+
0.98 38% 45% 23% -13 -1 0.76 32% 1.6 .51 23% .46 73% .33 1.37 73% 62% +30 +3 1.69 24% 2.0 .47 22% .16 78% .12
Dec
3
Akron B C+ F B+ B- 29% 14% 58% C C+ C+ F D A+ F C- F F F F F+ F 40% 15% 45% C- F+ B F D+ F F A+ D
1.12 59% 25% 38% +2 0 1.07 34% 0.7 .25 13% .12 71% .08 1.41 73% 50% 40% +12 +1 1.27 29% 1.6 .45 7% .36 65% .24
Dec
6
Maryland Baltimore Co. D- C F F F 38% 20% 42% C- F B+ D- C+ C- A- C A- D- D F+ F F 37% 28% 35% B- F C- C C- B+ C- D- D+
1.02 58% 20% 29% -7 0 0.88 35% 0.9 .33 14% .31 71% .22 1.13 65% 46% 44% +10 -1 1.20 23% 1.0 .23 19% .29 80% .23
Dec
9
Rider F D+ F F F 46% 8% 46% B- F F F+ F F+ F B+ F A+ A+ D- A+ B 34% 34% 32% C+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+
0.84 55% 25% 23% -10 +2 0.85 19% 0.8 .16 18% .16 75% .12 0.62 36% 43% 23% -11 -2 0.76 17% 0.7 .11 25% .20 33% .07
Dec
20
Iowa F A+ F F D- 31% 15% 54% C+ D F F F F F F+ F F D- F F F 49% 16% 35% C- F F D- F C- A+ F+ A
0.60 75% 17% 24% -6 0 0.90 12% 0.7 .08 38% .15 67% .10 1.44 70% 67% 42% +15 +1 1.35 50% 1.2 .58 14% .21 83% .18
Dec
31
Holy Cross F D+ D C+ D 27% 27% 45% F D- C F F F F F F C- D+ F A+ D+ 48% 35% 18% C- D+ F A- D+ C+ F C- F
0.93 57% 36% 35% 0 -2 0.98 30% 0.5 .16 21% .10 40% .04 1.04 58% 57% 14% +1 -1 1.03 30% 0.8 .22 18% .51 77% .39
Jan
3
Lehigh F F F C- F 39% 22% 39% C- F D+ A+ B C- C- A+ A- A- B+ F A+ B 33% 33% 33% A- B+ A- F F A+ F F F
0.98 29% 25% 33% -15 0 0.72 31% 1.3 .40 16% .29 94% .28 0.89 50% 57% 21% -3 -2 0.93 15% 2.3 .35 29% .40 81% .33
Jan
7
Navy F C+ F F F 27% 17% 56% B- F+ F F F D C+ B B- D D- A+ F D- 37% 24% 39% C D F F F B+ C- D- D+
0.84 62% 13% 26% -10 0 0.81 19% 0.7 .14 20% .27 79% .21 1.16 65% 18% 44% +4 -1 1.09 38% 1.3 .47 21% .35 78% .27
Jan
10
Loyola Maryland F D+ F F F 44% 16% 40% B F C+ A+ A F C C C C+ D+ A+ F F 25% 12% 63% B- F+ D- A+ A- A A F+ A-
1.02 59% 25% 25% -7 +1 0.90 33% 1.5 .50 20% .29 75% .22 0.98 62% 17% 39% +4 0 1.10 31% 0.5 .17 22% .17 78% .13
Jan
14
Lafayette C D F A+ C+ 45% 16% 39% B+ B- D+ A+ A+ F C- A+ B D C A+ F D- 33% 17% 50% B D B+ F D+ C B F C+
1.15 55% 29% 47% +5 +1 1.14 27% 2.0 .54 23% .27 86% .24 1.05 56% 13% 42% +1 0 1.04 21% 1.3 .26 17% .24 77% .18
Jan
17
Colgate D+ B+ F F F+ 41% 8% 51% A- D- F A+ D+ C- A A+ A+ F F F F F 33% 19% 48% D+ F F F F D F B+ D-
1.06 67% 25% 23% -6 +2 0.94 16% 1.6 .26 15% .40 92% .36 1.33 76% 50% 44% +16 0 1.33 34% 1.4 .48 14% .36 68% .24
Jan
21
Army C B C C+ C+ 44% 15% 41% B C+ C- F F+ B C+ B B F D- B+ F F 37% 8% 56% D+ F F B+ D+ C- F F F
1.20 67% 38% 36% +5 +1 1.15 30% 0.9 .27 13% .38 78% .30 1.24 63% 25% 41% +7 +2 1.19 38% 0.8 .31 17% .36 90% .33
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24
Loyola Maryland F C+ F F F 43% 10% 47% A- F D A C C F C- F C F F A D+ 18% 28% 55% A+ C+ D- F F A F F F
0.98 64% 20% 17% -12 +2 0.82 27% 1.4 .38 14% .20 73% .15 1.06 71% 45% 27% -1 -2 0.95 31% 1.2 .38 22% .45 91% .41
Jan
28
Lafayette B B+ B C C+ 20% 42% 38% F D+ C+ A- B C- A+ C+ A+ F F D+ C+ F 32% 18% 50% B+ F F F F F+ F D- F
1.21 67% 42% 35% +4 -4 1.02 32% 1.3 .42 15% .58 75% .43 1.24 79% 38% 32% +5 0 1.11 34% 1.1 .38 12% .54 74% .40
Jan
31
Boston University A- F A+ A+ A- 39% 24% 37% D+ B+ C- A+ B B A+ A+ A+ F D A B- B+ 37% 17% 46% C B D F F F F F F
1.34 43% 62% 55% +11 0 1.24 28% 1.3 .38 10% .48 85% .41 1.26 64% 30% 33% 0 0 1.03 30% 1.3 .40 9% .42 83% .34
Feb
4
American D F B- C- F+ 38% 18% 45% C F+ F A+ B F C A+ A B A D+ C+ B 23% 11% 66% B- B F A D+ B B A+ A-
1.01 47% 43% 33% -4 0 0.95 22% 1.7 .37 24% .38 88% .33 1.00 45% 40% 32% -4 0 0.94 39% 0.7 .27 19% .23 64% .15
Feb
7
Colgate F D C F F 31% 22% 47% D F F A+ D D- A+ B- A+ C- C F A- C+ 36% 26% 38% C+ C+ C C- C D F+ A- D+
0.80 53% 36% 13% -17 -1 0.67 19% 1.3 .24 18% .45 74% .33 1.06 58% 50% 30% +1 -1 1.02 26% 1.0 .26 14% .33 67% .22
Feb
9
Navy F B+ F F F 35% 11% 55% A F F A- D B- F A+ F+ D+ C+ D A- C+ 38% 33% 29% B+ C+ F F F C+ C+ D- C
0.87 68% 17% 17% -13 +1 0.78 20% 1.1 .23 16% .14 100% .14 1.10 56% 44% 29% -1 -2 0.96 39% 1.3 .52 19% .32 78% .25
Feb
14
Boston University D- D+ A- C- D 45% 11% 43% B+ D+ F B+ F+ C F F F F C A F F 28% 16% 56% B- F+ F A+ D- B- F F F
1.06 54% 50% 35% 0 +2 1.06 18% 1.2 .21 12% .17 60% .10 1.26 58% 29% 50% +12 0 1.26 48% 0.7 .33 20% .44 91% .40
Feb
18
American F D+ A+ F F+ 37% 26% 37% D F+ C- C C- F F C F F B- A+ D- C+ 38% 16% 47% C+ C+ C+ F D+ F F D- F
0.88 56% 73% 13% -4 -1 0.93 30% 1.0 .30 23% .28 71% .20 1.16 53% 14% 38% -3 +1 0.98 24% 1.1 .26 11% .54 81% .43
Feb
22
Holy Cross F D- F F F 35% 24% 41% D F B+ D C+ D C A+ B+ F+ A C- F F 20% 41% 39% A+ F+ B- F F C D- F F
0.96 53% 25% 20% -14 -1 0.73 35% 1.1 .38 15% .27 87% .23 1.09 44% 42% 50% +8 -4 1.11 19% 1.6 .30 17% .33 83% .27
Feb
25
Army F+ F+ C A+ C- 42% 16% 42% B- C F+ B D- F D+ C D+ C+ D F C D- 24% 4% 72% C D- C- C+ C A- A- C+ A-
1.04 52% 38% 43% +3 +1 1.10 23% 1.3 .29 22% .34 74% .25 1.01 62% 50% 33% +1 +1 1.06 30% 0.9 .28 22% .18 70% .12
Feb
28
Lehigh B- F+ C- A+ C 54% 9% 37% A C+ D A+ A- C- F B- F F F F F F 37% 17% 46% D- F F A+ C+ B F F F
1.16 48% 40% 45% +1 +3 1.09 29% 1.6 .45 16% .14 75% .11 1.31 71% 63% 52% +21 0 1.46 32% 0.6 .18 21% .35 95% .33




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.4 99.6
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 99.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.6%
Lose Out 48.6%