Bucknell
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#260
Expected Predictive Rating-5.4#254
Pace68.0#209
Improvement-4.1#358

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#319
First Shot-3.5#281
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#286
Layup/Dunks+0.2#179
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#321
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#196
Freethrows-0.4#211
Improvement-3.3#360

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#179
First Shot+0.9#146
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#262
Layups/Dunks+1.6#119
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#322
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#231
Freethrows+2.8#35
Improvement-0.8#254
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.2% 12.9% 9.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 32.8% 49.3% 27.3%
.500 or above in Conference 62.8% 70.5% 60.3%
Conference Champion 12.5% 16.0% 11.3%
Last Place in Conference 7.2% 4.4% 8.1%
First Four5.4% 5.4% 5.4%
First Round7.7% 10.3% 6.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Radford (Away) - 24.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 412 - 1015 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 213   @ Delaware W 85-73 28%     1 - 0 +12.5 +1.9 +9.4
  Nov 07, 2024 293   @ Southern Indiana W 75-69 OT 43%     2 - 0 +2.2 -2.4 +4.3
  Nov 09, 2024 9   @ Kentucky L 72-100 2%     2 - 1 -7.3 +0.1 -4.3
  Nov 13, 2024 254   Mount St. Mary's L 89-93 2OT 60%     2 - 2 -12.1 -1.3 -10.1
  Nov 16, 2024 186   Richmond W 80-76 2OT 44%     3 - 2 -0.2 -7.0 +6.1
  Nov 21, 2024 347   NJIT W 81-64 82%     4 - 2 +1.7 +1.4 +0.3
  Nov 23, 2024 257   Rider L 53-57 60%     4 - 3 -12.3 -16.2 +3.4
  Nov 27, 2024 19   @ Maryland L 67-91 3%     4 - 4 -6.4 -0.5 -4.3
  Nov 30, 2024 302   Siena L 58-71 57%     4 - 5 -20.3 -10.0 -12.1
  Dec 04, 2024 88   St. Bonaventure L 47-64 20%     4 - 6 -13.9 -19.3 +4.0
  Dec 08, 2024 189   @ Radford L 63-70 25%    
  Dec 21, 2024 1   @ Gonzaga L 59-89 0.2%   
  Dec 28, 2024 96   @ Syracuse L 67-81 9%    
  Jan 02, 2025 251   @ Lehigh L 70-74 37%    
  Jan 05, 2025 246   Colgate W 68-66 57%    
  Jan 08, 2025 231   Lafayette W 65-64 55%    
  Jan 11, 2025 236   @ American L 62-67 34%    
  Jan 15, 2025 326   Holy Cross W 73-66 72%    
  Jan 18, 2025 305   Navy W 73-68 67%    
  Jan 20, 2025 246   @ Colgate L 65-69 36%    
  Jan 25, 2025 268   @ Boston University L 64-67 41%    
  Jan 29, 2025 335   Loyola Maryland W 70-62 75%    
  Feb 01, 2025 305   @ Navy L 70-71 46%    
  Feb 05, 2025 236   American W 65-64 55%    
  Feb 08, 2025 282   @ Army L 66-68 42%    
  Feb 12, 2025 268   Boston University W 67-64 62%    
  Feb 15, 2025 231   @ Lafayette L 62-67 33%    
  Feb 17, 2025 251   Lehigh W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 23, 2025 282   Army W 69-65 63%    
  Feb 26, 2025 335   @ Loyola Maryland W 67-65 55%    
  Mar 01, 2025 326   @ Holy Cross W 70-69 52%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.6 3.3 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 12.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.5 5.2 2.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 12.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.8 5.5 2.3 0.4 0.0 12.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 3.1 6.0 2.3 0.2 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.2 6.2 2.9 0.2 0.0 11.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 5.4 3.4 0.3 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.4 3.7 0.5 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.2 3.2 0.6 0.0 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.3 2.2 0.6 0.0 6.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.4 4.5 6.9 9.7 12.1 13.7 13.6 12.1 9.8 6.7 4.0 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 99.2% 0.8    0.8 0.0
15-3 94.0% 1.9    1.8 0.1 0.0
14-4 82.5% 3.3    2.4 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-5 54.4% 3.6    1.7 1.5 0.4 0.0
12-6 21.2% 2.1    0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-7 4.3% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.5% 12.5 7.4 3.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 34.4% 34.4% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.8% 34.8% 34.8% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5
15-3 2.1% 32.6% 32.6% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 1.4
14-4 4.0% 27.1% 27.1% 15.4 0.1 0.5 0.5 2.9
13-5 6.7% 20.4% 20.4% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 5.3
12-6 9.8% 17.5% 17.5% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.4 8.1
11-7 12.1% 13.3% 13.3% 15.9 0.1 1.5 10.5
10-8 13.6% 10.6% 10.6% 16.0 0.0 1.4 12.2
9-9 13.7% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 1.0 12.6
8-10 12.1% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.5 11.6
7-11 9.7% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.3 9.4
6-12 6.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 6.7
5-13 4.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 4.4
4-14 2.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-15 1.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.1
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.2% 10.2% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.0 7.9 89.8 0.0%