IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Bucknell
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.8	#273
Expected Predictive Rating	+4.9	#68

Pace	68.8	#173
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.8	#287

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.0	#237

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.2%	11.9%	7.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.7	14.9	15.3

.500 or above	39.5%	56.4%	30.2%
.500 or above in Conference	60.0%	70.1%	54.4%
Conference Champion	10.8%	15.4%	8.2%
Last Place in Conference	8.0%	4.7%	9.8%

First Four	2.8%	2.6%	2.8%
First Round	8.9%	11.7%	7.3%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Away) - 35.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 10
Quad 4	13 - 8	15 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	258	Delaware	W	78-70	59%	1 - 0			-0.1	-1.3	+1.0
Nov 07, 2025	253	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	67-71	36%
Nov 11, 2025	176	@ Princeton	L	65-73	24%
Nov 14, 2025	163	Hofstra	L	64-66	41%
Nov 17, 2025	64	@ Pittsburgh	L	62-79	6%
Nov 20, 2025	11	@ St. John's	L	61-88	1%
Nov 24, 2025	152	Bowling Green	L	67-73	30%
Nov 26, 2025	321	Buffalo	W	76-73	61%
Nov 30, 2025	159	Cornell	L	76-78	42%
Dec 03, 2025	92	@ Akron	L	69-83	10%
Dec 06, 2025	295	Maryland Baltimore Co.	W	78-74	65%
Dec 09, 2025	314	@ Rider	L	67-68	48%
Dec 20, 2025	34	Iowa	L	66-85	5%
Dec 31, 2025	329	@ Holy Cross	W	73-72	53%
Jan 03, 2026	294	Lehigh	W	71-67	65%
Jan 07, 2026	169	@ Navy	L	66-74	25%
Jan 10, 2026	309	Loyola Maryland	W	71-66	66%
Jan 14, 2026	291	Lafayette	W	71-67	64%
Jan 17, 2026	201	@ Colgate	L	67-74	29%
Jan 21, 2026	343	Army	W	75-67	75%
Jan 24, 2026	309	@ Loyola Maryland	L	68-69	47%
Jan 26, 2026	291	@ Lafayette	L	68-70	44%
Jan 31, 2026	254	Boston University	W	66-64	57%
Feb 04, 2026	292	@ American	L	69-71	44%
Feb 07, 2026	201	Colgate	L	70-71	48%
Feb 09, 2026	169	Navy	L	69-71	43%
Feb 14, 2026	254	@ Boston University	L	63-67	37%
Feb 18, 2026	292	American	W	72-68	64%
Feb 22, 2026	329	Holy Cross	W	76-69	71%
Feb 25, 2026	343	@ Army	W	72-70	57%
Feb 28, 2026	294	@ Lehigh	L	68-70	45%
Projected Record						14 - 17	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.7	2.1	3.1	2.6	1.5	0.5	0.1		10.8	1st
2nd											0.2	1.7	3.6	3.9	2.0	0.5	0.1				12.0	2nd
3rd										0.3	2.3	5.1	3.4	1.3	0.1						12.4	3rd
4th								0.0	0.4	2.6	5.2	3.5	0.8	0.0							12.5	4th
5th								0.3	2.5	5.4	2.9	0.5	0.0								11.6	5th
6th						0.0	0.3	2.2	5.1	3.0	0.5	0.0									11.1	6th
7th					0.0	0.3	2.0	4.3	2.5	0.3	0.0										9.5	7th
8th				0.0	0.4	2.0	3.5	2.0	0.4												8.4	8th
9th			0.1	0.7	1.8	2.6	1.5	0.3	0.0												6.9	9th
10th	0.1	0.3	0.9	1.4	1.3	0.7	0.1	0.0													4.8	10th

Total	0.1	0.3	0.9	2.1	3.5	5.6	7.4	9.1	10.8	11.7	11.1	10.8	8.5	7.4	5.2	3.1	1.6	0.5	0.1			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.5		0.5	0.0
16-2	95.5%	1.5		1.3	0.2
15-3	85.3%	2.6		2.1	0.5	0.1
14-4	59.5%	3.1		1.7	1.2	0.2	0.0
13-5	28.5%	2.1		0.8	0.9	0.3	0.1
12-6	8.6%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1		0.0
11-7	0.7%	0.1				0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0				0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	10.8%	10.8		6.7	3.1	0.8	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		59.3%	59.3%		13.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
17-1	0.5%		39.8%	39.8%		13.7												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.3
16-2	1.6%		37.3%	37.3%		13.6													0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.0
15-3	3.1%		32.3%	32.3%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	2.1
14-4	5.2%		27.7%	27.7%		16.0													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.4	3.7
13-5	7.4%		21.2%	21.2%		16.7														0.1	0.3	0.7	0.6	5.8
12-6	8.5%		14.0%	14.0%		17.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	7.3
11-7	10.8%		10.3%	10.3%		18.1															0.0	0.4	0.9	9.7
10-8	11.1%		7.2%	7.2%		18.9															0.0	0.2	0.8	10.3
9-9	11.7%		5.2%	5.2%		18.2															0.0	0.1	0.6	11.0
8-10	10.8%		3.0%	3.0%		16.7																	0.3	10.5
7-11	9.1%		2.0%	2.0%		16.4																0.0	0.2	8.9
6-12	7.4%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	7.4
5-13	5.6%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	5.6
4-14	3.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	3.5
3-15	2.1%																							2.1
2-16	0.9%																							0.9
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		9.2%	9.2%	0.0%	16.7												0.0	0.2	0.6	1.6	3.1	4.7	90.8		0.0%