Bucknell
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#308
Expected Predictive Rating-8.4#297
Pace68.8#206
Improvement-2.9#337

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#328
First Shot-3.4#273
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#336
Layup/Dunks-5.8#343
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#342
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.8#12
Freethrows-2.0#306
Improvement-2.8#348

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#249
First Shot-3.1#283
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#141
Layups/Dunks+0.7#148
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#236
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#311
Freethrows+0.3#158
Improvement-0.2#191
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 6.6% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 8.4% 13.4% 4.6%
.500 or above in Conference 46.8% 60.9% 35.7%
Conference Champion 4.1% 6.6% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 12.5% 5.9% 17.6%
First Four4.3% 5.2% 3.5%
First Round3.0% 3.9% 2.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Away) - 43.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 412 - 1112 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 284 Delaware W 78-70 55%     1 - 0 -1.6 -0.1 -1.6
  Fri, Nov 7 300 @Mount St. Mary's W 73-62 35%     2 - 0 +6.4 +4.3 +2.9
  Tue, Nov 11 248 @Princeton L 63-73 27%     2 - 1 -12.0 -7.1 -5.1
  Fri, Nov 14 110 Hofstra L 77-83 19%     2 - 2 -5.3 +0.1 -5.0
  Mon, Nov 17 84 @Pittsburgh L 50-84 6%     2 - 3 -24.4 -15.1 -12.1
  Thu, Nov 20 19 @St. John's L 49-97 1%     2 - 4 -28.6 -17.9 -7.0
  Mon, Nov 24 117 Bowling Green L 66-71 14%     2 - 5 -1.8 -1.6 -0.2
  Wed, Nov 26 196 Buffalo L 71-73 28%     2 - 6 -4.3 +4.8 -9.5
  Sun, Nov 30 159 Cornell L 72-101 30%     2 - 7 -31.9 -11.3 -19.1
  Wed, Dec 3 59 @Akron L 77-97 4%     2 - 8 -8.1 +6.3 -14.8
  Sat, Dec 6 292 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-73 56%     2 - 9 -17.1 -7.2 -10.5
  Tue, Dec 9 344 @Rider W 51-38 52%     3 - 9 +4.2 -15.1 +21.2
  Sat, Dec 20 18 Iowa L 39-94 2%     3 - 10 -38.5 -23.1 -19.4
  Wed, Dec 31 326 @Holy Cross L 69-71 44%    
  Sat, Jan 3 315 Lehigh W 72-68 63%    
  Wed, Jan 7 203 @Navy L 65-74 20%    
  Sat, Jan 10 329 Loyola Maryland W 76-71 66%    
  Wed, Jan 14 321 Lafayette W 73-69 65%    
  Sat, Jan 17 181 @Colgate L 66-76 18%    
  Wed, Jan 21 331 Army W 74-69 68%    
  Sat, Jan 24 329 @Loyola Maryland L 73-74 45%    
  Mon, Jan 26 321 @Lafayette L 70-72 43%    
  Sat, Jan 31 288 Boston University W 71-70 55%    
  Wed, Feb 4 268 @American L 70-76 30%    
  Sat, Feb 7 181 Colgate L 69-73 36%    
  Mon, Feb 9 203 Navy L 68-71 40%    
  Sat, Feb 14 288 @Boston University L 68-73 33%    
  Wed, Feb 18 268 American W 73-72 52%    
  Sun, Feb 22 326 Holy Cross W 72-68 66%    
  Wed, Feb 25 331 @Army L 71-72 46%    
  Sat, Feb 28 315 @Lehigh L 69-71 41%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.8 1.6 0.5 0.1 7.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.5 4.5 2.0 0.4 0.0 11.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 4.1 5.6 2.0 0.3 12.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.5 6.5 2.3 0.2 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.2 2.9 6.7 2.7 0.3 12.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.9 3.5 0.3 12.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.8 3.5 0.5 0.0 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.7 2.9 0.5 0.0 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.5 1.6 0.4 0.0 7.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 4.4 7.3 10.6 13.2 14.8 14.1 12.1 8.9 5.8 3.4 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 87.4% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 67.8% 1.1    0.7 0.4 0.0
13-5 41.7% 1.4    0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0
12-6 12.4% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 32.7% 32.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.6% 20.1% 20.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5
14-4 1.6% 17.3% 17.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.3
13-5 3.4% 14.7% 14.7% 15.9 0.0 0.5 2.9
12-6 5.8% 12.6% 12.6% 15.9 0.0 0.7 5.1
11-7 8.9% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.9 8.0
10-8 12.1% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 1.0 11.1
9-9 14.1% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.7 13.4
8-10 14.8% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.4 14.4
7-11 13.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 13.0
6-12 10.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 10.5
5-13 7.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 7.2
4-14 4.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.4
3-15 1.9% 1.9
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.9 94.9 0.0%