Bucknell
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -11.6 334
Results Rating -10.3 324
Consistency 0.16 232
Pace 68.0 196
Improvement -4.1 327

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 348 D- D+ D- C- C+
Defense D+ 282 D D C+ C- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 236 D 53% 302 -3.0 287
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 260 F+ 30% 356 -2.6 304
Three Pointers 46% 72 F+ 29% 342 -0.7 206
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 155 F+ -6.4 351
1st FG Attempt D- 0.90 345
Second Chance D 25.7% 306 C+ 1.07 122 D+ 0.27 264
Opponents' Steals F+ 12.0% 355
Other Turnovers D+ 8.1% 277
Turnovers D- 20.1% 342
Freethrows D+ 0.27 277 B 76% 51 C- 0.21 217
Total Offense D- -8.0 348

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 50% 148 F 15.9% 354
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 175 F 9.8% 354
Three Pointers C+ 87% 125 D+ 1.2% 275
Total B- 60% 89 F 8.1% 352

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 292 D+ 62% 277 -1.0 135
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 150 D 42% 321 +1.0 271
Three Pointers 44% 87 D- 38% 323 +3.9 336
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.3 111 D- +4.4 335
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 317
Second Chance D 33.4% 302 C- 1.07 250 D 0.36 297
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.0% 144
Other Turnovers C 7.5% 145
Turnovers C+ 17.4% 133
Freethrows C- 0.32 242 D+ 74% 280 C- 0.24 258
Total Defense D+ -3.6 282

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 277 D 7.5% 318
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 303 D- 1.6% 344
Three Pointers F+ 92% 355 D- 0.0% 347
Total D 63% 324 D- 3.0% 348

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.9 243 16.8 91
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 321 0.17 174
Consistency 0.13 240 0.13 239
Improvement -2.2 293 -1.9 288

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 343 336 325
Results Rating Rank 335 322 309
Conference Record 6 - 12 6 - 12 7 - 11
Conference Finish 8 8 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 14% 0% 19%
First Four1% 1% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Lehigh (Away) - 26.1% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 70 - 11
Quad 410 - 1210 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 268 Delaware W 78 - 70 41% +6  92% 1 - 0 C -1 D+ -4 C B F B- +2 A+ F C-
 Fri, Nov 7 281 @Mount St. Mary's W 73 - 62 23% +4  80% 2 - 0 B- +7 B- +4 B+ F A+ B +4 B A- C+
 Tue, Nov 11 255 @Princeton L 63 - 73 19% -5  4% 2 - 1 D- -12 F -13 D F F C+ +0 C- C- C
 Fri, Nov 14 104 Hofstra L 77 - 83 12% -2  35% 2 - 2 C- -5 D+ -3 D+ A+ F C -1 F+ A C
 Mon, Nov 17 100 @Pittsburgh L 50 - 84 5% -17  10% 2 - 3 F -26 F -18 F F+ F F -11 F F B+
 Thu, Nov 20 21 @St. John's L 49 - 97 1% -17  22% 2 - 4 F -28 F -19 F D- F D -6 F B A-
 Mon, Nov 24 179 Bowling Green L 66 - 71 16% -7  6% 2 - 5 D+ -6 D- -7 B+ D F C+ +1 C- D A
 Wed, Nov 26 208 Buffalo L 71 - 73 20% -2  33% 2 - 6 C- -5 C+ +2 C+ C C- D- -7 D A D-
 Sun, Nov 30 168 Cornell L 72 - 101 23% -14  6% 2 - 7 F -33 F -15 F A+ F F -16 F F A-
 Wed, Dec 3 77 @Akron L 77 - 97 3% -11  8% 2 - 8 D -9 B +6 C+ D A+ F -16 F D+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 234 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66 - 73 33% -1  39% 2 - 9 D- -14 D- -7 F C+ C- D- -8 F C- B+
 Tue, Dec 9 355 @Rider W 51 - 38 51% +8  99% 3 - 9 C +1 F -22 F F F+ A+ +25 B A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 20 24 Iowa L 39 - 94 1% -23  13% 3 - 10 F -39 F -27 D F F F -16 F+ F C-
 Wed, Dec 31 327 @Holy Cross L 58 - 65 35% -4  9% 3 - 11 0 - 1 D- -15 F -14 D- F F C -1 D+ D+ B-
 Sat, Jan 3 296 Lehigh W 72 - 65 48% -3  33% 4 - 11 1 - 1 C- -4 F -11 F B C- A- +7 B F A+
 Wed, Jan 7 145 @Navy L 55 - 76 8% -7  38% 4 - 12 1 - 2 F+ -17 F -12 F+ F D D -6 D- F B+
 Sat, Jan 10 319 Loyola Maryland W 70 - 67 56% +1  51% 5 - 12 2 - 2 D -10 F -11 F A- F C+ +1 F+ A- A
 Wed, Jan 14 324 Lafayette W 76 - 69 57% +1  53% 6 - 12 3 - 2 D+ -6 C -0 B- A+ F D -6 D D+ C
 Sat, Jan 17 247 @Colgate L 76 - 95 18% -14  0% 6 - 13 3 - 3 F -21 D+ -3 D D+ C- F -18 F F D+
 Wed, Jan 21 340 Army L 84 - 87 OT 63% -2  31% 6 - 14 3 - 4 F -18 C +0 C+ F+ B F -18 F D+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 319 @Loyola Maryland L 62 - 67 33% -2  22% 6 - 15 3 - 5 D- -12 F -11 F C C C -1 C+ F A
 Wed, Jan 28 324 @Lafayette L 79 - 81 34% +4  84% 6 - 16 3 - 6 D -9 B +6 D+ B D+ F -16 F F F+
 Sat, Jan 31 256 Boston University W 103 - 97 2OT 38% +3  62% 7 - 16 4 - 6 C- -2 A- +10 B+ B- B F -13 B F F
 Wed, Feb 4 251 @American W 60 - 59 18% -2  21% 8 - 16 5 - 6 C -1 D -5 F+ B- F B +4 B D+ B
 Sat, Feb 7 247 Colgate L 59 - 78 36% -14  0% 8 - 17 5 - 7 F -27 F -24 F D D- C- -2 C+ C D
 Mon, Feb 9 145 Navy L 60 - 76 18% -9  9% 8 - 18 5 - 8 F -18 F -13 F D B- D -5 C+ F C
 Sat, Feb 14 256 @Boston University L 69 - 82 19% -10  4% 8 - 19 5 - 9 F+ -15 D- -7 D+ F+ C F+ -9 F+ D- B-
 Wed, Feb 18 251 American L 57 - 75 36% -6  19% 8 - 20 5 - 10 F -26 F -17 F+ C- F F -10 C+ D+ F
 Sun, Feb 22 327 Holy Cross L 63 - 72 57% -1  27% 8 - 21 5 - 11 F -23 F -15 F B- D+ D- -8 F+ F C
 Wed, Feb 25 340 @Army W 75 - 73 40% +9  94% 9 - 21 6 - 11 D+ -7 D- -8 C D- F C+ +1 D- C A-
 Sat, Feb 28 296 @Lehigh L 67 - 74 26%
Totals 9 - 22 6 - 12 -12 D- -8 D+ F+ C+ D+ -4 F+ B C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- D F+ F+ F+ 37% 30% 46% C+ D- D C+ D+ D- D+ B C- D+ D+ D D- D- 35% 21% 44% C+ D D C- D C+ C- D+ C-
0.97 53% 30% 29% -6 0 0.90 26% 1.1 .27 20% .27 76% .21 1.14 62% 42% 38% +4 0 1.10 33% 1.1 .36 17% .32 74% .20
Nov
3		 Delaware D+ C- F A C 37% 20% 43% B- C B C+ B F D B+ D+ B- A A+ A A+ 40% 13% 47% D- A+ F F F C- D- A+ C
1.10 58% 20% 41% +1 0 1.04 35% 1.1 .38 18% .24 86% .21 0.98 48% 14% 28% -12 +1 0.81 29% 1.6 .45 17% .30 61% .19
Nov
7		 Mount St. Mary's B- B+ D- B B 42% 17% 42% B B+ D- F F A+ B F C B F C A+ B+ 40% 7% 52% D B D- A+ A- C+ F D- F
1.12 64% 33% 36% +3 +1 1.09 23% 0.3 .08 6% .37 65% .24 0.95 71% 33% 18% -8 +2 0.90 33% 0.6 .21 23% .50 72% .36
Nov
11		 Princeton F F A+ D D- 48% 10% 42% B+ D F F F F A C A- C+ C D- C- D- 19% 27% 54% A+ C- C D C- C F A F
0.92 48% 60% 30% -5 +2 0.96 18% 0.5 .09 19% .38 71% .27 1.07 56% 46% 35% +2 -2 1.02 27% 1.1 .30 18% .51 66% .34
Nov
14		 Hofstra D+ A F F D 31% 19% 50% B- D+ C+ A+ A+ F A- A+ A+ C C- F+ F F 20% 33% 47% A F+ B+ A+ A C F A+ F
1.03 67% 22% 25% -7 0 0.88 32% 1.6 .53 23% .36 86% .31 1.11 60% 44% 43% +9 -3 1.14 29% 0.8 .24 16% .51 66% .34
Nov
17		 Pittsburgh F F F F F 37% 17% 46% C F C+ F F+ F A+ B- A+ F B F F F 35% 20% 45% B F F D+ F B+ C+ B- B-
0.77 33% 14% 26% -18 0 0.66 27% 0.5 .14 25% .47 78% .37 1.30 53% 60% 50% +13 0 1.29 44% 1.1 .47 20% .27 64% .17
Nov
20		 St. John's F F F F F 41% 17% 41% B- F F+ D+ D- F A+ D A+ D F D- C F 47% 13% 40% D+ F F A+ B A- D- C- D-
0.65 32% 25% 21% -21 +1 0.61 21% 0.9 .18 32% .42 68% .29 1.28 76% 43% 33% +9 +2 1.23 49% 0.8 .37 17% .45 75% .33
Nov
24		 Bowling Green D- B F A+ B 44% 12% 44% B B+ F A+ D F A- B- A- C+ A+ D+ F C- 42% 11% 47% C- C- A+ F D A F B F
0.96 63% 0% 42% +3 +2 1.12 15% 1.5 .23 26% .39 75% .29 1.03 42% 40% 43% 0 +2 1.04 16% 1.8 .28 22% .48 69% .33
Nov
26		 Buffalo C+ B+ F B- C+ 40% 9% 51% B C+ A- F+ C C- D F F D- B- F F D+ 35% 8% 56% D- D D- A+ A D- C- C C-
1.17 68% 25% 38% +6 +2 1.17 41% 0.8 .31 18% .24 58% .14 1.20 53% 50% 41% +5 +1 1.15 31% 0.6 .19 13% .36 74% .26
Nov
30		 Cornell F F B+ F F 33% 22% 45% D- F C A+ A+ F A+ C+ A+ F F F F 43% 0% 57% F F A F F A- A+ D A+
0.98 38% 45% 23% -13 -1 0.76 32% 1.6 .51 23% .46 73% .33 1.37 73% 62% +30 +3 1.69 24% 2.0 .47 22% .16 78% .12
Dec
3		 Akron B C+ F B+ B- 29% 14% 58% C C+ C+ F D A+ F C- F F F F F+ F 40% 15% 45% C- F B F D+ F F A+ D
1.12 59% 25% 38% +2 0 1.07 34% 0.7 .25 13% .12 71% .08 1.41 73% 50% 40% +12 +1 1.27 29% 1.6 .45 7% .36 65% .24
Dec
6		 Maryland Baltimore Co. D- C F F F 38% 20% 42% C- F B+ D- C+ C- A- C A- D- D F+ F F 37% 28% 35% B F C- C- C- B+ C- D- D+
1.02 58% 20% 29% -7 0 0.88 35% 0.9 .33 14% .31 71% .22 1.13 65% 46% 44% +10 -1 1.20 23% 1.0 .23 19% .29 80% .23
Dec
9		 Rider F D F F F 46% 8% 46% B- F F F+ F F+ F A- F A+ A+ D- A+ B+ 34% 34% 32% C+ B A+ A A+ A+ A- A+ A+
0.84 55% 25% 23% -10 +2 0.85 19% 0.8 .16 18% .16 75% .12 0.62 36% 43% 23% -11 -2 0.76 17% 0.7 .11 25% .20 33% .07
Dec
20		 Iowa F A+ F F D 31% 15% 54% C+ D F F F F F F+ F F D- F F F 49% 16% 35% C- F+ F D F C- A+ F+ A
0.60 75% 17% 24% -6 0 0.90 12% 0.7 .08 38% .15 67% .10 1.44 70% 67% 42% +15 +1 1.35 50% 1.2 .58 14% .21 83% .18
Dec
31		 Holy Cross F D+ D C+ D 27% 27% 45% F D- C F F F F F F C C- F A+ D+ 48% 35% 18% C- D+ F A D+ B- F C- F
0.93 57% 36% 35% 0 -2 0.98 30% 0.5 .16 21% .10 40% .04 1.04 58% 57% 14% +1 -1 1.03 30% 0.8 .22 18% .51 77% .39
Jan
3		 Lehigh F F F C- F 39% 22% 39% C- F D+ A+ B C- C- A+ A- A- B+ F A+ B 33% 33% 33% A- B A- F F A+ F F F
0.98 29% 25% 33% -15 0 0.72 31% 1.3 .40 16% .29 94% .28 0.89 50% 57% 21% -3 -2 0.93 15% 2.3 .35 29% .40 81% .33
Jan
7		 Navy F C+ F F F 27% 17% 56% B- F+ F F F D C+ B B- D D- A+ F D- 37% 24% 39% C D- F F F B+ C- D D+
0.84 62% 13% 26% -10 0 0.81 19% 0.7 .14 20% .27 79% .21 1.16 65% 18% 44% +4 -1 1.09 38% 1.3 .47 21% .35 78% .27
Jan
10		 Loyola Maryland F D+ F F F 44% 16% 40% B F C+ A+ A- F C C C C+ D+ A+ F F 25% 12% 63% B F+ D- A+ A- A A F A-
1.02 59% 25% 25% -7 +1 0.90 33% 1.5 .50 20% .29 75% .22 0.98 62% 17% 39% +4 0 1.10 31% 0.5 .17 22% .17 78% .13
Jan
14		 Lafayette C D F A+ C+ 45% 16% 39% B+ B- D A+ A+ F C- A+ B D C A+ F F+ 33% 17% 50% B D B+ F D+ C B F C+
1.15 55% 29% 47% +5 +1 1.14 27% 2.0 .54 23% .27 86% .24 1.05 56% 13% 42% +1 0 1.04 21% 1.3 .26 17% .24 77% .18
Jan
17		 Colgate D+ B+ F F F+ 41% 8% 51% A- D F A+ D+ C- A A+ A+ F F F F F 33% 19% 48% D+ F F F F D+ F B+ D-
1.06 67% 25% 23% -6 +2 0.94 16% 1.6 .26 15% .40 92% .36 1.33 76% 50% 44% +16 0 1.33 34% 1.4 .48 14% .36 68% .24
Jan
21		 Army C B C C+ C+ 44% 15% 41% B C+ C- F F+ B C+ B B F D- B+ F F 37% 8% 56% D+ F F B+ D+ C- F F F
1.20 67% 38% 36% +5 +1 1.15 30% 0.9 .27 13% .38 78% .30 1.24 63% 25% 41% +7 +2 1.19 38% 0.8 .31 17% .36 90% .33
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Loyola Maryland F C+ F F F 43% 10% 47% A- F D A C C F C- F C F F A- D+ 18% 28% 55% A+ C+ D- F F A F F F
0.98 64% 20% 17% -12 +2 0.82 27% 1.4 .38 14% .20 73% .15 1.06 71% 45% 27% -1 -2 0.95 31% 1.2 .38 22% .45 91% .41
Jan
28		 Lafayette B B+ B C C+ 20% 42% 38% F D+ C+ A- B D+ A+ C+ A+ F F D+ C+ F 32% 18% 50% B+ F F F F F+ F F+ F
1.21 67% 42% 35% +4 -4 1.02 32% 1.3 .42 15% .58 75% .43 1.24 79% 38% 32% +5 0 1.11 34% 1.1 .38 12% .54 74% .40
Jan
31		 Boston University A- F A+ A+ A- 39% 24% 37% D+ B+ D+ A+ B- B A+ A+ A+ F D A B- B 37% 17% 46% C B D F F F F F F
1.34 43% 62% 55% +11 0 1.24 28% 1.3 .38 10% .48 85% .41 1.26 64% 30% 33% 0 0 1.03 30% 1.3 .40 9% .42 83% .34
Feb
4		 American D F B- C- F+ 38% 18% 45% C F+ F A+ B- F C A+ A- B A D+ B- B 23% 11% 66% B- B F A+ D+ B B A+ A-
1.01 47% 43% 33% -4 0 0.95 22% 1.7 .37 24% .38 88% .33 1.00 45% 40% 32% -4 0 0.94 39% 0.7 .27 19% .23 64% .15
Feb
7		 Colgate F D C F F 31% 22% 47% D F F A+ D D- A+ B- A+ C- C F B+ C+ 36% 26% 38% C+ C+ C C- C D F+ A- D+
0.80 53% 36% 13% -17 -1 0.67 19% 1.3 .24 18% .45 74% .33 1.06 58% 50% 30% +1 -1 1.02 26% 1.0 .26 14% .33 67% .22
Feb
9		 Navy F B+ F F F 35% 11% 55% A F F A- D B- F A+ F+ D C+ D A- C 38% 33% 29% A- C+ F F F C C+ D C
0.87 68% 17% 17% -13 +1 0.78 20% 1.1 .23 16% .14 100% .14 1.10 56% 44% 29% -1 -2 0.96 39% 1.3 .52 19% .32 78% .25
Feb
14		 Boston University D- D+ A- C- D- 45% 11% 43% B+ D+ F B+ F+ C F F F F+ C A F F 28% 16% 56% B- F+ F A+ D- B- F F F
1.06 54% 50% 35% 0 +2 1.06 18% 1.2 .21 12% .17 60% .10 1.26 58% 29% 50% +12 0 1.26 48% 0.7 .33 20% .44 91% .40
Feb
18		 American F D+ A+ F F+ 37% 26% 37% D F+ C- C- C- F F C F F B- A+ D- C+ 38% 16% 47% C+ C+ C+ F D+ F F D- F
0.88 56% 73% 13% -4 -1 0.93 30% 1.0 .30 23% .28 71% .20 1.16 53% 14% 38% -3 +1 0.98 24% 1.1 .26 11% .54 81% .43
Feb
22		 Holy Cross F D- F F F 35% 24% 41% D F B+ D B- D+ C A+ B D- A C- F F 20% 41% 39% A+ F+ B- F F C D- F F
0.96 53% 25% 20% -14 -1 0.73 35% 1.1 .38 15% .27 87% .23 1.09 44% 42% 50% +8 -4 1.11 19% 1.6 .30 17% .33 83% .27
Feb
25		 Army D- F+ C A+ C- 42% 16% 42% B- C F B D- F C- C C- C+ D F C F+ 24% 4% 72% C D- C- C+ C A- A- C+ A-
1.04 52% 38% 43% +3 +1 1.10 23% 1.3 .29 22% .34 74% .25 1.01 62% 50% 33% +1 +1 1.06 30% 0.9 .28 22% .18 70% .12



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 5.0 5.0 6th
7th 13.9 13.9 7th
8th 73.9 7.2 81.1 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 73.9 26.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 26.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.4 25.8
6-12 73.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.3 73.6
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 16.0 99.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.9%
Lose Out 38.0%